Even with CPI and PPI inflation reports arriving hotter than expected, we are seeing a notable decline in US government bond yields. The CNBC chart below illustrates this ongoing trend. If you are curious about what is causing this market disconnect, I believe there are two core catalysts at play.

The initial factor is a classic flight to quality. Market participants are moving their capital away from once-soaring tech stocks that are currently facing downward pressure. This rotation toward safer assets is being further driven by nominal yields reaching multi-year highs, alongside new pockets of credit stress emerging within the most vulnerable market segments.

The second catalyst revolves around growing anxieties regarding the tech industry itself. Specifically, there are rising concerns about the overall robustness of tech, given its critical role as one of the two primary engines driving US economic growth. When looking at these two drivers, this latter issue actually holds far heavier implications for the future health and well-being of both the US and global economies.

#economy #growth #inflation #markets #bonds #yields