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ScalpingX
13.1k Publications

ScalpingX

A short-term trader who embraces high-risk, high-reward strategies with an unconventional mindset.
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1.7K+ Abonnés
10.2K+ J’aime
Publications
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Haussier
$ZEREBRO - Mcap 43.12M$ - 24h Sentiment +2.00 Bullish SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.64% wide. The uptrend has lasted 5 hours 11 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 8.68%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
$ZEREBRO - Mcap 43.12M$ - 24h Sentiment +2.00 Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.64% wide. The uptrend has lasted 5 hours 11 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 8.68%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
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Haussier
$BTR - Mcap 10.04M$ - 24h Sentiment Neutral SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.98% wide. The uptrend has lasted 10 hours 20 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 6.58%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
$BTR - Mcap 10.04M$ - 24h Sentiment Neutral

SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.98% wide. The uptrend has lasted 10 hours 20 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 6.58%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
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Haussier
$ETH – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 1,882.1 🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly $2.7–2.8 billion in short liquidations above the current price, exceeding approximately $2.1 billion in long liquidations below. The liquidity structure therefore leans to the upside, while several major short-liquidation clusters also sit relatively close to price. 📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity begins building around $1,887.6 and becomes much denser across $1,899.6–$1,923.6. The strongest nearby cluster sits around $1,899.6, followed by $1,923.6 and the $1,947.6 area. A break above $1,887.6 would increase the probability of a sweep toward $1,899.6–$1,923.6. 📉 Below the market, long-liquidation liquidity is heavily concentrated across $1,861.6–$1,837.6, with notable clusters near $1,861.6, $1,849.6 and $1,837.6. Further downside liquidity appears around $1,801.6–$1,789.6. Losing $1,861.6 would increase the probability of a sweep toward $1,849.6–$1,837.6. 🧭 The higher-probability scenario is an initial move toward $1,887.6–$1,923.6 because total upside liquidity is larger and relatively close. A breakout above $1,923.6 could shift focus toward $1,935.6–$1,959.6, while losing $1,861.6 would strengthen the downside long-sweep scenario toward $1,849.6–$1,837.6. #LiquidationMap
$ETH – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 1,882.1

🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly $2.7–2.8 billion in short liquidations above the current price, exceeding approximately $2.1 billion in long liquidations below. The liquidity structure therefore leans to the upside, while several major short-liquidation clusters also sit relatively close to price.

📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity begins building around $1,887.6 and becomes much denser across $1,899.6–$1,923.6. The strongest nearby cluster sits around $1,899.6, followed by $1,923.6 and the $1,947.6 area. A break above $1,887.6 would increase the probability of a sweep toward $1,899.6–$1,923.6.

📉 Below the market, long-liquidation liquidity is heavily concentrated across $1,861.6–$1,837.6, with notable clusters near $1,861.6, $1,849.6 and $1,837.6. Further downside liquidity appears around $1,801.6–$1,789.6. Losing $1,861.6 would increase the probability of a sweep toward $1,849.6–$1,837.6.

🧭 The higher-probability scenario is an initial move toward $1,887.6–$1,923.6 because total upside liquidity is larger and relatively close. A breakout above $1,923.6 could shift focus toward $1,935.6–$1,959.6, while losing $1,861.6 would strengthen the downside long-sweep scenario toward $1,849.6–$1,837.6.

#LiquidationMap
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Haussier
$WLFI - Mcap 1.99B$ - 24h Sentiment Neutral SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.82% wide. The uptrend has lasted 4 hours 46 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 8.28%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
$WLFI - Mcap 1.99B$ - 24h Sentiment Neutral

