TheCryptoDegen
Dare to Fly Higher :Blockchain & Digital Asset Management -Bitcoin Fixing World -Shedding Light on Blockchain,Bitcoin & Crypto Currency Trader 24/7
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‼️MUST KNOW...‼️
Our calls for the last 6 months in order:
1. Bitcoin will rally to $130k (Hit $126,200, slight miss.)
2. Bitcoin will drop from $116k to $94-$100k (Hit $94k)
3. Because of the break below $94k, we on the same day called for a drop to $75-$80k. (Dropped to $80k.)
4. We called for a return to around $100k, which would reject and send us lower (Rallied to $98k, and fell over.)
We are now calling for a drop back to $80k, and possibly to $60-$75k where we will find the bear market bottom.
Our calls for the last 6 months in order:
1. Bitcoin will rally to $130k (Hit $126,200, slight miss.)
2. Bitcoin will drop from $116k to $94-$100k (Hit $94k)
3. Because of the break below $94k, we on the same day called for a drop to $75-$80k. (Dropped to $80k.)
4. We called for a return to around $100k, which would reject and send us lower (Rallied to $98k, and fell over.)
We are now calling for a drop back to $80k, and possibly to $60-$75k where we will find the bear market bottom.
The year is 2037.
Bitcoin isn’t a “trade” anymore.
It’s the settlement layer for a world that finally learned scarcity matters.
Mortgages are denominated in sats.
Retirement plans benchmark against Bitcoin, not the S&P.
Governments still print, people just opt out faster.
The question in 2037 isn’t “Should I buy Bitcoin?”
It’s “How did you live in a time when it was optional?”
Those who stacked early didn’t get rich overnight.
They got sovereign over time.
0.21 BTC didn’t buy Lambos.
It bought freedom of choice.
History won’t remember the price.
It’ll remember who understood the signal. 🟠
#GoldOnTheRise
Bitcoin isn’t a “trade” anymore.
It’s the settlement layer for a world that finally learned scarcity matters.
Mortgages are denominated in sats.
Retirement plans benchmark against Bitcoin, not the S&P.
Governments still print, people just opt out faster.
The question in 2037 isn’t “Should I buy Bitcoin?”
It’s “How did you live in a time when it was optional?”
Those who stacked early didn’t get rich overnight.
They got sovereign over time.
0.21 BTC didn’t buy Lambos.
It bought freedom of choice.
History won’t remember the price.
It’ll remember who understood the signal. 🟠
#GoldOnTheRise
Most graphical comparisons of bitcoin, gold and global stock market cap have incorrect scale.
This is a graph of the $2T bitcoin market, $35T gold market and $140T stock market with correct scale:
This is a graph of the $2T bitcoin market, $35T gold market and $140T stock market with correct scale:
This the biggest price divergence we’ve ever seen.
Gold: extremely overbought. Bitcoin: deeply oversold.
When manipulation ends, sentiment flips, profits rotate into BTC & Alts.
BTC: 10x easy
Alts: 50–100x - some even more
Smart money understands massive gains come when Gold & Silver investors diversify - and they will.
Gold: extremely overbought. Bitcoin: deeply oversold.
When manipulation ends, sentiment flips, profits rotate into BTC & Alts.
BTC: 10x easy
Alts: 50–100x - some even more
Smart money understands massive gains come when Gold & Silver investors diversify - and they will.
After 12 years, James Howells has ended his search for the hard drive he accidentally threw away in 2013—one that held 8,000 Bitcoin, now worth $950,000,000
By 2030, it could be worth $8 billion
By 2030, it could be worth $8 billion
🟧 Bitcoin Decision Ladder
• 0 BTC → Delegation
Outsources money decisions to banks, governments, employers
• 0.001 BTC → Experimentation
Tests Bitcoin without changing behavior
• 0.01 BTC → Partial Commitment
Holds BTC but still defaults to fiat systems
• 0.05 BTC → Intentional Choice
Actively converts income into sats
• 0.1 BTC → Default Shift
Bitcoin becomes the primary savings rail
• 0.21 BTC → Personal Standard
Measures wealth in BTC, not dollars
• 0.5 BTC → System Minimization
Reduces reliance on custodians and credit
• 1 BTC → Independent Operator
Controls keys, time, and capital flow
• 3+ BTC → Sovereign Decision Maker
Every major life choice priced in Bitcoin
• 10+ BTC → Rule Setter
Lives on Bitcoin terms, not legacy rules
• 0 BTC → Delegation
Outsources money decisions to banks, governments, employers
• 0.001 BTC → Experimentation
Tests Bitcoin without changing behavior
• 0.01 BTC → Partial Commitment
Holds BTC but still defaults to fiat systems
• 0.05 BTC → Intentional Choice
Actively converts income into sats
• 0.1 BTC → Default Shift
Bitcoin becomes the primary savings rail
• 0.21 BTC → Personal Standard
Measures wealth in BTC, not dollars
• 0.5 BTC → System Minimization
Reduces reliance on custodians and credit
• 1 BTC → Independent Operator
Controls keys, time, and capital flow
• 3+ BTC → Sovereign Decision Maker
Every major life choice priced in Bitcoin
• 10+ BTC → Rule Setter
Lives on Bitcoin terms, not legacy rules
This young tech guy turned $27 into a massive fortune by buying Bitcoin for educational purposes
Back then in 2009 Bitcoin was worth pennies
To be exact $0.0054 for one Bitcoin
Kristoffer Koch bought 5,000 Bitcoins after coming across Crypto while he was researching and studying encryption
At the time of buying, he didn’t expect much, it was just a purchase based on his research
He was just someone who liked buying random tech things he never really used, even though his girlfriend thought it was a waste of money
After buying, he pretty much forgot they even existed and years passed
In 2013, Bitcoin started appearing all over the news as prices began to explode.
