The Wheel That Has to Prove Itself: VANRY’s Demand Engine, the Value It Tries to Keep, and the Quiet
I first noticed how people talk about VANRY the way they talk about a well-oiled machine. A flywheel. Spin it once, and the next turn gets easier. Spin it harder, and the thing starts to pull itself forward.
That’s the comforting version. The version you hear in community threads and quick explainers.
The less comforting version is that most “flywheels” in crypto aren’t wheels at all. They’re a few loosely connected belts, and the moment one belt slips, everything looks like it’s moving but nothing is actually being pulled forward.
Vanar’s story sits right on that edge. It’s not an empty story, and it isn’t automatically true either. It’s a design that could work in a narrow set of conditions, and it can also fail in the most boring way possible: not with a collapse, but with the token simply never capturing the value people assume it will.
So let’s talk about it like humans, not like a pitch deck.
VANRY starts with a plain job. It’s the chain’s gas token. That’s not controversial. The whitepaper frames it that way, explains that it came from a 1:1 swap out of the earlier token supply, and puts a maximum supply number on the table: 2.4 billion. It also makes something else clear: the supply doesn’t just sit there. More tokens are issued through block rewards over time. That’s how validators get paid, and how the network stays secure.
Already, you can feel the tension.
A flywheel needs traction. Issuance is friction. It’s not “bad.” It’s a cost. Like paying staff salaries. The question is whether the business grows faster than its costs.
Then you get to Vanar’s choice that looks like a product decision but behaves like an economic decision: the fixed-fee idea.
Vanar doesn’t want users staring at fee charts and guessing whether today is a good day to click “confirm.” The whitepaper describes fees as stable in dollar terms. In other words, the chain aims to keep the user’s cost predictable, and it adjusts the amount of VANRY charged based on a computed market price.
As a user experience, that’s friendly. It’s the kind of thing a normal app user expects.
As token economics, it’s a little strange, because it flips a relationship people subconsciously rely on.
If fees are pegged to dollars, the chain doesn’t automatically “earn more VANRY” when the token price rises. It earns fewer tokens per transaction. So the token-demand from fees doesn’t scale neatly with price. It scales with volume. And because the stated fees are extremely low, that volume has to be enormous before it becomes meaningful compared with a supply in the billions.
This is the part that gets skipped when people explain the flywheel quickly. They’ll say “more usage = more demand,” and move on. The more honest version is: more usage creates demand, yes, but the demand is thin per unit of usage, so it needs scale to show up on-chain and in markets as something that can’t be ignored.
That’s why staking matters so much in the early years.
Staking is the chain’s way of borrowing credibility while it waits for real usage to arrive. People lock tokens, validators operate the network, rewards are paid out. The whitepaper also spells out that most of the additional issuance goes to validator rewards, with smaller slices for development incentives and community/airdrops.
Staking can help a token in a real way: it reduces the amount of supply that’s actually liquid. That can amplify price if demand does arrive.
But staking has its own ugly habit. If there isn’t enough real activity, the main “use case” becomes earning emissions. The system turns inward. People stake to earn rewards, they sell those rewards to cover opportunity cost, and the network’s biggest economy becomes the network paying itself.
Again: not a scandal, just a pattern.
So if Vanar stopped there—cheap fees, staking, block rewards—you’d basically be looking at the standard L1 token setup, just with a nicer fee experience.
The reason people bother talking about a “VANRY flywheel” is because Vanar claims a second engine: product revenue that gets routed back into the token.
This is where it gets interesting, and also where it gets fragile.
Vanar presents itself as more than blockspace. It leans into an AI-native stack and higher-level services. The implication is that people pay for actual products—subscriptions, tooling, enterprise usage—using normal money, not vibes. And then, according to Vanar’s own ecosystem messaging around buybacks and burns, a portion of that revenue is used to buy VANRY and burn it.
If that happens in a steady, measurable way, you start to get something closer to a real flywheel.
Because now you don’t have to rely entirely on “users buying gas” or “people buying to stake.” You’d also have a third source of demand: the platform itself acting like a recurring buyer, driven by revenue.
That’s not magic. It’s just a different kind of demand. And it’s the kind investors like because it doesn’t require every customer to become a token trader.
But here’s the human part: that loop only works if the revenue really gets routed the way the story says it does.
And in crypto, “routed” is where things get slippery.
There are only a few practical ways to implement buybacks:
One way is clean for customers but heavy on trust: customers pay in fiat or stablecoins, then the team (or a designated agent) buys VANRY in the open market on a schedule, and burns some portion.
