Actualiés Ethereum : L’occasion rêvée pour acheter la baisse selon Bitmine

😂 Ahah, les lunettes ont la vie dure ! Mais c'est vrai, les hauts et les bas font partie du jeu, et c'est cool de pouvoir en rire 🤣 ! #LunettesProblématiques #PicsEtDips

Polymarket poursuit le Massachusetts alors que plusieurs États défient les règles des marchés

$BTC recorded an RSI reading of 16 yesterday, the lowest level since November 2018. This is one of the lowest readings in the indicator’s history and firmly places the market in a state of extreme oversold conditions. From a technical perspective, any RSI reading below 30 is considered oversold. Reaching 16, however, signals that selling pressure has reached an abnormally intense level relative to historical market behavior. Back in November 2018, a similar reading coincided with the formation of a long-term price bottom, followed by a sustained bullish trend that lasted for months. That said, it would be a mistake to assume that oversold conditions automatically imply an immediate reversal. Oversold is a necessary but not sufficient condition for a bottom. In aggressive bear markets, the RSI can remain depressed for extended periods especially in an environment of tight monetary policy, rising real interest rates, and capital exiting high-risk assets. A professional reading of the current landscape suggests that the market is in a capitulation phase, not an accumulation phase. Technically, current levels may be suitable for gradual position building by long-term investors, but they are not appropriate for short-term speculation. Historically, such RSI readings have represented excellent long-term investment opportunities for those with a long time horizon and strict risk discipline. An RSI at 16 does not mean a bounce will happen tomorrow, but it does confirm that selling has become excessive and that the greater risk now lies not in disciplined buying, but in emotion-driven decisions under fear. Markets don’t reward those who sell in panic, they reward those who remain patient when certainty disappears.

6 astuces pour toujours acheter à la baisse au bon moment selon Santiment

🗓️ Février 2011 : Le #Bitcoin touche les 1 $ pour la toute première fois. Dites-nous la vérité : qu'est-ce que vous faisiez en 2011 ? 👇

Liquidity, leverage, and positioning are not marketing terms they are the mechanics of how prices move after a coin exists. Birth explains supply. Markets explain price. Confusing the two is exactly how people miss regime shifts.

Markets punish impatience, not just bad assets

I understand the stress that feeling is real. A drawdown doesn’t automatically mean a failed investment, but it does mean risk was higher than expected. What matters now isn’t hope, it’s whether SOL still fits your time horizon and risk tolerance

Math doesn’t make money by itself risk management and execution do . Data doesn’t predict the future, it defines probabilities . Ignoring data doesn’t make markets random, it just makes decisions blind

The One Number That Matters Right Now: 7.9× As a trained oil and gas reserves engineer, I was taught to watch one ratio: reserves ÷ production rate. It tells you how long inventory lasts. $BTC is even stricter than a reservoir. In oil and gas, higher prices can bring on new drilling and add reserves. In Bitcoin, supply is fixed at 21 million. No new discoveries. No reserve revisions. Now apply the same depletion logic: ETF holdings: ~1.3 million BTC New annual issuance: ~164K BTC Coverage ratio: ~7.9× (about 8 years of current new supply) That’s why this number matters the most: it compares demand to supply. If long-duration buyers are absorbing multiple years of new BTC, price doesn’t need a story to reprice it needs time. Yes, the path will be volatile. Yes, OG holders will sell into strength. But game theory says large holders usually distribute gradually (not all at once), while patient institutional flows keep absorbing over repeated rounds. Add the market structure shift: BTC dominance rose from ~38% in 2023 to ~60% today. That is capital concentrating into the highest-conviction asset, not broad exit from crypto. Short-term price can be chaotic. Long-term, if persistent net absorption stays above new supply, clearing pressure remains upward.

