Hossamk

sta mantenendo la tendenza al rialzo che è iniziata a fine marzo e mostra segni di un mercato toro. Si è aperta una fascia di trading tra $79,000 e $95,000

Il contesto geopolitico è instabile, ma Bitcoin si è dimostrato un giocatore piuttosto sicuro nel mercato attuale; tuttavia, rispetto al movimento degli indici azionari statunitensi, che sono il motore dell'asset di punta, è in ritardo. Tuttavia, dopo una prolungata consolidazione, il mercato è entrato in una fase di crescita. L'alto locale è stato aggiornato a 82,800, ma allo stesso tempo si è formata una falsa rottura della resistenza locale a 81,700. Il risultato è una correzione e un retest della zona di liquidità e dell'area di supporto forte a 79,485. Lo squeeze long, a sua volta, sposta l'equilibrio di potere verso i compratori e consente al mercato di consolidarsi. La struttura rimane intatta, e dopo una consolidazione locale o un retest della zona di interesse, la crescita potrebbe continuare.

$BTC
Key points:
Coinbase’s David Duong said Bitcoin is starting to decouple from U.S. equities as BTC-stock correlation declines amid Iran-driven volatility.Duong is neutral on Q2 2026 but bullish in the short term due to improving liquidity and supportive macro conditions.Long-term BTC holders continued to accumulate in Q1, while Strategy’s STRC product reportedly bought faster than the market sold.
Coinbase Institutional's David Duong said that Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are decoupling from U.S. equities amid headline-driven volatility from the Iran conflict, which is scattering risk assets at the Milk Road Show on Saturday.
The firm said the analyst is "neutral for Q2 of 2026", although upbeat short term, citing a supportive macro environment and "conducive liquidity dynamics" underpinning rate trends.
"It feels like we're kind of jumping from day to day," the analyst said, referencing the headline whiplash from the Middle East. "But it is interesting that equities are rallying at the moment. The correlation between Bitcoin and U.S. equities, which actually peaked around 65% in February, has been coming down over the last few weeks."
Duong cited a number of favorable on-chain signals. In the first quarter, tip rates against shorts fueled narratives that old holders were selling out, but actually long-term Bitcoin holders, defined as holding for more than 155 days, increased their balances during this period. Strategy's (MSTR) STRC digital asset credit product has also been deploying capital raised into Bitcoin purchases at a rate "far outpacing" current selling.
The institutional side includes Morgan Stanley's recently launched crypto ETF that is being recommended by RIAs, and Goldman Sachs (GS) is preparing a covered-call Bitcoin. In a January survey by Coinbase, 65% of investors said they would like to increase their crypto exposure or invest for the first time.
COIN stock was down 0.1% in after-hours. On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around COIN remained in the ‘bullish’ zone, while chatter remained at ‘high’ levels over the past day.
ETH Narrative Improves 
The analyst also pointed to ETH's increasingly bullish narrative, noting that fears that Layer 2 chains will "eat ETH's lunch" are receding, while ETH now dominates in quantum resistance and AI agent infrastructure.
In the short-term, one of the main catalysts was from this U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA), the analyst said, which has risen to nearly $1 trillion due to tax receipts. May spending should free up liquidity that is supportive for risk assets, which should be positive for crypto.$BTC
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Il prezzo di XRP rimane bloccato in un range come è stato nelle ultime settimane. Al momento della scrittura, il prezzo di XRP è aumentato dell'1,86% nell'ultimo giorno, ma non è riuscito a superare la resistenza di $1,60. Tuttavia, nonostante questa apparente inerzia, si sta verificando un cambiamento significativo su Binance, il principale exchange di criptovalute al mondo per volume di scambi.
Il divario tra i Whale e il Retail su Binance scende all'88%
In un post QuickTake su CryptoQuant, l'analista Amr Taha condivide un aggiornamento sul mercato XRP sull'exchange Binance. L'indicatore rilevante in questo scenario è il metrica del divario tra Whale e Retail di XRP su Binance.

