Volodymyr 1
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Volodymyr 1
Analysis of the crypto market - FEELS STRATEGY. Daily posting of my indicators with the best winrate. MSCpE of System Programing || #Bitcoin analyst
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#Bitcoin Log Regression Bounds: Holding Key Support 🟢 📝 The Log Regression Bounds highlight Bitcoin's long-term growth trajectory, outlining its macro trend channel. 📍 Currently, $BTC trades around ~$65K. It remains below the Fair Value (yellow) line, actively holding the Lower Band (green) as crucial support. 💡 Historically, sustained trades around this green band signify critical accumulation zones, as tracked by platform indicators.
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#Bitcoin Halving Cycles: Cycle 4 Maturity 📉 📝 This indicator overlays all four $BTC halving cycles, normalizing ROI from the halving date. Current cycle is Day 845. 📍 Cycle 4 (2024), shown in red, trails significantly behind Cycle 1, Cycle 2, and Cycle 3 at this stage. It confirms diminishing returns across cycles. 💡 This trend indicates a maturing asset, favoring extended accumulation over sharp parabolic rallies. Our platform tracks this shift towards an accumulation phase.
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$AKEDO delivered massive growth over the last six months 🚀 📝 When the coin first entered the green zone 🟢 and surged to the orange zone 🟠, it delivered a +360% gain. 💡 After that, the asset consolidated for a while and reentered the buy signal zone. This area acted as powerful support and sparked another +1700% rally, but this time reaching the red zone 🔴 combined with extreme greed 🟥 💰 In total, this secured a massive +8200% return over the span of six months 👀
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#Bitcoin MA Ribbon: Mixed Alignment 📉 📝 The MA Ribbon, composed of 50, 100, 200, and 300 SMAs, shows tight compression. This indicates market indecision, often preceding a major trend shift. 📍 Price ($63.9K) currently fluctuates near the 50 SMA (~$63.5K). Longer-term $BTC MAs (200 SMA ~ 69.8K, 300 SMA ~$78.3K) remain above shorter ones, reflecting bearish pressure. 💡 The chart's "Mixed MA alignment" signals a critical juncture. A break above the ribbon confirms a bullish shift; sustained moves lower suggest continued downtrend.
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#Bitcoin Market Cycle Index: Approaching Fear Zone 📉 📝 The Market Cycle Index currently sits at 21.4, just above the "Fear (20)" threshold visible on the chart. This weighted composite indicator provides a multi-perspective view of the market cycle. 📍 Historically, readings near or below 20 have marked significant accumulation periods for $BTC . The current value indicates the market is entering a phase often associated with contrarian opportunities. 💡 Given the indicator's position near historical bottoms, a sustained move below 20 would signal heightened fear, potentially setting the stage for future rallies based on previous cycles.
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#Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index signals deepening retail fear 🔻 📝 The Fear & Greed Index registers 30, firmly in the "Fear" zone as displayed on the chart. This reflects a consistent decline in overall market sentiment. 📍 Trending lower since 2025, the index at 30 nears the "Extreme Fear" zone of 25. Such sustained fear often precedes $BTC bottoms historically. 💡 Despite market underperformance, strong on-chain adoption and institutional long positions hint at re-accumulation potential. Our platform tracks these divergent signals closely.
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#Bitcoin Risk Band – Entering Buy Zone! 🎯 📝 The Risk Band indicator, normalizing MVRV Z-Score, provides a clear cycle perspective, cutting through market noise to show current opportunity. It indicates where the market stands in its risk-reward profile 📍 Currently, the chart displays a Risk Band value of 0.12, labeled directly as a "Buy Zone." This reading positions us firmly in the historically low-risk territory for $BTC 💡 Historically, these low-risk readings have marked key accumulation phases, suggesting a period where patient capital can position for future upside. Our platform monitors these critical shifts closely.
#Model Stock-to-Flow Bitcoin: Harga Di Atas S2F 📈 📝 Model Stock-to-Flow Damped secara konsisten menjadi jangkar harga jangka panjang Bitcoin, dengan garis hijau yang secara historis berperan sebagai dukungan dasar. 📍 $BTC saat ini diperdagangkan di $64,212, yang berada di atas penilaian Model S2F Damped sebesar $57,382. Ini menghasilkan rasio Price/S2F sebesar 1,12x. 💡 Premium tipis ini, bersama dengan akumulasi paus, menunjukkan bahwa uang pintar sedang melakukan penempatan. Perkirakan pergerakan harga di masa depan akan terus menghormati atau melampaui model ini.
#Bitcoin 50-Day MA of Realized Price: Market Structure 👀 📝 Indikator ini melacak basis biaya tersaring Bitcoin, mengidentifikasi fase akumulasi (hijau) dan kepanasan (merah). 📍 Rasio Realized Price adalah 1.19, yang mencerminkan profitabilitas pasar dan mendekati baseline 1.0. $BTC pada $64K diperdagangkan di atasnya, selaras dengan pertumbuhan historis. 💡 Pembacaan di atas 1.0, tanpa overheating yang ekstrem, menunjukkan pasar yang sehat dengan akumulasi yang aktif dan sebagian besar pemegang dalam kondisi untung.
