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K线人生飞哥
--
比特币目前被压在趋势线之下
$BTC 三张趋势线图表
图一
周线级别上升趋势跌破
BTC跌破上涨趋势线后，最近几周反复测试上冲，都没有再突破。按照我说的反弹一定来的逻辑，这些尝试也是一种反弹的迹象，但是效果显然没有达到预期。
如果未来还能突破94600在更高位置触碰上涨趋势线失败，那是个现货出场的好机会。
图二：
周线级别下降趋势线可能会出现第三个触点，进而确定下跌趋势线中的大概位置。
这个触点价格可能在90000附近。
也就是说，存在一定的可能，我近期一直说的98000这个点位是到不了的，最多只能到近期弱势反弹的高点94000。
这个概率上升的情况在日线级别的趋势线中更加明显。
图三：
日线级别下降趋势线，也许已经形成了三个触点。因为表二表三，不得不关注这个反弹非常弱势的概率的上升。
结论
反弹到98000的概率还能超过反弹到90000附近的概率吗？
我认为前者依然略高于后者。
主要原因是当下的BTC已经是一个投机市场，是合约占多数的市场，无论是散户还是做市商，或者交易所，都高度热衷于参与合约市场。
如果不涨到98000，大量的空单都会赚钱，市场的钱是有限的，被这些空单赚走，大资金是无法接受的。
他们能看到全部的市场信息，也有足够的资金去拉盘迫使这些空单止损。
这些空单止损，成为燃料后，还能够顺畅下跌。
所以我一直更倾向于相信还会到98000。
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC 三张趋势线图表
图一
周线级别上升趋势跌破
BTC跌破上涨趋势线后，最近几周反复测试上冲，都没有再突破。按照我说的反弹一定来的逻辑，这些尝试也是一种反弹的迹象，但是效果显然没有达到预期。
如果未来还能突破94600在更高位置触碰上涨趋势线失败，那是个现货出场的好机会。
图二：
周线级别下降趋势线可能会出现第三个触点，进而确定下跌趋势线中的大概位置。
这个触点价格可能在90000附近。
也就是说，存在一定的可能，我近期一直说的98000这个点位是到不了的，最多只能到近期弱势反弹的高点94000。
这个概率上升的情况在日线级别的趋势线中更加明显。
图三：
日线级别下降趋势线，也许已经形成了三个触点。因为表二表三，不得不关注这个反弹非常弱势的概率的上升。
结论
反弹到98000的概率还能超过反弹到90000附近的概率吗？
我认为前者依然略高于后者。
主要原因是当下的BTC已经是一个投机市场，是合约占多数的市场，无论是散户还是做市商，或者交易所，都高度热衷于参与合约市场。
如果不涨到98000，大量的空单都会赚钱，市场的钱是有限的，被这些空单赚走，大资金是无法接受的。
他们能看到全部的市场信息，也有足够的资金去拉盘迫使这些空单止损。
这些空单止损，成为燃料后，还能够顺畅下跌。
所以我一直更倾向于相信还会到98000。
{future}(BTCUSDT)
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qqq
Fratelli
C'è una buona notizia e una cattiva notizia
Buona notizia: il conto è appena aumentato di 10.000 U
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Cattiva notizia: mi sono appena ricaricato da solo
Ho perso Dogecoin da 1.000.000 a un minimo di soli 100.000
Ho perso così tanto che mi gira la testa
Senza reinvestire, sembra molto difficile recuperare
10.000 U di proiettili sono già in canna
Pronto a scommettere per un acquisto al ribasso...
$DOGE
C'è una buona notizia e una cattiva notizia
Buona notizia: il conto è appena aumentato di 10.000 U
.
.
.
Cattiva notizia: mi sono appena ricaricato da solo
Ho perso Dogecoin da 1.000.000 a un minimo di soli 100.000
Ho perso così tanto che mi gira la testa
Senza reinvestire, sembra molto difficile recuperare
10.000 U di proiettili sono già in canna
Pronto a scommettere per un acquisto al ribasso...
