#FedRateWatch
With August core CPI up 0.3% MoM, market probability for a 25 bps Fed rate hike this week has hit nearly 90%.
My Take: Expect the Fed to deliver this 25 bps hike, but view it as a calibrated, one-off adjustment rather than a renewed tightening cycle. Even so, Powell will maintain hawkish forward guidance to prevent financial conditions from prematurely easing.
Market Impact: Near-term bearish across risk assets. Rising real yields will pressure tech equities and gold, while BTC likely tests local support before finding liquidity to consolidate.
Trading Plan: I’m de-risking tech exposure and hedging core spot BTC holdings with short-term hedges. See my verified positions in the trade widget below!
Are you buying this dip or de-risking? Follow for daily macro updates!
With August core CPI up 0.3% MoM, market probability for a 25 bps Fed rate hike this week has hit nearly 90%.
My Take: Expect the Fed to deliver this 25 bps hike, but view it as a calibrated, one-off adjustment rather than a renewed tightening cycle. Even so, Powell will maintain hawkish forward guidance to prevent financial conditions from prematurely easing.
Market Impact: Near-term bearish across risk assets. Rising real yields will pressure tech equities and gold, while BTC likely tests local support before finding liquidity to consolidate.
Trading Plan: I’m de-risking tech exposure and hedging core spot BTC holdings with short-term hedges. See my verified positions in the trade widget below!
Are you buying this dip or de-risking? Follow for daily macro updates!