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Bitcoin Bearish | Gold Turning Strongly Bullish
🔻 Bitcoin: Weak Momentum, Bearish Short-Term
Bitcoin is showing very weak upside momentum at the moment.
Price rebounds are not supported by volume,Every push up gets sold into quickly,Market structure remains range-bound to slightly bearish.
➡️ This suggests that buyers are exhausted, and BTC currently lacks a strong catalyst to reclaim bullish control. Unless fresh demand enters the market, Bitcoin is likely to continue chopping or face further downside pressure in the short term.
🟡 Gold: Bullish Structure, Grinding Back Toward Previous Highs
In contrast, Gold is clearly regaining bullish strength.
Price is holding firmly at elevated levels,Pullbacks are shallow and aggressively bought,The uptrend structure remains intact.
➡️ Gold is slowly but steadily rotating back toward its previous highs, reflecting risk-off capital flows and growing demand for safe-haven assets amid macro uncertainty.
⚖️ What the Market Is Telling Us
Crypto: risk-on appetite fading, momentum weakGold: strong bid, capital rotation into safety
💡 Bottom Line:
In the short term, Gold is outperforming with a clear bullish bias, while Bitcoin remains technically and sentiment-wise bearish, waiting for a real catalyst to flip the trend.
📌 Personal market view — not financial advice.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Gold #CryptoMarket #MarketStructure #BearishBTC #BullishGold
Bitcoin is showing very weak upside momentum at the moment.
Price rebounds are not supported by volume,Every push up gets sold into quickly,Market structure remains range-bound to slightly bearish.
➡️ This suggests that buyers are exhausted, and BTC currently lacks a strong catalyst to reclaim bullish control. Unless fresh demand enters the market, Bitcoin is likely to continue chopping or face further downside pressure in the short term.
🟡 Gold: Bullish Structure, Grinding Back Toward Previous Highs
In contrast, Gold is clearly regaining bullish strength.
Price is holding firmly at elevated levels,Pullbacks are shallow and aggressively bought,The uptrend structure remains intact.
➡️ Gold is slowly but steadily rotating back toward its previous highs, reflecting risk-off capital flows and growing demand for safe-haven assets amid macro uncertainty.
⚖️ What the Market Is Telling Us
Crypto: risk-on appetite fading, momentum weakGold: strong bid, capital rotation into safety
💡 Bottom Line:
In the short term, Gold is outperforming with a clear bullish bias, while Bitcoin remains technically and sentiment-wise bearish, waiting for a real catalyst to flip the trend.
📌 Personal market view — not financial advice.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Gold #CryptoMarket #MarketStructure #BearishBTC #BullishGold
$pippin l'esaurimento alla resistenza locale suggerisce un movimento di inversione ribassista ad alta probabilità.
Segnale di trading: $PIPPIN : VENDERE
• Ingresso: $0.27868 - $0.28500
• Stop Loss: $0.30500
• Obiettivi di Profitto:
• TP1: $0.25308
• TP2: $0.22752
• TP3: $0.20197
Un volume in calo e una divergenza RSI indicano che il movimento parabolico è eccessivo, rendendo altamente probabile un ritracciamento verso i livelli di supporto chiave mentre gli acquirenti FOMO iniziano a vendere in preda al panico.
Clicca qui sotto per fare trading 👇👇👇
Segnale di trading: $PIPPIN : VENDERE
• Ingresso: $0.27868 - $0.28500
• Stop Loss: $0.30500
• Obiettivi di Profitto:
• TP1: $0.25308
• TP2: $0.22752
• TP3: $0.20197
Un volume in calo e una divergenza RSI indicano che il movimento parabolico è eccessivo, rendendo altamente probabile un ritracciamento verso i livelli di supporto chiave mentre gli acquirenti FOMO iniziano a vendere in preda al panico.
Clicca qui sotto per fare trading 👇👇👇
Market Plan for the Week Ahead
Over the weekend, we saw a solid bounce across the market. This post outlines my specific plan for the upcoming week.
Quick Recap & Strategy:
To keep things clear, I’ve color-coded the potential moves on the chart:
The Green Arrow (Long Scenario): I’ll be looking for long entries starting from the grey demand zone. The targets are marked clearly on the upper resistance levels.
The Red Arrows (Short Scenario): These represent my two limit order zones for potential shorts if the bounce hits resistance.
The Big Picture:
Overall, I am still expecting a lower low into the $53k - $55k area.
And yes, that is where I’ll be buying. I firmly believe that the best opportunities arise in moments like this—when the crowd is completely disappointed, washed out, and losing hope. That’s usually when the smart money steps in.
"Success is the only bridge. I'm working hard so that one day, I'll be the one shaking hands with Yi He."
Have a great trading week, everyone!
Over the weekend, we saw a solid bounce across the market. This post outlines my specific plan for the upcoming week.
