#USMidterms-WhatAreMarketsExpecting?
💧 $300K Could Have Moved the Senate Odds 10 Points
Prediction markets called the Democratic sweep, but Talos says the prices rested on thin liquidity.
📊 ~$1.9B traded on Kalshi and Polymarket before Election Day
💧 $300K of selling would cut Kalshi's Senate contract 10 points
🧾 Median trade was only ~$10; a few big tickets made most of the depth
⚠️ Brazil's ~80% favorite lost its runoff nine days earlier
Why it matters: a 75% price shows the crowd's lean, not a guarantee.
Trust a 75% market or a 5-point poll lead? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket #USMidterms-WhatAreMarketsExpecting?
💧 $300K Could Have Moved the Senate Odds 10 Points
Prediction markets called the Democratic sweep, but Talos says the prices rested on thin liquidity.
📊 ~$1.9B traded on Kalshi and Polymarket before Election Day
💧 $300K of selling would cut Kalshi's Senate contract 10 points
🧾 Median trade was only ~$10; a few big tickets made most of the depth
⚠️ Brazil's ~80% favorite lost its runoff nine days earlier
Why it matters: a 75% price shows the crowd's lean, not a guarantee.
Trust a 75% market or a 5-point poll lead? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket #USMidterms-WhatAreMarketsExpecting?
