🔵 ETH MARKET UPDATE | February 19, 2026
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MARKET BIAS: BEARISH
ETH tracked BTC lower and decisively broke through every major level in a single session — Daily VWAP, EMA21, EMA50, EMA200, mid-trend structure, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. All 9 monitored timeframes are aligned bearish without exception.
On the Weekly chart, a confirmed Three Black Crows pattern reinforces downside continuation. The Weekly VWAP at $2,002 has flipped from support to overhead resistance.
A short-term relief bounce is currently developing — but focus on the data, not the candles.
On the 1H timeframe, efficiency stands at 1,032%, signaling price expansion with minimal genuine buying participation.
On the 15M chart, sigma reached -2.36, reflecting statistically significant selling pressure that has temporarily paused.
Weekly exhaustion reads 1%, indicating sellers on that timeframe are nearly depleted — increasing the probability of a relief rally before the next bearish leg.
The liquidation heatmap highlights the largest liquidity cluster at $1,995–$2,005 (multi-timeframe confluence, yellow zone). This area is the most probable bounce target — and the optimal short positioning zone.
Below current price, significant long liquidation clusters sit at:
• $1,920–$1,930
• $1,900–$1,910
These remain primary downside objectives.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS
🔻 SHORT (Primary Setup – Highest Probability)
Entry: $1,965.93–$1,982.89
(Previous Week Close + Daily VWAP + EMA21 Confluence)
Stop: $1,992
TP1: $1,923.99 — R:R 2.9:1
TP2: $1,905 — R:R 3.9:1
🔻 SHORT (Secondary Setup)
Entry: $1,987.09–$2,010.81
(Upper Trend Line + Fib 0.618 + EMA50 + Liquidity $1,995–$2,005)
Stop: $2,020
TP1: $1,923.99 — R:R 3.6:1
TP2: $1,905 — R:R 4.5:1
🔹 LONG Bounce (Counter-Trend | Higher Risk)
Entry: $1,951.42–$1,955.54
(Fib 0.5 + Mid-Trend Confluence)
Stop: $1,940
TP1: $1,974.41 — R:R 1.6:1
TP2: $1,998.95 — R:R 3.4:1
⚠️ Avoid initiating shorts at current price levels.
$BTC $ETH A support cluster
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