Quick Recap & Strategy:
To keep things clear, I’ve color-coded the potential moves on the chart:
The Green Arrow (Long Scenario): I’ll be looking for long entries starting from the grey demand zone. The targets are marked clearly on the upper resistance levels.
The Red Arrows (Short Scenario): These represent my two limit order zones for potential shorts if the bounce hits resistance.
The Big Picture:
Overall, I am still expecting a lower low into the $53k - $55k area.
And yes, that is where I’ll be buying. I firmly believe that the best opportunities arise in moments like this—when the crowd is completely disappointed, washed out, and losing hope. That’s usually when the smart money steps in.
"Success is the only bridge. I'm working hard so that one day, I'll be the one shaking hands with Yi He."
Have a great trading week, everyone!
Yi He – The Steel Rose of Crypto
Behind every great empire, there is a figure who operates in the shadows, turning gears that the world rarely sees. In the world of Bitcoin and Blockchain, everyone knows the name CZ. But today, we’re talking about the woman who recruited him. The woman who built the community that made Binance a household name. Today, we dive into the incredible life of Yi He.
In the fast-paced, high-stakes world of cryptocurrency, names like Bitcoin and CZ dominate the headlines. But behind the world’s largest exchange, Binance, stands a woman whose influence is so profound she is often called the "First Lady" of the crypto world. Her name is Yi He. Her journey from a rural village in China to the pinnacle of global finance is a story of relentless ambition and the power of reinvention.
Yi He was born in 1986 in a small province in Sichuan. Her parents were teachers, and her early life was defined by the modest, disciplined environment of a rural educator's household. She didn't start her career with a degree in finance or computer science. In fact, her first job was as a teacher, following in her parents' footsteps. But the quiet life of a classroom couldn't hold her. She moved on to become a psychological counselor and later, a host on a national travel television station.
By her mid-twenties, Yi He was a famous face in China. She was charismatic, articulate, and comfortable in the spotlight. However, she felt she was merely a spectator of the world’s changes rather than a participant. In 2014, everything changed. She discovered Bitcoin. While the rest of the world saw a volatile digital experiment, Yi He saw a bridge to a new financial era.
She pivoted instantly. She joined OKCoin as a co-founder, where she was responsible for branding and marketing. It was here that she made a decision that would change the course of history: she recruited a brilliant developer named Changpeng Zhao, known as CZ, to be the company’s Chief Technology Officer. Though they eventually went their separate ways, the professional bond was formed.
Yi He left the crypto space briefly to join a mobile video tech company, where she proved her marketing genius by helping the firm reach a billion-dollar valuation. But in 2017, crypto called her back. CZ was launching a new exchange called Binance. He reached out to her, and despite the risks, she chose to join him as a co-founder.
Yi He was the secret weapon. While CZ handled the technical architecture, Yi He built the community. She understood people better than anyone else in the industry. She pioneered the "Binance Angels" program, creating a global army of loyal volunteers. She was known for being in chat rooms at three in the morning, personally answering user questions. She turned a sterile trading platform into a global movement.
Today, as the head of Binance Labs and the leader of the company’s marketing and strategy, Yi He is arguably the most powerful woman in blockchain. She has navigated regulatory storms, market crashes, and intense public scrutiny with a philosophy she often repeats: "If you think of yourself as a warrior, you will fight. If you think of yourself as a victim, you will fail."
Yi He’s life is a testament to the fact that your background does not define your destination. She transformed herself from a village girl into a television star, and finally into the "Steel Rose" of the digital frontier. She didn't just join the future; she helped build it.
In the fast-paced, high-stakes world of cryptocurrency, names like Bitcoin and CZ dominate the headlines. But behind the world’s largest exchange, Binance, stands a woman whose influence is so profound she is often called the "First Lady" of the crypto world. Her name is Yi He. Her journey from a rural village in China to the pinnacle of global finance is a story of relentless ambition and the power of reinvention.
Yi He was born in 1986 in a small province in Sichuan. Her parents were teachers, and her early life was defined by the modest, disciplined environment of a rural educator's household. She didn't start her career with a degree in finance or computer science. In fact, her first job was as a teacher, following in her parents' footsteps. But the quiet life of a classroom couldn't hold her. She moved on to become a psychological counselor and later, a host on a national travel television station.
By her mid-twenties, Yi He was a famous face in China. She was charismatic, articulate, and comfortable in the spotlight. However, she felt she was merely a spectator of the world’s changes rather than a participant. In 2014, everything changed. She discovered Bitcoin. While the rest of the world saw a volatile digital experiment, Yi He saw a bridge to a new financial era.
She pivoted instantly. She joined OKCoin as a co-founder, where she was responsible for branding and marketing. It was here that she made a decision that would change the course of history: she recruited a brilliant developer named Changpeng Zhao, known as CZ, to be the company’s Chief Technology Officer. Though they eventually went their separate ways, the professional bond was formed.
