cardano

#Cardano (ADA) appears to be nearing a major breakout phase that could drive its price up by as much as 3,114% from current levels.
As the broader crypto market faces another correction this week, Cardano’s price also retraced, falling from its weekend high of $0.30 to around $0.28.
Despite this pullback, analysts argue that the 11th-largest cryptocurrency by market cap may be building momentum for a significant move, with historical precedent suggesting a sharp upside breakout.
Key Points
Cardano may be approaching a major breakout that could push the price toward $9.Analysts suggest ADA could reach the upper end of this target range later this year if momentum accelerates.ADA’s current price action closely mirrors its historical fractal, with ADA now consolidating near $0.28 after a deep retracement.Skeptics argue that price compression alone cannot sustain a major rally without broader capital rotation into altcoins.
ADA Mirroring 2021 Price Action
Crypto analytics platform Bitcoinsensus shared this outlook on X, citing long-term technical formation dating back to early 2020.
According to the platform, Cardano’s long-term chart reflects a familiar cyclical structure. In the previous cycle, ADA traded below $0.10 during an extended accumulation phase before staging an explosive breakout that pushed the price to $3.10 in September 2021.
After the rally, Cardano entered a multi-year correction that began in late 2021 and continues to date. In June 2023, the price fell to around $0.23, marking a 92.5% decline from its all-time high.
Despite the extended downturn, ADA recorded brief price spikes. For instance, in March 2025, it surged to $1.13 before entering another prolonged decline that has since pushed the token back into consolidation near $0.28. Therefore, Bitcoinsensus’s analysis suggests that ADA’s current price structure mirrors its previous cycle and could set the stage for another significant rally.
Is a Surge to $3-$9 Imminent?
Historically, prolonged consolidation phases often precede strong upside expansions, as selling pressure weakens and long-term accumulation strengthens.
Based on this, Bitcoinsensus projects that the next expansion phase could lift ADA to $3 and potentially above $9. This implies gains ranging from 971% to 3,114% from current levels. Interestingly, the accompanying chart suggests that ADA could reach the target peak later this year or in 2027.

However, skeptics argue that Bitcoinsensus’ projected $3–$9 targets would require Cardano’s market cap to expand to between $100 billion and $300 billion. Therefore, they stress that such explosive gains demand significant liquidity inflows, not merely price compression near range lows. In their view, market structure alone cannot fuel a sustained rally.
Potential Catalysts for the Rally
Meanwhile, the projected timeline coincides with rising expectations of a broader market upswing, driven by the anticipated enactment of the Clarity Act. Industry leaders such as Brad Garlinghouse expect the legislation to become law by the end of April, potentially boosting regulatory clarity and investor confidence.
In addition, ecosystem developments could reinforce bullish momentum. These include the upcoming mainnet launch of Midnight and the rollout of DeFi products linked to Bitcoin and XRP, both aimed at attracting users from those networks and deepening cross-chain activity.
Nonetheless, crypto markets remain highly volatile, and projections do not guarantee outcomes.
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