Décris ta stratégie d'investissement avec 1 emoji 👇

Seadance 2.0, WLFI 2026 Event, Superbowl Ads, and

SwissBorg ajoute un verrouillage de retrait de 90 jours pour lutter contre les agressions physiques

Malgré le repli du marché, Bernstein confirme son objectif de 150 000 $ pour le Bitcoin en 2026

Le cycle de quatre ans de Bitcoin existe toujours, voici pourquoi

✒️ À LIRE AVEC HUMOUR ET BIENVEILLANCE 💖

$BTC Hidden Edge: Hard to Trade but Powerful to Hold (3/3) People say “you can’t predict Bitcoin.” That’s half true and very bullish. The key metric is the Hurst exponent (H), which measures market memory: H = 0.5 → random walk H > 0.5 → persistence (trends tend to continue) H < 0.5 → mean reversion (moves tend to fade) Bitcoin’s rolling 120-day Hurst has ranged from ~0.36 to ~0.91 in my tests. That means the game keeps changing: trend regime, chop regime, near-random regime. I tested momentum, mean-reversion, and random strategies across 2,000+ days: Momentum hit rate: 52–55% Mean reversion: 45–48% Random: ~50% Short-term edge is thin and unstable. Most people are trying to force consistency in a regime-shifting market. Zoom out. Across ~17 years, Bitcoin’s long-run power-law fit is around R² ≈ 0.96 (in-sample). That does not mean perfect day-to-day prediction. It means the long-horizon structure has been strong. With full-sample Hurst around ~0.57–0.61, the picture is consistent: persistence dominates over longer windows. What the data suggests on horizon (approximate): • <3 months: mostly regime noise • 3–12 months: mixed, path-dependent • 12–18+ months: trend signal starts to dominate • Multi-year (3+ years): strongest structural predictability The same math that makes short-term trading hard is the math that statistically supports long-term holding. (This is how my predictions are made)

Here are the details again (2/3) $BTC -$54K Mispricing | 1-Year Model Path: ~$161K (+133%) Spot: ~$69K Power-law fair value: ~$123K Gap: -$54K (-44%, Z = -0.82, statistically very attractive) Math: At an 18-month horizon, this Z-score explains about 55–62% of the variation in future returns (R²=0.555 with overlapping windows; R²=0.617 with non-overlapping windows; n=9 independent periods). Means: Historically, more than half of the difference in 18-month outcomes lines up with how far Bitcoin started above or below its long-term trend. If mean reversion follows the historical half-life (~133 days), most of the gap closes over the next year, with a modeled path near ~$161K by 12 months. Short-term flows can stay noisy. Long-term reversion math remains bullish.

For those wondering how?! (1/3) $BTC has low short-term predictability and high long-term predictability. At short horizons, models are mostly noise (R² ≈ 0.05–0.15). At long horizons, trend structure dominates (R² ≈ 0.96).

le modèle donne une zone autour de ~150–165k$ à horizon 12–18 mois , si la réversion vers la tendance long terme se fait comme historiquement.Ce n’est pas un timing précis , ni une garantie. À court terme, les flux peuvent rester volatils. mais avant il va y avoir une chute

Bitget supprime les frais maker sur les perpétuels actions et les ramène à zéro

百亿学宫:KOL主播孵化、解币、戒爆、币圈的稷下学宫柏拉图学院黄埔保定军校……

24h Crypto : que de bonnes nouvelles pour Bitcoin !

Bybit conclut un partenariat de naming de trois ans avec le Stockholm Open

Pourquoi les principaux portefeuilles crypto se préparent à l’inflation et aux paiements plutôt q...

💳🔗 Des fintechs soutiennent un projet de compte Fed qui pourrait ouvrir l’accès des entreprises crypto aux infrastructures de paiement US.