It can work. But it means token demand depends on one actor’s choices, execution, and transparency. If the buying is clear, auditable, and consistent, the market treats it as structural. If it’s vague—occasional buy events, unclear percentages, discretionary timing—it gets treated like marketing.
Another way is clean for trust but rough for adoption: customers pay in VANRY directly, and burns are automatic. That reduces discretion, but it forces every customer to think about holding and spending a volatile token. Most businesses don’t want that friction.
So most projects pick the first approach and then spend the rest of their lives trying to convince people it’s not discretionary.
That’s why I keep coming back to the same dividing line:
Is VANRY capturing value mechanically, or politically?
Mechanically means the flow is built into the system and hard to quietly change. Politically means it exists as a policy decision: “we intend to do buybacks,” “we plan to burn,” “we’ll use revenue to support the token.” Those statements can be sincere. They’re still optional.
The flywheel breaks when optional becomes invisible.
There’s another crack that matters, and it’s less about mechanisms and more about belief: supply clarity.
Vanar’s whitepaper gives a specific supply story. But third-party trackers and older listings sometimes show tokenomics categories that look more conventional: team, advisors, marketing, vesting schedules. Sometimes that kind of mismatch is just outdated data. Sometimes it’s messy history from a token swap. Sometimes it’s poor indexing by aggregators.
Even if it’s benign, the mismatch is a problem for a flywheel narrative, because flywheels rely on trust.
If holders believe there’s hidden overhang—unlocks they don’t fully understand, discretionary treasury movements, allocations that feel opaque—they stop viewing buybacks and burns as “value capture” and start viewing them as “damage control.” And once the market adopts that mental model, the token has to work twice as hard to earn the same confidence.
Then there’s the less dramatic but more decisive failure mode: scale.
Vanar’s fee model aims for extremely low, predictable costs. That’s great for users, but it also means fee demand may remain a rounding error unless the chain is truly busy. In that world, the token’s biggest economic anchors become staking and the revenue-routing story.
If staking is mostly emissions-driven, and revenue-routing is small or unclear, you get a token that trades more on attention and incentives than on the underlying business.
That’s the “treadmill” outcome: lots of motion, limited pull.
So where does VANRY actually capture value, if everything goes right?
It captures value in three ways, each with its own risk.
One, it captures value if real usage explodes, because even tiny fixed fees add up at scale, and VANRY is still the unit used to pay them.
Two, it captures value if staking locks a meaningful share of supply, reducing float and making any demand more powerful.
Three, and most importantly, it captures value if revenue from products is consistently converted into market buying of VANRY and meaningful burns, in a way that’s repetitive enough to be boring.
Boring is the goal. Boring is credibility.
And if it breaks, it usually breaks in one of four ways.
Usage doesn’t reach scale, so fee demand stays thin.
Staking becomes the whole economy, so rewards become sell pressure instead of long-term support.
Revenue exists but leaks—spent on operations, partnerships, or held in stable assets—without reliably flowing back into the token.
Or the supply story gets noisy enough that no one wants to bet on scarcity, even if burns happen.
The uncomfortable conclusion is that VANRY is not one simple bet. It’s a bet that several parts of the machine work at the same time, and that the most discretionary part—the revenue-to-buyback loop—stays consistent when it would be easier not to.
VANRY is basically the “working token” of Vanar Chain — a modular L1 that’s trying to be useful for an AI-leaning stack, not just one flashy app. You use it to pay network fees, stake in the chain’s dPoS setup, and take part in governance and ecosystem incentives.
The supply math is at least readable: 2.4B max, with roughly 2.29B already circulating, so there isn’t much mystery left in dilution.
Fogo and the Price of Being Fast: Inside the Presale That Died and the Market It Built Instead
I started paying attention to Fogo for a simple reason: it did something most projects don’t do when the money is sitting right there. It set up what looked like a clean, painless presale—2% of supply for about $20 million at a $1 billion fully diluted valuation—and then it cancelled it. Not postponed. Not “restructured.” Cancelled. The explanation, according to coverage at the time, was that the team would shift that allocation toward the community through an airdrop instead. That’s the kind of move people immediately turn into a fable. Either the team is principled, or they’re panicking, or they’re playing PR chess. Usually it’s a messier mix than anyone wants to admit.
