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疯狂的Jerrick
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疯狂的Jerrick

🤖 AI trains me to become a professional trader. 12Y Software Engineer|10Y Crypto 工程师视角研究Crypto,不喊单,只聊逻辑。 Quant Strategy|Automation|AI|Livestream 全网同名,更多请看置顶文章
Open Trade
BNB Holder
BNB Holder
High-Frequency Trader
8.1 Years
82 Following
268 Followers
308 Liked
Posts
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PINNED
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Article
10 years in the crypto circle—if you still believe the market runs on luck or indicators, we probably can’t talk together12 years as a programmer (up to 2026), same name across the internet: Crazy Jerrick. Automated Master’s degree, former Microsoft engineer, Senior Software Engineer II. Been in the crypto circle for 10 years. Not only have I not made money, I’ve also lost dozens of times. I’m not afraid of you teachers laughing—my understanding of the crypto world is still at the level of elementary school students. Like many others, I used to think trading depends on luck, on talent, on indicators, on news, and on other people. Later I found none of it worked—so you still have to rely on yourself. That’s why now I’m all-in on crypto. What truly changed me wasn’t some magical metric, but the start of re-understanding the market with constantly upgraded cognition.

10 years in the crypto circle—if you still believe the market runs on luck or indicators, we probably can’t talk together

12 years as a programmer (up to 2026), same name across the internet: Crazy Jerrick.
Automated Master’s degree, former Microsoft engineer, Senior Software Engineer II.
Been in the crypto circle for 10 years. Not only have I not made money, I’ve also lost dozens of times.
I’m not afraid of you teachers laughing—my understanding of the crypto world is still at the level of elementary school students.
Like many others, I used to think trading depends on luck, on talent, on indicators, on news, and on other people.
Later I found none of it worked—so you still have to rely on yourself. That’s why now I’m all-in on crypto.
What truly changed me wasn’t some magical metric, but the start of re-understanding the market with constantly upgraded cognition.
For a Binance live-streaming beginner, an account with almost zero followers that has been streaming for just a few days and already has this kind of data is actually pretty satisfying. Lately, it seems like I’ve found a few little tricks for driving traffic. Keep it up!
For a Binance live-streaming beginner, an account with almost zero followers that has been streaming for just a few days and already has this kind of data is actually pretty satisfying. Lately, it seems like I’ve found a few little tricks for driving traffic.
Keep it up!
Kimi pauses C-end subscriptions due to insufficient computing power, using the Kimi crisis to test “CSP’s bargaining power” and “the predicament of pure model companies.” It can be interpreted as: Good news for CSPs: It proves that computing power is extremely scarce and expensive, and enterprises cannot build it in-house; they must rely on CSP infrastructure. Bad news for pure model companies: Kimi is forced to concentrate limited compute resources on the B-end (or existing users), indicating that the To C expansion model fueled by cash burn is hard to sustain. In the future, model companies will only be able to take a “premium closed-source” route (expensive and limited in scope), while mid- to low-end and massive, high-frequency scenarios will be undercut by open-source or self-developed models hosted by CSPs at lower prices.
Kimi pauses C-end subscriptions due to insufficient computing power,
using the Kimi crisis to test “CSP’s bargaining power” and “the predicament of pure model companies.”
It can be interpreted as:

Good news for CSPs:
It proves that computing power is extremely scarce and expensive, and enterprises cannot build it in-house; they must rely on CSP infrastructure.

Bad news for pure model companies:
Kimi is forced to concentrate limited compute resources on the B-end (or existing users), indicating that the To C expansion model fueled by cash burn is hard to sustain. In the future, model companies will only be able to take a “premium closed-source” route (expensive and limited in scope), while mid- to low-end and massive, high-frequency scenarios will be undercut by open-source or self-developed models hosted by CSPs at lower prices.
Is it true that there are a lot of people around you posting that they got a lottery allocation from Changxin? If so, will they be targeted? First of all, the government has always been unwilling for malicious hype to appear. Secondly, institutions are the most sensitive observers of market momentum; if they sense something is off, they turn around faster than anyone else. Finally, it’s not the ramp-up stage for the memory “supergroup” recently, but the halving stage. The heat in the peripheral market is all made up of sighs and disappointment. How much of the meat in your hand do you think will be left? $SKHYNIX {future}(SKHYNIXUSDT)
Is it true that there are a lot of people around you posting that they got a lottery allocation from Changxin? If so, will they be targeted?
First of all, the government has always been unwilling for malicious hype to appear.
Secondly, institutions are the most sensitive observers of market momentum; if they sense something is off, they turn around faster than anyone else.
Finally, it’s not the ramp-up stage for the memory “supergroup” recently, but the halving stage. The heat in the peripheral market is all made up of sighs and disappointment.
How much of the meat in your hand do you think will be left? $SKHYNIX
疯狂的Jerrick
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Storage squad goes to court for morning check-ins, capacity all depends on carrying, losses are borne by each individual $SKHYNIX $MU $SNDK



