On the Binance Wallet Prediction, place a trade of 50 USD or more—receive 5 Alpha points directly. The promotion runs until July 6.
Now Alpha points are becoming more and more valuable. A lot of people are constantly churning trading volume to accumulate points. This is basically like watching a game and getting the points as a bonus.
And to be honest, the predict project hasn’t released any tokens yet. But the benefits for users have already been plenty: a $2 million cash prize pool for the World Cup is paid out directly, weekly PP points rewards, and now another Alpha partnership to send points.
Even before the TGE, it’s already been continuously giving back to users. When the tokens are finally released, everyone can look back and see how many PP they’ve saved up.
There are matches every day in the knockout stage—just go to your Binance wallet and you can play right away.
Knockout Stage Day 1: Canada 1–0 eliminate South Africa
With the group stage complete, the Round of 32 is officially underway. From now on, every match is a single do-or-die game.
Three matches tomorrow:
Brazil vs Japan — Five-star Brazil: Brazil faces Asia’s strongest opponent in Japan. Japan conceded only 3 goals in the group stage and their defense is solid, but Brazil’s attack is too strong. Most likely Brazil wins. The only real suspense is the scoreline.
Germany vs Paraguay — Germany had big-score results in every group match. There probably isn’t much suspense in this one.
Netherlands vs Morocco — This is the one to watch. Morocco in the group stage beat Haiti 4–2 and showed they have something going forward. Even though the Netherlands are stronger, Morocco will be hard to deal with—upsets are possible.
The prediction markets for the knockout stage are completely different from the group stage. There’s no draw option anymore (extra time + penalties), the odds structure has changed, and the Predict Cup knockout prize pool of over a million dollars just kicked off.
After two weeks of group-stage preparation, the knockout stage officially ramps up the intensity.
The group stage is over—winnings from the first phase of the Predict Cup, totaling $840,000, are already available to claim.
There’s still a prize pool of over $1,000,000 for the knockout stage.
And starting with the Round of 32, the markets per match expand from 6 to 11. There are more betting options, and newcomers can also catch up on the leaderboard—so it’s not true that if you didn’t participate in the group stage, you have no chance.
By the way, here are a few takeaways:
First, don’t bet on weak teams to win—betting on a weak team to *not* win is steadier than betting on a strong team to win. I figured this out only after playing for more than ten days. There are too many draws in the group stage. If you bet on strong teams to win, you often get killed by draws. But if you bet on weak teams to not win, a draw still counts as a win for you. Much wider coverage.
Second, in the last round, don’t trust the strong teams. Teams that have already qualified will rotate their main squads, while teams that are eliminated tend to “tank.”
Third, don’t bet on every match. Just pick 3–4 games with the highest certainty. Spreading bets out is like diluting your returns.
Now that the knockout stage has started, the rules are completely different—there are no draws (extra time + penalties). It’s single-elimination: one game decides it all. The chance of upsets is higher than in the group stage. Every World Cup has iconic moments where a strong team goes down.
Took a look at the points: 120,000 PP, and I’m ranked a little over 300.
To be honest, I’ve been a bit slack lately. After the World Cup started, I’ve been spending most of my time watching games and placing bets. I’ve had fewer limit orders placed, so the points have been growing more slowly.
Predict’s points logic mainly comes down to the order book market and duration points. As long as you provide liquidity, you get rewarded—and limit orders around the midpoint have a higher weighting.
I saw that someone, X, has already written a program to place orders automatically. While they were out traveling, the points kept going up. I’m still manually placing orders one by one—it’s honestly a bit primitive.
Today I reopened my computer and got the orders placed again. The knockout stage is about to begin, and the market will be more active. My points should be able to rise faster.
I practiced my form for two weeks during the group stage. For the knockout stage, I’m going to take it seriously—every match is a do-or-die situation. Odds fluctuate a lot, and there are more opportunities.
I mentioned Beep last month—mainly how I use AI agents to trade.
After using it for a while, I happened to catch the World Cup. It’s also really good for running predictions.
A few days ago, I studied a draw strategy. In the third-round do-or-die match, the probability of a draw is low, so you should pick it selectively. The logic checks out. But during actual execution, I found that when I saw odds of more than 3x for a draw, I hesitated in the moment—driven by a bit of luck/hope. The result was two days in a row with zero draws. Going in blindly cost me.