Yi He left the crypto space briefly to join a mobile video tech company, where she proved her marketing genius by helping the firm reach a billion-dollar valuation. But in 2017, crypto called her back. CZ was launching a new exchange called Binance. He reached out to her, and despite the risks, she chose to join him as a co-founder.
Yi He was the secret weapon. While CZ handled the technical architecture, Yi He built the community. She understood people better than anyone else in the industry. She pioneered the "Binance Angels" program, creating a global army of loyal volunteers. She was known for being in chat rooms at three in the morning, personally answering user questions. She turned a sterile trading platform into a global movement.
Today, as the head of Binance Labs and the leader of the company’s marketing and strategy, Yi He is arguably the most powerful woman in blockchain. She has navigated regulatory storms, market crashes, and intense public scrutiny with a philosophy she often repeats: "If you think of yourself as a warrior, you will fight. If you think of yourself as a victim, you will fail."
Yi He’s life is a testament to the fact that your background does not define your destination. She transformed herself from a village girl into a television star, and finally into the "Steel Rose" of the digital frontier. She didn't just join the future; she helped build it.
Podcast: L'Architetto di Binance
Dietro ogni grande impero, c'è una figura che opera nell'ombra, muovendo ingranaggi che il mondo vede raramente. Nel mondo di Bitcoin e Blockchain, tutti conoscono il nome CZ. Ma oggi, parliamo della donna che lo ha reclutato. La donna che ha costruito la comunità che ha reso Binance un nome familiare. Oggi, ci immergiamo nella vita incredibile di Yi He.$BTC
Dietro ogni grande impero, c'è una figura che opera nell'ombra, muovendo ingranaggi che il mondo vede raramente. Nel mondo di Bitcoin e Blockchain, tutti conoscono il nome CZ. Ma oggi, parliamo della donna che lo ha reclutato. La donna che ha costruito la comunità che ha reso Binance un nome familiare. Oggi, ci immergiamo nella vita incredibile di Yi He.$BTC
[PODCAST] THE RISE OF A CRYPTO KINGPIN: HOW CZ FORGED THE BINANCE EMPIRE
Every revolution has its unlikely heroes. In the dizzying, wild-west saga of cryptocurrency, that hero, or perhaps, that architect, is Changpeng Zhao – better known simply as CZ. His story isn't one of inherited wealth or Silicon Valley pedigree; it's a testament to raw ambition, a keen eye for opportunity, and an unwavering belief in a decentralized future.
Every revolution has its unlikely heroes. In the dizzying, wild-west saga of cryptocurrency, that hero, or perhaps, that architect, is Changpeng Zhao – better known simply as CZ. His story isn't one of inherited wealth or Silicon Valley pedigree; it's a testament to raw ambition, a keen eye for opportunity, and an unwavering belief in a decentralized future.
La Rotazione della Ricchezza: Comprendere l'Interazione tra Oro, Argento e Bitcoin
Nel mondo della macro-finanza, il capitale non è mai veramente "speso"—è semplicemente ruotato. Per capire da dove verrà il prossimo grande movimento in Bitcoin, dobbiamo esaminare lo stato attuale degli "Asset Reali," specificamente Oro e Argento.
Nel mondo della macro-finanza, il capitale non è mai veramente "speso"—è semplicemente ruotato. Per capire da dove verrà il prossimo grande movimento in Bitcoin, dobbiamo esaminare lo stato attuale degli "Asset Reali," specificamente Oro e Argento.
La correlazione Bitcoin-Oro: analizzando il percorso verso un nuovo superciclo. Il Bitcoin rispecchia i modelli frattali storici dell'Oro, entrando in una fase cruciale di riaccumulazione prima di un'esplosiva rottura del superciclo verso $670.000 e oltre.
Bitcoin is testing investor nerves as it nears a final Wave 5 flush. With geopolitical tensions rising and the Fed’s "higher-for-longer" stance, a dip into the $52K–$54K demand zone is likely. This capitulation could be the ultimate "bear trap" before a massive V-shaped recovery to $76K. Stay patient! 📉🚀
PROSPETTIVE BITCOIN 2026: NAVIGARE NELLA CORREZIONE DELLE ONDE DI ELLIOTT E NEI CAMBIAMENTI MACRO GLOBALI
Il mercato di Bitcoin (BTC) a febbraio 2026 sta affrontando una significativa correzione strutturale. Dopo un periodo di distribuzione, l'azione dei prezzi è attualmente definita da un canale discendente e un declino multi-onda che ha scosso sia la fiducia al dettaglio che quella istituzionale.
1. Analisi Tecnica: L'Ultima Fase della Correzione
Il grafico giornaliero per Bitcoin (BTCUSDT.P) illustra una classica sequenza correttiva delle Onde di Elliott all'interno di un ampio canale discendente.
