Last bear market $BTC dropped 78%. This one? 54%. Way less aggressive.
Last cycle, once the bull started, biggest pullbacks before ATH were 20-22%. $BTC never pulled back more than 22% on the entire run up.
If we apply the same proportional logic — less severe bear = less severe bull pullbacks — we're looking at 10-15% retracements this cycle.
Math says buying dips with 4x leverage should be relatively safe on the move to 126K, as long as you're not blindly longing tops. Even if you did, you still wouldn't get liquidated on 4x.
If you're entering on actual pullbacks instead of chasing, you can size more aggressively where the setup allows.
Bottom line: this cycle's retracements are likely shallower than past cycles. Be ready for that. Adjust your risk, adjust your size, adjust your invalidation. The chart is telling you the game has changed — trade it accordingly.
Last cycle, once the bull started, biggest pullbacks before ATH were 20-22%. $BTC never pulled back more than 22% on the entire run up.
If we apply the same proportional logic — less severe bear = less severe bull pullbacks — we're looking at 10-15% retracements this cycle.
Math says buying dips with 4x leverage should be relatively safe on the move to 126K, as long as you're not blindly longing tops. Even if you did, you still wouldn't get liquidated on 4x.
If you're entering on actual pullbacks instead of chasing, you can size more aggressively where the setup allows.
Bottom line: this cycle's retracements are likely shallower than past cycles. Be ready for that. Adjust your risk, adjust your size, adjust your invalidation. The chart is telling you the game has changed — trade it accordingly.
