🔐 END-OF-DAY MARKET REPORT — October 12, 2026
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🌐 TOP NEWS OF THE DAY
At least 12–13 people were killed in Houthi attacks targeting Riyadh International Airport over the weekend. Brent crude rose above $106, reaching its highest level in approximately two weeks, while WTI traded around $93.
Iran was reportedly reviewing a U.S. proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Two tanker attacks off the coast of Oman also kept the risk premium in the market elevated.
Wall Street traded mixed: the Dow rose approximately 0.4%, while the S&P 500 fell 0.1% and the Nasdaq declined 0.3%. High energy costs and Treasury yields weighed on technology stocks. The bond market was closed for Columbus Day.
Trump's announcement of an agreement to import diesel from Russia to lower fuel prices ahead of the elections prompted objections from six bipartisan senators over sanctions policy.
According to the Fed's September meeting minutes, most policymakers consider another rate hike by year-end appropriate. The 10-year Treasury yield remains near its highest level in 24 years, while the Dollar Index is at an 18-month high.
Gold fell to $4,195 (-0.5%), while silver declined to $60.9. A strong dollar and elevated real yields put precious metals under selling pressure.
South Korea announced its first Bitcoin-backed loan from a traditional bank.
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₿ BITCOIN
BTC traded within a narrow $82,700–$84,100 range during the day, hovering just below $83,000 in the evening. It is down approximately 3% on a weekly basis but remains well above last week's low near $80,000.
Liquidations over the past 24 hours were limited to approximately $47 million, mostly involving short positions. By comparison, liquidations exceeded $1.1 billion on October 9. Open interest in futures stands at $66 billion. The long-heavy positioning ratios on Binance and OKX indicate that long positions remain vulnerable if a sharp downward move occurs.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $681 million in net outflows last week. The small $21 million inflow on October 9 did not change the overall picture. The Fear & Greed Index stands at 69, in the “Greed” zone.
Nearby support levels are $79,700–$80,200 (SuperTrend and the 50-day EMA), followed by the $77,000–$79,000 region. Resistance stands at $84,000–$85,000, followed by $87,000–$88,000. The recovery cannot be considered confirmed unless buyers reclaim and hold $84,000.
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🔷 ETHEREUM & ALTCOINS
ETH is trading around $2,530, down 7% on the week. Spot ETH ETFs recorded $542 million in outflows last week, their worst weekly performance since January. The $2,600 supply zone is the first resistance, while $2,506 (50-day EMA) and $2,352 (100-day EMA) are support levels. The RSI is at 47, below neutral, and the MACD is negative.
XRP is moving sideways around $1.40, attempting to hold above the $1.38–$1.40 support cluster. XRP spot ETFs attracted $11 million in inflows, extending their inflow streak beyond 13 weeks. Total inflows have reached $1.8 billion.
SOL remains weak around the $110 range. Solana ETFs recorded $24.8 million in outflows, ending a 14-week streak of inflows.
Minor rebounds across altcoins have occurred on thin volume, with no signs of sustained spot buying.
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📋 KEY CRYPTO NEWS
SkyAI, a Nasdaq-listed Solana treasury company, confirmed that it sold 1 million SOL, approximately half of its reserves. The company is also planning a cash tender offer of up to $201 million at $3 per share, expected to begin around October 15. SOL falling below $100 is among the conditions associated with the offer.
Standard Chartered launched institutional custody services for Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin through its DIFC branch. An arrangement involving Ripple and LMAX to enable RLUSD to be used as collateral is also planned.
Russia's largest bank, Sberbank, has begun testing crypto purchases and sales, along with deposits and withdrawals, through its mobile app. Broader customer access is targeted for December 1, provided the regulatory framework takes effect.
Hong Kong's second spot Solana ETF, issued by Pando, will be listed tomorrow. Its annual management fee is 0.6%, below ChinaAMC's 0.99% fee.
LBTC redemptions on the Liquid Network have been frozen for 35 days. Following an exploit involving approximately 4,000 BTC, 3,400 BTC have been returned. The attacker rejected a 10% bounty for the remaining 598.5 BTC, and there is no restart date.
A Glassnode co-founder estimated that 6.26 million BTC, or 31.2% of the supply, are held at addresses with exposed public keys. Discussion of controlled address migration to mitigate quantum risks is gaining momentum. Meanwhile, on October 9, Tether froze approximately $1.45 million in USDT held across four TRON vault addresses belonging to THORChain. No reason was disclosed.
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🔓 TOKEN UNLOCKS
Starknet (STRK)
October 15, 03:00 TRT — approximately 127 million STRK, worth around $13.9 million
Percentage of circulating supply: 3.37%
Recipient profile: Early contributors (66.61 million) and investors (60.39 million)
Selling pressure: 🔴
Note: A recurring monthly unlock. The data is still awaiting confirmation on Tokenomist, and the investor allocation increases short-term selling risk.
Sei (SEI)
October 15, 15:00 TRT — approximately 55.56 million SEI, worth around $3.7 million
Percentage of circulating supply: 0.84%
Recipient profile: Details not provided by the source; unverified
Selling pressure: 🟡
Note: The amount is relatively small, but its impact could be felt in thin altcoin liquidity.
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🔭 OUTLOOK AND EVENTS AHEAD
Tomorrow, earnings reports from JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Citi are due. The main market threshold of the week is U.S. September inflation (CPI) on October 14 at 15:30. With a Fed rate hike already being priced in, an upside surprise could put the $79,000–$80,000 support zone to the test. A reading in line with expectations, however, could open the way for another attempt at the $84,000–$85,000 resistance zone.
PPI and retail sales are due on October 15, while BTC and ETH options expire on October 16. Price movements toward certain levels ahead of expiration are common. Unless ETF flows turn positive, rallies should be viewed as short-term moves driven by liquidations.
The main risk channel is oil: Brent remaining above $106, combined with elevated yields and a strong dollar, is limiting risk appetite. The Fed meeting is scheduled for October 27–28, and the U.S. midterm elections take place on November 3. Until then, the market may remain sensitive to incoming news and trade within a narrow range.