Article
SK hynix Q2 profit could surge by 60%! Why the stock price might still fall— the answer is hidden in the July 29 earnings report!On July 29, the most worth-watching earnings report from the global AI industry supply chain is about to be released. Many investors believe that as long as SK hynix’s second-quarter earnings report continues to beat expectations, the stock price will keep rising. But if you’ve studied the stock performance of Nvidia, TSMC, or even Apple over the past few years, you’ll find a pattern: What really determines the stock price is never how much you earned in the past one quarter, but whether the growth over the next two years can still be sustained. So instead of asking: How much did Q2 bring in? Better to ask: Can the market still believe that HBM in 2027 will continue to remain in persistent short supply?

SK hynix Q2 profit could surge by 60%! Why the stock price might still fall— the answer is hidden in the July 29 earnings report!

On July 29, the most worth-watching earnings report from the global AI industry supply chain is about to be released.
Many investors believe that as long as SK hynix’s second-quarter earnings report continues to beat expectations, the stock price will keep rising.
But if you’ve studied the stock performance of Nvidia, TSMC, or even Apple over the past few years, you’ll find a pattern:
What really determines the stock price is never how much you earned in the past one quarter, but whether the growth over the next two years can still be sustained.
So instead of asking:
How much did Q2 bring in?
Better to ask:
Can the market still believe that HBM in 2027 will continue to remain in persistent short supply?
Is Kimi so popular now? We have to pause for even the tiniest little problems. This is the first time I’ve encountered an AI that was paused not because my quota wasn’t enough. #Aİ
Is Kimi so popular now?
We have to pause for even the tiniest little problems. This is the first time I’ve encountered an AI that was paused not because my quota wasn’t enough. #Aİ
Article
A Millisecond-Scale Harvest! Has the Trump API’s launch truly ended the era of retail trading?Recently, the market has been abuzz about the idea that Trump Media (DJT) will launch a paid real-time API for Truth Social. Most people only see “platform monetization via the president’s posts,” but from the perspective of a quant and an event-driven trader, the crux of this news is not a data business at all—it’s a structural reshaping of how information flows, how it’s priced, and how trading ecosystems work in global financial markets. When presidential-level policy sentiment becomes a pay-to-buy, millisecond-grade data stream, the information barriers between retail investors and institutions are fully quantified. In the future, the core competitive edge in trading will shift from K-line technical analysis to high-speed data plus AI-driven automated decision-making.

A Millisecond-Scale Harvest! Has the Trump API’s launch truly ended the era of retail trading?

