Bitcoin short-term holder (STH) inflows to Binance approached a four-month extreme on October 26, just two days before the Federal Reserve's interest-rate decision, even as BTC traded far above its July level.

The loss-regime inflow indicator reached −9,990 BTC at a Bitcoin price of $79,900, compared with −10,232 BTC on July 13 when BTC traded near $62,000.

The latest reading was only 242 BTC less negative despite Bitcoin being $17,900 higher.

It marked the second-most-negative reading since June 30 and the sixth below −8,000 BTC over that period.

The indicator measures Bitcoin inflows from short-term holders (STH) to Binance alongside broader profit-and-loss conditions .

Negative readings reflect exchange-bound transfers during periods when short-term holders across the Bitcoin network are realizing losses on average.

Such activity may indicate growing selling pressure, as investors facing losses could transfer their holdings to exchanges to reduce exposure, protect remaining capital, or prepare for potential sales. However, these transfers do not necessarily represent completed selling transactions.

Four days earlier, on October 22, Bitcoin short-term holders (STH) recorded a staggering $3.13 billion in net realized profits, the highest reading in more than 15 months and the second-highest level on the chart.

The figure came just $190 million below the $3.32 billion peak recorded on July 16, 2025, while exceeding the $2.28 billion registered on April 23, 2025, by $850 million.

This places the latest surge among the most significant profit-realization events for Bitcoin short-term holders during the observed period, just six days before the Federal Reserve's interest-rate decision.

The contrast is notable: a sharp rise in net realized profits was followed by renewed loss-related activity among short-term Bitcoin holders transferring coins to Binance, potentially signaling early signs of short-term holder capitulation.

This behavior may reflect growing

Written by Amr Taha