ETP crypto : La pression vendeuse retombe après trois semaines rouges

Attention, ces 3 altcoins n’ont pas terminé leur vague de liquidations

L’intérêt ouvert sur Cardano chute de 79 % alors que Binance perd son emprise

في باينانس، المستخدمون أولًا والأمان أولويتنا. احذر رسائل التصيد التي تستهدف المستخدمين، وفَعِّل رمز مكافحة التصيد وتجنّب الروابط غير الموثوقة لحماية حسابك ⚠️ اعرف أكثر👇 [https://www.binance.com/ar-AE/support/faq/detail/311927d6c4b4478ba094fc6a611d5201](https://www.binance.com/ar-AE/support/faq/detail/311927d6c4b4478ba094fc6a611d5201)

Bernstein qualifie la chute de 44 % du Bitcoin de crise de confiance et maintient son objectif de...

$TRX

Right

test...

Que signale l’accumulation régulière de TRX par Tron ?

Recently, the market has undergone a sharp correction. Many positions have been liquidated. Many users are disappointed. In times like these, one thing becomes clear: the market is king. And only true value stands out. Liquidity, execution, reliability. That's what makes the difference when everything becomes volatile. While exploring several platforms over the past few months, I have observed the importance of infrastructure. For example, #AZX DEX stands out for its smooth execution, good stability, and consistent transparency, even when market pressure increases. As a reminder: A DEX allows you to trade directly from your wallet. No intermediaries. More control. More transparency. In terms of tools, an interesting development has just appeared on Azx: the launch of the AZX BETA trading API. Why is this important? An API allows you to: ➤ automate your strategies ➤ execute faster ➤ not depend on constant presence But be careful: automation does not replace discipline. Without a clear strategy, even the best tool cannot save a trader. For those who want to try it out for themselves Approved users can trade free of charge for two weeks. Access is limited via their Discord. #dex

Actualités XRP : les détenteurs profitent du rebond pour vendre

Hyperliquid dépasse Coinbase en volume de trading, affiche une avance de performance de 58,7 %

Crypto en Israël : les acteurs réclament une réforme majeure face aux blocages bancaires et fiscaux qui freinent l’innovation. Les détails ici ! L’article L’industrie crypto israélienne exige une réforme majeure est apparu en premier sur Cointribune.

good

You could have shorted $BTC every Monday for the past 4 months & won 18/19 trades. I have been banging on about this since October.

Pourquoi le marché crypto baisse-t-il aujourd’hui ?

Vitalik Buterin juge la course à l’AGI biaisée et propose une IA menée par Ethereum

Les détenteurs historiques vendent 245 000 Bitcoins dans un contexte macroéconomique tendu !

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Le Canada bouleverse le marché crypto avec un nouveau cadre jugé ultra strict

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Le marché baissier le plus étrange du Bitcoin, sans capitulation et avec du capital en attente da...

Crypto Market Weekly

fixed issuance doesn’t prevent liquidity cycles; it just shifts where leverage is built

Demand matters, yes but liquidity and leverage are not limited to issuance . They are created through credit, rehypothecation, derivatives, and balance sheet expansion a currency isn’t a company, agreed but markets don’t price supply schedules , they price marginal flows

Personal attacks don’t strengthen weak analysis. If you disagree, bring data, not frustration

Personal attacks don’t strengthen weak analysis. If you disagree, bring data, not frustration

That’s a valid opinion but a 1M Bollinger snapshot isn’t a thesis. Cycles don’t top because price looks high , they top when liquidity, leverage, and macro align. Let’s revisit this with data instead of vibes

The host controls nominal supply , not real value . Value is set by purchasing power, velocity, and confidence all market-driven. If hosts could set value unilaterally, inflation wouldn’t exist

$BTC is tracking very closely to gold’s 1972 PA. Almost a carbon copy of the structure that came right before a major macro breakout. That’s why I’ve been consistently adding to my long term spot positions. If we see any more dips into the $45K–$60K range, I’ll be ready to shoot my machine gun.

$BNB متى ستقلع؟

45 minutes d'échanges bienveillants 💖

$BTC tends to print local tops/bottoms around the 4th–7th each month. Bet you didn't know that