CryptoMaksymus

Michael Saylor membahas peristiwa tahun 2025. Pada saat itu, perusahaannya (MicroStrategy/Strategy) sudah mengumpulkan Bitcoin senilai sekitar $30 miliar, dan tugasnya adalah menarik lebih banyak lagi modal untuk pembelian berikutnya. Masalahnya adalah alat-alat tradisional sudah habis tenaganya: perusahaan tersebut menjadi penerbit obligasi konversi terbesar di dunia, dan pasar untuk saham biasa serta obligasi konversi "dipilih di bawah nol" — tidak ada tempat untuk melakukan ekspansi lebih lanjut dengan cara seperti itu.

Over the past decades, major studies of retail traders have been conducted in the USA, Europe, India, Brazil, and Taiwan. Despite different markets, countries and time periods, the conclusion was almost the same: approximately 70–90% of retail traders lose money in the long term, and only a very small group of people manage to make stable money.
It would seem that after such a volume of data, interest in trading should gradually decrease. But the opposite happens. Each new bull market brings millions of new participants who sincerely believe that it is they who will succeed.
Why does this happen? Because the problem rarely lies in the absence of information. It lies in how our thinking works. Most people know that there are few successful traders. But almost everyone believes that it is he who will be able to get into their number.
We almost always see winners and almost never see losers. We are shown a trader who turned a small amount into a fortune, interviews with successful investors, beautiful profitability charts and photos of an expensive life. But practically no one shows thousands of people who lost money, closed their account and simply disappeared from the information field.
As a result, a very natural thought arises in a person: "Yes, the majority loses, but I, most likely, will be among the excluded." And this is where the main error of thinking begins.
Instead of the question "What usually happens to people who do the same thing?" we begin to ask a second question: "What if it happens that I will succeed?" It seems like a small thing, but it is at this moment that we stop leaning on reality and start leaning on hope.
Moreover, this mechanism works not only in trading. For the same reason, people open restaurants, start startups, buy franchises, start a new business or go to Gumroad with the confidence that their product will be the exception. They study success stories, but rarely study the fate of the majority.
The more I read long-term studies, the more convinced I am of one simple principle. Any serious decision should start not with inspiring history, but with statistics. First, understand what usually happens to people who have already gone through this path. And only then honestly answer the question: what exactly is so different in my situation that it gives reason to expect the second result? If there is no such answer, then, most likely, we are not analyzing reality, but simply hoping to be among the rare exceptions. That is why rational thinking begins not with optimism, but with attention to reality.

Godfather AI (dan sekaligus ilmuwan paling banyak dikutip di dunia) Joshua Bengio dukung pause global yang KOORDINAT dan TERVERIFIKASI dalam pengembangan AI sampai "jaminan keamanan" untuk pengembangan itu dibuat.
Baru-baru ini, Paus Roma manggil untuk "Melucuti AI" dan juga ngambil pengembangannya di bawah kontrol moral dan etika yang ketat.
Seruan-seruan kayak gini kedengarannya mulia, tapi di dunia modern ini gak realistis (menurut gue).
Vatikanku lagi flirting sama Anthropic, coba "memimpin" revolusi teknologi baru. Di sisi lain, dia ngurus teleskop canggih VATT di Arizona, mendigitalkan arsip rahasianya dengan bantuan jaringan saraf, dan pegawainya pakai chatbot buat kerjaan rutin. Ketika teknologi udah nembus dinding tempat suci, mereka coba nge-pause AI - ini kayak listrik bakal dilarang.

INGGRIS TELAH MELUNCURKAN SISTEM PENGENALAN WAJAH BERBASIS AI.
DAN INI SUDAH MEMBAWA KEPADA TUDUHAN TERHADAP YANG TIDAK BERSALAH.
Polisi Inggris baru saja meluncurkan proyek nasional PoliceAI senilai 115 juta pound. Tujuan utamanya adalah penggunaan terkoordinasi dari kecerdasan buatan di semua 43 unit polisi di Inggris dan Wales. Ini akan menjadi sistem pengenalan wajah retrospektif tunggal.
Skala sistem yang baru diluncurkan sudah mengagumkan: setiap bulan, algoritma menjalankan sekitar 25.000 kueri pencarian di basis data yang berisi 19 juta foto tahanan. Di London saja, pada tahun 2026, polisi berhasil memindai 1,7 juta wajah - ini hampir dua kali lipat dari tahun sebelumnya.

Terkadang ada hari di pasar keuangan di mana benar-benar semuanya berbalik melawan investor. Hari ini adalah salah satu hari itu.
Bukan hanya crypto yang ambruk, tapi semuanya sekaligus.
Indeks S&P 500 turun sebesar 1.65%, meninggalkan kapitalisasi sebesar $1.14 triliun.
Nasdaq turun 2.60%, kehilangan $1.11 triliun.
Emas turun sebesar 3.38% (minus $1 triliun kapitalisasi).
Perak turun 6.9% (minus $280 miliar).
Bitcoin turun 6.31%, kehilangan $80 miliar.
Total, 2.5 triliun dolar lenyap dalam satu sesi trading.