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$BTC rebound is clearly blocked around 64,500; the short-term moving averages have already turned downward and formed downward pressure. The market is gradually weakening.

$BTC - Empty

Quantitative reference:
Watch range: 64,000 - 64,100
Risk control line: 64,600
Stage-by-stage profit taking: 63,700 → 63,300 → 62,600

Core judgment:
This rebound lifted from 62,600 has failed to hold near 64,500. The price has now broken below the short-term moving averages, and even MA99—previously acting as a backstop—is repeatedly being “scraped.” There’s heavy resistance overhead, and volume has kept shrinking, indicating that fewer and fewer people are chasing longs. As long as the 64,600 line is not broken through and reclaimed with volume, this high-level rejection pattern is likely to test the prior lows in the direction of 63,700 and even 62,600. In that case, it’s usually steadier to short with the move rather than stubbornly waiting for a hard breakout.

Click here to trade👇$BTC

$ETH surged up to 1918 and then quickly pulled back. Currently, an obvious suppression is forming from the moving-average system overhead, and the market’s focus is gradually shifting downward.

$ETH - Empty

Quantitative reference:
Watch range: 1,895 - 1,900
Risk control bottom line: 1,915
Take profit in batches: 1,885 → 1,870 → 1,850

Core judgment:
The earlier push to 1,918 was clearly a bull-trap. Now the price has been pressured by the moving-average system; meanwhile, trading volume has been shrinking continuously, indicating that the chasing-buy liquidity has basically fallen away. As long as the line at 1,915 does not regain ground with volume, this kind of rebound-and-fade structure is likely to continue following momentum and pull back to retest the prior low around 1,868—or even deeper. In that scenario, the risk-reward ratio for taking a short on a trend-following move remains quite good.

Click here to trade👇$ETH

$SNDK The order book shows a clear one-sided downward trend. The bulls’ willingness to take over is extremely lacking, and the overall trend still remains weak.

$SNDK - Empty

Quantitative reference:
Watch range: 1,675 - 1,685
Risk control bottom line: 1,720
Partial profit-taking: 1,650 → 1,630 → 1,600

Key analysis:
After the peak at 1,826 earlier, the price action has kept moving downward all the way. There hasn’t even been a decent pullback. The current price has already fallen completely below the short-term moving average system. Above, resistance is extremely heavy, and trading volume has also noticeably shrunk, which indicates that off-exchange capital has no intention at all to step in and take over the position.

As long as the line of defense at 1,720 is not released and cannot reclaim the area with sufficient volume, this extremely weak structure will most likely continue to press lower following inertia. In that case, taking a short in line with the trend still offers a good risk-reward ratio.

Click here to trade👇$SNDKB

$BTC The weakening after the rally and pullback has already become evident. The overhead moving-average system has formed a clear suppression effect, and the short-term tape is gradually trending weaker.

$BTC - Empty

Quant reference:
Key focus zone: 64,050 - 64,200
Risk-control floor: 64,600
Take partial profits in batches: 63,300 → 63,000 → 62,500

Core analysis:
After this push up to around 64,600, it was clearly no longer being supported. Price has already been consecutively breaking through the short-term moving averages, and even MA99—the one that had been providing cover—has been breached. The overhead moving averages have turned and formed a “dead cross” to exert pressure. Meanwhile, volume has continued to contract, indicating that the willingness of chasing-buy capital is extremely weak. As long as the 64,600 defense line does not regain support with a volume pickup and stand back above it, this kind of sluggish market is likely to, along with inertia, drift down toward the lower boundary band and the prior low area to seek follow-up demand. Chasing a short in line with the trend, the risk-reward ratio is still favorable.

Click here to trade👇$BTC

$HEMI Only look at it now: it’s showing a small bounce while stepping on the MA7, but you haven’t noticed that the needle at 0.00898 has already exposed the sell pressure above—clearly and unmistakably. With this kind of shrinking-volume rebound, do you dare to enter and short it?

$HEMI - Short

Trading plan:
Entry: 0.00698 - 0.00706
Stop Loss (SL): 0.00730
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.00670
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.00610
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 0.00580

Why short?
That move up to 0.00898 was followed by an immediate drop, leaving an extremely long upper wick—this indicates that there is very concentrated sell pressure overhead. The capital that chased the rally is basically trapped up there. Now, although it’s barely being held up by the MA7 (0.00696), the rebound clearly lacks the volume to back it up, and it can’t even reach the previous high. As long as the 0.00730 line doesn’t regain traction with volume and doesn’t stand back above it, this weak, rejection-style market action is likely to pull back to test the MA25 (0.00670), or even deeper support zones. The risk-to-reward for following the short remains favorable.

