*Fundamentals:* - Q3 FY2026 (Aug 12): Revenue $10.78M, EPS -$0.80 missed est $0.04 by $0.84, massive loss due to Solana writedowns $69M loss - Company pivoting to Blockchain / SOL accumulation strategy - now classified as Finance / Multi-Sector Holdings - Low float small-cap - very volatile, moves with SOL sentiment
*Short View:* - *Bullish momentum:* Breakout from $6.70 Sep consolidation, now attacking $8.54 R1. Next target $8.99-$9.26 (Dec avg prediction) - *Risk:* If fails $7.70 S1, back to $7.31. Still down -74% on 1 year, very speculative. - Prediction avg Oct: $7.94 (-1.7%), Nov: $8.82 (+9%) 4b42
Hold above $8.15 pivot = bullish continuation to $8.54-$9.38.
$ADBEB / Adobe Inc. - Short Analysis - Oct 3, 2026*
*Price Now: $237.69* on NASDAQ - This week: +0.94% - Last 30 days: -15.05% - 52-week range: $190.12 low (Jun 18) to $363.70 high 317252a6 *What Happened:* - *Sep 10 Earnings:* Q3 FY2026 beat - Revenue $6.76B +13% YoY vs $6.69B est, EPS $6.13 vs $6.07 est. But stock fell 2.3% because Q4 guide soft and net new ARR fell 36% due to freemium pivot - Leadership change: Anil Chakravarthy to become President & CEO Dec 1, 2026, Narayen to Executive Chair - AI ARR crossed $650M +150% YoY - positive, but market worries about AI competition (Canva, etc) 1665
*Technical:* - *Strong downtrend:* Price $237.69 is below all major MAs - EMA20 $266.49, EMA50 $257.39, EMA200 $269.48 - RSI 14 ∼47 neutral, MACD negative (-5.16) - sellers control - Support: $224.67 immediate, then $190.12 52-week low - Resistance: $254.67 immediate, then $363.70 52-week high 1d9bac0920de
*Valuation:* - Forward P/E ∼9.8-10x - very cheap vs historical premium, near 10-year low - Intrinsic value est $257.82 with 7.8% margin of safety - oversold vs fair range $239-$277 - Market pricing in -5% earnings decline, but actual growth +10.5% recently 1665ac09
*Short View:* Consensus = *HOLD* - mixed signals. Bearish tech but cheap valuation. - Bull case: Hold $224.67, bounce to $254.67 then $262.85 (1-yr bull target). DA Davidson target $290. - Bear case: Break $224.67 -> $213 -> $190.12 retest. CoinCodex predicts $207 by end 2026. ac0952a6
Next catalyst: *Dec 9 earnings* for Q4 guide $6.80-6.85B a4db
*Price Now: ~ $84,899* - Up +0.23% today, but up +4.1% this month and +26% in last 6 months f722
*What Happened This Week:* - BTC was stuck between $82k-$85k for a week because US 10-year yield hit 5.34% - highest in decades, and Dollar Index hit 18-month high over 102 - *Breakout Oct 1-2:* Buyers finally cleared the huge $85k sell wall after a week of failed tests. Price topped *$86,885* briefly then pulled back to ∼$84,800 now - Glassnode: After that wall was taken, remaining sell orders above were pulled, so price can move faster e1a24ee3 *Key Levels To Watch:*
- *Support:* $84,800-$85,800 needs to hold as support now. Next support $82,900 and $80,000 - *Resistance:* $87,397 (Sept 21 high) - must break this to go to $90k - *Bearish Risk:* If lose $82,900, risk down to $80k and 50-week EMA $78,004 108460fd
*Short View:* This is a *recovery, not confirmed breakout* yet. RSI around 60 - not overbought, so room up. - Bull case: Hold $85k -> test $87.4k -> $90k possible this week if Fed stays dovish on Oct 28 - Bear case: Hot US jobs data + strong yields = back to $80k 4ee3e430
AI prediction for Oct 15: ~ $85,850 (+2.3%), Oct 31: ~ $84,825 c10ee430
*Summary:* BTC finally broke $85k wall. If it holds above $85k into weekend, $90k is next target. If fails, expect $80k-$82k retest.