Struttura dell'Onda: Il mercato sembra stia completando un declino impulsivo a cinque onde (etichettato da i a v). Dopo essere stato recentemente respinto dal confine superiore del canale durante l'onda iv, il prezzo è ora nella fase finale dell'Onda v.
1. Analisi Tecnica: L'Ultima Fase della Correzione
Il grafico giornaliero per Bitcoin (BTCUSDT.P) illustra una classica sequenza correttiva delle Onde di Elliott all'interno di un ampio canale discendente.
Struttura dell'Onda: Il mercato sembra stia completando un declino impulsivo a cinque onde (etichettato da i a v). Dopo essere stato recentemente respinto dal confine superiore del canale durante l'onda iv, il prezzo è ora nella fase finale dell'Onda v.
@Binance BiBi Kiểm tra tính xác thực của nội dung này
AndyViz
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Bitcoin Market Outlook: Navigating the "V-Wave" Correction
The current Bitcoin market is at a critical crossroads. After a volatile start to 2026, the technical structure and fundamental backdrop suggest a final "flush out" before a potential long-term recovery.
1. Technical Analysis: The Elliott Wave Perspective
The chart provided clearly depicts a corrective phase within a descending channel.
Wave Structure: We are currently in the final stages of a 5-wave impulsive decline (labeled i through v). The price has recently completed wave 4 (a relief rally) and is now pushing toward the final Wave 5 target.Support Zones: The primary target for the bottom of Wave 5 lies within the grey demand zone, approximately between $52,000 and $54,000. This area aligns with long-term historical support and the lower boundary of the falling wedge/channel.The Rebound: If Wave 5 concludes in this zone, a "V-shaped" recovery is projected (as indicated by the arrow), potentially retesting the $72,000–$76,000 resistance levels by late Q1 2026.
2. US Economic Outlook: "Stagflation Lite"
The US economy in early 2026 is presenting a "mixed bag" for risk assets like Bitcoin.
Sticky Inflation: Core PCE remains stubborn near 2.7%–3.0%, preventing the Federal Reserve from aggressive rate cuts. This "higher-for-longer" sentiment has drained liquidity from the crypto markets.Fed Policy: While the Fed has lowered the target range slightly over the past year, the "neutral rate" transition is causing uncertainty. Investors are currently treating BTC more like a high-beta tech asset than a "digital gold" hedge.Labor Market: We are seeing a "softening" but not a collapse. This prevents a full-blown recession narrative but keeps the "risk-off" sentiment dominant in the short term.
3. Global Politics and Geopolitical Tensions
Geopolitics are currently the "wild card" driving the Wave 5 sell-off.
De-dollarization & Sanctions: The ongoing use of stablecoins and BTC to bypass international sanctions (notably in the Russia-Ukraine and Middle East contexts) has led to increased regulatory scrutiny.Trade Wars: Continued tariff threats and trade frictions in early 2026 have bolstered the US Dollar Index (DXY). Historically, a strong DXY creates a headwind for Bitcoin prices.The "Safe Haven" Debate: While gold has reached new highs due to global instability, Bitcoin has struggled to decouple from the Nasdaq. Until BTC proves its resilience against geopolitical shocks, it remains vulnerable to "panic selling" during major news events.
Conclusion: Expect further downside to complete the Wave 5 cycle. The $52,000–$55,000 range represents a high-probability "accumulation zone" for long-term investors. A decisive break above the upper trendline (currently near $80,000) would be required to confirm a full trend reversal.
Momentum Analysis: RSI & MACD Deep Dive
The chart you provided suggests we are in a "Wave 5" decline. To confirm if this is the absolute bottom, we look for Bullish Divergence. This occurs when the price continues to drop (making lower lows), but the indicators begin to climb (making higher lows).
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The "Oversold" Trap
Currently, the RSI on the daily timeframe is hovering around 32, which is near the "oversold" threshold (30).
Current State: While the price has fallen sharply from $71,500 to the mid-$60k range this week, the RSI has not yet formed a clear higher low.The Signal to Watch: For a confirmed reversal, we need to see the price hit your "Wave 5" target ($52k–$54k) while the RSI stays above its previous low. If the RSI drops to 25 while the price hits $52k, the downtrend is still strong. If the RSI stays at 35 while the price hits $52k, that is a strong buy signal.
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The MACD is a "lagging" indicator, but it is excellent for confirming trend exhaustion.
Histogram Momentum: The red bars on the MACD histogram are currently expanding, indicating that the downward "engine" is still running at full speed.The Bullish Cross: We are looking for the "MACD Line" (blue) to cross back above the "Signal Line" (orange) while both are deep in negative territory.Institutional Gap: There is a notable CME Gap near $61,800. Market makers often push the price to fill these gaps before allowing a trend reversal. The MACD often "flattens out" during these gap-fill periods.