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.82% wide. The uptrend has lasted 4 hours 46 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 8.28%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
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Haussier
$DUSK - Mcap 35.5M$ - 24h Sentiment +4.50 Bullish SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.92% wide. The uptrend has lasted 7 hours 43 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 12.36%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
$DUSK - Mcap 35.5M$ - 24h Sentiment +4.50 Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.92% wide. The uptrend has lasted 7 hours 43 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 12.36%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
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Haussier
$BSB - Mcap 30.15M$ - 24h Sentiment +6.00 Bullish SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 1.28% wide. The uptrend has lasted 6 hours 16 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 10.21%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
$BSB - Mcap 30.15M$ - 24h Sentiment +6.00 Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 1.28% wide. The uptrend has lasted 6 hours 16 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 10.21%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
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Haussier
$PORTAL - Mcap 13.68M$ - 24h Sentiment +5.21 Bullish SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + meets positive simplification with a previously highly profitable Long order, the current support zone is around 5.29% wide. The uptrend has lasted 8 hours 4 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 49.42%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
$PORTAL - Mcap 13.68M$ - 24h Sentiment +5.21 Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + meets positive simplification with a previously highly profitable Long order, the current support zone is around 5.29% wide. The uptrend has lasted 8 hours 4 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 49.42%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
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Haussier
$BTC – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 63,040 🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly $5.2–5.3 billion in short liquidations above the current price, significantly exceeding approximately $2.7–2.8 billion in long liquidations below. The liquidity structure therefore leans clearly to the upside, while several major short-liquidation clusters also sit relatively close to price. 📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity begins building around $63,311–$63,701 and becomes much denser across $64,091–$64,871. The strongest nearby cluster sits around $64,091, with additional liquidity extending through $64,481–$65,261. A break above $63,700 would increase the probability of a sweep toward $64,091–$64,871. 📉 Below the market, the nearest long-liquidation liquidity is concentrated around $62,596–$62,206, with $62,206 standing out as the strongest nearby cluster. Further downside liquidity remains elevated across $61,816–$61,036. Losing $62,596 would increase the probability of a sweep toward $62,206–$61,816. 🧭 The higher-probability scenario is an initial move toward $63,700–$64,871 because total upside liquidity is nearly twice as large and the nearby clusters are substantial. A breakout above $64,871 could shift focus toward $65,261–$66,041, while losing $62,596 would materially strengthen the downside long-sweep scenario toward $62,206–$61,816. #LiquidationMap
$BTC – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 63,040

🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly $5.2–5.3 billion in short liquidations above the current price, significantly exceeding approximately $2.7–2.8 billion in long liquidations below. The liquidity structure therefore leans clearly to the upside, while several major short-liquidation clusters also sit relatively close to price.

📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity begins building around $63,311–$63,701 and becomes much denser across $64,091–$64,871. The strongest nearby cluster sits around $64,091, with additional liquidity extending through $64,481–$65,261. A break above $63,700 would increase the probability of a sweep toward $64,091–$64,871.

📉 Below the market, the nearest long-liquidation liquidity is concentrated around $62,596–$62,206, with $62,206 standing out as the strongest nearby cluster. Further downside liquidity remains elevated across $61,816–$61,036. Losing $62,596 would increase the probability of a sweep toward $62,206–$61,816.

🧭 The higher-probability scenario is an initial move toward $63,700–$64,871 because total upside liquidity is nearly twice as large and the nearby clusters are substantial. A breakout above $64,871 could shift focus toward $65,261–$66,041, while losing $62,596 would materially strengthen the downside long-sweep scenario toward $62,206–$61,816.

#LiquidationMap
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Haussier
$Q - Mcap 117.34M$ - 24h Sentiment +4.00 Bullish SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 1.78% wide. The uptrend has lasted 5 hours 15 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 15.25%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
$Q - Mcap 117.34M$ - 24h Sentiment +4.00 Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 1.78% wide. The uptrend has lasted 5 hours 15 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 15.25%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
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Haussier
$AEON - Mcap 15.48M$ - 24h Sentiment +7.78 Bullish SC02 M15 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + meets positive simplification with a previously profitable Long order, the current support zone is around 7.69% wide. The uptrend has lasted 1 day 7 hours 45 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 48.32%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
$AEON - Mcap 15.48M$ - 24h Sentiment +7.78 Bullish

