technicalanalyse

📉 La dominance du Bitcoin diminue — L'Altseason arrive-t-il ?

Le graphique hebdomadaire de la dominance BTC (BTC.D) montre un modèle de distribution classique. Historiquement, lorsque la dominance rejette près des sommets et casse un support clé, le capital se réoriente souvent vers les altcoins, signalant le début de l'Altseason.

📊 Faits clés

La dominance BTC a rejeté près de 66% de résistance
Niveau actuel : ~58,6%, montrant une structure affaiblie
Cycles passés : 55% → 50% des ruptures ont déclenché l'Altseason

🧠 Aperçu du marché

Si BTC.D tombe en dessous de 55%, la liquidité est susceptible de couler vers les altcoins majeurs et de moyenne capitalisation, marquant le passage de Pre-Altseason → Full Altseason.

🪙 Cryptomonnaies à surveiller

ETH, SOL, BNB → première rotation
AI, RWA, secteurs DePIN → potentiel suivi à forte bêta

#BTC #Altseason #bitcoindominance #TradingView #TechnicalAnalyse

@TopTrader 01 💥
#TechnicalAnalyse
Why the 10–20 SMA Strategy Still Works After 100 Years

Market Wisdom That Still Works
This visual highlights a time-tested trend-following strategy built on a 100-year backtest, using the 10 SMA and 20 SMA (Simple Moving Averages — not EMA) as dynamic trend guides and stop-loss levels. Its strength lies in simplicity, discipline, and alignment with long-term market behavior.

🔍 Core Concept

10 SMA (Fast Line): Best for strong, impulsive trends where price “surfs” above the average

20 SMA (Slow Line): Suitable for steady trends, allowing deeper pullbacks without exiting early

Both act as dynamic stop-losses, not just indicators

📐 Key Trading Rules

✅ Trend Following: Stay invested as long as price closes above the SMA
✅ 2–3 Touch Rule: After 2–3 clean bounces on the SMA, a decisive break = strong exit signal
✅ 7-Week Rule:
If price respects the 10 SMA for more than 7 weeks, exit immediately on the first close below it (no hesitation)
✅ Market Condition Filter:

Works best in trending markets

In choppy markets, whipsaws dominate → cash is king 💰

⚠️ Warning & Exit Signals

Failed breakouts

Outside reversal candles

First confirmed close below the SMA after prolonged trend strength

🚫 Critical Reminder: Never rely only on moving averages — price action confirmation is essential

📌 Strategic Takeaway

This strategy proves that trend discipline beats prediction. By cutting losses early and letting winners run, traders align with long-term market structure rather than emotions. It’s especially powerful for positional trading in equities, indices, and crypto during strong trends.

LINK , INIT

📊 Guide Simple des Moyennes Mobiles (EMA)

Si vous êtes confus sur ce que fait chaque EMA, sauvegardez ceci 👇

🔹 5 EMA – Tendance à court terme
🔹 10 EMA – Forte dynamique
🔹 20 EMA – Support & résistance dynamique
🔹 50 EMA – Support & résistance à long terme
🔹 100 EMA – Premier obstacle entre 50 & 200 EMA
🔹 200 EMA – Dernière ligne de défense 💪

📌 Conseil Pro :
Lorsque le prix reste au-dessus des EMA clés, la tendance est forte.
Lorsque le prix passe en dessous, soyez prudent.

Tradez intelligemment, pas émotionnellement 📈 DeGO, FET .
#Tips #TechnicalAnalyse