The part that made it worth digging into wasn’t the gesture. It was the context. By late 2025, the room had changed. The same launch pattern that used to be tolerated—small group buys early at a huge implied valuation, the broader market shows up later—was becoming radioactive. Some of that backlash was moral posturing, sure. But a lot of it was practical: people were tired of feeling like the trade was structured against them before the token even hit a chart.
So when Fogo walked away from that first presale, I didn’t read it as a halo. I read it as self-preservation, and maybe something more interesting: a project trying to match its fundraising story to its product story. Because Fogo isn’t trying to be a lifestyle brand chain or a general-purpose everything machine. It’s been positioning itself as trading infrastructure—fast block times, quick confirmations, and a runtime designed to accommodate applications that get ugly when timing is sloppy.
If you talk to traders long enough, you learn they don’t really care how inspiring your manifesto is. They care whether they get filled where they thought they would. They care whether liquidations happen cleanly. They care whether the block they’re in feels like a coin toss. In that world, “fairness” isn’t a vibe. It’s microstructure.
That’s where Fogo’s technical choices start to matter in a way most chain profiles avoid. Fogo is built on the Solana Virtual Machine, which is basically the project saying: we’re not starting from scratch; we want to attract teams already comfortable with the SVM ecosystem and its style of building. It’s a practical decision, not a philosophical one. And then there’s the client story: Fogo points to a Firedancer-derived implementation, borrowing credibility from a lineage that’s associated with performance engineering and network-level obsession. Whether that lineage guarantees anything is another question, but it explains what Fogo wants you to believe about its priorities.
Then you hit the part that changes the tone of the entire conversation: geography.
Fogo’s own material talks about validators being collocated in Asia, calling out Tokyo as a consensus location. The first time I read that, I had the same reaction I have whenever crypto starts sounding like a market data center brochure: okay, so we’re not pretending physics doesn’t matter. We’re leaning into it.
In traditional finance, being physically closer to the matching engine has always been an advantage. Crypto has spent years arguing about decentralization and open access, but the speed of light doesn’t care. Distance turns into latency. Latency turns into who gets priority. Priority turns into money. You can decentralize custody and settlement; you can’t decentralize geography.
Fogo is essentially making a bet that many projects try to hide from: if you want on-chain markets to behave more like professional trading venues, you need to treat latency like a design constraint, not an inconvenience. So it sells a picture of the chain where block times are around 40 milliseconds and confirmations are around 1.3 seconds—numbers that are meant to communicate not just speed, but predictability.
But here’s where the skepticism has to stay in the room with you. Speed doesn’t arrive alone. It drags tradeoffs behind it.
A low-latency network tends to reward coordination. Coordination tends to reward disciplined operators. Disciplined operators tend to cluster. And clustering tends to become a quiet form of centralization—not necessarily because anyone is malicious, but because performance requirements select for a certain kind of participant.
That’s why I keep coming back to the presale cancellation. If you’re building a chain that claims it can offer “better execution,” you can’t afford to start life as a symbol of the thing people already distrust: insiders getting a clean entry, everyone else arriving later with worse terms. Fogo’s decision to cancel the initial $20 million sale didn’t eliminate that risk. It just acknowledged that optics and incentives matter when your entire product is about trading outcomes.
And it’s not like Fogo rejected fundraising altogether. Reporting around launch describes a later sale of 2% of supply at a far lower implied valuation—around a $350 million FDV—raising roughly $7 million for the foundation. That sequence tells you something important: this wasn’t a vow of poverty. It was a decision to find money under a different narrative and, likely, under conditions that seemed less provocative in that moment.
Once the presale story shifted, the project leaned into the more familiar route: a points system and the promise that early users would be rewarded. Coverage at the time pointed to a “Flames” points program as part of how the community would earn allocation, with the cancelled presale tokens redirected toward airdrops.
Points programs are always tricky to talk about honestly because they’re easy to romanticize and easy to dismiss. The truth is simpler. They’re an acquisition system. They turn behavior into distribution. They attract people who will use the network because they expect a payoff later. Some of those users become genuine long-term participants. Many don’t. Early “activity” becomes hard to interpret, because you’re not measuring organic demand; you’re measuring the strength of an incentive.
That’s why the mainnet launch matters more than the presale drama ever did. In mid-January 2026, Fogo went live publicly. Coverage described the launch as paired with token debut and the conversion of points into tokens. This is the moment where a project stops being a promise and starts being a market.