SC02 M15 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + meets positive simplification with a previously profitable Long order, the current support zone is around 7.69% wide. The uptrend has lasted 1 day 7 hours 45 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 48.32%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
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Haussier
$BASED - Mcap 20.28M$ - 24h Sentiment +6.00 Bullish SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry contains POC + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.83% wide. The uptrend has lasted 3 hours 59 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 7.68%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
$BASED - Mcap 20.28M$ - 24h Sentiment +6.00 Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry contains POC + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.83% wide. The uptrend has lasted 3 hours 59 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 7.68%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
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Haussier
$HEMI - Mcap 7.97M$ - 24h Sentiment +2.20 Bullish SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 3.16% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 hours 42 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 24.71%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
$HEMI - Mcap 7.97M$ - 24h Sentiment +2.20 Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 3.16% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 hours 42 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 24.71%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
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Haussier
📊 TRADING PERFORMANCE & FEAR AND GREED INDEX (FGI) REPORT – UPDATED 15/08/2026 The latest statistical data shows that the correlation between FGI and Win Rate remains weak and continues to lean negative, with r ≈ -0.285. This suggests that FGI is not suitable as a standalone tool for determining order entries, but it can still be useful for quantifying risk. Trading performance generally tends to deteriorate as market sentiment moves into extreme optimism, making FGI more appropriate as an early risk-warning indicator rather than a signal for expanding profit expectations. Below is a summary of Win Rate (WR), minimum breakeven R:R, and the number of recorded days (n) across different sentiment zones: 🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): WR 40.5% • R:R=1:1.47 • n=25 🤤 Greed (60–80): WR 45.1% • R:R=1:1.22 • n=215 😐 Neutral (40–60): WR 45.2% • R:R=1:1.21 • n=150 😰 Fear (20–40): WR 47.1% • R:R=1:1.12 • n=269 😱 Extreme Fear (<20): WR 52.4% • R:R=1:0.91 • n=115 The percentage of days with performance above the overall average win rate of 46.75% by sentiment zone: 🤑 Extreme Greed: 8.0% 🤤 Greed: 36.3% 😐 Neutral: 38.0% 😰 Fear: 53.9% 😱 Extreme Fear: 67.8% ➤ Short-term traders can use FGI as a guide for adjusting expected profit targets when entering trades: 📈 When FGI is high, higher profit expectations may be required to maintain a sufficiently favorable R:R ratio and compensate for the lower win rate. 📉 When FGI is low, profit expectations can be reduced to increase capital turnover and make profit realization easier. #TradingPerformance $GRAM $NVDAB $AAPLB
📊 TRADING PERFORMANCE & FEAR AND GREED INDEX (FGI) REPORT – UPDATED 15/08/2026

The latest statistical data shows that the correlation between FGI and Win Rate remains weak and continues to lean negative, with r ≈ -0.285. This suggests that FGI is not suitable as a standalone tool for determining order entries, but it can still be useful for quantifying risk. Trading performance generally tends to deteriorate as market sentiment moves into extreme optimism, making FGI more appropriate as an early risk-warning indicator rather than a signal for expanding profit expectations.

Below is a summary of Win Rate (WR), minimum breakeven R:R, and the number of recorded days (n) across different sentiment zones:

🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): WR 40.5% • R:R=1:1.47 • n=25
🤤 Greed (60–80): WR 45.1% • R:R=1:1.22 • n=215
😐 Neutral (40–60): WR 45.2% • R:R=1:1.21 • n=150
😰 Fear (20–40): WR 47.1% • R:R=1:1.12 • n=269
😱 Extreme Fear (<20): WR 52.4% • R:R=1:0.91 • n=115

The percentage of days with performance above the overall average win rate of 46.75% by sentiment zone:

🤑 Extreme Greed: 8.0%
🤤 Greed: 36.3%
😐 Neutral: 38.0%
😰 Fear: 53.9%
😱 Extreme Fear: 67.8%

➤ Short-term traders can use FGI as a guide for adjusting expected profit targets when entering trades:

📈 When FGI is high, higher profit expectations may be required to maintain a sufficiently favorable R:R ratio and compensate for the lower win rate.