That’s when he suddenly remembered the purchase and thought, “Didn’t I buy something like that?”
He dug through old files, tried to remember the password to his wallet, and managed to log in
That forgotten $27 was now worth $886,000 (2013) from which he sold a big portion and used it to buy a luxury apartment in Oslo
If he had held all 5,000 BTC until today, they would be worth around $438 million
Back then in 2009 Bitcoin was worth pennies
To be exact $0.0054 for one Bitcoin
Kristoffer Koch bought 5,000 Bitcoins after coming across Crypto while he was researching and studying encryption
At the time of buying, he didn’t expect much, it was just a purchase based on his research
He was just someone who liked buying random tech things he never really used, even though his girlfriend thought it was a waste of money
After buying, he pretty much forgot they even existed and years passed
In 2013, Bitcoin started appearing all over the news as prices began to explode.
That’s when he suddenly remembered the purchase and thought, “Didn’t I buy something like that?”
He dug through old files, tried to remember the password to his wallet, and managed to log in
That forgotten $27 was now worth $886,000 (2013) from which he sold a big portion and used it to buy a luxury apartment in Oslo
If he had held all 5,000 BTC until today, they would be worth around $438 million
The Game Theory of a $10T BTC Migration
Institutions don’t trade on faith.
They trade on incentives, benchmarks, and survival.
We just crossed the line where 0% allocation is no longer neutral.
In a benchmarked world, 0% exposure is an active short.
Here is the math holding a gun to their head.
The Career Math (Survival)
Old World: Ignore BTC → Safe.
New World: Ignore BTC → Career Suicide.
If you buy 1% and it drops, it’s a "hedge."
If you buy 0% and it rips, you’re fired for underperformance.
The cost of missing the upside is now fatal.
The Portfolio Math (Efficient Frontier)
Bitcoin is the only asset with High Volatility + Low Correlation.
That makes it a Sharpe Ratio cheat code.
• 0% = Suboptimal
• 1% = Free return (volatility dampened)
• 3-5% = Efficient Frontier
It’s not risky. It’s optimal.
The Supply Trap
Stocks go up? Issue shares.
Gold goes up? Mine more.
Bitcoin goes up? Supply is fixed.
Demand cannot create supply.
Only price can adjust.
The Fiat Multiplier
Liquidity is razor thin.
Bank of America estimates $1 of inflow ≠ $1 market cap change.
It’s a multiplier (3x–5x).
$1B of buying adds $3B+ to the market cap.
Price moves disproportionately to flow.
The Math
Global Wealth: ~$120T
Target Allocation: 5% ($6T)
Current Market Cap: ~$2T
You cannot pour $6T into a $2T container.
The asset class must expand (reprice) to hold the capital.
The Repricing
$6T Inflow × 3x Multiplier = +$18T Market Cap.
This isn't a prediction.
It is a mechanical requirement for the asset to absorb 5% of global capital.
The Missing Driver (Right Now)
"Solicited vs. Unsolicited."
2024: Clients had to ask (Pull).
2026: Advisors are recommending (Push).
We have moved from "Trade" to "Flow."
When buying becomes automatic, price appreciation becomes arithmetic.
Summary
The 5% allocation isn’t about belief.
It’s about job survival.
• Buy to keep your job. Try explaining to your boss you missed the greatest asymmetric asset in history.
The pivot isn't coming.
It's already baked in the model.
They trade on incentives, benchmarks, and survival.
We just crossed the line where 0% allocation is no longer neutral.
In a benchmarked world, 0% exposure is an active short.
Here is the math holding a gun to their head.
The Career Math (Survival)
Old World: Ignore BTC → Safe.