Recently, the market has been abuzz about the idea that Trump Media (DJT) will launch a paid real-time API for Truth Social. Most people only see “platform monetization via the president’s posts,” but from the perspective of a quant and an event-driven trader, the crux of this news is not a data business at all—it’s a structural reshaping of how information flows, how it’s priced, and how trading ecosystems work in global financial markets. When presidential-level policy sentiment becomes a pay-to-buy, millisecond-grade data stream, the information barriers between retail investors and institutions are fully quantified. In the future, the core competitive edge in trading will shift from K-line technical analysis to high-speed data plus AI-driven automated decision-making.
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Bullish
I used to think MicroStrategy would update this holding position every week in a fixed way, regardless of whether there were additions or reductions. Today I found that its official website hasn’t updated last week’s holding details. After asking Claude, I finally understood the list inclusion rule: this List on the official site adds a new row only when "BTC Acq (Bitcoin net increase/decrease) ≠ 0". If a given week involves neither buying nor selling BTC, that week won’t appear in this list, even if the company did submit the report on time.
I used to think MicroStrategy would update this holding position every week in a fixed way, regardless of whether there were additions or reductions. Today I found that its official website hasn’t updated last week’s holding details.
After asking Claude, I finally understood the list inclusion rule: this List on the official site adds a new row only when "BTC Acq (Bitcoin net increase/decrease) ≠ 0".
If a given week involves neither buying nor selling BTC, that week won’t appear in this list, even if the company did submit the report on time.
The great ones have been going long too much. You can rest assured. Although in many cases, the order-taking logic definitely has to be based on your own logic—definitely define the entry direction according to your own knowledge, cognition, and understanding of what looks right—but seeing that some of the masters can align with you in certain ways is also a strengthening of confidence.$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
The great ones have been going long too much.
You can rest assured.
Although in many cases, the order-taking logic definitely has to be based on your own logic—definitely define the entry direction according to your own knowledge, cognition, and understanding of what looks right—but seeing that some of the masters can align with you in certain ways is also a strengthening of confidence.$BTC
Has the AI bull market ended? I don’t think we should jump to conclusions too easily. Today I saw a piece of news: AI money has started flowing into traditional industries. U.S. tech blue chips have generally pulled back—Nvidia, AMD, TSMC, SK Hynix, and others have all fallen. Many people have started shouting “a bear market is here.” But I think what’s worth focusing on right now is capital rotation (Sector Rotation), rather than simply labeling it as a bear market. A real bear market usually shows several common features: ✅ The leading stocks keep falling, with no new sector stepping in to take over; ✅ ETFs continue to see net outflows as institutions begin systematic de-risking; ✅ Market breadth deteriorates, and most stocks fall together; ✅ The Fed stays hawkish, and liquidity keeps tightening; ✅ The VIX, the U.S. dollar index, and Treasury yields rise in sync—risk assets are under overall pressure. What we’re seeing now is: 📌 After AI valuations became too high, some profit-taking appears; 📌 Funds start moving into lower-valued sectors like financials and consumer; 📌 Geopolitics and the Fed’s remarks are amplifying market sentiment. This looks more like risk being released from an overvalued sector, not all assets entering a bear market at once. For those of us who trade crypto, I actually pay more attention to a few indicators: Is there sustained net outflow from the BTC / ETH ETFs? Is the U.S. dollar index (DXY) continuing to strengthen? Are Treasury yields continuing to rise? Is the Fed further releasing hawkish signals? If these indicators deteriorate at the same time, then it’s truly time to raise your level of caution. The biggest trading mistake isn’t the market dropping—it’s treating every pullback as if it’s a bear market. In a bull market, pullbacks and in a bear market, rebounds can look similar—but the underlying capital logic is completely different. Do you think this is just a mid-game pause in the AI trade, or has this bull cycle truly begun to turn? Feel free to discuss in the comments. #BTC #ETH #USStocks #AI #TradingMindset
Has the AI bull market ended?
I don’t think we should jump to conclusions too easily.
Today I saw a piece of news:
AI money has started flowing into traditional industries. U.S. tech blue chips have generally pulled back—Nvidia, AMD, TSMC, SK Hynix, and others have all fallen. Many people have started shouting “a bear market is here.”
But I think what’s worth focusing on right now is capital rotation (Sector Rotation), rather than simply labeling it as a bear market.
A real bear market usually shows several common features:
✅ The leading stocks keep falling, with no new sector stepping in to take over;
✅ ETFs continue to see net outflows as institutions begin systematic de-risking;
✅ Market breadth deteriorates, and most stocks fall together;
✅ The Fed stays hawkish, and liquidity keeps tightening;
✅ The VIX, the U.S. dollar index, and Treasury yields rise in sync—risk assets are under overall pressure.
What we’re seeing now is:
📌 After AI valuations became too high, some profit-taking appears;
📌 Funds start moving into lower-valued sectors like financials and consumer;
📌 Geopolitics and the Fed’s remarks are amplifying market sentiment.
This looks more like risk being released from an overvalued sector, not all assets entering a bear market at once.
For those of us who trade crypto, I actually pay more attention to a few indicators:
Is there sustained net outflow from the BTC / ETH ETFs?
Is the U.S. dollar index (DXY) continuing to strengthen?
Are Treasury yields continuing to rise?
Is the Fed further releasing hawkish signals?
If these indicators deteriorate at the same time, then it’s truly time to raise your level of caution.
The biggest trading mistake isn’t the market dropping—it’s treating every pullback as if it’s a bear market.
In a bull market, pullbacks and in a bear market, rebounds can look similar—but the underlying capital logic is completely different.
Do you think this is just a mid-game pause in the AI trade, or has this bull cycle truly begun to turn? Feel free to discuss in the comments. #BTC #ETH #USStocks #AI #TradingMindset
On the way home at night, I excitedly told my wife: "I finally copied down Hynix all the way." She nodded, then shouted into the bedroom: "Come out—your buyer is here." It suddenly hit me… Turns out someone is waiting for me to take the fall—in life and in the market too. $SKHY {future}(SKHYUSDT)
On the way home at night, I excitedly told my wife:
"I finally copied down Hynix all the way."
She nodded, then shouted into the bedroom:
"Come out—your buyer is here."
It suddenly hit me…
Turns out someone is waiting for me to take the fall—in life and in the market too.
$SKHY
How do you say that?!
How do you say that?!
Using Binance’s AI PRO, I placed an order to trade for lobster. I’ve held the position for many days. Today I checked and found I’m up 18%. It’s not a lot, but it’s enough to keep using it and continue learning.
Using Binance’s AI PRO, I placed an order to trade for lobster. I’ve held the position for many days. Today I checked and found I’m up 18%. It’s not a lot, but it’s enough to keep using it and continue learning.
Now the storage plate sector and the crypto circle are just like a seesaw effect!
Now the storage plate sector and the crypto circle are just like a seesaw effect!
IBM’s share price suffered a historic plunge on July 14, 2026, closing down as much as 25.21%. This marked the largest single-day drop in its 115-year history, far exceeding the record of 23.7% during the 1987 “Black Monday.” The company’s market value evaporated by about $69 billion. The immediate trigger for the selloff was IBM’s unusual decision to announce preliminary second-quarter results well ahead of its formal earnings report release on July 22—results that were far below expectations. The figures show: Revenue: about $17.2 billion, below the market’s expected $17.9 billion. Adjusted EPS: $2.93, below the expected $3.01. Infrastructure business: revenue unexpectedly fell 7%, whereas analysts had previously expected only a low single-digit decline.
IBM’s share price suffered a historic plunge on July 14, 2026, closing down as much as 25.21%. This marked the largest single-day drop in its 115-year history, far exceeding the record of 23.7% during the 1987 “Black Monday.”