Macro Integration: Why Momentum is Stalled
The reason we aren't seeing an immediate "V-recovery" in the indicators is due to the liquidity vacuum in the US economy:
The DXY Factor: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently testing resistance. Until the DXY breaks down, Bitcoin's RSI will likely stay suppressed.ETF Outflows: We saw nearly $1.5 billion in outflows from spot BTC ETFs in the first week of February. This "selling pressure" from institutions creates a heavy "ceiling" that indicators must overcome.
1. Technical Analysis: The Elliott Wave Perspective
The chart provided clearly depicts a corrective phase within a descending channel.
Wave Structure: We are currently in the final stages of a 5-wave impulsive decline (labeled i through v). The price has recently completed wave 4 (a relief rally) and is now pushing toward the final Wave 5 target.Support Zones: The primary target for the bottom of Wave 5 lies within the grey demand zone, approximately between $52,000 and $54,000. This area aligns with long-term historical support and the lower boundary of the falling wedge/channel.The Rebound: If Wave 5 concludes in this zone, a "V-shaped" recovery is projected (as indicated by the arrow), potentially retesting the $72,000–$76,000 resistance levels by late Q1 2026.
2. US Economic Outlook: "Stagflation Lite"
The US economy in early 2026 is presenting a "mixed bag" for risk assets like Bitcoin.
Sticky Inflation: Core PCE remains stubborn near 2.7%–3.0%, preventing the Federal Reserve from aggressive rate cuts. This "higher-for-longer" sentiment has drained liquidity from the crypto markets.Fed Policy: While the Fed has lowered the target range slightly over the past year, the "neutral rate" transition is causing uncertainty. Investors are currently treating BTC more like a high-beta tech asset than a "digital gold" hedge.Labor Market: We are seeing a "softening" but not a collapse. This prevents a full-blown recession narrative but keeps the "risk-off" sentiment dominant in the short term.
3. Global Politics and Geopolitical Tensions
Geopolitics are currently the "wild card" driving the Wave 5 sell-off.
De-dollarization & Sanctions: The ongoing use of stablecoins and BTC to bypass international sanctions (notably in the Russia-Ukraine and Middle East contexts) has led to increased regulatory scrutiny.Trade Wars: Continued tariff threats and trade frictions in early 2026 have bolstered the US Dollar Index (DXY). Historically, a strong DXY creates a headwind for Bitcoin prices.The "Safe Haven" Debate: While gold has reached new highs due to global instability, Bitcoin has struggled to decouple from the Nasdaq. Until BTC proves its resilience against geopolitical shocks, it remains vulnerable to "panic selling" during major news events.
Conclusion: Expect further downside to complete the Wave 5 cycle. The $52,000–$55,000 range represents a high-probability "accumulation zone" for long-term investors. A decisive break above the upper trendline (currently near $80,000) would be required to confirm a full trend reversal.
Momentum Analysis: RSI & MACD Deep Dive
The chart you provided suggests we are in a "Wave 5" decline. To confirm if this is the absolute bottom, we look for Bullish Divergence. This occurs when the price continues to drop (making lower lows), but the indicators begin to climb (making higher lows).
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The "Oversold" Trap
Currently, the RSI on the daily timeframe is hovering around 32, which is near the "oversold" threshold (30).
Current State: While the price has fallen sharply from $71,500 to the mid-$60k range this week, the RSI has not yet formed a clear higher low.The Signal to Watch: For a confirmed reversal, we need to see the price hit your "Wave 5" target ($52k–$54k) while the RSI stays above its previous low. If the RSI drops to 25 while the price hits $52k, the downtrend is still strong. If the RSI stays at 35 while the price hits $52k, that is a strong buy signal.
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The MACD is a "lagging" indicator, but it is excellent for confirming trend exhaustion.
Histogram Momentum: The red bars on the MACD histogram are currently expanding, indicating that the downward "engine" is still running at full speed.The Bullish Cross: We are looking for the "MACD Line" (blue) to cross back above the "Signal Line" (orange) while both are deep in negative territory.Institutional Gap: There is a notable CME Gap near $61,800. Market makers often push the price to fill these gaps before allowing a trend reversal. The MACD often "flattens out" during these gap-fill periods.
Macro Integration: Why Momentum is Stalled
The reason we aren't seeing an immediate "V-recovery" in the indicators is due to the liquidity vacuum in the US economy:
The DXY Factor: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently testing resistance. Until the DXY breaks down, Bitcoin's RSI will likely stay suppressed.ETF Outflows: We saw nearly $1.5 billion in outflows from spot BTC ETFs in the first week of February. This "selling pressure" from institutions creates a heavy "ceiling" that indicators must overcome.
Bitcoin Market Outlook: Navigating the "V-Wave" Correction
The current Bitcoin market is at a critical crossroads. After a volatile start to 2026, the technical structure and fundamental backdrop suggest a final "flush out" before a potential long-term recovery.
1. Technical Analysis: The Elliott Wave Perspective
The chart provided clearly depicts a corrective phase within a descending channel.