Launch week is always the most flattering week a chain will have. The environment is controlled. The initial apps are curated. The validators are motivated. The community is watching. The real test is what happens when the chain becomes boring—when the incentives fade, when the first wave of airdrop-driven users cash out, when volatility hits and bots start leaning on the edges. That’s when claims about execution quality either become measurable reality or slide into the same category as every other ambitious launch slogan.
Fogo’s documentation is explicit about where it wants to compete: order books, real-time auctions, and a promise of reduced MEV extraction. That last phrase—reduced MEV extraction—should make any serious reader pause. MEV isn’t a gremlin you chase away with good intentions. It’s a structural feature of any system where transaction ordering and information asymmetry exist. If Fogo genuinely reduces certain toxic forms of MEV, it will be because the network changes the ordering game in specific, enforceable ways. The question becomes: what mechanisms, what tradeoffs, and who benefits?
This is where the conversation gets uncomfortable, because the most important questions are not the ones projects like to answer on podcasts. If validators are collocated, does that improve predictability for most users, or does it create an environment where certain professional actors can operate closer to the rails than everyone else? Does “fair execution” mean fewer abusive reorderings, or does it mean the reorderings become more controlled and harder to detect? Does performance-first design end up selecting a small circle of operators simply because not everyone can or will meet the requirements?
None of those questions are accusations. They’re the price of taking Fogo’s own thesis seriously.
Even the token data, which people love to treat like a scoreboard, is more useful as a diagnostic than a verdict. Market trackers show a very large supply (in the billions) and price levels in the low cents range around mid-February 2026, with market cap in the tens of millions. Those are moving numbers, and they don’t tell you whether the network is “good.” What they do tell you is that distribution is broad enough that post-airdrop sell pressure is not a theoretical concern—it’s a basic expectation. The chain needs retention that is driven by utility, not by points.
So where does that leave the story?
It leaves it exactly where it should be, if you’re treating this like research rather than fandom. Fogo is trying to do something specific: build on-chain trading infrastructure that behaves with more determinism and less latency than the environments traders complain about. To do that, it borrows from the SVM world, leans on high-performance client lineage, and embraces a geography-and-latency worldview that crypto usually tries to talk around.
The presale cancellation wasn’t the whole story. It was a clue. It suggested the team understood that distribution optics and execution claims can’t be separated. If you say your chain is about fairness and better trading outcomes, people will scrutinize how you handed out the upside.
Now the only questions that matter are the boring ones—the ones answered over months, not launch week. Does the validator set broaden in practice? Do trading applications show consistently better execution versus comparable environments, not in theory but in spreads and slippage and liquidation quality? Do independent postmortems confirm that the system actually reduces the kinds of MEV that hurt ordinary users, rather than simply concentrating them differently?
If those answers come back positive, Fogo becomes more than another fast chain. It becomes a case study in what happens when crypto stops pretending market structure isn’t the product.
$9.5T of U.S. debt maturing in 2026… and people still think the system runs on strong fundamentals. This isn’t a wall — it’s a refinancing cliff with a spotlight on it. Rates stay high? Pain. Rates drop fast? Different kind of pain.
Eighteen Times Faster, on Paper The Fogo Claim That Depends on What You Measure
Because “faster” in crypto is a suitcase word. People stuff different things into it—block cadence, confirmation speed, how quickly your swap feels “done,” how the chain behaves when it’s busy—then zip it up and pretend it’s one clean metric. The trick is that you can make almost any chain look heroic if you get to choose what goes inside the suitcase.
Fogo’s headline number usually shows up alongside another number that’s easier to grab onto: 40 milliseconds. The project and launch coverage repeatedly frame Fogo around “40ms blocks,” and then connect that to the “up to 18x faster” claim.
So, is the claim false?
Not in the simple “they made it up” sense. Fogo really does publicly anchor itself to the idea of extremely short block times, and “up to” gives them room to describe a best-case scenario without promising you’ll live in that best case every day.
But is the claim clean? Is it the kind of comparison you can take literally?
That’s where it starts to wobble.
Solana’s own developer documentation talks about slots (the rhythm at which block production happens) being configured around ~400ms, with some fluctuation. If you do the simple math most readers assume they’re being invited to do—40ms versus 400ms—you get 10x, not 18x.
So how do people end up saying 18x?
There are a few perfectly legal ways to land there without ever writing something technically “wrong.” You can compare to the slower end of Solana’s fluctuation range. You can compare a lab-like target to a real-world average. You can quietly shift the meaning of “faster” from “slot cadence” to “confirmation experience.” Or you can just let the “up to” do its job: it signals a maximum, not a typical outcome.
