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Con $BTC BTC che opera all'interno di una struttura correttiva più ampia, il mercato sta attualmente ruotando tra le zone di liquidità piuttosto che stabilire una tendenza chiara. Il momentum ha fallito nel sostenersi sopra i recenti massimi, segnalando che potremmo entrare in condizioni di fine ciclo dove la pazienza supera l'aggressività.
Invece di inseguire candele verdi, la mossa intelligente è posizionarsi vicino a aree di forte domanda dove il rischio è chiaramente definito.
📊 Zone di Acquisto Strategiche
ZonaIntervallo Prezzo (USDT)StrategiaAccumulo Primario$60,000 – $64,000Prima area DCA – guarda per il mantenimento della strutturaZona di Valore Profondo$52,000 – $56,000Domanda a lungo termine ad alta probabilità – rischio/rendimento asimmetricoEntrata di ConfermaSopra $70,000 (chiusura settimanale)Rientro di momentum – forza strutturale confermata

Research firm Bit Mining remains highly bullish on Bitcoin, sticking to an ambitious price target for the close of 2026. Chief Economist Wei Yang views the ongoing pullback as temporary profit-taking rather than a fundamental shift, emphasizing continued institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs and maturing market infrastructure.
Institution2026 Price TargetAdditional ForecastKey RationaleBit Mining$225,000New highs in 2027ETF adoption, post-halving supply dynamics, reduced volatilityBernstein$150,000$200,000 by mid-2027Institutional resilience, no major leverage crashes, tokenization trends
Key Points from Bit Mining's Analysis:
"Orderly Correction": Unlike past cycles, there's no widespread deleveraging or platform insolvencies fueling the dip.Recovery Floor: Analysts peg a potential bottom around $60,000 in February 2026, setting up for a strong rebound.Dismissing Overhype: They counter narratives of Bitcoin being overshadowed by AI, noting shared tech advancements benefit the ecosystem.
⚖️ Balanced Perspective: CoinDesk's Cautious Stance
On the flip side, CoinDesk analysts highlight a lack of catalysts for sustained upside, adjusting expectations amid macroeconomic headwinds.
Institution2026 Price TargetNear-Term Downside RiskKey RationaleCoinDeskBounce possible but no major runDrop to $60,000 or belowStronger dollar, hawkish Fed, inconsistent ETF demandPrediction Markets (Kalshi)N/A31% chance below $60,000 by Feb 28Betting odds reflect elevated short-term risks.
Key Points from CoinDesk's Analysis:
Momentum Fade: Short-lived rallies are fading quickly due to persistent selling pressure and weak disinflation signals.
Revised Targets: Lowered year-end outlooks account for delayed rate cuts and softening US economic data.Positive Signs: On-chain metrics show gradual improvement, suggesting the downturn is more controlled than chaotic.
🔍 Core Elements Shaping the Forecasts
These varied predictions underscore several pivotal factors influencing Bitcoin's trajectory in 2026:
ETF Dynamics: Spot $BTC Bitcoin ETFs remain a barometer for institutional interest, with inflows potentially accelerating recovery.Macro Influences: Sensitivity to Federal Reserve policies, dollar strength, and global liquidity continues to drive correlations with traditional assets.Cycle Evolution: Experts agree the classic four-year halving cycle is diminishing as Bitcoin attracts more stable, long-horizon capital.
This roundup offers a fresh lens on evolving Bitcoin sentiment. Let me know if you'd like insights on altcoins or other market angles!

$BTC Bitcoin has been grinding in a narrowing range for over two weeks now, with price action compressing between critical zones. On the surface, it feels like endless chop, but the charts reveal a classic volatility setup: $65,000 serving as the lower support cluster and $71,000–$72,000 as the overhead resistance wall.
If history repeats – think back to those pre-breakout consolidations in late 2025 – we might witness a fakeout dip sweeping $65K lows, followed by a short squeeze up to $72K, only to reverse hard toward $58K–$60K as the real downside target. This isn't aimless sideways trading; it's deliberate market engineering to flush out weak hands on both sides before the next big leg.
With ETF outflows persisting and on-chain data showing early 2024 buyers holding near breakeven, the pressure is building. Risk appetite is dipping, and without a fresh macro catalyst, this range could define the mid-term structure – but a breakdown below $65K opens the door to deeper probes.
The coil is tightening. Expect fireworks soon.
Trading the edges or waiting for the trap? Don't get liquidated in the hunt.
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#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #ByteBullResearch