Il co-fondatore di Binance, Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, ha detto di non avere molta fiducia di essere perdonato dal presidente statunitense Donald Trump dopo aver scontato una pena detentiva di quattro mesi nel 2024 per aver violato le leggi anti-riciclaggio negli Stati Uniti.
“Non si sa mai perché in realtà abbiamo avuto una forte opposizione da parte di alcuni dei nostri concorrenti percepiti negli Stati Uniti,” ha detto Zhao a Ran Neuner nel podcast Crypto Banter pubblicato su YouTube sabato.
“Le altre piattaforme di scambio crypto negli Stati Uniti non vogliono che io ottenga un perdono,” ha detto Zhao, sostenendo che erano preoccupati per il possibile ritorno di Binance nel mercato statunitense dopo la sua uscita nel novembre 2023. La partenza è seguita a un accordo di $4,3 miliardi con Binance e il governo degli Stati Uniti per violazioni del Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) e dell'International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), oltre al mancato rispetto della registrazione come attività di trasmissione di denaro.

Bitcoin is seeing an explosive rise in Open Interest, with derivatives activity now surpassing peak session levels recorded during the 2025 all-time high. This explosive growth reflects rising trader participation and increased leverage that is often seen during periods of heightened anticipation for major price moves. As positions rise across futures and perpetual markets, the spike in open interest points to a market gearing up for volatility.
Can Bitcoin Sustain Momentum With Leverage Rising This Fast?
Bitcoin is experiencing its strongest Open Interest expansion of 2026, with derivatives actively now surpassing even 2025’s all-time highs. A verified CryptoQuant author, known as Darkfost on X, has noted that the BTC market remains heavily driven by futures. Data shows that BTC’s recent bullish momentum has been driven largely by a steady return of investors to the derivatives markets.
Despite funding rates remaining broadly negative for weeks, open interest has recorded its strongest increase since the beginning of 2026. What makes the move particularly notable is that the current increase in open interest is already larger than the expansion seen during BTC’s previous ATH formation.
Major platforms like Binance continue to dominate the majority of capital in the segment, reportedly accounting for approximately 34% of total market share, with a monthly average surging to around $2.5 billion on May 5. Meanwhile, a similar trend is also visible across other exchanges, such as Gate.io, which has a record of $1.75 billion, and Bybit, with a record of $1.15 billion.
According to Darkfost, comparing the more defensive market conditions seen earlier in the year, the latest data shows optimism is gradually returning to the market, encouraging traders to increase their risk exposure. The growing dependence on leverage also introduces fragility into the market structure. Thus, leveraged positions are rarely built to last longer, and their liquidation could significantly amplify volatility and the risks associated with the market.
Why Holding Above Current Levels Is Critical For Bitcoin Bulls
The Bitcoin price is currently in a critical retest phase after successfully breaking above the previous highs earlier this week. A crypto trader known as Max Trades on X noted that this level is acting as a key support zone, and holding above it is essential for buyers to sustain momentum and push the broader uptrend price higher.
As long as BTC maintains support above the reclaimed range, the likelihood of a liquidity sweep toward the $82,800 highs will continue to increase. However, a breakdown back below the retest zone would weaken the bullish structure and likely shift market focus toward the next major liquidity area between the $75,000 and $76,000 zone. This region remains one of the most significant liquidity downside targets if support fails.
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Crypto bullish chatter on social media has surged to levels that, according to crypto sentiment platform Santiment, could signal the current market uptrend may be short-lived.
“Rallies that arrive with a confident crowd tend to fade faster than those climbing a "wall of worry,” Santiment said in a report published on Saturday. “Those climbing skepticism tend to extend,” Santiment added.
Santiment said the ratio of bullish to bearish crypto-related comments on social media is currently around 1.5 to 1, based on a sample of active crypto accounts tracked across multiple platforms. It comes as Bitcoin (BTC) has increased 11.50% over the past 30 days, trading at $80,628 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap.
A confident market tends to see rallies fade fast
Market participants often watch overall crypto sentiment to gauge whether it may be a good time to buy or sell, or to look for clues about where the market could be headed in the coming weeks.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which tracks overall crypto market sentiment, posted a “Neutral” score of 47 on Sunday after slipping back into “Fear” territory on Thursday, signaling investors are cautious about the crypto market.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to a "Fear" score of 38 on Friday. Source: alternative.me
Santiment said the best scenario for Bitcoin right now is not to break out further. “The team's ideal setup is a pullback to $75k that flushes late longs, resets sentiment, and builds a healthier base,” Santiment said.
Bitcoin supply on exchanges rises
Meanwhile, Santiment pointed to a recent increase in Bitcoin supply on crypto exchanges, potentially signaling that holders are viewing current price levels as an opportunity to take profits.
“On-chain activity is broadly quiet, but Bitcoin supply on exchanges has ticked up over the past five days after an extended decline. The reversal could indicate early profit-taking,” Santiment said. Analysts are divided on whether it will fall into that price range or continue higher.
MN Trading Capital founder Michael van de Poppe said he “wouldn't be surprised that we retest lower at $70-75K before we continue to run.”
Crypto analyst Matthew Hyland said that Bitcoin is “likely” to reach between $87,000 and $95,000 before June.
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Market analysts are identifying new catalysts that could propel XRP to explosive highs. A leaked footage shared by Crypto analyst Don Digital Finance highlights two catalysts from a theorized pricing model that could trigger a massive price surge for XRP. Meanwhile, other experts are focusing more on XRP’s payment rails and utility, predicting a price rally to $3.
While most XRP price projections in the market are often based on speculation and hype, the leaked model treats the cryptocurrency as a functional tool for banks and institutions. This means that a higher XRP price is required or even mandated for the system to remain efficient.
Leaked Model Predicts XRP Price Rally Between $5 and $4,300
In a post on X, Don Digital Finance shared details regarding leaked footage featuring Teucrium CEO Sal Gilbertie. The video captures Gilbertie discussing various legitimate pricing models for XRP that suggest a valuation range starting from $5 to $4,300.
These pricing models primarily focus on XRP’s institutional adoption and velocity, which measures how many times it is used within a specific period. Explaining the theory governing the model, Don Digital Finance said that if the XRP network settles trillions of dollars in global payments, the speed of these transfers would dictate how many tokens must be available at any given second.
Notably, when institutions move large sums of money, they need deep liquidity to prevent the price from swinging wildly during a single trade. This suggests that if XRP’s price remains low, banks would need to move a massive number of tokens to settle a single multi-billion-dollar payment. This strategy would create a huge functional problem because there are not enough tokens in circulation to support that volume of wealth at a low price point.
However, Gilbertie’s mathematical models suggest that for XRP to handle massive institutional flows, the price needs to be high enough for the existing supply to cover all transactions. A higher price means global banks can use fewer coins to transfer very large amounts of money. According to his calculations, the required price for this system to work is between $5 to $4,300.
Analyst Projects XRP Surge To $3 Then Higher
In a separate X post, market expert XRP Queen stated that XRP is positioning for a significant breakout. She predicts that the cryptocurrency could first reach its 2018 all-time high of $3.84, then ultimately target an ambitious $227.
According to XRP Queen, the catalyst behind this rally is XRP’s growing role as a global payment asset. She noted that the XRP Ledger (XRPL) has recently entered a $2.7 trillion market that encompasses payments, decentralized media, and the broader Web3 ecosystem. She believes that XRP could become a core payment rail within this space, potentially fueling substantial price growth.

