L'oro crolla del 7% cancellando $3 trilioni di valore di mercato
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$XAU Il prezzo dell'oro spot ha raggiunto $5,625 prima di scendere a circa $5,135 e stabilirsi vicino a $5,318 nel tardo pomeriggio UTC di giovedì. L'improvviso balzo è seguito a un aumento annuale del 90% guidato da tensioni geopolitiche, un dollaro più debole e acquisti da parte delle banche centrali, spingendo i trader a realizzare profitti. L'argento è sceso di oltre il 10%, mentre i futures azionari come i contratti S&P 500 sono diminuiti dell'1,2% e il Nasdaq del 2,5%, in mezzo a un calo degli utili di Microsoft. Anche dopo il calo, l'oro rimane nettamente più alto rispetto all'inizio dell'anno mentre gli investitori guardano ai rimbalzi in mezzo alla volatilità.
$XAU The reason gold is ripping and btc isn’t is because the debasement trade is more vibes and the real marginal mover here is china capital flight and Chinese aren’t interested in Bitcoin aka the American trump coin
$XAU Gold Hits Record Highs Near $38 Trillion as Bitcoin Slips Below $90,000
Spot gold surged above $5,500 per ounce on January 29, up over 4% in a day, fueled by a weaker U.S. dollar, inflation worries, and central bank buying. Bitcoin traded around $88,000, down 1% with a $1.78 trillion market cap, despite tailwinds like Fed rate cuts and a pro-crypto president. The BTC-to-gold ratio hit near multi-year lows at 16 ounces, sparking debate: some see a buying opportunity for Bitcoin as digital gold, while others question if capital will flow from gold profits.#GoldOnTheRise #FedHoldsRates #ZAMAPreTGESale
Gold Hits Record Highs Near $38 Trillion as Bitcoin Slips Below $90,000. 🔥
$XAU Spot gold surged above $5,500 per ounce on January 29, up over 4% in a day, fueled by a weaker U.S. dollar, inflation worries, and central bank buying. Bitcoin traded around $88,000, down 1% with a $1.78 trillion market cap, despite tailwinds like Fed rate cuts and a pro-crypto president. The BTC-to-gold ratio hit near multi-year lows at 16 ounces, sparking debate: some see a buying opportunity for Bitcoin as digital gold, while others question if capital will flow from gold profits.#GoldOnTheRise
$BTC Si sono appena resi conto che qualche startup di criptovalute autistica in un WeWork con 20 milioni di dollari in T-Bills e un front-end React sta per distruggere l'intero base di depositi statunitensi da 17 trilioni di dollari…
…offrendo un rendimento del 4,9% su una stablecoin mentre JPMorgan ti offre lo 0,01% e una carta di debito che scade tra due anni.
“MA QUESTO NON È GIUSTO” – ogni lobbista bancario di sempre
Ora il sistema bancario, questo Godzilla fatto di soia, nastro adesivo e 11.000 filiali fisiche, sta piagnucolando al Congresso come:
“Questo non è giusto! Se le persone possono guadagnare rendimento in dollari al di fuori della banca… potrebbero lasciare la banca!”
$BTC JUST IN: Coinbase CEO Brain Armstrong announces Coinbase is joining President Trump's investment initiative for children and wants to pay it in Bitcoin 🇺🇸
Il prezzo dell'argento raggiunge un massimo storico di $120 per oncia
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$XAG Il prezzo dell'argento ha raggiunto $120,07 nei futures Comex giovedì, in aumento di oltre il 3% quel giorno, mentre i prezzi in India hanno superato Rs 410.000 per chilogrammo per la prima volta. L'impennata è legata alla crescente domanda industriale nei pannelli solari, nei veicoli elettrici e nei centri dati Al, a fronte di carenze di offerta, oltre all'acquisto di beni rifugio alimentato da timori di inflazione e geopolitica. L'oro si avvicina a $5.600 all'oncia e il rame supera $6,30 per libbra nel più ampio boom delle materie prime, sebbene alcuni analisti avvertano di potenziali ritiri a causa della liquidità limitata.
Shutdown Odds Drop to 43% as Trump-Schumer Talks Advance
$BTC Prediction markets on Polymarket saw shutdown odds fall sharply from 80% earlier this week to 43%, fueled by plans to pass most spending bills while extending key Department of Homeland Security operations like TSA and FEMA. The compromise addresses Democratic demands for immigration reforms, including body cameras and ending warrantless searches, sparked by the fatal shooting of U.S. citizen Alex Pretti, a 37-year-old VA nurse, during a Minneapolis raid. Senate leaders expressed optimism ahead of a Thursday test vote, though GOP resistance lingers and trading volume has topped $18 million. #ZAMAPreTGESale #FedHoldsRates #GoldOnTheRise
The probability of what is happening is near zero.
Three 6-sigma events occurred in one week.
– Bonds – Silver – Gold
We are currently living through a statistical impossibility.
Let me explain:
Last Tuesday, Japanese 30-year debt recorded what’s called a “6-sigma” session.
2 days ago, silver did even better: it was at 5-sigma on the rally, then reached 6-sigma on the drop. IN A SINGLE SESSION.
Gold right now? It’s up 23% in less than a month. We’re getting very close to a 6-sigma event.
That’s three 6-sigma events in ONE WEEK.
To explain quickly: in finance, we measure price moves around an average using the standard deviation, which we call sigma.
1-sigma: mundane 2-sigma: common 3-sigma: becomes rare 4-sigma: exceptional 5-sigma: extremely rare 6-sigma: supposed to occur once in 500 million
Here are the 6-sigma-type episodes we saw previously:
– The october 1987 crash, 22% drop in 1 session – March 2020 covid crash – The swiss franc’s surge in january 2015 – WTI oil turning negative in april 2020
But we’ve never had 3 events occur in one week.
Do you see the point?
A 6-sigma event is almost NEVER triggered by a simple macro headline.
It almost always comes from the market’s structure: leverage, positions that are too concentrated, margin calls, collateral problems, and forced selling or buying.
That’s important to understand because we’re talking about internal strains in the system’s mechanics.
As you know, the Japanese bond market sits at the heart of the global financial system, and I won’t go back over the whole topic, but a 6-sigma move in a market that enormous doesn’t go unnoticed.
Seeing a 6-sigma move in silver a few days later gives one a lot to think about.
And now gold?? That’s absolutely insane.
Why are we seeing extreme statistical events, only days apart, in such different markets?