New World: Ignore BTC → Career Suicide.
If you buy 1% and it drops, it’s a "hedge."
If you buy 0% and it rips, you’re fired for underperformance.
The cost of missing the upside is now fatal.
The Portfolio Math (Efficient Frontier)
Bitcoin is the only asset with High Volatility + Low Correlation.
That makes it a Sharpe Ratio cheat code.
• 0% = Suboptimal
• 1% = Free return (volatility dampened)
• 3-5% = Efficient Frontier
It’s not risky. It’s optimal.
The Supply Trap
Stocks go up? Issue shares.
Gold goes up? Mine more.
Bitcoin goes up? Supply is fixed.
Demand cannot create supply.
Only price can adjust.
The Fiat Multiplier
Liquidity is razor thin.
Bank of America estimates $1 of inflow ≠ $1 market cap change.
It’s a multiplier (3x–5x).
$1B of buying adds $3B+ to the market cap.
Price moves disproportionately to flow.
The Math
Global Wealth: ~$120T
Target Allocation: 5% ($6T)
Current Market Cap: ~$2T
You cannot pour $6T into a $2T container.
The asset class must expand (reprice) to hold the capital.
The Repricing
$6T Inflow × 3x Multiplier = +$18T Market Cap.
This isn't a prediction.
It is a mechanical requirement for the asset to absorb 5% of global capital.
The Missing Driver (Right Now)
"Solicited vs. Unsolicited."
2024: Clients had to ask (Pull).
2026: Advisors are recommending (Push).
We have moved from "Trade" to "Flow."
When buying becomes automatic, price appreciation becomes arithmetic.
Summary
The 5% allocation isn’t about belief.
It’s about job survival.
• Buy to keep your job. Try explaining to your boss you missed the greatest asymmetric asset in history.
The pivot isn't coming.
It's already baked in the model.
Don’t Buy Bitcoin! Let Your Money Lose Value Instead…
…or here’s why I actually spend on it:
- Great for long-term saving and growth
- Only 21M coins exist – it’s rare
- More people and companies are using it every year
- It’s decentralized – no single company or government controls it
- It’s easy to send anywhere in the world
- It’s a way to protect your money from inflation
#Bitcoin #Crypto $BTC
…or here’s why I actually spend on it:
- Great for long-term saving and growth
- Only 21M coins exist – it’s rare
- More people and companies are using it every year
- It’s decentralized – no single company or government controls it
- It’s easy to send anywhere in the world
- It’s a way to protect your money from inflation
#Bitcoin #Crypto $BTC
4 year cycle is NOT the same as stock-to-flow model.
The 4 year cycle says that the year after a halving is a bull year, like 2013, 2017, 2021 🟩🟥🟩🟩 and 2025 did obviously not fit that pattern.
But S2F says nothing about bull or bear, top or bottom. S2F is the thesis that scarcity drives value, that bitcoin should (ultimately) be more valuable than gold because BTC is scarcer than gold. S2F models the rough path of nonlinear phase transitions towards $30T+. S2F roughly models the average price during a 4 year cycle (regardless of which years are bull or bear). Current cycle average is $90k, clearly above past cycle's average of $34k, and is still going towards S2F $250k-$1m range (2 years to go) IMO. I still fundamentally believe that.
$BTC
The 4 year cycle says that the year after a halving is a bull year, like 2013, 2017, 2021 🟩🟥🟩🟩 and 2025 did obviously not fit that pattern.
But S2F says nothing about bull or bear, top or bottom. S2F is the thesis that scarcity drives value, that bitcoin should (ultimately) be more valuable than gold because BTC is scarcer than gold. S2F models the rough path of nonlinear phase transitions towards $30T+. S2F roughly models the average price during a 4 year cycle (regardless of which years are bull or bear). Current cycle average is $90k, clearly above past cycle's average of $34k, and is still going towards S2F $250k-$1m range (2 years to go) IMO. I still fundamentally believe that.
$BTC
Bitcoin is challenging capital from the largest assets in the world like real estate, bonds, currencies, precious metals, and stocks.
The 20,000 shitcoins are challenging capital from one another because they all do the same thing, not much at all.
I fast realised that no one was using anything other than Bitcoin for payments.
Also, most of the creators of these shitcoins had shady history.
The best thing I ever did was piss off all the shitcoins.
It's not too late. Everyone has been there. Back the only asset worth backing. Bitcoin.
The 20,000 shitcoins are challenging capital from one another because they all do the same thing, not much at all.
I fast realised that no one was using anything other than Bitcoin for payments.
Also, most of the creators of these shitcoins had shady history.
The best thing I ever did was piss off all the shitcoins.
It's not too late. Everyone has been there. Back the only asset worth backing. Bitcoin.
