Next week, all eyes are on new U.S. inflation data, and it's causing quite a stir. The buzz? This data might just be the push the Federal Reserve needs to start considering interest rate cuts—a move economists are eagerly anticipating.

Here's the scoop: The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index (excluding food and energy), is expected to rise by just 0.2% for the second consecutive month. This modest increase suggests inflation might be stabilizing.

On top of that, the three-month annualized rate for core inflation is predicted to dip to 2.1%, just shy of the Fed's 2% target. Close enough for some analysts to start betting on rate cuts in the near future.

But inflation isn't the only thing to watch. Consumer spending is also in the spotlight, with a 0.5% increase expected in July—the largest in four months. This uptick indicates that the economy still has some momentum, a crucial factor for the Fed as it balances controlling inflation and supporting growth.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking at the Jackson Hole symposium, hinted at policy adjustments, expressing newfound confidence in the direction of inflation. With inflation easing, the Fed's focus is shifting to the labor market, as maintaining a stable job market is equally important.

So, what's next? Powell laid out his plan: to keep the U.S. economy afloat while analyzing the missteps of the past few years. The Fed is preparing for its first formal review since the pandemic's inflation spike, aiming to learn from the challenges faced during those turbulent times.

Powell acknowledged the uncertainty that the pandemic brought, emphasizing the need for humility and the willingness to adapt.

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