Click here to trade👇$HEMI

$ADA only look at it 0.1721—it seems like it might be stabilizing and stopping the fall, but you don’t notice that MA7 and MA25 have already formed a bearish cross and are pressing down. On a bounce, you can’t even touch the edge of the moving averages. In this kind of one-way weak market, do you dare to short?

$ADA - Short

Trading plan:
Entry: 0.1715 - 0.1725
Stop Loss (SL): 0.1750
Target 1 (TP1): 0.1680
Target 2 (TP2): 0.1650
Target 3 (TP3): 0.1600

Why short?
After price topped at 0.2033, it has been consistently held back by moving-average resistance and hasn’t managed to organize a proper pullback. Right now the moving-average system has fully formed a bearish alignment; every rebound is firmly pinned down. The bulls have absolutely no strength to fight back. As long as this 0.1750 defense line doesn’t return with volume, this extremely weak structure will most likely continue moving down along the inertia toward the lower band at 0.1680—or even deeper to find support. And the risk-reward ratio for following the short is still quite good.

Click here to trade👇$ADA

$AIO fell so smoothly that you can’t even reach the edge of 0.052. Chasing a short with the momentum is definitely more reliable than betting on a rebound.

$AIO - Sell (Short)

Trading Plan:
Entry: 0.0488 - 0.0492
Stop Loss (SL): 0.0520
Target 1 (TP1): 0.0465
Target 2 (TP2): 0.0438
Target 3 (TP3): 0.0410

Why short?
After topping at 0.0788, the price quickly dumped. It has already broken below all short-term moving averages, and the technical setup is completely bearish. During the session, any rebound that reaches the moving-average area gets pushed back down, showing that the longs have no real strength to resist. As long as the 0.052 level doesn’t come back with volume, this weak, downward grind is likely to continue, seeking support in the lower band area. The risk-reward ratio of following the momentum short is still quite good.

Click here to place the trade👇$AIO

$1000PEPE —This kind of rhythm that slides along the lower band barely manages a decent rebound. Going short is definitely better than stubbornly holding against the move.

$1000PEPE - Short

Trading plan:
Entry: 0.002560 - 0.002565
Stop loss (SL): 0.002595
Target 1 (TP1): 0.002528
Target 2 (TP2): 0.002500
Target 3 (TP3): 0.002470

Why go short?
After the high at 0.00296 was hit and brought down, the price has never even touched the edge of the MA7. This shows the bulls have completely given up resisting. Now price is riding the lower band. The MACD green histogram also shows no sign of shrinking. As long as the level at 0.002595 doesn’t gather volume and get back above it, it will very likely drop further—toward 0.002528 or even deeper. Following this trend, the risk-reward ratio for shorting is still quite good.

Click here to trade👇$1000PEPE

$1000PEPE decline looks very smooth; the short-term moving averages are firmly pressing down on the price. In this one-way weak structure, follow the trend and take shorts downward—clearly the risk/reward ratio is higher than trading a bounce.

$1000PEPE - Sell

Trading plan:
Entry: 0.002560 - 0.002570
Stop loss (SL): 0.002595
Target 1 (TP1): 0.002528
Target 2 (TP2): 0.002500
Target 3 (TP3): 0.002470

Why short?
From the daily chart, the price has already broken below the MA7, MA25, and MA99 support lines consecutively. The overall focus has been shifting downward continuously. After the earlier high at 0.00296 was confirmed, the bulls basically gave up resistance—there wasn’t even a decent pullback. As long as this 0.002595 support line can’t get back above it on increased volume, this extremely weak structure will most likely, driven by momentum, test the previous low at 0.002528. Once it breaks through, it will likely move into deeper territory. Following the short trend still offers a superior risk/reward ratio.

Click here to trade👇$1000PEPE

$EWY 190 The rise is clearly a trap for buying. Now the price has already broken through the short-term moving averages; even MA99 is almost unable to hold. The most reasonable approach is to sell short in line with the trend.

$EWY - Sell short

Trading plan:
Entry: 181.5 - 182.5
Stop loss (SL): 184.8
Target 1 (TP1): 180.0
Target 2 (TP2): 178.0
Target 3 (TP3): 172.0

Why sell short?
That surge around 190 has basically exhausted the chasing-bull sentiment. Now the price has been consecutively breaking through MA7 and MA25, which indicates the short-term bullish momentum has completely faded. The area around 184.8 is heavily capped; as long as price does not reclaim and stand back above this level, the market will most likely test support around 181. Once MA99 fails to hold, a trend-following short is far more reliable than stubbornly waiting for a rebound.

Click here to trade👇$EWYB

$VELVET It looks like it’s about to stabilize and trade sideways, but it hasn’t noticed that the upper moving averages have already been completely pressed down. The sell-side order flow hasn’t even been fully digested.

