BrandenYt

#BinancePick

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Israël vote. Le bitcoin vacille-t-il ?

Aujourd’hui, Israël élit une nouvelle Knesset, et personne ne sait qui l’emportera.$Les derniers sondages plaçaient Yashar, le parti d’Eisenkot, juste devant le Likoud de Netanyahu, sans qu’aucun des deux blocs n’atteigne la majorité. Attendez-vous à une impasse et à de longues négociations pour former une coalition. [jpost](https://www.jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-912743)

Scénario haussier : le bitcoin n’appartient à aucun pays. Si le résultat apaise les inquiétudes, l’appétit pour le risque augmente, et le chaos politique peut pousser les acheteurs vers un actif qu’aucun gouvernement ne contrôle.

Scénario baissier : en cas de véritable panique, l’argent se réfugie souvent d’abord dans le dollar et l’or. Les cryptos dévissent, et un fort effet de levier peut transformer un léger soubresaut en violente secousse.

Verdict : les urnes israéliennes ne sont qu’une vaguelette. Les taux américains, les flux des ETF et les élections de mi-mandat du 3 novembre sont la marée. Attendez-vous à un choc provoqué par les gros titres, puis au retour à la normale.