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The FED just injected $26B and many people are calling for a big crypto rally now. What will happen next to top assets like $BTC , $XRP , $ETH , and more?
🔥LONG-TERM BITCOIN HOLDERS ARE SILENTLY ACCUMULATING ON THE DIP
$BTC / 24h Long-term holders are in accumulation It would be great to see a sustaining green bar in this chart.
This chart just flipped back into the green. Usual suspects, long-term holders, the group that sells tops and buys panic bottom dips, are accumulating once more.
That doesn’t mean price has to bounce immediately. These signals nearly always occur at the very bottom. They emerge when selling pressure is declining and patience is taking the place of panic.
There is a big caveat here, though. Earlier this year, wallet reshuffling and exchange flows have muddied the LTH classification, so this signal is far from perfect. Do not use it as a single green light.
But even taking that into consideration, if long-term holders stop distributing and start accumulating, it’s worth noting. They don’t normally chase strength historically. They accumulate when the price is hard, boring and frustrating.
This does not give you direction for tomorrow. It means that individuals with the longest time horizon are finding comfort in these levels.
If this trend continues into 2020, it implies that the market is doing what it likes to do before big moves: quietly building a base while most are distracted by near-term noise.
🔥BITCOIN IS RESTRAINED, AND IT’S ABOUT TO SHATTER THAT RESTRAINT
Why $BTC just keeps getting slapped down around $87K-$90K no matter how much people move it…
The answer is right here. And that seems to be fixed within ~72 hours, as well. So, here’s what’s really happening.
ABOVE THAT 88k LEVEL: Market makers basically have to sell into green cancles and buy the dips Any rally is capped and the price goes right back to the middle.
BELOW THAT 88k LEVEL: Suddenly all of that reverses and selling pressure now feeds itself, volatility increases rather than dissipates.
That’s why price keeps getting pulled back to the same area over and over again. It’s not because of traders.
So now sale at $90K are looking at the reason why $90K keeps rejecting.
There’s a huge cluster of call options at $90,000. Dealers are short those calls.
When price goes to that level, they hedge by selling spot $BTC . So what appears as “sell pressure” is actually forced supply meeting trader momentum – right where momentum traders expect to be hit by bears.
That’s why every $90K try ends in disaster."
On the downside, $87K is doing the opposite."
There's heavy put positioning there. Dealers hedge by buying spot as price falls. That’s why dips are bought immediately.
On the other hand, this tight range has the appearance of being completely normal and runs straight across the x-axis, but if you look beneath the surface, it couldn’t be more unstable.
So the reason this matters for now is because of timing.
A big percentage of option exposure will expire on DECEMBER 31, after New Year.
Roughly three quarters of the current gamma profile disappears at expiry.
Once we get past December 31, that pressure will be completely GONE.
Not because people suddenly change their minds, but because the forces pinning price in place are gone.