That’s why the claim spreads so well. It’s not pinned to one measurement method, so it’s hard to pin down and disprove.
The more interesting part is how Fogo is trying to make 40ms plausible in the first place.
Most chains run into a boring, unavoidable limit: distance. Consensus is messages flying between validators, and messages have to travel through fiber across continents. You can write the fastest software in the world and still lose to physics if your key nodes are far apart.
Fogo doesn’t pretend that problem doesn’t exist. It leans into a solution that’s blunt: keep consensus-critical validators close to each other.
In Fogo’s architecture materials, validators are grouped into geographic “zones,” and the ideal version of a zone is described as a single data center—close enough that network latency is tiny and predictable. The whole point is to get consensus messages moving fast enough that sub-100ms blocks aren’t a fantasy.
That’s the part most “18x” quotes don’t mention. Fogo isn’t saying “we beat Solana while playing the same game on the same field.” It’s trying to win by shrinking the field.
And that changes what the comparison really means.
If a chain gets low latency by encouraging co-location and tighter operational constraints, you’re not just comparing software quality. You’re comparing tradeoffs.
It’s like comparing two delivery services where one says, “We’re 10x faster,” and then you realize their drivers only operate inside one neighborhood while the other one covers the entire city. The speed can be real. The comparison can still be misleading.
There’s another reason “40ms blocks” doesn’t automatically translate into “you feel 18x faster.”
how quickly their transaction gets picked up,whether it gets dropped or delayed under load,how many confirmations they wait before they relax,whether the infrastructure they’re using (RPCs, relayers, validators) becomes the bottleneck.
A chain can print tiny block intervals and still give you a mediocre experience if the network is congested or the transaction path is messy. That’s why serious Solana infrastructure discussions focus on things like confirmation/commitment behavior, not just slot timing.
And Fogo is early enough that the hardest test—stress, volatility spikes, adversarial traffic—hasn’t had years to write the chain’s real reputation yet.
Even in early mainnet coverage, you can see the gap between “block time” and “what’s actually happening on-chain.” Reporting around launch mentioned 40ms blocks, but also cited throughput numbers for early apps that are solid yet nowhere near the kind of “blow everything away” mental image casual readers attach to the slogan.
So here’s the most human, non-hype answer:
If someone hears “18x faster than Solana” and imagines a simple promise—every action you take will settle eighteen times quicker than it does on Solana, under the same conditions, for everyone worldwide—that’s not a fair interpretation. The claim isn’t defined tightly enough for that, and the underlying design choices (zones, co-location, operational constraints) mean it’s not an apples-to-apples race anyway.
If you interpret the claim the way the fine print wants you to—in the best case, with a topology designed around low-latency zones, we can run block intervals far shorter than Solana’s nominal slot cadence—then it’s not inherently false. It’s just narrower than the slogan sounds.
What would actually settle this, in a way that’s worth trusting?
Not more tweets. Not more multipliers.
You’d want to see real, boring evidence over time: does Fogo keep those low block intervals during heavy usage? Does inclusion latency stay tight when blocks fill up? Are reorgs rare and clearly communicated? Do zones expand in a way that doesn’t quietly turn “decentralization” into a small club of co-located operators?
BTC shaping a clean Adam & Eve — sharp V, rounded base, pressure building. $72K is the trigger. Flip that level and shorts start sweating. Momentum traders pile in. Liquidity opens up fast. Next magnet? $80K. Market’s been whispering accumulation for weeks. Breakout just turns the volume on. Either it rips… or it fakes everyone out again. Bitcoin loves both.
Fogo’s token is fuel when it’s doing real work—paying fees, backing staking security, and carrying governance—and that work shows up in everyday mainnet activity (the public mainnet went live Jan 15, 2026).
It turns into a burden when growth relies on making the token disappear. Gas sponsorship can make UX feel “free,” but it also loosens the link between usage and token demand—because someone still covers the cost.
Then there’s supply pressure: Fogo says about 63.74% of genesis supply is locked, unlocking over four years. That can help alignment, but it also creates a schedule traders track.
🚨A whale just opened a $94.3M $ETH long. Either this is conviction… or a very expensive adrenaline hobby. Leverage that size doesn’t come from vibes — it comes from a thesis, timing, or insider-level confidence in momentum. Funding, liquidity pockets, and liquidation zones suddenly matter more than narratives. Now the real question: Did he spot the move early… or just become the liquidity exit everyone was waiting for?