Wave Structure: We are currently in the final stages of a 5-wave impulsive decline (labeled i through v). The price has recently completed wave 4 (a relief rally) and is now pushing toward the final Wave 5 target.Support Zones: The primary target for the bottom of Wave 5 lies within the grey demand zone, approximately between $52,000 and $54,000. This area aligns with long-term historical support and the lower boundary of the falling wedge/channel.The Rebound: If Wave 5 concludes in this zone, a "V-shaped" recovery is projected (as indicated by the arrow), potentially retesting the $72,000–$76,000 resistance levels by late Q1 2026.
2. US Economic Outlook: "Stagflation Lite"
The US economy in early 2026 is presenting a "mixed bag" for risk assets like Bitcoin.
Sticky Inflation: Core PCE remains stubborn near 2.7%–3.0%, preventing the Federal Reserve from aggressive rate cuts. This "higher-for-longer" sentiment has drained liquidity from the crypto markets.Fed Policy: While the Fed has lowered the target range slightly over the past year, the "neutral rate" transition is causing uncertainty. Investors are currently treating BTC more like a high-beta tech asset than a "digital gold" hedge.Labor Market: We are seeing a "softening" but not a collapse. This prevents a full-blown recession narrative but keeps the "risk-off" sentiment dominant in the short term.
3. Global Politics and Geopolitical Tensions
Geopolitics are currently the "wild card" driving the Wave 5 sell-off.
De-dollarization & Sanctions: The ongoing use of stablecoins and BTC to bypass international sanctions (notably in the Russia-Ukraine and Middle East contexts) has led to increased regulatory scrutiny.Trade Wars: Continued tariff threats and trade frictions in early 2026 have bolstered the US Dollar Index (DXY). Historically, a strong DXY creates a headwind for Bitcoin prices.The "Safe Haven" Debate: While gold has reached new highs due to global instability, Bitcoin has struggled to decouple from the Nasdaq. Until BTC proves its resilience against geopolitical shocks, it remains vulnerable to "panic selling" during major news events.
Conclusion: Expect further downside to complete the Wave 5 cycle. The $52,000–$55,000 range represents a high-probability "accumulation zone" for long-term investors. A decisive break above the upper trendline (currently near $80,000) would be required to confirm a full trend reversal.
Momentum Analysis: RSI & MACD Deep Dive
The chart you provided suggests we are in a "Wave 5" decline. To confirm if this is the absolute bottom, we look for Bullish Divergence. This occurs when the price continues to drop (making lower lows), but the indicators begin to climb (making higher lows).
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The "Oversold" Trap
Currently, the RSI on the daily timeframe is hovering around 32, which is near the "oversold" threshold (30).
Current State: While the price has fallen sharply from $71,500 to the mid-$60k range this week, the RSI has not yet formed a clear higher low.The Signal to Watch: For a confirmed reversal, we need to see the price hit your "Wave 5" target ($52k–$54k) while the RSI stays above its previous low. If the RSI drops to 25 while the price hits $52k, the downtrend is still strong. If the RSI stays at 35 while the price hits $52k, that is a strong buy signal.
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The MACD is a "lagging" indicator, but it is excellent for confirming trend exhaustion.
Histogram Momentum: The red bars on the MACD histogram are currently expanding, indicating that the downward "engine" is still running at full speed.The Bullish Cross: We are looking for the "MACD Line" (blue) to cross back above the "Signal Line" (orange) while both are deep in negative territory.Institutional Gap: There is a notable CME Gap near $61,800. Market makers often push the price to fill these gaps before allowing a trend reversal. The MACD often "flattens out" during these gap-fill periods.
Macro Integration: Why Momentum is Stalled
The reason we aren't seeing an immediate "V-recovery" in the indicators is due to the liquidity vacuum in the US economy:
The DXY Factor: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently testing resistance. Until the DXY breaks down, Bitcoin's RSI will likely stay suppressed.ETF Outflows: We saw nearly $1.5 billion in outflows from spot BTC ETFs in the first week of February. This "selling pressure" from institutions creates a heavy "ceiling" that indicators must overcome.
1. Technical Analysis: The Elliott Wave Perspective
The chart provided clearly depicts a corrective phase within a descending channel.
Wave Structure: We are currently in the final stages of a 5-wave impulsive decline (labeled i through v). The price has recently completed wave 4 (a relief rally) and is now pushing toward the final Wave 5 target.Support Zones: The primary target for the bottom of Wave 5 lies within the grey demand zone, approximately between $52,000 and $54,000. This area aligns with long-term historical support and the lower boundary of the falling wedge/channel.The Rebound: If Wave 5 concludes in this zone, a "V-shaped" recovery is projected (as indicated by the arrow), potentially retesting the $72,000–$76,000 resistance levels by late Q1 2026.
2. US Economic Outlook: "Stagflation Lite"
The US economy in early 2026 is presenting a "mixed bag" for risk assets like Bitcoin.
