6-month average pairwise correlations are at multi-year lows across major equity markets

Correlation is the market structure tell.

Goldman says stock correlations are at multi-year lows across the major equity markets, using 6-month average pairwise correlation.

They say correlations have fallen sharply within Technology too.

That means index-level strength can hide a lot more single-stock dispersion.

If valuations are not likely to rise, Goldman says earnings become the critical driver of returns (duh).