At first I assumed a fixed one-billion supply was the strongest signal in the $TMX design. Spent time with the actual unlock schedule and realized the more important number is the float.
Only about 200 million is expected to circulate at the start. Investor tokens alone release roughly 11.67 million per month after the cliff. Add team and advisor unlocks and the monthly linear flow can reach around 17.67 million. Scheduled dilution is normal. The real test is whether real demand and protocol revenue absorb the new supply faster than it arrives.
The 150 million team allocation equals 75 percent of the initial circulating supply. Team plus investors together total 430 million more than twice the day-one float. That changes how the phrase “fixed supply” lands. Scarcity on paper is one thing. What becomes sellable and when is another.
I am watching the free float and the speed at which it expands more than the headline billion. Supply discipline is not only what exists eventually. It is what becomes available when.