📉 When FGI is low, profit expectations can be reduced to increase capital turnover and make profit realization easier.

#TradingPerformance $GRAM $NVDAB $AAPLB
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Haussier
Update 2026-08-15, based on community-wide trading 📊 The average win rate is 46.75% 🏆 The highest daily win rate was 78.08% on 2026-04-01. The lowest daily win rate was 15.69% on 2026-01-25 📅 Wednesday has the highest average win rate at 47.11%. Sunday has the lowest average win rate at 46.57% ⏱️ The highest 7-day average win rate was 63.27% for the period ending 2026-04-05. The lowest was 35.60% for the period ending 2026-06-24 ⚖️ The number of days with a win rate above the overall average is 360. The number of days with a win rate at or below the overall average is 414 📈 The number of days with a win rate above 50% is 220. The number of days with a win rate between 40% and 50% is 417. The number of days with a win rate below 40% is 137 #TradingStatistics $BNB $HYPE $SOL
Update 2026-08-15, based on community-wide trading

📊 The average win rate is 46.75%

🏆 The highest daily win rate was 78.08% on 2026-04-01. The lowest daily win rate was 15.69% on 2026-01-25

📅 Wednesday has the highest average win rate at 47.11%. Sunday has the lowest average win rate at 46.57%

⏱️ The highest 7-day average win rate was 63.27% for the period ending 2026-04-05. The lowest was 35.60% for the period ending 2026-06-24

⚖️ The number of days with a win rate above the overall average is 360. The number of days with a win rate at or below the overall average is 414

📈 The number of days with a win rate above 50% is 220. The number of days with a win rate between 40% and 50% is 417. The number of days with a win rate below 40% is 137

#TradingStatistics $BNB $HYPE $SOL
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Haussier
$VELVET – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 0.868 🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly 1.8 million in short liquidations above the current price, significantly exceeding approximately 800K in long liquidations below. The overall liquidity structure therefore leans strongly to the upside, although a major long-liquidation pocket sits immediately below price. 📉 Below the market, long-liquidation liquidity is heavily concentrated around 0.860–0.844, with 0.844 representing one of the largest individual clusters on the map. Additional downside liquidity appears around 0.776–0.760. Losing 0.860 would increase the probability of a sweep toward 0.844. 📈 Above the market, nearby short-liquidation liquidity remains relatively light across 0.872–0.920 before building more clearly around 1.044–1.092. The largest upside clusters sit further away across 1.212–1.268, particularly around 1.232–1.268. A break above 0.920 would bring 1.044–1.092 into focus. 🧭 The near-term setup is relatively balanced: the 0.860–0.844 cluster is close enough to be swept first, while total short-liquidation exposure above is more than twice as large. Holding 0.860 and breaking 0.920 would tilt the setup toward 1.044–1.092, whereas losing 0.860 would open the path toward 0.844. #LiquidationMap
$VELVET – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 0.868

🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly 1.8 million in short liquidations above the current price, significantly exceeding approximately 800K in long liquidations below. The overall liquidity structure therefore leans strongly to the upside, although a major long-liquidation pocket sits immediately below price.

📉 Below the market, long-liquidation liquidity is heavily concentrated around 0.860–0.844, with 0.844 representing one of the largest individual clusters on the map. Additional downside liquidity appears around 0.776–0.760. Losing 0.860 would increase the probability of a sweep toward 0.844.

📈 Above the market, nearby short-liquidation liquidity remains relatively light across 0.872–0.920 before building more clearly around 1.044–1.092. The largest upside clusters sit further away across 1.212–1.268, particularly around 1.232–1.268. A break above 0.920 would bring 1.044–1.092 into focus.

🧭 The near-term setup is relatively balanced: the 0.860–0.844 cluster is close enough to be swept first, while total short-liquidation exposure above is more than twice as large. Holding 0.860 and breaking 0.920 would tilt the setup toward 1.044–1.092, whereas losing 0.860 would open the path toward 0.844.

