XVS had a 10% slide over about 5 days, and that leg is what I measure everything against. That break of 3.363 was small (0.7%) and it came straight back inside. Looks like a failed breakout to me. In at 3.386, out at 3.338 if the fresh low goes, 3.503 if the inducement gets taken. That works out to 1:2.44. The stop stays where it is, I won't be moving it.
๐ข $XVS Long Entry 3.386 | Stop 3.338 | TP 3.503 Manage your own risk.
Retrace of 35%, then price went back for the old high. The inducement at 0.04028 is still untouched. JOE could not stay above 0.04193. The fresh high at 0.0421 is the level that proves me wrong. Entry 0.04167 is simply where price stands now. Stop 0.0421, target 0.04028, reward about 3.23R.
$MEME short Entry zone 0.0006212 Stop 0.0006278 Target 0.0005995
MEME added roughly 12% in 3 days, then the move ran out of steam. The pullback inside it was about 38% of the move, which left 0.0005995 as the inducement level. The fresh high at 0.0006278 got rejected and price slipped under 0.0006227 again, without going near 0.0005995. The inducement at 0.0005995 is the target and the stop is only 1.06% away at 0.0006278.
ENSO added roughly 9% in 2 days, then the move ran out of steam. Breakout above the old high lasted a moment, only 0.0% beyond 1.0175, and price is back inside the range. Stop 1.0179, target 0.9906. Risking 0.46% for roughly 4.81 times that.
$ENSO Short Entry 1.0132 | Stop level 1.0179 | Take profit 0.9906
The 3 days before this were a clean 13% run on SPX. Retrace of 31%, then price went back for the old high. The inducement at 0.4442 is still untouched. Price then pushed 0.5% above the old high at 0.4597, printed a fresh high at 0.4618 and could not hold it. It is back under 0.4597 now. Taking the short from 0.4589, stop 0.4618 just beyond the fresh high, target 0.4442 where the inducement sits. About 1:5.07. DYOR.
0.003737 is where the whole move started, and price is sitting right on it again. Price just sits on 0.003737 candle after candle (5 so far). That patience at the origin is my trigger. Risk is defined at 0.0035364 (8.9% away) and the target 0.0043388 sits well beyond the entry at 0.003882. Size it so the stop doesn't hurt. One setup, not a promise.
๐ข $TRIA Long Entry 0.003882 | Stop loss 0.0035364 | Target 0.0043388 DYOR.
Looking back 3 days, ALLO has pushed about 44%. This trade hangs on that swing. It took a while, but price is back at the low that launched the move (0.24928). 4 straight 1h closes around 0.24928. It is holding, so I take the trade. Taking it from 0.25654 with the stop at 0.238328 and the target at 0.282136, roughly 1.41R if it works.
Pullback di dalamnya sekitar 32% dari pergerakan, sehingga 0.004305 menjadi level inducement. Titik terendah baru di 0.004017 ditolak dan harga kembali naik melewati 0.004021, tanpa mendekati 0.004305. Masuk di 0.004059, keluar di 0.004017 jika titik terendah baru ditembus, atau di 0.004305 jika level inducement tersentuh. Hasilnya adalah rasio 1:5.86.
๐ด Posisi short $AAOI : entry 119.65, stop loss 120.07, take profit 112.99 (1:15.86)
112.99 adalah titik terendah dari pullback 32% itu dan belum pernah diuji lagi. Harga sempat menembus 119.99 hanya sebesar 0.1%, lalu ditutup kembali di bawahnya. 112.99 masih menjadi target. Entry di 119.65, keluar di 120.07 jika harga mencetak level tertinggi baru, atau di 112.99 jika level inducement tersapu. Rasio risikonya 1:15.86. Tidak akan mengejar harga jika bergerak menjauh dari titik entry.
Melihat kembali pergerakan 2 hari terakhir, RESOLV telah naik sekitar 47%. Perdagangan ini bergantung pada swing tersebut. Harga kini sudah kembali sepenuhnya ke titik awal pergerakan itu, sekitar 0.01835. Saya menunggu di area tersebut. Ada 5 penutupan candle 1 jam berturut-turut di sekitar 0.01835. Level ini bertahan, jadi saya masuk ke perdagangan. Stop di 0.017479, target di 0.020963. Saya mempertaruhkan 7.47% demi potensi keuntungan sekitar 1.47 kali lipat dari risiko tersebut.
Posisi long $ZEST : entry 0.17723, level stop 0.17676, target 0.18643 (1:19.57)
Setelah turun 12% dalam 2 hari, ZEST mulai tertahan di sekitar titik terendah sebelumnya. Harga kemudian turun 0.2% di bawah titik terendah sebelumnya di 0.17708, mencetak titik terendah baru di 0.17676, tetapi tidak mampu bertahan di sana. Kini harganya kembali di atas 0.17708. Stop 0.17676, target 0.18643. Mempertaruhkan 0.27% untuk potensi keuntungan sekitar 19.57 kali lipat.
๐ด Short $AVGO : entry zone 361.31, stop loss 364.20, tp 356.84 (1:1.55)
After a 5% leg down in 2 days, AVGO spent a long while drifting back up. It took a while, but price is back at the high that launched the move (362.36). It poked over 362.36 by about 3.3% of the move, grabbed the stops and got pushed right back down. The close back under 362.36 is what I wanted. Entry around 361.31, stop 364.20 (0.8% away), target 356.84. That is about 1:1.55.
Entry: 3.06 Stop loss: 3.0811 Take profit: 3.0207 R:R 1:1.86
Harga sempat menembus 3.066 sekitar 4% dari pergerakan, menyapu stop loss, lalu langsung terdorong turun kembali. Saya memang menginginkan penutupan harga kembali di bawah 3.066. Entry di sekitar 3.06, stop loss 3.0811 (jarak 0.69%), target 3.0207. Rasio risikonya sekitar 1:1.86. Gunakan ukuran posisi kecil, tetapkan risiko dengan jelas, dan lanjutkan jika strategi ini gagal.
The fresh high at 893.98 got rejected and price slipped under 890.70 again, without going near 837.63. In at 888.40, out at 893.98 if the fresh high goes, 837.63 if the inducement gets taken. That works out to 1:9.1. One setup, not a promise.
$PLAY long Entri 0.02851 Stop 0.026668 Target 0.032036
Harga bertahan di sekitar 0.02801 selama 6 candle 1 jam berturut-turut dan terus menolak untuk bergerak dari level itu. Itulah pemicunya. Stop 0.026668, target 0.032036. Saya mempertaruhkan 6.46% untuk mengejar potensi keuntungan sekitar 1.91 kali lipat dari risiko tersebut. Lakukan riset sendiri (DYOR).
Zona masuk: 0.14222 Level stop: 0.139964 Target: 0.146748 R:R 1:2.01
KITE naik 12% selama sekitar 3 hari, jadi ada pergerakan ayunan yang jelas untuk dimanfaatkan. Ekor candle yang menembus 0.14166 menyapu stop jual yang berada di bawahnya, lalu badan candle ditutup kembali di atas level tersebut. Saya tidak masuk saat ekor candle terbentuk; saya menunggu candle ditutup. Masuk di 0.14222, keluar di 0.139964 jika analisis saya salah, atau di 0.146748 jika benar. Rasio risikonya sekitar 1:2.01.