🚨 Bitcoin bounced from its 24-hour low. The next test: Fed minutes at 18:00 UTC.

Here’s what I’m watching before the release.

📊 BINANCE SNAPSHOT
At 17:15 UTC / 14:15 Argentina:
BTC ≈ 83,530 USDT
24h change: −2.36%
24h low: 82,787.25

A rebound is underway. A recovery still needs confirmation.

🧩 THE MACRO BACKDROP

Reuters reported U.S. stocks lower today as Treasury yields and oil prices rose.

My read: higher energy costs complicate the inflation outlook, while elevated yields can pressure risk assets. That makes the reaction in bonds worth watching alongside Bitcoin.

🕒 ONE DETAIL THAT MATTERS

Today’s minutes cover the September 15–16 Fed meeting.

They predate Friday’s jobs report and Monday’s ISM Services release. They reveal the debate at that meeting, rather than a fresh assessment of every new data point.

The next scheduled rate decision is October 28.

🔎 MY TWO SCENARIOS

🟢 Recovery: I’m watching 84,000 as a round-number reference. A 15-minute close above it, followed by a retest that holds, would strengthen the rebound case.

🔴 Weakness: a loss of 82,787 followed by a failed reclaim would weaken the recovery and leave downside risk open.

These are conditional references, not guaranteed outcomes.

Open $BTC on the 15-minute chart before 18:00 UTC / 15:00 Argentina. Compare the reaction with Treasury yields and the dollar.

What would convince you more: a recovery that holds above 84,000, or buyers defending the daily low?

Save this setup and follow. After the release, we’ll check the actual text and what price confirms.

October 7, 2026. All price levels in USDT.
Sources: Binance Spot API; Reuters; Federal Reserve.
Official schedule:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/2026-october.htm

#bitcoin #Fed #crypto
$BTC