For example, on Polymarket there’s a classic case: Spain vs. Cape Verde. One person bet on Spain to win and lost $1 million. Another person bet on Spain not to win and made $4.3 million. In fact, the odds movement ahead of the game was already hinting at this— the data was right there. But when you see the words “Spain,” most people just instinctively follow the stronger team.
That’s human nature: when you should size up, you hesitate; when you should cut losses, you get hopeful. Even when you clearly know your analysis is correct, you still hesitate at the moment you place the order.
Beep’s agent avoids this problem. It executes whenever the odds deviate—whether the matchup is Spain or Cape Verde, whether you were up or down yesterday. There are no emotional issues.
But I think besides handling emotions, the key is how Beep filters strategies.
Their approach is to let a bunch of agents compete with each other in real markets—not a simulated environment. They run with real money. Those that can’t perform get eliminated directly. Only agents that can consistently make money get access to more capital. The market itself acts as the judge.
Then all the agents’ trading data—profit and loss, and the survival/death of strategies—gets fed back to continuously train the underlying model, letting the system evolve on its own. In other words, the more people use it, the more data it has, the more accurate the model becomes, and the better the strategies get. It’s a positive feedback loop.
There’s still a month until the World Cup. There are matches every day. I’m planning to run Beep’s prediction agent for a while to see how it performs. Anyway, the barrier isn’t high. If I lose money, it’s an AI losing—not me—so my mindset is much better 😂
Recently, they’ve already launched the Beep World Cup Predict Agent. You can try the World Cup prediction market directly now. World Cup Predict Agent👉 https://x.com/0xbeepit/status/2069458403844558957 Event prize pool $500,000👉 https://x.com/0xbeepit/status/2065841835239776265 Galxe👉 https://x.com/Galxe/status/2067965135595950294
On Discord too, more and more people have been sharing screenshots showing they used agents to do World Cup predictions, as well as returns from AI Capex-related trading on Hyperliquid. At least this shows it’s no longer just a concept.
Tonight six World Cup matches Use one to teach you how to find opportunities on Predict
I chose Japan vs Sweden, Group F, the final round
First, the background: Holland and Japan are tied on 4 points each, Sweden has 3, and Tunisia has 0—they’re eliminated. In the other match, Holland plays Tunisia; if Holland wins, there’s no real suspense. So for Japan, a draw is enough to secure qualification. If they win, they can even fight for first place in the group.
How do you bet on a match like this?
Most people think: Sweden will go all out and attack, while Japan will be conservative—so Sweden might win?
But the data tells you a different story: Japan drew 2-2 with the Netherlands in the first round. They’re not weak. Even if they play conservatively, they still have counterattack ability. And “a draw means qualification” doesn’t mean “they’ll actively play for a draw.” Japan could very well defend first and then hit back for a steal.
My play: Japan to win or draw. The odds aren’t high, but the certainty is strong.
If you don’t want to analyze so much, the simplest strategy: Tonight, Germany and Holland have the highest certainty to win. Buy those two with a small stake and accumulate steadily.
Today I stumbled upon before I started working out, and found that back then it looked like there were more signs of training. My body shape was moderate. Now after all this, how did a person change so dramatically within a year?
Micron's earnings report $MU blew expectations out of the water, resulting in a violent rebound.
Before the earnings report, I went risk-off and then jumped straight into Micron and DRAM at night.
All my moves were posted in real-time. Funny enough, while doing my homework, I referenced a certain big influencer's opinion, and it plummeted when they tweeted that they were out of the trade.
I firmly believe in my own analysis and don’t get caught up in the noise.
Tonight, a lot of folks are waiting for Micron's earnings report. For now, if you're sitting on cash, you might want to scoop up some DRAM and Micron.
This time is different.
In the past few quarters, Micron's earnings have been solid, but the stock usually dips afterward, typically around 2%-8%. However, this time, Korea hit the circuit breaker first, and selling happened ahead of time.
Valuations are also cheap. PE is 10x, and revenue is $35 billion, up 276% year-over-year.
