Kaspa Daily

$KAS has pushed back up through its 30-day moving average and is now testing the 90-day from below. Price spent the back half of the window grinding lower, bottoming near $0.029 around early June, then chopped its way back up. The recent leg has carried it back above the 30d MA (sitting near $0.032) and up to roughly $0.034, right where the 90d MA is running. That 90d line is the level to watch. A clean break above it would put price over both averages; a rejection here keeps the 30d as near-term support. #KAS #Kaspa

One exchange ran the whole show. Kraken pulled in around 2.25M $KAS , more than every other venue on the board put together, while the rest of the field scattered in both directions. The outflow side had its own movers: MEXC sent out close to a million KAS, with ChangeNOW, KuCoin, CoinEx, and XT all trimming too. But the inflows everywhere else - Bybit, Bitvavo, Pionex, Gate .io were small enough that they barely register next to Kraken's pile. #Kaspa #KAS

$KAS weekly Bollinger Bands have compressed to a band width last seen in 2023.

Band width is a volatility measure, not a direction call. A contraction this tight means the weekly range has gone quiet. the kind of compression that precedes an expansion, though the bands say nothing about which way it breaks $KAS #Kaspa #KAS

$KAS is leaving exchanges again. After several weeks of coins flowing the other way, the trend flipped in the back half of the past month and the final days closed it out with the two biggest outflow days on the entire chart, roughly 22M and 30M KAS walking out the door. #Kaspa #KAS

Whale balances show a 30-day net flow of 80.98M $KAS , the cohort has been a net distributor across the entire window. Every reading on the chart sits below zero. Selling has consistently outpaced buying, with no net-positive print in the visible period. The 30-day average net flow (92.25M) runs far steeper than the 90-day average (12.33M). The recent pace of distribution is well above the longer-run baseline and creates selling pressure. #Kaspa #KAS

A top-20 holder - rank 17, pulled in roughly 2.18M $KAS in a single day, across six exchange withdrawals. The coins came from Gate. io, KuCoin, and MEXC, individual transfers between 241K and 639K KAS, all confirmed. Every recent move was inbound: custodial platforms to wallet. The address now holds about 104.9M KAS ($3.34M). It has been adding daily. #Kaspa #KAS

The $KAS Cycle Score reads 40, sitting right on the line between accumulation and neutral. The composite (Puell Multiple, hashrate trend, price momentum) hasn't touched distribution since mid-December. It spent most of February in accumulation territory, crossed into the neutral band around mid-March, and has held there since. Today's print is at the floor of that neutral zone. Neither stretched nor oversold by this measure. #Kaspa #KAS

$KAS la capitalisation réalisée n'a pas bougé de l'année, stable autour de $640M tandis que la capitalisation boursière est tombée de $3.1B à environ $840M. C'est l'histoire en deux lignes. La capitalisation réalisée est à peu près ce que le réseau a payé pour ses pièces. Quand elle reste stable pendant un drawdown de 70%, ça te dit que les détenteurs ne vendent pas dans la faiblesse. Personne ne dump à perte et ne fait baisser le coût de base. Les gens restent juste les mains vides. D'un autre côté, il n'y a pas beaucoup de nouveaux capitaux qui sont entrés non plus. Calme, sans capitulation. Avec la capitalisation boursière maintenant juste au-dessus de la capitalisation réalisée (MVRV près de 1.3), le prix a presque rattrapé ce que les détenteurs ont réellement payé. C'est la zone où les creux ont tendance à se former. #KAS ces graphiques et d'autres disponibles sur <a>https://kaspadaily.com/charts</a>

Most Kaspa whales have been net sellers lately, though the selling pressure looks to be easing. One wallet is moving the other way.
The top $KAS holder keeps pulling coins off exchanges, more than a dozen withdrawals from MEXC and Gate. io over the past four days, at least 5.4M KAS ($168K)

KAS/BTC 30-day correlation is back to 0.81, firmly in "moves with Bitcoin" territory. The interesting part is what happened in between. Correlation bottomed near 0.2 in mid-April, a window where $KAS had room to trade on its own catalysts. It didn't, price kept grinding toward $0.030 instead of decoupling higher. Now re-coupled above the 0.7 band, KAS is once again a BTC-beta trade. Independent upside likely needs a Kaspa-specific catalyst, Toccata can be the obvious one. #Kaspa #KAS

Ce portefeuille baleine continue d'accumuler.

Encore 1,9 m$KAS - prolongeant la série d'accumulation sans distribution entre-temps.
$KAS #Kaspa #KAS

$KAS 30d volatility is at 78.8% right now, sitting in the 21st percentile of its own range. That puts it in a low-vol regime. The daily swings that usually define Kaspa have flattened out, and realized vol has been drifting lower for months. The thresholds tell the story, 91% marks the low/mid line, 117% the mid/high, and we're well under both. Quiet stretches like this don't tend to stick around. Volatility coils, then releases, and it usually moves hard when it does. The chart doesn't say which way, only that the spring is winding. #Kaspa #KAS

$KAS NUPL holding around 0.30, still in the optimism zone. NUPL has compressed steadily from 0.75 a year ago, but it's still parked above the 0.25 boundary that separates optimism from fear. #Kaspa #KAS

$KAS whale has stacked 95.37M KAS $2.81M over the last three months and now sits at #18 by total holdings. Added another 3M KAS just yesterday $KAS #Kaspa #KAS

The number 1 $KAS wallet just pulled another 5.41M KAS off Bybit, lifting its balance to ~1.41B KAS (~$42M). Entity X has been holding since June 2024 and is still adding 818 days in.

$KAS 30-day correlation with BTC has climbed back to 0.91, near the top of its 6-month range. The coupling that loosened through March, when correlation fell toward 0.20 has fully reasserted. Price has drifted to ~$0.030 as the correlation tightened, so $KAS is tracking BTC's direction quite strongly at the moment. #Kaspa #KAS chart is available at kaspadaily.com/charts

The late-April $KAS rebound has faded. NUPL rolled over from ~0.50 back toward 0.30, unwinding most of the spring recovery, with price sliding alongside it toward the lower range. Net unrealised profit is thinning, fewer coins held in gain than a month ago. At ~0.30, NUPL sits in the lower optimism/anxiety band, just above the 0.25 hope/fear threshold. #KAS #Kaspa you can check this and other charts at kaspadaily.com/charts

$KAS/BTC at 0.4148e-6, ranging flat around the 0.41–0.42. Price has gone sideways here.

The RSI is the more interesting part. While price holds flat, RSI is carving higher lows, early troughs near 30 have lifted to the high-30s/low-40s, with the smoothed line sloping up. That’s a bullish divergence: selling momentum is fading even though price isn’t falling further.

The read: downside pressure is easing inside the range. But divergence is a setup, not a trigger, it needs a break above the range to confirm $KAS #Kaspa #KAS

47.64% of circulatin$Kas hasn’t moved in over a year — a new high for the metric, up from around 15% in late 2023.

The contrast with price is the whole story. The 1y+ dormant share has climbed steadily through the entire stretch where price fell from ~$0.20 toward $0.03. Long term holders aren’t selling into weakness; they’re sitting through it.
Nearly half the supply has now gone untouched for a year or more. #KAS #Kaspa

$KAS volatility is sitting low — 30-day rolling vol at 60.1% against a historical average of 105.6% and a peak near 192%. Running close to half its typical level. The compression matters because of the backdrop: price has drifted lower across the same stretch, conviction has drained from both sides. These phases don't last. They resolve into a larger move once volume returns, the chart alone won't tell you which way though. #KAS #Kaspa