Sticky Inflation: Core PCE remains stubborn near 2.7%–3.0%, preventing the Federal Reserve from aggressive rate cuts. This "higher-for-longer" sentiment has drained liquidity from the crypto markets.Fed Policy: While the Fed has lowered the target range slightly over the past year, the "neutral rate" transition is causing uncertainty. Investors are currently treating BTC more like a high-beta tech asset than a "digital gold" hedge.Labor Market: We are seeing a "softening" but not a collapse. This prevents a full-blown recession narrative but keeps the "risk-off" sentiment dominant in the short term.
3. Global Politics and Geopolitical Tensions
Geopolitics are currently the "wild card" driving the Wave 5 sell-off.
De-dollarization & Sanctions: The ongoing use of stablecoins and BTC to bypass international sanctions (notably in the Russia-Ukraine and Middle East contexts) has led to increased regulatory scrutiny.Trade Wars: Continued tariff threats and trade frictions in early 2026 have bolstered the US Dollar Index (DXY). Historically, a strong DXY creates a headwind for Bitcoin prices.The "Safe Haven" Debate: While gold has reached new highs due to global instability, Bitcoin has struggled to decouple from the Nasdaq. Until BTC proves its resilience against geopolitical shocks, it remains vulnerable to "panic selling" during major news events.
Conclusion: Expect further downside to complete the Wave 5 cycle. The $52,000–$55,000 range represents a high-probability "accumulation zone" for long-term investors. A decisive break above the upper trendline (currently near $80,000) would be required to confirm a full trend reversal.
Momentum Analysis: RSI & MACD Deep Dive
The chart you provided suggests we are in a "Wave 5" decline. To confirm if this is the absolute bottom, we look for Bullish Divergence. This occurs when the price continues to drop (making lower lows), but the indicators begin to climb (making higher lows).
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The "Oversold" Trap
Currently, the RSI on the daily timeframe is hovering around 32, which is near the "oversold" threshold (30).
Current State: While the price has fallen sharply from $71,500 to the mid-$60k range this week, the RSI has not yet formed a clear higher low.The Signal to Watch: For a confirmed reversal, we need to see the price hit your "Wave 5" target ($52k–$54k) while the RSI stays above its previous low. If the RSI drops to 25 while the price hits $52k, the downtrend is still strong. If the RSI stays at 35 while the price hits $52k, that is a strong buy signal.
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The MACD is a "lagging" indicator, but it is excellent for confirming trend exhaustion.
Histogram Momentum: The red bars on the MACD histogram are currently expanding, indicating that the downward "engine" is still running at full speed.The Bullish Cross: We are looking for the "MACD Line" (blue) to cross back above the "Signal Line" (orange) while both are deep in negative territory.Institutional Gap: There is a notable CME Gap near $61,800. Market makers often push the price to fill these gaps before allowing a trend reversal. The MACD often "flattens out" during these gap-fill periods.
Macro Integration: Why Momentum is Stalled
The reason we aren't seeing an immediate "V-recovery" in the indicators is due to the liquidity vacuum in the US economy:
The DXY Factor: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently testing resistance. Until the DXY breaks down, Bitcoin's RSI will likely stay suppressed.ETF Outflows: We saw nearly $1.5 billion in outflows from spot BTC ETFs in the first week of February. This "selling pressure" from institutions creates a heavy "ceiling" that indicators must overcome.
Le mie scuse a tutti coloro che hanno accorciato BTC; forse sono stato un po' troppo frettoloso.
AndyViz
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$BTC: L'RSI ipercomprato e la forte resistenza sopra la testa segnalano una correzione imminente.
Segnale di trading: $BTC : SHORT
• Ingresso: $68,400 - $69,150 (Vicino alla resistenza del massimo delle 24 ore)
• Stop Loss: $70,500
• Obiettivi di Profitto:
• TP1: $65,500 (Ritesto del supporto EMA)
• TP2: $62,200 (Zona di consolidamento precedente)
• TP3: $59,800 (Ritesto completo del recente minimo della candela)
L'estremo RSI ipercomprato insieme al più ampio trend ribassista all'inizio del 2026 suggerisce che questo rally è un afferra liquidità progettato per intrappolare i rialzisti prima di un brusco ribaltamento.
Clicca qui sotto per fare trading 👇👇👇
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Segnale di trading: $BTC : SHORT
• Ingresso: $68,400 - $69,150 (Vicino alla resistenza del massimo delle 24 ore)
• Stop Loss: $70,500
• Obiettivi di Profitto:
• TP1: $65,500 (Ritesto del supporto EMA)
• TP2: $62,200 (Zona di consolidamento precedente)
• TP3: $59,800 (Ritesto completo del recente minimo della candela)
L'estremo RSI ipercomprato insieme al più ampio trend ribassista all'inizio del 2026 suggerisce che questo rally è un afferra liquidità progettato per intrappolare i rialzisti prima di un brusco ribaltamento.
