Changxin Tech’s new share offering has started. Predict synchronized market value forecasting is also open.
Issue price: 8.66. Current valuation: 580 billion. Betting on how high the closing price can reach on the first trading day after listing.
Let’s do a process of elimination with the order book data:
❌ Below 1 trillion (won’t rise 2x): Storage leader in the STAR Market + a domestic substitution narrative. It shouldn’t be this cold. ❌ Above 4 trillion (up 7x+): HyperLiquid was traded to this level in pre-market, but liquidity is poor there and sentiment premiums are severe. It’s unlikely for the A-share market to jump all the way to this in one step. ⚠️ 2 trillion–2.5 trillion (up 3–4x): Conservative but reasonable. If the overall market environment isn’t good or the listing day sentiment is average, it may land here. ✅ 3 trillion–3.5 trillion (up 5–6x): The highest probability in the order book is 22%. It’s also the mainstream expectation in the market. With the storage cycle trending upward + the narrative of the first A-share company, this range has the most intense competition.
My take: around 3 trillion.
The previous explosive surge of SK hynix and Micron has already validated the top ceiling of the storage sector. As the leading domestic player, Changxin will also get a sentiment-driven premium.
To reiterate: bankruptcies are caused by reckless investments. If it’s only spending, it’s impossible. You couldn’t possibly spend all your money in a lifetime.
Yesterday I totally crashed—France lost 0-2 to Spain.
Didn’t expect it to be that clean a loss. France had only 2 shots on target the whole match. Mbappé disappeared. Spain pressed from start to finish.
I predicted wrong.
Spain reaches the final—this edition they’re really strong.
───
Today, the second semifinal.
🇦🇷 Argentina vs 🏴 England
The longtime nemesis of the “Hand of God” from 1986—finally meeting again in the World Cup.
🎯 Direction: England
This Argentina team wins in a rough, ugly way every match—there’s controversy every time, but they still win. But for this one, I’m going with England. England’s squad is stacked.
The official account has deleted earlier tweets that hinted at an airdrop, and the FAQ has also been updated. It now clearly says "there is no airdrop and no token issuance plan."
With a $15 billion valuation, after raising so much VC funding, they will most likely go public via an IPO. They probably won’t give tokens to web3 users.
This also perfectly explains why the buzz around Predict has been getting louder lately.
From day one, Predict was basically an obvious airdrop: a PP points system, and it’s also the built-in prediction infrastructure within the Binance ecosystem.
One is that profits from your trading fees and then gets listed on Wall Street. One is that shares ecosystem revenues with participants.
Needless to say.
Tomorrow: France vs. Spain, the first semi-final match. My pick: France.
Recommend the Bear Market Light platform—Lighthouse @Lighthouse_2026
If you have Twitter, you can take on orders and earn money
Like, repost, comment—get paid right after you complete it. The threshold is very low (you can register with 1,000 followers or a Blue check)
The project owners also post promotional tasks on there. Posting just one tweet gives you commission—it's much more convenient than constantly hunting for promoters
When you’re free, just scroll through it. Earning a few hundred USDT a month is possible—it depends on how diligent you are
So quiet again? Weren't we told this was the strongest storage bull market? What about the illusion of the so-called human-AI golden age? That Korean unnie who earned five years’ worth of salary just by relying on Hynix, walking down the streets of the Lichuan plant area together, cheering and hugging—where is she now? Why is it that the moment I go all-in on storage, the AI golden age ends? Is Hynix’s production capacity just that coincidentally timed? Say something!
Scammers across Southeast Asia have already said it: Ordinary people’s lifetime savings ceiling is 300,000 yuan; criminal fraudsters have determined this through data analysis.
When it comes to Japan tourist visas, the savings threshold is 100,000. For China Merchants Bank’s Golden Sunflower tier, the threshold is 500,000 in savings. There’s been too much online hype—people really don’t treat money like money.
Let me put it this way: under the law, one life is worth 1.05 million yuan. For most people who suffer accidents, they still can’t pay up to 1.05 million—because that amount is capped. So for those who say that 1 million isn’t much, they truly have no concept of money.
Just barely escaped danger—the elevator door handle clamped my hand. When you’re in an elevator, never just stick your hand in to stop the closing. If the elevator closes and then moves downward, my hand would be completely wrecked today 🥲🥲🥲
⚽️ World Cup Predictions | Semifinal Four Confirmed on 7.12
Two games yesterday—perfect picks ✅✅
🇦🇷 Argentina advanced ✅ (Another controversial VAR red card: Embolo sent off; Switzerland ended up being 10 men—then they were overturned and everyone online is furious.) 🏴 England 2-1 Norway (after extra time) ✅ (Bellingham’s equalizer was also controversial—the ball seemed to hit the aerial camera line; the Norwegian bench exploded.)
