I guess your target shall be achieved within next 24 hours
Shahroz ALI
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*📊 Current Structure (Daily)* Strong rejection from ~70.5K (Lower High printed) Heavy drop to ~62.8K RSI near oversold zone (~31) Currently sitting mid-range around 64.4K
*📉 Most Likely Scenario (Short-Term)*
BTC may:
1️⃣ Sweep 62.8K liquidity 2️⃣ Possibly dip to 59.6K zone 3️⃣ Then bounce toward 66K 4️⃣ Only after strong reclaim above 66.4K → bullish momentum$BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
I guess it is attempting to build short-term stability
Ayesha白富 美
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Market Stabilizes as Bitcoin Recovers and Altcoin Momentum Strengthens
Crypto markets rebounded after briefly slipping into oversold territory, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading near $65,600 — up roughly 2.4% since midnight UTC. During the overnight session, BTC gained as much as 3.7% before retracing part of the move. Despite the volatility, price action continues to fluctuate within the same range that has defined the past three weeks.
Altcoins joined the recovery. Layer-1 networks such as Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) advanced around 4–5%, while higher-momentum tokens including VIRTUAL, Morpho (MORPHO), and Ether.fi (ETHFI) posted gains exceeding 10%. The breadth of the move suggests renewed risk appetite across the digital asset space.
The rally extended beyond crypto. U.S. equity index futures moved higher, and silver recorded a 4% increase, reinforcing the view that the rebound reflects broader speculative positioning rather than a specific news catalyst.
From a technical perspective, the aggregate crypto Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shifted from oversold conditions back into neutral territory. This reset typically signals short-term stabilization and opens the door for consolidation before the next directional move.
Derivatives Snapshot Total crypto futures open interest climbed more than 1.5% to approximately $93.5 billion. However, most of the increase appears to stem from price appreciation rather than substantial new capital entering the market.
Open interest in bitcoin and ether futures remained relatively flat over the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, futures tied to Tether Gold (XAUT) declined by 12%, indicating a possible rotation out of defensive, gold-linked exposure.
TRX, AVAX, SOL, LINK, and HBAR recorded the strongest 24-hour cumulative volume delta (CVD), signaling that buying activity outweighed selling pressure in these markets.
Bitcoin’s 30-day annualized implied volatility index eased to 56% after briefly touching 65% earlier in the week. The decline in volatility points to calming conditions, which historically supports gradual price recovery. Ether’s volatility profile shows a similar cooling trend.
Options positioning reveals a cautious undertone. The $60,000 bitcoin put remains the most actively traded contract, reflecting continued downside hedging. For both BTC and ETH, put premiums remain elevated relative to calls, highlighting persistent risk management demand.
Altcoin Season Indicator Climbs
The “altcoin season” gauge reached its highest level since early January, driven by widespread gains across major tokens.
VIRTUAL led the advance, rising over 15% intraday and more than 20% in 24 hours, emerging as the top performer within the CoinDesk 80 index, which itself added 1.7%. ETHFI extended its rally following commentary from its leadership about a potential stablecoin rollout. Morpho’s token continued its upward trajectory, gaining 15% on the day and nearly 46% over the past month.
Conversely, Toncoin (TON) and PIPPIN traded lower after earlier weekly gains, signaling tactical profit-taking and sector rotation among traders.
Overall, improving technical conditions, steady derivatives metrics, and broad altcoin participation suggest a market attempting to build short-term stability — though options flows confirm that investors remain measured in their optimism. #bitcoin #altcoinseason #CryptoMarket #defi
A famouse saying : The crowd is right during the trend, but wrong at both ends.
BTC just displaced from 62.4K → straight into the 69.5K prior high liquidity pocket. Funding is negative. OI climbing. Sellers pressing aggressively.
That’s not confidence. That’s positioning imbalance.
4H structure: • Clean higher-low sequence from 62.4K • Strong displacement through MA cluster • Stoch RSI overheated (momentum extreme) • Now probing 69.5K prior high
When price pushes into liquidity while funding stays negative, you don’t ignore it. That’s fuel if acceptance happens.
1) July 2021 – The 30K “Dead Cat Bounce” That Wasn’t. BTC had crashed from 64K → 30K. Everyone was calling for 20K.
2) January 2023 – The “Bull Trap” Narrative. After the 15.5K bottom (FTX collapse), BTC reclaimed 21K.