$BTC Bitcoin’s climb back above $82,000 has led to bullish conviction among investors. However, an interesting technical analysis suggests that the rally may still be part of a corrective structure, not the start of a clean impulsive breakout.
That difference is important, because the analysis shows that Bitcoin is now approaching a resistance band that could decide whether the rebound continues or turns into another trap for late buyers.
Bitcoin Heads Into Major Resistance Zone
The BTC price climbed back above $80,000 this week, with the move supported by strong inflows into Spot Bitcoin ETFs. However, crypto analyst Tara is not convinced this bullish move tells the full story.
Tara’s outlook is built around Bitcoin’s reaction to the macro 0.382 retracement level. According to the analyst, the Bitcoin price broke above this level without first establishing stronger support below it. That has created a setup where the price action can still push higher, but the move may be vulnerable because the foundation below the rally is not as strong as bulls would want.
Therefore, Bitcoin’s failure to establish solid support after breaking above a key macro Fibonacci level has left the asset exposed, now pressing into a major resistance zone spanning between $85,200 and $93,000.
The short-term structure has clearly improved from the early February lows around $60,000, but Tara’s chart points to several overhead levels that now matter. The first major red resistance line is around $85,288, which corresponds with the 0.382 retracement on the projected structure. Above that, the 0.5 retracement level near $93,099 becomes the bigger test.
Based on the analyst’s count, the current rally should be a counter Wave B move within a larger corrective ABC trend. The analyst described Wave B as one of the most deceptive phases of a market cycle because it can make traders believe the correction is already over. However, the range between $85,200 and $93,000 represents the region where the Wave B rally could start to lose strength.
What Comes Next? The Crash Risk
Now that the Bitcoin price is approaching resistance, the outlook is what to expect based on what could happen if it is rejected at that zone. The next phase can turn lower and punish buyers who entered too late.
The chart sketches this exact possibility with two projected downward paths from the upper resistance region. One begins around $85,000, and the other begins closer to the $93,000 level. Both paths suggest that a rejection from the resistance band could bring the Bitcoin price below $60,000.
A sustained break above $85,200 would bring the $93,000 region into action. A clean move above $93,000 would then weaken the bearish corrective setup. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $79,742, down by 2% in the past 24 hours.$BTC

