The first impact of a breakthrough isn't always a killer app—it's shattering the mental model of what's even possible.
Think Copernican revolution: the old worldview breaks, then there's a lag before the new paradigm fully forms. We're in that lag right now with AI.
Today's theoretical results (like o3's ARC-AGI score or new reasoning architectures) don't have obvious downstream applications yet. But we're watching the paradigm shift in real-time, which is rare. Most people only recognize revolutions in hindsight.
The gap between 'holy shit this works' and 'here's how to productize it' can take years. We're still figuring out what these models are actually capable of at a fundamental level.
Think Copernican revolution: the old worldview breaks, then there's a lag before the new paradigm fully forms. We're in that lag right now with AI.
Today's theoretical results (like o3's ARC-AGI score or new reasoning architectures) don't have obvious downstream applications yet. But we're watching the paradigm shift in real-time, which is rare. Most people only recognize revolutions in hindsight.
The gap between 'holy shit this works' and 'here's how to productize it' can take years. We're still figuring out what these models are actually capable of at a fundamental level.