"Bitcoin has no usecase,"
BITCOIN per coin:
$0
$10
$100
$10,000
$100,000 < we are here haters
$1,000,000
$10,000,000
$100,000,000
$1,000,000,000
^^^^
You can send this much anywhere in the world for $0.30 in fees.
No one can stop it
Hasn't been stopped in 17 years
The centralized system had their chance to stop it early days
First, they laugh at us
Then they ignore us
Then they fight us
Then we win
BITCOIN per coin:
$0
$10
$100
$10,000
$100,000 < we are here haters
$1,000,000
$10,000,000
$100,000,000
$1,000,000,000
^^^^
You can send this much anywhere in the world for $0.30 in fees.
No one can stop it
Hasn't been stopped in 17 years
The centralized system had their chance to stop it early days
First, they laugh at us
Then they ignore us
Then they fight us
Then we win
In 2028, the bitcoin block reward drops from 3.125 BTC every 10 minutes, to 1.56 BTC.
From 2028 to 2032, bitcoin will mark the last 4 years where the bitcoin block is above a whole coin.
In 2032, it drops to 0.78 BTC.
If you are alive and watching, this is quite the experience.
One day, your grandchildren will ask questions about the last whole bitcoin reward Epoch.
History in the making.
#BTC
From 2028 to 2032, bitcoin will mark the last 4 years where the bitcoin block is above a whole coin.
In 2032, it drops to 0.78 BTC.
If you are alive and watching, this is quite the experience.
One day, your grandchildren will ask questions about the last whole bitcoin reward Epoch.
History in the making.
#BTC
🚨 WARNING SIGNAL 🚨
ALTCOINS MAY BE HEADING INTO A SERIOUS DOWNTURN.
THE ALTS/BTC RATIO IS SHOWING THE SAME RED FLAG WE SAW BEFORE THE 2017 AND 2021 COLLAPSES — AND BOTH ENDED WITH HEAVY LOSSES.
THE CYCLE PATTERN IS STARTING TO RHYME AGAIN.
STAY ALERT. RISK IS RISING. ⚠️📉
ALTCOINS MAY BE HEADING INTO A SERIOUS DOWNTURN.
THE ALTS/BTC RATIO IS SHOWING THE SAME RED FLAG WE SAW BEFORE THE 2017 AND 2021 COLLAPSES — AND BOTH ENDED WITH HEAVY LOSSES.
THE CYCLE PATTERN IS STARTING TO RHYME AGAIN.
STAY ALERT. RISK IS RISING. ⚠️📉
THE US DOLLAR INDEX DXY IS ABOUT TO CRASH REALLY HARD 🚨
And here’s why:
For the first time this century, the Fed is planning to stop the Japanese yen from going down.
This is what we call “yen intervention.”
To do this, the Fed first needs to create new dollars and then use them to buy yen.
This causes the yen to strengthen and the USD to dump.
And the US government benefits from a weaker USD.
• Future debt gets inflated away
• Exports get a boost due to a cheaper dollar
• The deficit goes down
And for those holding assets, this intervention can result in a huge rally.
Back in July 2024, Japan’s Ministry of Finance intervened in the yen.
Markets were volatile for a few weeks before forming a bottom.
After that, BTC and alts rallied to new highs.
This time, the entity is the Fed itself.
Markets could stay volatile for some time, but as the dollar gets devalued, Bitcoin and alts could go parabolic.
And here’s why:
For the first time this century, the Fed is planning to stop the Japanese yen from going down.
This is what we call “yen intervention.”
To do this, the Fed first needs to create new dollars and then use them to buy yen.
This causes the yen to strengthen and the USD to dump.
And the US government benefits from a weaker USD.
• Future debt gets inflated away
• Exports get a boost due to a cheaper dollar
• The deficit goes down
And for those holding assets, this intervention can result in a huge rally.
Back in July 2024, Japan’s Ministry of Finance intervened in the yen.
Markets were volatile for a few weeks before forming a bottom.
After that, BTC and alts rallied to new highs.
This time, the entity is the Fed itself.
Markets could stay volatile for some time, but as the dollar gets devalued, Bitcoin and alts could go parabolic.
Satoshi Nakamoto has now been holding Bitcoin for 17yrs.
Here's how his holdings have performed over time:
$0 in 2009
$4.5K in 2010
$317K in 2011
$5.5M in 2012
$14.5M in 2013
$827M in 2014
Today, he is worth $100 BILLION and among the top 15 richest people in the world.
The power of not giving up!
Here's how his holdings have performed over time:
$0 in 2009
$4.5K in 2010
$317K in 2011
$5.5M in 2012
$14.5M in 2013
$827M in 2014
Today, he is worth $100 BILLION and among the top 15 richest people in the world.
The power of not giving up!
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