$STRK Starknet is launching strkBTC on 12 May 2026 and turning the debut into a live global event with streams and local watch parties to explain what the product is, how it works, and why it matters, as detailed in the official announcement. Positioning strkBTC as a flagship BTC-related asset on Starknet suggests it is intended to become a key DeFi primitive, potentially feeding into lending, yield, and derivatives protocols. If strkBTC gains adoption, it can increase Starknet TVL and on-chain activity, improving STRK’s ecosystem narrative. Traders should monitor launch-day usage, integrations by major dApps, and STRK spot/derivatives flows for momentum or “sell-the-news” reactions.$STRK

$STRK Starknet will unlock about 2.26% of its total STRK supply at 7:00 UTC, releasing previously locked tokens into circulation. According to the unlock schedule on DeFiLlama, these tokens are part of a planned vesting stream, likely for early stakeholders or ecosystem incentives. Mechanically, this increases the circulating supply in a single, time-clustered event, which can create short-term sell pressure if recipients choose to realize profits. Traders should monitor on-chain flows and order books around the unlock time, as liquidity depth will matter for how strongly this supply expansion translates into price impact.$STRK

Starknet's price has surged nearly 35% in the past 24 hours, reaching intraday highs of $0.061, with this coming amid a 400% spike in daily volume.
Gains have pushed the STRK token’s price to a robust 71% uptick over the past month, mirroring renewed interest in privacy-focused assets.
Notably, the upward trajectory mirrors strong performances for Zcash (ZEC) and Dash (DASH). The two coins have advanced 63% and 40%, in the past week.
Starknet touts post-quantum wallet readiness
Zcash once again leads the upward momentum in privacy coins, with bulls looking for a decisive breakout above $600 following this week’s retest of the supply zone.
On Friday, ZEC traded above $571 amid news of Zcash’s quantum-recoverable wallets.
With privacy and quantum threats a key narrative in the market, the focus is on wallet-level updates to bolster defenses against future quantum threats.
It is adding momentum to leading projects.
“With the lack of government trust at the moment, the privacy sector has been seeing a boost in interest from retail traders. The crowd is increasingly viewing privacy-focused assets as a hedge against growing surveillance concerns, tighter exchange regulations, and expanding AI-driven data tracking across financial platforms,” Santiment noted.
Starknet has positioned itself with the rollout of post-quantum secure wallets on its mainnet, which went live as the Shinobi upgrade (v0.14.2) launched in April 2026.
This upgrade introduced critical infrastructure for private transactions, enabling shielded assets under the new STRK20 framework.
The release supports privacy-preserving ERC-20 tokens while maintaining DeFi compatibility.
Analysts say these developments could transform Starknet from a high-performance Layer-2 rollup into a privacy-centric engine.
STRK price gained on May 8, amid the project’s post about this milestone
Starknet price outlook
Overall market sentiment is bullish on leading privacy coins.
Apart from this, STRK is benefiting from Starknet's growing traction in Bitcoin DeFi and staking features.
The launch of strkBTC to allow Bitcoin holders to tap into decentralized finance via a secure, shielded environment highlights Starknet’s potential to lead the BTCFi market.
strkBTC goes live on May 12, 2026, and bullish sentiment around the event could cascade into STRK price performance.
The altcoin has jumped nearly 75% from its all-time low in mid-April.
However, bulls remain well off the highs of $0.28 reached in November 2025 and the all-time peak of $3.66 in February 2024.