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#Bitcoin DVOL (Deribit Implied Volatility) sits at low levels 🧘 📝 The DVOL indicator is currently at 34.3, notably below the Calm (40) zone on our chart. This signals extremely low implied volatility in $BTC options. 📍 Such readings indicate market complacency, with the purple line trending down and far from Elevated (60) or Extreme (90) volatility levels. 💡 Low volatility often precedes significant price shifts or reflects consolidation. Monitor for a potential DVOL spike as a precursor to clearer market direction.
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#Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index — US Selling Pressure 🔻 📝 The Coinbase Premium Index shows persistent negative values, with the 7D MA currently at -0.12%. This indicates sustained selling pressure from US-based traders. 📍 Current readings hover below the 0% baseline, approaching the -0.15% "US selling" zone visible on the chart. This trend is a notable shift from early 2023's strong positive premiums. 💡 While some institutional $BTC accumulation continues, the negative premium suggests a lack of strong, immediate demand from US entities. A sustained move back above zero would signal a shift in sentiment.
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#Bitcoin MA Ribbon hints at coming volatility 🚦 📝 The 5-year MA Ribbon displays "Mixed MA alignment." This compression often precedes a significant trend shift. 📍 $BTC trades at $63,023, below all MA lines, including the 50 SMA ($63,376) and 300 SMA ($80,285). This confirms a bearish structural alignment. 💡 Historically, ribbon compression with price below MAs and low volatility signals an "explosive move." An extended re-accumulation phase appears likely.
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#Bitcoin 2-Year MA Multiplier — Entering the Buy Zone 🟢 📝 The 2-Year MA Multiplier charts key market cycle phases. Bitcoin price is currently positioned between the green 2Y SMA and the blue 2Y SMA x 0.5 lines. 📍 This places $BTC firmly within the platform's historical "buy zone," typically defined as trading below the main 2Y SMA (green line). 💡 Such a structural position suggests an extended accumulation phase, signaling potential long-term value for market participants.
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#Bitcoin Halving Cycles: Analyzing Cycle 4's Performance 📊 📝 This indicator maps all previous halving cycles, normalizing ROI from the halving date. It offers a clear historical comparison for the ongoing Cycle 4. 📍 Currently at Day 831, Cycle 4 (red line) shows significantly lower returns compared to Cycles 1, 2, and 3 at this stage. Diminishing returns across $BTC cycles are evident. 💡 While current performance lags, historically, these cycles demonstrate intense post-halving activity. My indicators continue to track the relative progression for future insights.
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#Bitcoin played out the scenario our indicator identified as the most probable 🎯 📝 On May 14, when we published the Liquidity Magnet indicator 🧲, it showed roughly a 40% probability of Bitcoin being pulled toward the liquidity magnet located around $60,000 📉 💡 As you already know, that scenario has now played out. $BTC corrected into the $60K area, exactly where the indicator identified the highest-probability target ✅
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#Bitcoin Reserve Risk: Extreme Lows 🟢 📝 The Reserve Risk indicator currently reads 0.00051, sitting below the labeled "Low risk" threshold of 0.00060. This reflects strong conviction from long-term holders. 📍 This position is significantly distant from the "High risk" threshold of 0.00150. Historically, these deeply undervalued levels have offered compelling risk/reward ratios. 💡 Periods of such low Reserve Risk often precede significant $BTC accumulation phases. On-chain data suggests smart money continues to position in these zones.
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#Bitcoin Pi Cycle Bottom: Navigating Support 📉 📝 The Pi Cycle Bottom signals cycle lows when SMA(150) crosses below SMA(471) × 0.745 (red line). This critical crossover has not yet materialized on the chart. 📍 The green SMA(150) currently holds above the red SMA(471) × 0.745. $BTC price is now below the red line, testing historical support near $63.7 K. 💡 No bottom signal is confirmed, yet price action at this key support hints at an accumulation phase. A confirmed SMA crossover remains crucial for a cycle bottom.
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#Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Model: Scarcity Valuation Update 📈 📝 The Stock-to-Flow model shows $BTC at ~$65K, trading 1.14x above the Damped Model value of ~$57K. This premium is a common cycle characteristic. 📍 Price maintains a position above the green S2F Damped Model line, indicating robust fundamental support despite recent volatility. 💡 This reflects a potential accumulation phase, with price holding above its scarcity-derived valuation as speculative supply thins out.
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$RENDER continues its correction📉 📝 For a while, the coin struggled to break through the Keltner Channel baseline after tapping the green band 🟩. However, it eventually managed to break out, pushing the price straight into the red band📈 💡 Since then, the asset has entered a correction phase, dropping below the grey line and testing it as resistance👀
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#Bitcoin Mayer Multiple: At a Crucial Level 👀 📝 The Mayer Multiple stands at 0.91, placing $BTC just above the 0.8 buy zone. This indicates a potential accumulation phase, distinct from overheated conditions. 📍 Historically, the indicator found strong support at 0.8 during prior dips, like late 2023. The 1.0 mean now acts as a notable mid-range resistance level. 💡 Monitoring the 0.8 "Buy zone" remains critical for entries. Our indicators track this; sustained moves below 0.8 could signal deeper value.
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