The company’s market value evaporated by about $69 billion.

The immediate trigger for the selloff was IBM’s unusual decision to announce preliminary second-quarter results well ahead of its formal earnings report release on July 22—results that were far below expectations.

The figures show:
Revenue: about $17.2 billion, below the market’s expected $17.9 billion.
Adjusted EPS: $2.93, below the expected $3.01.
Infrastructure business: revenue unexpectedly fell 7%, whereas analysts had previously expected only a low single-digit decline.
In the morning, after the Korean stock market opened and surged upward, it then began endless downward declines.
In the morning, after the Korean stock market opened and surged upward, it then began endless downward declines.
Article
Analysis of the Impact of U.S. Midterm Elections on U.S. Stocks and the Crypto MarketThis article provides an in-depth analysis of the historical impacts and future outlook of U.S. midterm elections on traditional equity markets (represented by the S&P 500 index) and emerging cryptocurrency markets (represented by Bitcoin). The study finds that there are significant regularities in market performance before and after midterm elections, especially in how the fading of “policy uncertainty” drives risk assets. Although the crypto market’s history is shorter, as its institutionalization accelerates, it may gradually converge with the election-cycle patterns seen in U.S. stocks. The article concludes by presenting a trading framework for the 2026 midterm election and the key observation indicators.

Analysis of the Impact of U.S. Midterm Elections on U.S. Stocks and the Crypto Market

This article provides an in-depth analysis of the historical impacts and future outlook of U.S. midterm elections on traditional equity markets (represented by the S&P 500 index) and emerging cryptocurrency markets (represented by Bitcoin). The study finds that there are significant regularities in market performance before and after midterm elections, especially in how the fading of “policy uncertainty” drives risk assets. Although the crypto market’s history is shorter, as its institutionalization accelerates, it may gradually converge with the election-cycle patterns seen in U.S. stocks. The article concludes by presenting a trading framework for the 2026 midterm election and the key observation indicators.
Only now did I realize that you can also buy the CSI Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index ETF on Binance!! Awesome...
Only now did I realize that you can also buy the CSI Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index ETF on Binance!! Awesome...
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