$VELVET - Empty

Execution framework:
Key level: 0.554 - 0.558
Risk control line: 0.585
Scale-in targets: 0.520 → 0.495 → 0.470

Reasoning:
After that earlier high at 1.24 got smashed down, the price kept drifting lower along with the moving averages. MA7 and MA25 have fully formed a bearish alignment, pressing down on top. Any rebound can’t even reach the edge of 0.58. The MACD green histogram also shows no clear sign of convergence, indicating that bearish momentum is still being released. As long as 0.585 cannot be broken through, it’s highly likely to drift toward 0.52 and even lower areas to look for support. Following the trend to short is far more reliable than stubbornly waiting for a rebound.

Reference levels for execution👇$VELVET

$MSTR just now surged up to around 98.5 and clearly couldn't push further. Now it has shrunk in volume and pulled back, and even the MA7 can't hold it. This kind of surge-and-reversal structure—if you don’t short it, it’s really a pity.

$MSTR - Short

Trading plan:
Entry: 97.00 - 97.50
Stop loss (SL): 98.60
Target 1 (TP1): 96.00
Target 2 (TP2): 94.80
Target 3 (TP3): 93.20

Why short?
After hitting resistance around 98.5, the price has continued to print small-bodied candles. This indicates that sell pressure above has started to show. Currently, it’s being held down by the MA7 (97.63). Volume has also contracted in parallel, meaning the chasing-buying capital simply can’t follow through.

As long as 98.6 doesn’t break and regain with volume, this weak market structure will very likely revisit the support area below—MA25 (96.04) and even MA99 (94.77). Going short in line with the trend still offers a very good risk-reward ratio.

Click here to trade👇$MSTRB

$BEAT Don't look at how hard it’s falling. At the 0.242 level, there is clearly money propping it up. The MACD has also formed a bullish crossover at a low position. The logic for a short-term rebound is pretty clear.

$BEAT - Long

Trading plan:
Entry: 0.293 - 0.297
Stop Loss (SL): 0.285
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.310
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.325
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 0.342

Why go long?
The earlier “A-shaped kill” plunge has already flushed out most of the panic sellers. Now around 0.242, the price has formed a double-bottom confirmation. MA7 has started to turn upward, and near-term selling pressure has clearly weakened. As long as the 0.285 support line isn’t broken down on high volume, this oversold rebound setup is likely to take advantage of the momentum from sentiment repair and first test 0.31, or even higher resistance levels.

Click here to trade👇$BEAT

$QQQ The price has continuously fallen below MA7, MA25, and MA99—three key moving averages. The short-term bullish structure has been damaged. Following the trend to go short is currently the more reasonable choice.

$QQQ - Go short

Trading plan:
Entry: 728.0 - 729.5
Stop Loss (SL): 734.5
Target 1 (TP1): 722.0
Target 2 (TP2): 716.8
Target 3 (TP3): 706.0

Why go short?
After the resistance at the high point around 736.87, the price has now effectively broken below three moving-average support levels, forming a short-term dead-cross suppression pattern. The rebound highs have gradually been lowering, and trading volume remains low, indicating that the bulls lack the strength to mount a reversal. As long as it cannot effectively build volume and reclaim 734.5, this low-volume rebound-and-rejection structure will most likely seek support in the lower area. Going short in line with the trend still offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for a pullback trade.

Click here to trade👇$QQQB

$LINK Only watch it being range-bound around 9.40, yet you didn’t notice that MA7 and MA25 are forming a death cross and suppressing the price. Even the rebound’s volume is shrinking drastically—would you dare to short in this weak consolidation?

$LINK - Short

Trading Plan:
Entry: 9.42 - 9.45
Stop Loss (SL): 9.62
Target 1 (TP1): 9.30
Target 2 (TP2): 9.22
Target 3 (TP3): 9.08

Why short?
After topping at 9.75, the price has been stuck in a sideways consolidation. It’s now tightly suppressed by the short-term moving averages and can’t even touch the edge of 9.48. The steadily shrinking volume indicates that no off-market funds are really stepping in—this kind of low-volume sideways action is often a classic feature of a bearish continuation. As long as the 9.62 support/resistance line isn’t effectively broken with a convincing increase in volume, the market is very likely to retrace to the MA99 support near 9.30. Once that level is lost, it will likely accelerate downward toward the lower band area to seek liquidity/support. Trading in the direction of the trend to bet on the breakdown still offers a solid risk-to-reward ratio.

Click here to trade👇$LINK

$MRVL Only look at how it fell to around 232 and seems to have support, yet you didn’t notice that the MA7 above (234.85) has already formed a direct overhead resistance. The rebound can’t even reach the edge of 235. With such weak performance, do you dare to short here?