$FWDIB = Forward Industries (FWDI) bStocks Tokenized Stock* on Binance - it tracks FWDI 1:1 *Latest: $7.89 (-2.37% today) on Binance bStocks* Underlying FWDI: $8.08 (+3.19% today), High $8.64, Low $7.90
*Short Analysis - Oct 2, 2026:*
- *Trend: Strong uptrend short-term.* +27% this month, +82% in 6 months, but -70% YoY after big crash. Now trading above 50-day MA $5.75 and 200-day MA $4.93 - *Big News Yesterday (Oct 1):* Company grew Solana treasury to *8.5M SOL* (+948K SOL in Q4), now 1.4% of all SOL supply. SOL per share up 10.4% to 0.0806. NAV $870M vs market cap $595M - *trades BELOW NAV* (0.94x). That's why bulls like it - *Debt:* Institutional debt up to $167.5M from $105M - used to buy more SOL - *Support / Resistance:* Support $7.68 (Oct 1 low), resistance $8.64 (Oct 2 high), then $11.00 analyst target. Consensus rating Hold, target $13.50 (+60% upside) - *Risk:* EPS -$0.80 last quarter, revenue only $10.78M, massive losses - it's basically a *SOL treasury play*, not a real operating company now. Moves with Solana price, not fundamentals
*Outlook:* Momentum positive as long as SOL holds >$140 and NAV discount remains. Hold above $7.68 keeps rally alive to $8.64-$10. Break below $7.00 risks pullback to $5.75.
Here is latest - *Oct 2, 2026:* *Latest Price: $237.76 -1.46% today* Open $243.05, High $243.92, Low $236.88 - intraday selloff ff62
*Short Analysis:*
- *Trend: Downtrend still.* Price is below EMA20 $266, EMA50 $257, EMA200 $269 - bearish stack. YTD -32.07%, 1 month -18.8% - *What happened this week:* Bounced from $231 low on Sep 28 to $241 on Oct 1 (+4.5%) after oversold, but failed again today. Volume high on Sep 22 crash - 7.3M shares - *Support / Resistance:* Immediate support $224.67 (Sep 28 low), resistance $254.67 (Sep 22 high) - *Valuation:* Market cap ∼$89.9B, P/E 12.3 (cheap vs history 10x avg). Consensus target ∼$275 (+15% upside) but DA Davidson holds $290 - *Catalysts:* Q3 earnings beat Sep 10 but stock sold off - options put/call 1.65 bearish before. Next earnings Dec 9. Adobe AI monetization still questioned by market, "SaaSpocalypse" fears. ff620113
*Outlook:* Technically still weak, but trading at slight discount to fair value ∼$257. Needs to reclaim $248-250 and hold $224 to avoid new yearly low $190.12. Wait for clearer breakout above $254 for bullish confirmation. ff62
$BTC Here is today's *Bitcoin quick update - Oct 2, 2026* *Latest: $86,300 - $86,800 | +3% in 24H* f722
*What happened:* - BTC briefly broke *$87,220* high today after being stuck under $85K for a week. The $85K sell wall was cleared yesterday and liquidity above thinned out, so price moved fast - *Trigger:* US Sept jobs only +29K vs 90K expected + unemployment up to 4.2%. Market now expects *Fed pause in October*, risk-on back - *Short squeeze:* $120M+ shorts liquidated in 1 hour when BTC crossed $86K, total liquidations ∼$326M 4ee31c70f820
*Flows:* - Spot ETFs back to inflow: +$102.7M Thursday, IBIT alone +$195.6M - Citi just raised 12M target to *$113K* from $82K, citing ETF flows f820
*Levels to watch:* - *Support:* $85K needs to hold as new support, then $82K - $80K retest zone - *Resistance:* $87,400 - $87,500 is next ceiling, then psychological $90K - Indicators: 1H/4H momentum LONG, RSI ∼71 (overbought short-term), ADX shows strong uptrend 5da01c700675