Clicca qui sotto per fare trading 👇👇👇
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC : L'RSI ipercomprato e la forte resistenza sopra la testa segnalano una correzione imminente.
Segnale di trading: $BTC : SHORT
• Ingresso: $68,400 - $69,150 (Vicino alla resistenza del massimo delle 24 ore)
• Stop Loss: $70,500
• Obiettivi di Profitto:
• TP1: $65,500 (Ritesto del supporto EMA)
• TP2: $62,200 (Zona di consolidamento precedente)
• TP3: $59,800 (Ritesto completo del recente minimo della candela)
L'estremo RSI ipercomprato insieme al più ampio trend ribassista all'inizio del 2026 suggerisce che questo rally è un afferra liquidità progettato per intrappolare i rialzisti prima di un brusco ribaltamento.
Clicca qui sotto per fare trading 👇👇👇
Segnale di trading: $BTC : SHORT
• Ingresso: $68,400 - $69,150 (Vicino alla resistenza del massimo delle 24 ore)
• Stop Loss: $70,500
• Obiettivi di Profitto:
• TP1: $65,500 (Ritesto del supporto EMA)
• TP2: $62,200 (Zona di consolidamento precedente)
• TP3: $59,800 (Ritesto completo del recente minimo della candela)
L'estremo RSI ipercomprato insieme al più ampio trend ribassista all'inizio del 2026 suggerisce che questo rally è un afferra liquidità progettato per intrappolare i rialzisti prima di un brusco ribaltamento.
Clicca qui sotto per fare trading 👇👇👇
$COLLECT Il prezzo è eccessivo; ci si aspetta un periodo di raffreddamento e correzione.
Segnale di trading: $COLLECT : CORTO
• Entrata: $0.05143 - $0.05250
• Stop Loss: $0.05580 (Sopra il recente massimo swing)
• Obiettivi di Take Profit
• TP1: $0.04650
• TP2: $0.04100
• TP3: $0.03500
La rapida ascesa verticale manca di una struttura solida; è altamente probabile un ritracciamento verso le precedenti zone di breakout per liquidare i partecipanti FOMO tardivi prima di qualsiasi continuazione.
Segnale di trading: $COLLECT : CORTO
• Entrata: $0.05143 - $0.05250
• Stop Loss: $0.05580 (Sopra il recente massimo swing)
• Obiettivi di Take Profit
• TP1: $0.04650
• TP2: $0.04100
• TP3: $0.03500
La rapida ascesa verticale manca di una struttura solida; è altamente probabile un ritracciamento verso le precedenti zone di breakout per liquidare i partecipanti FOMO tardivi prima di qualsiasi continuazione.
Panoramica del Mercato: "Tempesta Rossa" Travolge i Portafogli delle Balene
Basato sui dati di DropsTab, il mercato sta vivendo un'enorme flessione, causando ai più grandi portafogli e entità crypto del mondo di registrare enormi perdite non realizzate.
1. I Numeri Dietro il Danno
La seguente tabella riassume l'entità del declino per entità e individui prominenti:
Punti Chiave:
MicroStrategy (Strategia) ha la più grande perdita assoluta a $5.94 miliardi, tuttavia mantiene il più piccolo calo percentuale (-10.84%), probabilmente a causa di un forte prezzo medio di ingresso o della relativa resilienza di Bitcoin.
1. I Numeri Dietro il Danno
La seguente tabella riassume l'entità del declino per entità e individui prominenti:
Punti Chiave:
MicroStrategy (Strategia) ha la più grande perdita assoluta a $5.94 miliardi, tuttavia mantiene il più piccolo calo percentuale (-10.84%), probabilmente a causa di un forte prezzo medio di ingresso o della relativa resilienza di Bitcoin.
Quanto hanno perso i miliardari delle criptovalute dopo il crollo del mercato del 2 giugno 2026?
Sai quanto patrimonio è svanito dalle figure più influenti del mondo delle criptovalute dopo il crollo di questa mattina?
Il forte crollo del 2 giugno 2026 non ha solo cancellato i portafogli al dettaglio, ma ha cancellato miliardi di dollari di valore non realizzato da conti di dimensioni enormi, istituzioni e miliardari delle criptovalute ben noti.
Prima di immergerci nei numeri, diamo un'occhiata a cosa è successo.$BTC $ETH $BNB
Sai quanto patrimonio è svanito dalle figure più influenti del mondo delle criptovalute dopo il crollo di questa mattina?
Il forte crollo del 2 giugno 2026 non ha solo cancellato i portafogli al dettaglio, ma ha cancellato miliardi di dollari di valore non realizzato da conti di dimensioni enormi, istituzioni e miliardari delle criptovalute ben noti.
Prima di immergerci nei numeri, diamo un'occhiata a cosa è successo.$BTC $ETH $BNB
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