$DOGE
Traduci
10月将有约16个与加密货币（ETH、Sol、XRP、LTC、Doge等）
相关的 ETF 等待 SEC 的最终裁决。#BTC浪潮
SOL 的ETF是2025年10月10号
LTC 的ETF是2025年10月2号
XRP 的ETF是2025年10月17号
DOGE 的ETF是2025年10月17号
ADA 的ETF是2025年10月23号
DOT 的ETF是2025年11月8号
SUI 的ETF是2025年11月21号
你觉得哪一个通过的可能性最大？？？[币安王牌KOL专属聊天裙领浮力](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=FfB92R2sNW-3SLGTQeXbKQ&type=1）
相关的 ETF 等待 SEC 的最终裁决。#BTC浪潮
SOL 的ETF是2025年10月10号
LTC 的ETF是2025年10月2号
XRP 的ETF是2025年10月17号
DOGE 的ETF是2025年10月17号
ADA 的ETF是2025年10月23号
DOT 的ETF是2025年11月8号
SUI 的ETF是2025年11月21号
你觉得哪一个通过的可能性最大？？？[币安王牌KOL专属聊天裙领浮力](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=FfB92R2sNW-3SLGTQeXbKQ&type=1）
Traduci
10月将有约16个与加密货币（ETH、Sol、XRP、LTC、Doge等）
相关的 ETF 等待 SEC 的最终裁决。#BTC浪潮
SOL 的ETF是2025年10月10号
LTC 的ETF是2025年10月2号
XRP 的ETF是2025年10月17号
DOGE 的ETF是2025年10月17号
ADA 的ETF是2025年10月23号
DOT 的ETF是2025年11月8号
SUI 的ETF是2025年11月21号
你觉得哪一个通过的可能性最大？？？[币安王牌KOL专属聊天裙领浮力](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=FfB92R2sNW-3SLGTQeXbKQ&type=1）
相关的 ETF 等待 SEC 的最终裁决。#BTC浪潮
SOL 的ETF是2025年10月10号
LTC 的ETF是2025年10月2号
XRP 的ETF是2025年10月17号
DOGE 的ETF是2025年10月17号
ADA 的ETF是2025年10月23号
DOT 的ETF是2025年11月8号
SUI 的ETF是2025年11月21号
你觉得哪一个通过的可能性最大？？？[币安王牌KOL专属聊天裙领浮力](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=FfB92R2sNW-3SLGTQeXbKQ&type=1）
Traduci
For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com), which offers security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
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Traduci
10月将有约16个与加密货币（ETH、Sol、XRP、LTC、Doge等）
相关的 ETF 等待 SEC 的最终裁决。#BTC浪潮
SOL 的ETF是2025年10月10号
LTC 的ETF是2025年10月2号
XRP 的ETF是2025年10月17号
DOGE 的ETF是2025年10月17号
ADA 的ETF是2025年10月23号
DOT 的ETF是2025年11月8号
SUI 的ETF是2025年11月21号
你觉得哪一个通过的可能性最大？？？[币安王牌KOL专属聊天裙领浮力](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=FfB92R2sNW-3SLGTQeXbKQ&type=1 )
相关的 ETF 等待 SEC 的最终裁决。#BTC浪潮
SOL 的ETF是2025年10月10号
LTC 的ETF是2025年10月2号
XRP 的ETF是2025年10月17号
DOGE 的ETF是2025年10月17号
ADA 的ETF是2025年10月23号
DOT 的ETF是2025年11月8号
SUI 的ETF是2025年11月21号
你觉得哪一个通过的可能性最大？？？[币安王牌KOL专属聊天裙领浮力](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=FfB92R2sNW-3SLGTQeXbKQ&type=1 )
Traduci
Q
Traduci
10月将有约16个与加密货币（ETH、Sol、XRP、LTC、Doge等）
相关的 ETF 等待 SEC 的最终裁决。#BTC浪潮
SOL 的ETF是2025年10月10号
LTC 的ETF是2025年10月2号
XRP 的ETF是2025年10月17号
DOGE 的ETF是2025年10月17号
ADA 的ETF是2025年10月23号
DOT 的ETF是2025年11月8号
SUI 的ETF是2025年11月21号
你觉得哪一个通过的可能性最大？？？[币安王牌KOL专属聊天裙领浮力](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=FfB92R2sNW-3SLGTQeXbKQ&type=1 )
相关的 ETF 等待 SEC 的最终裁决。#BTC浪潮
SOL 的ETF是2025年10月10号
LTC 的ETF是2025年10月2号
XRP 的ETF是2025年10月17号
DOGE 的ETF是2025年10月17号
ADA 的ETF是2025年10月23号
DOT 的ETF是2025年11月8号
SUI 的ETF是2025年11月21号
你觉得哪一个通过的可能性最大？？？[币安王牌KOL专属聊天裙领浮力](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/service-group-landing?channelToken=FfB92R2sNW-3SLGTQeXbKQ&type=1 )
Traduci
3
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com), which
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binancewhich offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.https://www.binance.com
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com), which
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binancewhich offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.https://www.binance.com
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Traduci
1
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches. https://www.binance.com https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com https://www.binance.com https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
2
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches. https://www.binance.com https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com https://www.binance.com https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
2
Traduci
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](https://www.binance.com https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
To stay connected with the Binance community and receive real-time announcements, consider following key executives on Twitter:
- Richard Teng, CEO: [@richardteng](https://twitter.com/richardteng)
- Roger, Chief Operating Officer: [@roger_binance](https://twitter.com/roger_binance)
- Jimmy Su, Chief Security Officer: [@jimmy_su_binance](https://twitter.com/jimmy_su_binance)
Additionally, Binance’s founders, Changpeng Zhao (CZ) and Yi He, have been influential figures in the crypto space. Although CZ has stepped down as CEO, his insights remain valuable and can be found on his Twitter account [@cz_binance](https://twitter.com/cz_binance), while Yi He shares updates at [@heyibinance](https://twitter.com/heyibinance).
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To stay connected with the Binance community and receive real-time announcements, consider following key executives on Twitter:
- Richard Teng, CEO: [@richardteng](https://twitter.com/richardteng)
- Roger, Chief Operating Officer: [@roger_binance](https://twitter.com/roger_binance)
- Jimmy Su, Chief Security Officer: [@jimmy_su_binance](https://twitter.com/jimmy_su_binance)
Additionally, Binance’s founders, Changpeng Zhao (CZ) and Yi He, have been influential figures in the crypto space. Although CZ has stepped down as CEO, his insights remain valuable and can be found on his Twitter account [@cz_binance](https://twitter.com/cz_binance), while Yi He shares updates at [@heyibinance](https://twitter.com/heyibinance).
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Traduci
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](111 https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
Traduci
Binance, one of the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchanges, continues to innovate and expand its services under the leadership of CEO Richard Teng. For the latest news and updates, you can visit the [official Binance website](官方网址 https://www.binance.com), which offers comprehensive information about trading, security, and new product launches.
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