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Ripple (XRP) posted a gain of over 3%, trading around $1.87 at the time of writing on Saturday, as the price gradually recovers from recent volatility. XRP briefly dipped to an intraday low near $1.77 before rebounding, supported by improving macro sentiment and persistent institutional inflows through spot XRP ETFs.
The rebound comes after US inflation data surprised to the downside, with November CPI rising just 2.7% YoY, well below market expectations of 3.1%. This softer inflation print has strengthened risk appetite across digital assets, providing near-term support for XRP.
However, while institutional demand appears robust, retail participation remains subdued, creating a fragile balance that could limit upside momentum unless broader market engagement returns.
$XRP XRP ETF Inflows Remain a Key Bullish Driver
Spot XRP ETFs listed in the United States continued to attract strong capital inflows, with approximately $30 million recorded on Thursday alone.
Grayscale’s GXRP ETF led the inflows with around $10 million
21Shares’ TOXR followed with nearly $10 million
Franklin Templeton’s ZXRP added roughly $7 million
According to data from SoSoValue, total cumulative inflows into XRP ETFs have now reached $1.06 billion, while average assets under management (AUM) remain stable at approximately $1.14 billion.
Notably, since their official launch in November, XRP ETFs have not recorded a single day of net outflows, highlighting growing confidence among institutional investors. This steady flow of capital is helping to stabilize price action and improve medium-term sentiment, even as broader market participation remains uneven.
Weak Retail Interest Continues to Cap Upside
On the downside, XRP is facing declining interest from retail traders, which is weighing heavily on derivatives activity.
Data from CoinGlass shows that XRP futures open interest (OI) fell to $3.21 billion on Friday, down from:
$3.31 billion the previous day
$3.52 billion earlier in the week
Since the flash crash on October 10, XRP derivatives markets have struggled to recover, with OI largely confined to the $3–4 billion range. This is a sharp contrast to earlier peaks:
$8.36 billion on October 10
$10.94 billion on July 22
This significant contraction reflects reduced leverage, lower speculative activity, and diminished retail confidence. For XRP to sustain a durable recovery, open interest must return to a steady upward trend. Otherwise, any rallies may remain short-lived, driven primarily by institutional flows rather than broad market participation.
Technical Outlook: Recovery Underway, but Downside Risks Persist
At the time of analysis, XRP is trading near $1.87, with technical indicators offering mixed signals.
Momentum Indicators
RSI (14-day) has rebounded to around 37, signaling easing selling pressure. A continued move toward the neutral 50 level would strengthen the short-term bullish case and increase the probability of a breakout above $2.00.
MACD remains in negative territory and continues to flash a sell signal, with the MACD line still below the signal line. As long as this structure holds, upside momentum is likely to remain capped.
Trend Structure
The broader trend remains bearish, as XRP continues to trade below its key exponential moving averages:
EMA 50-day: $2.15
EMA 100-day: $2.34
EMA 200-day: $2.42
All three EMAs are sloping downward, reinforcing the prevailing negative bias.
A sustained daily close above $1.77 (recent intraday low) helps stabilize the current recovery attempt toward $2.00. However, bulls must reclaim and hold above the EMA 50 at $2.15 to unlock further upside toward the EMA 200 near $2.42. A decisive breakout above the descending trendline would signal a broader trend shift, opening the door for a move toward $3.00 in the medium term.
Trading Plan: Buy & Sell Scenarios (Educational Purpose)
🔵 Bullish Setup (Buy the Breakout)
Buy Entry: $2.02 – $2.05 (daily close above psychological resistance)
Take Profit 1: $2.15 (EMA 50)
Take Profit 2: $2.42 (EMA 200)
Extended Target: $2.95 – $3.00 (trendline breakout confirmation)
Stop Loss: $1.88
📌 Confirmation required: RSI moving above 45–50 and improving volume.
🔴 Bearish Setup (Sell on Rejection)
Sell Entry: $1.98 – $2.00 (clear rejection from resistance)
Take Profit 1: $1.77 (recent low)
Take Profit 2: $1.62 (April support zone)
Stop Loss: $2.12
📌 Bearish continuation likely if MACD remains negative and price stays below EMA 50.
Final Thoughts
XRP is currently caught between strong institutional ETF demand and weak retail participation. While ETF inflows provide a solid foundation, technical resistance and declining derivatives activity suggest that the recovery remains fragile. A confirmed break above $2.15 would significantly improve the bullish outlook, while failure to hold above $1.77 could expose XRP to renewed downside pressure.
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Voici pourquoi c'est ÉNORME ⬇️
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