Bitcoin ed Ethereum hanno visto alcune fluttuazioni selvagge ultimamente, con il rosso che domina i grafici e i volumi che esplodono al ribasso. Sembra caotico a prima vista, ma scavando più a fondo, la storia passa dal panico a una potenziale opportunità.
Cosa dicono realmente i numeri:
Il BTC è a $66,487.45 con un movimento del +1.6% nelle ultime 24 ore, ma questo dopo aver testato i minimi intorno a $65,906.83. Il volume è enorme a $35B+, mostrando un'azione intensa senza una completa capitolazione.
L'ETH mantiene $1,936.04, in aumento dello 0.8%, con metriche di efficienza che suggeriscono vendite eccessive—l'RSI vicino all'ipervenduto su timeframe più brevi, e le letture sigma indicano un'esaurimento statistico. I massimi hanno toccato $68,118 per il BTC e $1,984 per l'ETH, ma il ritracciamento non ha ancora rotto i supporti chiave.

Per secoli, l'oro è stato la base della preservazione—un testamento fisico alla scarsità e alla resilienza. Il Bitcoin emerge non come il suo semplice equivalente digitale, ma come il suo successore evolutivo: un attivo nativo per un'era digitale, progettato con capacità che l'oro non potrà mai replicare.
La Dicotomia Fondamentale: Attivo Statico vs. Protocollo Programmabile
La divisione fondamentale non è solo materiale, ma funzionale.
La Proposta di Valore dell'Oro: Inerte. Il suo potere risiede nella permanenza fisica, stabilità chimica e consenso storico. È un deposito di valore.

Executive Summary: Blockchain intelligence platform Arkham, cited by ChainCatcher, has identified a significant on-chain movement involving Polychain Capital. Within a two-minute window, the established crypto fund received approximately 3.85 million PENDLE tokens from three separate anonymous addresses.


Transaction Breakdown:
The transfers occurred in rapid, sequential order, suggesting a coordinated action:
02:11: +1,098,619.92 PENDLE from 0x6478...02:12: +1,324,828 PENDLE from 0x21fB...02:13: +1,428,305 PENDLE from 0x981D...ByteBullResearch Analysis & Implications:
While the exact nature of the transfer (e.g., internal consolidation, OTC deal, collateral movement) is not publicly confirmed, movements of this scale by a major fund like Polychain Capital warrant attention.Signal of Strategic Positioning: Polychain is known for its fundamental, long-term thesis-driven investments. A sizable accumulation of PENDLE could reflect a continued or deepening strategic interest in the DeFi yield-tokenization sector.Market Impact Consideration: The tokens were transferred to the fund's known address, not sold on the open market. This action, in itself, is not directly bearish. However, it increases Polychain's holding, making their future actions (like staking, voting, or eventual distribution) a key variable for PENDLE's supply dynamics.Actionable Insight: For traders, this is a monitoring alert, not an immediate signal. The key is to watch Polychain's on-chain behavior with these tokens. Will they be moved to a staking contract or a liquidity pool? A lack of subsequent selling pressure could be construed as a neutral-to-bullish holding pattern.Key Takeaway: This is a notable on-chain event that underscores institutional-level activity around PENDLE. It reinforces the asset's credibility but does not change the immediate technical picture. We are adding Polychain Capital's PENDLE holdings to our monitoring list for future flow analysis.

Tesi di trade convalidata: Il nostro ingresso precedente su $TAO ha identificato una configurazione ad alta probabilità. Come previsto, l'azione dei prezzi sta ora confermando la forza di questo movimento. Non si tratta semplicemente di un scalp; la struttura in evoluzione suggerisce un potenziale significativo per un trade a lungo.

Ragione tecnica: Perché questa configurazione si distingue

La qualità del trade è evidenziata da una confluenza di fattori affidabili:
Struttura di supporto: I livelli chiave di supporto e resistenza vengono rispettati, indicando un'azione dei prezzi controllata, in stile istituzionale.