#CMEGap 📉 Do CME gaps always close?
$BTC at $60k says: “No”
Recent market events have been a cold shower for those who believe in the “magic” of closing gaps on the CME. While Bitcoin stormed the lows near $60,000, a huge gap in the $84,000 area was left hanging lonely above.
What happened?
Because CME futures are on a weekend break and the spot market is open 24/7, a gap formed:
• Friday (January 30) close: ~$84,105
• Sunday open: ~$77,730
• Result: A gap of $6,375, which the market simply ignored, continuing its decline to $60,000.
Myth vs Reality
1. Myth: “
$BTC is bound to come back and close the gap.”
2. Reality: A gap is neither a magnet nor a prophecy. It is simply a technical illustration of the difference in charts due to the calendar gap.
Why do gaps often close (but not this time)?
• Arbitrage: When liquidity returns to the CME on Monday, institutional traders try to equalize the price between futures and spot.
• Psychology: Since everyone sees these levels, liquidity (orders) accumulates there, which can attract price during quiet markets.
But in liquidation mode, everything is different. When the market “shaves” its shoulders by $ 1 billion in a day, price does not care about the empty spaces on the chart last week. Now the focus has shifted to corporate treasuries that are “underwater” (unrealized loss), which puts much more pressure on the market than any technical gap.
⚠️ Conclusion:
View
#cme gaps as an interesting benchmark for sideways trading, not as a debt the market owes you. In trending weeks, gaps can stay open for months.