The referee controversies in this World Cup are really outrageous—Argentina got through three straight matches thanks to disputed calls.
───
🏆 Semifinal matchups:
① 🇫🇷 France vs 🇪🇸 Spain (7.14)
🎯 Direction: France France has reached the semifinals for three straight editions—their tournament “DNA” is too strong. Spain is young, but this is their first time going this far.
② 🇦🇷 Argentina vs 🏴 England (7.15)
🎯 Direction: Argentina The nemesis from 1986 “Hand of God” finally meets its match—this Argentina team is unbelievably hard to beat.
⚽️ World Cup Predictions | 7.11 The last two matches of the Quarterfinals
Yesterday, Spain eliminated Belgium ✅ The direction was spot on
After today’s semifinals are over, everything will be confirmed
① 🇦🇷 Argentina vs 🇨🇭 Switzerland
We already analyzed this in detail yesterday, so I won’t repeat it here
The conclusion stays the same: 🎯 Direction: Argentina to advance 🔢 Scoreline: 1-0 / 2-1
The defending champions are tough to stop
② 🇳🇴 Norway vs 🏴 England
This match is today’s key focus
Haaland has 4 matches and 7 goals—single-handedly carrying Norway into the quarterfinals, truly historic. Norway has never gone this far before
But today they face England, and the overall squad gap is simply too big
Bellingham + Saka + Foden—any one of these in the midfield/forward line is top level. Plus, England’s knockout performance has become more and more mature over the years; they’re no longer the team from back then with “penalty fear”
Even though Haaland is unstoppable, he can’t carry the other team’s three lines pressing at the same time all by himself
🎯 Direction: England to advance 🔢 Scoreline: 2-1 / 1-0 ⚠️ Upset risk: If Haaland hits an absolute explosion of form today, then anything could happen—once this guy is on, nobody can stop him
After today’s semifinals, it’ll all be decided: France vs Spain is already locked The other side is very likely Argentina vs England
The enemy of “the Hand of God” from 1986—if they really meet, just thinking about this script is worth a trending hot search
It should be added: “If we end up doing all this and the assets still can’t be recovered, @Gate should fully take responsibility for compensation.” Otherwise, who would dare to place assets on the platform in the future?
50x a day, that's right—my cashback friend. Yesterday he asked me to pre-withdraw the fee of 100U. He’s just like any one of the countless ordinary gamblers—he keeps working hard to contribute trading fees to Binance.
Unfortunately, the market conditions are really not good right now. In the past, every fee was his chip for rising again. He’s really grateful that I opened a node for him here—he can promote it himself, take the rewards himself, and have continuous ammunition.
Hahaha
Seriously, don’t underestimate trading fees. My friend always manages to turn things around by using his cashback to pay his trading fees.
Besides, even if you use your trading fees to buy the dip on large-market promotions now, in the future it will still be multiple times the returns.
First, last round: Argentina won, but the win was really ugly. The referee controversy was so big that Egypt filed a direct complaint to FIFA.
Switzerland knocked out Colombia. This match is one where I previously said they could play to a draw—but Switzerland won outright. I underestimated Xhaka’s midfield control. This Switzerland team really is different this time.
───
🔮 Today’s prediction:
🇫🇷 France vs 🇲🇦 Morocco
A replay of the 2022 World Cup semi-final, when France won 2-0.
But this time, Morocco is stronger. They’ve played hard all the way through the group stage and knockouts. Their defensive organization is one of the best teams in this tournament.
For France, Mbappé’s form is just average, but their overall squad depth still overwhelms. In midfield, Kanté and Griezmann provide cover—so it’s not easy for them to collapse.
A tough one to call, but I’m leaning France.
Reasons:
• Big gap in knockout experience—France have made the semi-finals for three straight editions • Morocco’s defense is strong, but their attacking creativity isn’t as good as France’s • Experience in big tournaments gets more valuable the further you go
Prediction direction: France advances. But Morocco won’t let you win easily, and a high-margin score is less likely.
Scoreline references: 1:0 / 2:1
I won’t go too heavy on this one. Morocco’s probability of an upset isn’t low—just control your position.
The next few quarter-finals will be even more exciting: Argentina vs Switzerland, Norway vs England, Spain vs Belgium
For most people, their greatest asset is youth. If you don’t accumulate compounding assets when you’re young, then as you get older, your health and appearance will deteriorate day by day—rapidly losing value.
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