If you're still calling the $BTC bottom just because price bounced, stop now.

Crypto loves trapping impatient buyers, and nothing hurts more than FOMO-ing a “confirmed reversal” that turns into another liquidity grab. The hardest part isn’t buying fear, it’s knowing whether the fear phase is actually over.

The STH/LTH Realized Price Market Signal has historically been one of the cleaner tells for major cycle shifts. In past Bitcoin transitions, the structure flipped from Bear End to Bull Start before the market truly started behaving like a new cycle.

Right now, that same confirmation still hasn’t appeared. The transition may be forming, but it’s not screaming “cycle reset” yet. That matters because when $BTC is undecided, $ETH and $SOL usually don’t get a free pass either, they just cosplay strength until Bitcoin makes the decision for everyone.

So is this just a slow-motion bottom like previous cycles, or are traders getting baited into another premature victory lap?

#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarkets