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是泰一呀
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是泰一呀
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Baissier
#SOXL soxl进入负gamma区间,下跌加速周期,啥时候止跌啊,让我干一下!$ {future}(SOXLUSDT) #
#SOXL
soxl进入负gamma区间,下跌加速周期,啥时候止跌啊,让我干一下!$
#
SOXLB
-10,39%
是泰一呀
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Bianca的反应挺快的呀,提交上去,过两天打开电脑就更新了
Bianca的反应挺快的呀,提交上去,过两天打开电脑就更新了
是泰一呀
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$RLC 莫名其妙的玩意
$RLC
莫名其妙的玩意
RLC
-8,01%
是泰一呀
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Haussier
Partiellement vrai
美股链。SOXL、SMH、NVDA、QQQ现在全在贴顶位置(89%-96%)。但期权数据表现却十分不同: 上方155到215,没有一堵负Gamma墙,全是正Gamma减速带,这意味着上方压力不是“翻转”,而是“减速”。 但眼前的165,是全场最厚的墙,165-170之间每点要吃掉468K的GEX。这意味着SOXL在这个位置会走得极其黏糊。什么时候能顺畅?等站稳180,一旦突破180,上186-200是一段几乎不设防的“薄带”。不过还有一个致命的时间闸:10-16(正Gamma支柱高达4.47M),10-23就会翻负。 {future}(SOXLUSDT)
美股链。SOXL、SMH、NVDA、QQQ现在全在贴顶位置(89%-96%)。但期权数据表现却十分不同:
上方155到215,没有一堵负Gamma墙,全是正Gamma减速带,这意味着上方压力不是“翻转”,而是“减速”。
但眼前的165,是全场最厚的墙,165-170之间每点要吃掉468K的GEX。这意味着SOXL在这个位置会走得极其黏糊。什么时候能顺畅?等站稳180,一旦突破180,上186-200是一段几乎不设防的“薄带”。不过还有一个致命的时间闸:10-16(正Gamma支柱高达4.47M),10-23就会翻负。
NVDAB
-1,89%
SOXLB
-10,39%
SMHB
-3,07%
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SeptemberCPIWatch
11,997 vues
220 mentions
Tomorrow's CPI Could Panic $BTC … Nobody Knows the Numbers Yet, But Maybe Meow Does 🚨 90% of traders are busy chasing $BTC 's next long or short move, but the real question is what happens when CPI drops. The other 10%? They're watching the data… and yes, Meow is doing some homework too. 😹 Guys, I collected September gasoline prices from EIA/AAA, used-car data from Manheim, rent estimates from Zillow, food data from USDA, and compared them with the Cleveland Fed nowcast and market expectations. Here is what my calculation suggests: Meow's generated CPI forecast: Headline MoM: +0.50% Headline YoY: 3.60% Core MoM: +0.20% Core YoY: 2.39% Market expectations: Headline MoM: around +0.5% to +0.6% Headline YoY: 3.6%–3.7% Core MoM: +0.2% to +0.3% Core YoY: 2.4%–2.5% And Guys if actual CPI matches my estimate, headline inflation could come in below the higher end of expectations while core stays contained. That could give BTC a short-term relief rally, especially if Treasury yields and the dollar cool down. But if CPI matches the hotter end of market forecasts, or core prints at 0.3%+, BTC could face pressure as traders price in a more hawkish Fed and fewer rate-cut hopes. One thing, guys: this is Meow's estimate based on available inputs, NOT leaked data or the official BLS calculation. Actual CPI could be cooler or hotter, and some category inputs are proxies rather than fresh September readings. $ZEC #SeptemberCPIWatch @MeowAlert
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