3) October 2023 – 25K → 35K Expansion. BTC was stuck under 28K–30K for months.
If 69.5K accepts with continuation → squeeze potential toward 71K+ opens fast. If this fails and loses 67.5–68K → then the trap flips the other way.
Trade Thought / Decision Framework: I’m not predicting. I’m watching acceptance vs rejection at 69.5K. Above it with structure holding = squeeze conditions. Failure and reclaim below prior range = fade setup. Risk is defined by structure, not bias.
Everyone feels confident here.
That’s usually when the market decides who’s stubborn.I don’t know if you will keep your #BTC or just sell it here
Across cycles, Bitcoin has printed its bear market bottom almost exactly 23 months after its ATH. Not 12. Not 18. Roughly 23.
Let’s break it down structurally.
2013 cycle → ATH late 2013 → bottom January 2015 → ~25 months.
2017 cycle → ATH December 2017 → bottom December 2018 → ~12 months crash, but full structural base + reclaim phase extended into late 2019 (~23–24 months post-ATH before real expansion).
2021 cycle → ATH November 2021 → final low November 2022 → 12 months crash, but broader accumulation and reclaim phase stretched deep into 2023 (~23 months before sustainable expansion).
Here’s what most traders misunderstand: the “bottom” isn’t just the wick low. It’s the structural repair phase. The market doesn’t only crash — it rebuilds. And that rebuilding window keeps clustering around that 23-month timing zone.
Why 23 months? It aligns with liquidity reset, miner capitulation cycles, macro tightening/loosening shifts, and most importantly — crowd memory decay. By month 20+, hope is gone. Narratives die. Participation drops. That’s when supply is fully transferred.
Now apply it to the current cycle. Across cycles, Bitcoin has printed its bear market bottom almost exactly 23 months after its ATH. Not 12. Not 18. Roughly 23.
Let’s break it down structurally.
2013 cycle → ATH late 2013 → bottom January 2015 → ~25 months.
2017 cycle → ATH December 2017 → bottom December 2018 → ~12 months crash, but full structural base + reclaim phase extended into late 2019 (~23–24 months post-ATH before real expansion).
2021 cycle → ATH November 2021 → final low November 2022 → 12 months crash, but broader accumulation and reclaim phase stretched deep into 2023 (~23 months before sustainable expansion).
Here’s what most traders misunderstand: the “bottom” isn’t just the wick low. It’s the structural repair phase. The market doesn’t only crash — it rebuilds. And that rebuilding window keeps clustering around that 23-month timing zone.
Why 23 months? It aligns with liquidity reset, miner capitulation cycles, macro tightening/loosening shifts, and most importantly — crowd memory decay. By month 20+, hope is gone. Narratives die. Participation drops. That’s when supply is fully transferred.
Now apply it to the current cycle.
$BTC ATH: November 2021.
23-month timing window: October–November 2023.
What happened there? Aggressive base formation. Structural shift. Displacement.
That’s not random. That’s cyclical behavior.
But here’s the nuance: cycles don’t repeat — they rhyme. Timing clusters, but structure confirms. If price accepts higher highs and protects higher lows on HTF, that supports the thesis. If structure fails, timing alone means nothing.
Trade Thought / Decision Framework:
Timing gives context, not confirmation. I watch acceptance vs failure around HTF structure. If higher-timeframe higher lows continue to hold, expansion bias remains valid. If we lose structural support, the cycle thesis weakens. Risk management always overrides cycle theory.
So the real question isn’t “Did we bottom?”
It’s: Is structure behaving like a post-23-month accumulation or not?
Cycles reward patience.
Structure confirms reality.
$BTC ATH: November 2021.
23-month timing window: October–November 2023.
What happened there? Aggressive base formation. Structural shift. Displacement.
That’s not random. That’s cyclical behavior.
But here’s the nuance: cycles don’t repeat — they rhyme. Timing clusters, but structure confirms. If price accepts higher highs and protects higher lows on HTF, that supports the thesis. If structure fails, timing alone means nothing.
Trade Thought / Decision Framework:
Timing gives context, not confirmation. I watch acceptance vs failure around HTF structure. If higher-timeframe higher lows continue to hold, expansion bias remains valid. If we lose structural support, the cycle thesis weakens. Risk management always overrides cycle theory.
So the real question isn’t “Did we bottom?”
It’s: Is structure behaving like a post-23-month accumulation or not?
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