If tonight's earnings guidance remains strong and emphasizes the tight balance in HBM/DRAM, this narrative could gain even more momentum.
A couple of days ago, I wrote a post about taking profits on MRVL, mentioning that institutions would hedge ahead of Micron's earnings report, causing significant short-term volatility in the storage sector.
Today, South Korea's market hit a circuit breaker, with Hynix dropping 12% and Samsung down 8.6%. The KOSPI triggered circuit breakers three times in one day, wiping out $520 billion.
It's not that the fundamentals of storage are in trouble; Micron was pushing new highs yesterday and then collapsed today.
The core issue is that there’s too much leverage in the South Korean market, with profit-taking causing a stampede. Coupled with global fund risk management strategies, the volatility in Korean positions directly cuts exposure to global AI hardware portfolios.
Micron and SanDisk pre-market also fell by 7%, and the Nasdaq 100 dropped by 3%.
This is exactly what I mentioned before: institutions must hedge ahead of earnings reports. Retail investors can withstand the pullback, but institutions can't handle it, and their actions will create a downturn.
I didn’t exit Hynix; this wave is a leverage cleanup, not a logic collapse. Once Micron’s earnings report is out, I’ll consider getting into Micron and DRAM.
This swag isn't just some corporate giveaways; in the crypto space, the Binance logo is deeply tied to liquidity, the riches myth, and industry legitimacy.
Just recently, I've had a ton of inquiries about the tennis gear—it's super popular! People are willing to fork out real cash on the secondary market for Binance merch.
Tonight's World Cup bets are locked in, let's ride the wave ⚽
🇦🇷 Argentina vs Austria → Going for Argentina to win, Messi's in top form with a 3-0 prediction. Austria won't stand a chance, low odds but high certainty.
🇫🇷 France vs Iraq → France is set for a massive win, total domination on paper. Models give France an 80% chance. Not betting on the score, but on a big win/cover.
🇳🇴 Norway vs Senegal → This one's got some meat on the bone. Norway's primed for a big win after Senegal's close first match. There's a lot of market divergence here, sweet odds. I'm keeping a close eye on this one.
🇯🇴 Jordan vs Algeria → Leaning towards the small ball here.
I've got everything staked on Predict. Predictive markets are just like trading, looking for pricing discrepancies.
Let's aim for that $2 million prize pool! @predictdotfun
My bestie is being sponsored by a crypto big shot (Part 8)
After the wife situation, his attitude didn’t change. He still shows up three to four times a week. It’s like nothing ever happened.
But one night, he told her another thing.
"My wife is moving assets."
He was lounging on the couch, just lit a smoke.
He said he recently checked the company’s finances and found several suspicious transactions. Digging deeper, he discovered that his wife had gradually been shifting money into several accounts he didn’t know about over the past six months.
"She registered a company in Singapore under her mom’s name. Transferred 20 million into it."
"There’s 5 million U missing from the cold wallet. The financial records say 'liquidity allocation'.
"For the house in Singapore, she took my name off. I thought I was signing a loan renewal document."
"For the kids’ education fund, she changed it from joint ownership to solely hers."
"Corporate structure adjustment. My voting rights diluted from 55% to 48%."
He listed it all out, but he didn’t even notice when the smoke burned down to the filter.
He said: "She’s preparing for divorce. But she won’t bring it up first. She wants to take everything before I do. That way, she’s the passive party. Money secured, reputation intact."
My bestie asked: "What will you do?"
He said: "I’ve thought about it for a long time."
"I need you to help me store some things."
He started transferring money into her wallet. First, 500,000 U. Then, 1 million U. Third time, 2 million U.
He said: "Just keep it here for now. She won’t be able to trace it back to you."
At one point, her wallet held up to 8 million U.
When she told me, I said: "Do you know what your role is right now?"
She asked: "What?"
I replied: "A human cold wallet. If things go south, that money won’t be under his name. It’s in your hands. You’re the firewall."
She said: "But he said he’d give me 10% after it’s all done."
"10% of 8 million is 800,000 U."
I said: "What if he changes his mind?"
She said: "He won’t. He needs me."
I didn’t say anything more.
8 million U. It’s not hers. It’s sitting with her. Like holding a bomb.
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