Watching BTC, ETH, and SOL into the weekend after that CPI spike.
BTC is sitting around $77.2k–$77.3k. It wicked down toward $76k after the hot print, flushed a chunk of leverage, then bounced. That’s the important part. Price is still holding the $77k area that a lot of people have been treating as the line in the sand this month. Weekly is still red-ish, so this is not a clean breakout tape. It’s a “hold the range or lose it” tape.
ETH is the one actually showing relative strength. It’s trading near $2,530, up a couple percent while BTC just chopped. Flows matter here ETH ETFs have been taking money while BTC products looked a bit softer. If BTC stays above $77k, ETH has room to keep leading.
SOL is hovering around $102. Not exploding, not dying. Just sitting on that $100–$103 shelf. It usually doesn’t stay this quiet if BTC decides a direction.
How I’m looking at it:
BTC
Bias: range first, break second.
Long idea: bounce holds above $76.8k–$77k. First target $79.2k–$80k, stretch $81.3k. Invalidation is a clean loss of $76k.
Short idea only if it loses $76k and can’t reclaim it. Then $74.5k–$73k comes into play. Don’t fade strength just because CPI was hot.
ETH
This is the cleaner long of the three if BTC doesn’t roll over.
Dip buy zone: $2,480–$2,500.
Breakout add: hold above $2,540–$2,550.
Targets: $2,600, then $2,650.
Stop: below $2,430.
SOL
Treat it as a follower, not the leader.
Long on a hold of $100–$101, target $106–$108, then $110.
If $100 breaks with BTC weakness, it can slide toward $96–$98 pretty fast.
Weekend liquidity is thin, so wicks are likely. I’d rather wait for a reclaim or a failed breakdown than force size right now. Fed week is next, hike odds are elevated, and that still hangs over the whole market.
Not financial advice. Size small, use stops, and don’t marry the setup.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
BTC is sitting around $77.2k–$77.3k. It wicked down toward $76k after the hot print, flushed a chunk of leverage, then bounced. That’s the important part. Price is still holding the $77k area that a lot of people have been treating as the line in the sand this month. Weekly is still red-ish, so this is not a clean breakout tape. It’s a “hold the range or lose it” tape.
ETH is the one actually showing relative strength. It’s trading near $2,530, up a couple percent while BTC just chopped. Flows matter here ETH ETFs have been taking money while BTC products looked a bit softer. If BTC stays above $77k, ETH has room to keep leading.
SOL is hovering around $102. Not exploding, not dying. Just sitting on that $100–$103 shelf. It usually doesn’t stay this quiet if BTC decides a direction.
How I’m looking at it:
BTC
Bias: range first, break second.
Long idea: bounce holds above $76.8k–$77k. First target $79.2k–$80k, stretch $81.3k. Invalidation is a clean loss of $76k.
Short idea only if it loses $76k and can’t reclaim it. Then $74.5k–$73k comes into play. Don’t fade strength just because CPI was hot.
ETH
This is the cleaner long of the three if BTC doesn’t roll over.
Dip buy zone: $2,480–$2,500.
Breakout add: hold above $2,540–$2,550.
Targets: $2,600, then $2,650.
Stop: below $2,430.
SOL
Treat it as a follower, not the leader.
Long on a hold of $100–$101, target $106–$108, then $110.
If $100 breaks with BTC weakness, it can slide toward $96–$98 pretty fast.
Weekend liquidity is thin, so wicks are likely. I’d rather wait for a reclaim or a failed breakdown than force size right now. Fed week is next, hike odds are elevated, and that still hangs over the whole market.
Not financial advice. Size small, use stops, and don’t marry the setup.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