Technically, STRK exhibits prolonged accumulation, with bears capping a recent upside just above $0.051.
However, the latest surge signals a potential breakout from the range, and $0.060 a key hurdle.
If the privacy narrative persists, $0.093-$0.105 will be a crucial retest zone.
However, a pullback is likely due to widespread profit-taking across altcoins. The scenario could see STRK revisit $0.030.
STRK price hovered around $0.057 at the time of writing.

$ONDO
Il prezzo di Ondo è in tendenza ascendente insieme a una serie di sviluppi istituzionali legati all'infrastruttura degli asset del mondo reale (RWA).
Il token attualmente scambia intorno a $0.3664, segnando un guadagno del 5.7% nelle ultime 24 ore, mantenendo un aumento più ampio del 37.5% negli ultimi 7 giorni.
Il progetto pilota di regolamento istituzionale rafforza la narrativa RWA di ONDO
Il sentiment attorno a ONDO è aumentato dopo un annuncio importante di Ondo Finance riguardante una transazione pilota cross-istituzionale che ha collegato le infrastrutture bancarie tradizionali con i percorsi di regolamento basati su blockchain.

$BTC
BTC is currently testing a critical support zone around 80,000, which is acting as a key psychological level for today’s session.
As long as price remains stable above this area, the probability favors a short-term bullish rebound toward higher resistance levels.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone
80,200 – 80,600
Targets
Target 1: 81,700
Target 2: 82,500
Target 3: 83,200
Stop Loss
79,350
Trade Logic
The 80K level is a major support zone attracting buying interest, and holding above it could trigger upward momentum toward the 82K–83K region.
Risk Warning
If BTC breaks below 79,300 with strong confirmation, this bullish setup becomes invalid.
In that case, downside pressure may push price toward:
77,800
76,500
Execution Strategy
Enter gradually rather than full size at once.
Additional confirmation comes if price stabilizes above 81,200 before pushing higher.
This setup is based on current market structure and short-term momentum.
Discipline and strict risk management remain essential.

$BTC Bitcoin attualmente scambia vicino a 79.866, mostrando segni di debolezza a breve termine dopo aver fallito nel mantenere sopra le medie mobili chiave sul grafico a 1 ora.
Dopo aver raggiunto un recente massimo intorno a 82.850, BTC è entrato in una fase correttiva. Il prezzo sta ora scambiando sotto le medie mobili chiave a breve termine, il che suggerisce che la pressione ribassista è ancora presente a meno che i compratori non riprendano il controllo presto.
Livelli Chiave di Resistenza:
80.200 – 80.600
81.200 – 81.600
82.300 – 82.850
Livelli Chiave di Supporto:
79.500
78.900
78.000 – 77.600
Direzione Attesa Oggi:

$ETH Ethereum sta attualmente attraversando una fase correttiva a breve termine dopo un forte movimento rialzista che ha raggiunto un massimo recente intorno a 2423. Il rifiuto da questo livello ha spinto il prezzo verso l'area di supporto 2320–2330, dove i compratori stanno tentando di stabilizzare il mercato e formare un potenziale rimbalzo.

L'azione attuale del prezzo suggerisce una consolidazione dopo la volatilità piuttosto che un'inversione di tendenza completa. Ethereum sta ancora scambiando sopra la media mobile principale (MA99), il che mantiene la struttura generale leggermente rialzista. Tuttavia, il momentum a breve termine si è indebolito a causa del fallimento nel mantenersi sopra 2400.

$BTC  Bitcoin is currently trading around 81,600 USD, after a strong bullish move that recently tested the 82,800 USD resistance zone. The market is now at a critical decision point that will determine the next short-term direction.

The overall trend remains bullish in both short and medium term, as price continues to hold above key support levels and major moving averages. However, momentum is slowing as price approaches a strong resistance area, indicating a potential consolidation phase.

At the moment, Bitcoin is moving within a tight range between 80,000 and 82,800 USD, reflecting market indecision and reduced volatility ahead of a potential breakout.

A confirmed breakout above 82,800 USD would likely trigger continuation toward 85,000, 88,000, and 91,000 USD, signaling renewed bullish strength.

On the other hand, failure to break resistance may lead to a corrective move toward 80,000, 78,200, and 76,300 USD, which would still be considered a healthy pullback within the broader uptrend as long as price remains above 74,000 USD.

Overall, the market remains bullish, but is currently in a compression phase that requires a clear breakout or breakdown to define the next move.

#BTC #triding