🫵 FOMC SEPTEMBER RATE HIKE WATCH | THE NEXT BIG MARKET MOVE?
August Core CPI came in at +0.3% MoM, keeping inflation pressure alive. Markets are now pricing a very high probability of a 25 bps Fed hike this week.
❓ ONE-OFF HIKE OR START OF A NEW CYCLE?
That’s the real question. Some major institutions are now expecting another hike later in 2026, while the Fed’s guidance will be crucial.
📉 IF THE #FedRateWatch HIKES:
BTC: Short-term bearish pressure is possible as yields and the dollar rise. But if the hike is fully priced in and Powell sounds less hawkish, BTC could see a sharp relief rally.
📊 TECH STOCKS: Higher rates can pressure high-growth/AI valuations, especially if the Fed signals more tightening ahead.
🥇 GOLD: Normally higher rates are bearish for gold, but persistent inflation and geopolitical/policy uncertainty could keep demand strong. Recent price action has already challenged the traditional reaction.
🎯 MY GAME PLAN:
Don’t chase the first candle after FOMC. Watch Powell’s message + yields + DXY + liquidity reaction first. The real move may come after the initial volatility.
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