$MRVL - Short

Trading plan:
Entry: 231.80 - 232.80
Stop Loss (SL): 237.50
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 225.00
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 220.00
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 205.70

Why short?
That spike to 240.39 left a long upper shadow, showing heavy selling pressure overhead. Price has already broken below the MA7 short-term support. The MA25 below (231.66) is currently the only line of defense. If this level is breached, the overhead pressure will directly push downward toward the MA99 (224.70) and even deeper into the prior low zone. As long as the 237.50 level holds and isn’t reclaimed with volume, this “resistance-at-high-level” structure will most likely continue to seek support lower down. Trading in the direction of the move to short a pullback still offers a good risk-reward setup.

Click here to trade👇$MRVLB

$NBIS After the previous high at 285 got slammed down, it couldn’t even get back to the edge of 270. All the moving averages have been pushed down as well. In a soft, weak market like this, wouldn’t you follow it and go short?

$NBIS - Short

Trading plan:
Entry: 267.0 - 268.0
Stop Loss (SL): 273.5
Target 1 (TP1): 259.0
Target 2 (TP2): 252.0
Target 3 (TP3): 244.0

Why go short?
After that peak at 285, price broke straight through the three key moving averages, MA7, MA25, and MA99, showing that the short-term bullish momentum has completely run out of power. Now strong resistance has formed around 273 above. As long as this line of defense is not reclaimed with volume, this weak structure will most likely continue following inertia down toward the lower band at 259 or even deeper areas to seek support. Taking a short here still offers a decent risk-reward ratio.

Click here to trade👇$NBISB

$MUU I just touched 36.61 and it got smashed back immediately. Would you dare to follow and short into this kind of price action where it spikes and then quickly reverses?

$MUU - Short

Trading plan:
Entry: 34.60 - 34.80
Stop Loss (SL): 36.10
Target 1 (TP1): 33.10
Target 2 (TP2): 31.50
Target 3 (TP3): 29.00

Why short?
After the price spikes and meets resistance, it quickly pulls back. It has already broken below both the MA7 and MA25, two short-term support lines, consecutively, indicating that the upward momentum from the bulls is clearly weakening. As a 2x leveraged ETF, the volatility is already high by nature. Once breakout-buying positions get trapped, the speed of the subsequent pullback is often much faster than expected. Below, MA99 (33.07) is the first support/accumulation zone. As long as this 36.10 defense level is not able to reclaim with volume, the market will most likely continue along the momentum and probe the lower band and even deeper areas to find support. Following the trend to take a quick short pull could still offer a very good risk-reward ratio.

Click here to trade👇$MUUB

$SAMSUNG Only watch it break below 199—stay steady—yet you didn’t notice that the resistance around 200 above has already been pressing down, and the trading volume is also clearly shrinking. Basically, no one is willing to take the bait at this level.

$SAMSUNG - Sell short

Trading plan:
Entry: 198.0 - 198.8
Stop loss (SL): 202.0
Target 1 (TP1): 194.0
Target 2 (TP2): 189.5
Target 3 (TP3): 185.0

Why go short?
After topping at 206, the price has clearly weakened. Now it’s being doubly pressured by MA7 (200) and MA25 (199). Even any rebound can’t even touch the edge of 200. Below, MA99 (193) is the first short-term support. If volume still can’t be picked up, this kind of slow bearish drift structure can easily pierce through that level directly and push down toward 189 or even deeper. As long as the 202 line doesn’t regain ground with strong volume, the risk-reward for testing a short trade remains very good.

Click here to trade👇$SAMSUNGEM

$INTC 107.75 After the wave surged and then dropped hard, the price couldn’t even climb back above the 104 level. For this kind of weak market where it can’t rise, it’s clearly more cost-effective to take a stab at a short rather than stubbornly waiting for a breakout.

$INT - Sell Short

Trading Plan:
Entry: 103.60 - 103.90
Stop Loss (SL): 105.50
Target 1 (TP1): 101.50
Target 2 (TP2): 100.00
Target 3 (TP3): 97.50

Why Short?
After 107.75 met resistance and pulled back, the rebound strength is clearly weak now. Repeated tests around 104 keep failing to break through, which suggests that the supply from above hasn’t been fully absorbed. Volume has been shrinking all along, indicating there’s basically no fresh incremental capital coming in to take the orders. As long as this weak structure doesn’t manage to regain 105.5 and hold with increased volume, this bearish, slow drift downward structure will most likely seek support around 101.5 or even deeper—while the short’s risk/reward ratio still remains favorable.

Click here to trade👇$INTCB