TLDR:
Bitcoin trades near $85,300 after Sunday gains, with the last four Sunday moves reversing on Monday.
BTC’s last four TD Sequential sell signals preceded declines ranging from 1.74% to 4.37% on the chart.
ETH’s prior two sell signals preceded 5.40% and 3.31% drops, while SOL’s last three reached up to 5.76%.
Weekend Bitcoin volume was just 16% in Kaiko’s 2024 study, leaving Sunday trading comparatively thinner.
Bitcoin enters Monday trading with two short-term warning signs aligned after another weekend advance kept the asset above $85,000. Recent Sunday moves have repeatedly reversed the next day, while four-hour indicators across major cryptocurrencies now show sell signals.
Analyst Ali Charts highlighted the pattern on October 4 as Bitcoin traded near $85,300 and reached roughly $85,500 during Sunday trading. Ethereum changed hands around $2,700, while Solana remained above $121, placing all three assets near levels where technical exhaustion signals appeared.
The setup does not establish that prices will decline Monday. However, September trading shows a consistent four-week sequence in which every Sunday move was followed by an opposite Monday move.
Bitcoin Monday Pullback Risk Builds After Four Reversals
On September 6, Bitcoin gained about 0.7% before falling roughly 1.5% the following Monday. A week later, BTC dropped 0.6% Sunday and gained approximately 1.7% Monday.
2/6 Over the past month, Bitcoin’s Sunday moves have often reversed on Monday: Sunday rallies were followed by pullbacks, while Sunday declines were followed by rebounds.
With $BTC up more than 1% today, that pattern is back in focus. pic.twitter.com/fEjuXcnJVq
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) October 4, 2026
The pattern strengthened on September 20, when Bitcoin slipped about 0.1% before advancing 6.7% the next day. BTC then finished September 27 almost unchanged before declining about 1.1% Monday.
Those four observations form a limited sample, yet each produced the same directional reversal. The latest Sunday advance therefore places Monday trading against that recent sequence.
Market structure also provides useful context. Kaiko research found weekend volume represented only 16% of total Bitcoin trading in its 2024 study. Trading activity has increasingly concentrated on weekdays as institutional participation and spot ETF activity expanded.
Source: Kaiko Research
As a result, thinner weekend liquidity can make Sunday price moves less representative of conditions when deeper weekday participation returns. Monday will therefore test whether the latest weekend strength survives that transition.
BTC, ETH, and SOL Flash Four-Hour TD Sequential Sell Signals
The calendar pattern is accompanied by four-hour TD Sequential sell signals across BTC, ETH, and SOL. Ali Charts identified Bitcoin’s signal near $85,312. The previous four comparable Bitcoin signals preceded declines of 1.74%, 4.37%, 3.11%, and 1.96%, according to the analyst’s chart.
Ethereum showed the same signal near $2,702. Its previous two comparable signals were followed by corrections of 5.40% and 3.31%. Likewise, Solana registered its signal near $121.60, with three earlier setups preceding drops of 2.44%, 5.76%, and 5.30%.
TD Sequential compares consecutive closes with prices four bars earlier to identify possible trend exhaustion. A sell signal marks stretched momentum, but it does not guarantee reversal.
Monday trading now provides the next observable test. BTC, ETH, and SOL all enter the weekday session after Sunday strength, with recent reversal history and technical signals aligned during the latest observed trading window.
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