#LiquidationMap
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Haussier
Upcoming unlock schedule for 50 tokens. Personally, I only focus on Futures trading when it is a Cliff Unlock event and the unlocked amount exceeds 25% of daily trading volume. If you are focused on long-term investing, these events are still worth monitoring to help optimize your entry points after each unlock. Currently, there are 6 notable unlock events where the unlock volume is high relative to daily trading volume: $SOLV - 31.82% $ZRO - 145.86% $KAITO - 41.32% $SOON - 51.92% $MET - 26.67% $H - 127.03% #CryptoUnlocks
Upcoming unlock schedule for 50 tokens. Personally, I only focus on Futures trading when it is a Cliff Unlock event and the unlocked amount exceeds 25% of daily trading volume. If you are focused on long-term investing, these events are still worth monitoring to help optimize your entry points after each unlock.

Currently, there are 6 notable unlock events where the unlock volume is high relative to daily trading volume:

$SOLV - 31.82%
$ZRO - 145.86%
$KAITO - 41.32%
$SOON - 51.92%
$MET - 26.67%
$H - 127.03%

#CryptoUnlocks
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Haussier
Crypto Market Overview for August 10–15: Bitcoin Retreats from $65,000 as Capital Flows and Volatility Cool 📉 Bitcoin started the week around $64,800–$65,200, briefly moved above $65,300, but failed to sustain the advance and slipped toward $62,800–$63,100 by the end of the week. Ethereum traded in a narrower range around $1,880–$1,910, while the broader market shifted toward sideways to slightly weaker conditions as liquidity faded into the weekend. 🏦 Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded solid inflows early in the week, indicating that institutional demand remained present. However, several outflow sessions later reduced short-term momentum, reflecting a mix of selective accumulation and profit-taking. 📊 Funding rates for BTC and ETH remained mostly neutral to slightly positive, while open interest showed no sharp expansion and liquidations stayed moderate. In the options market, short-term Bitcoin implied volatility continued to compress, with 1-week ATM IV around 26%, suggesting limited expectations for an immediate breakout. 🐋 On-chain data showed net BTC flows toward major exchanges, potentially increasing near-term sell-side supply. At the same time, large whale wallets continued to accumulate, creating a divergence between short-term supply pressure and medium-term structural support. 💵 Stablecoin market capitalization remained broadly flat, suggesting that fresh liquidity has yet to expand enough to drive a stronger move. Altcoins remained highly selective, while token unlocks in projects including $AVAX , $ARB , $APT and SEI could add localized supply pressure. 🔎 In the near term, $62,500–$63,000 remains an important support area for Bitcoin, while $65,000–$65,500 is the key zone that needs to be reclaimed to improve the price structure. With ETF flows, liquidity and IV still lacking a strong directional signal, range-bound trading may remain dominant until a new catalyst emerges. #CryptoMarket
Crypto Market Overview for August 10–15: Bitcoin Retreats from $65,000 as Capital Flows and Volatility Cool

📉 Bitcoin started the week around $64,800–$65,200, briefly moved above $65,300, but failed to sustain the advance and slipped toward $62,800–$63,100 by the end of the week. Ethereum traded in a narrower range around $1,880–$1,910, while the broader market shifted toward sideways to slightly weaker conditions as liquidity faded into the weekend.

🏦 Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded solid inflows early in the week, indicating that institutional demand remained present. However, several outflow sessions later reduced short-term momentum, reflecting a mix of selective accumulation and profit-taking.

📊 Funding rates for BTC and ETH remained mostly neutral to slightly positive, while open interest showed no sharp expansion and liquidations stayed moderate. In the options market, short-term Bitcoin implied volatility continued to compress, with 1-week ATM IV around 26%, suggesting limited expectations for an immediate breakout.

🐋 On-chain data showed net BTC flows toward major exchanges, potentially increasing near-term sell-side supply. At the same time, large whale wallets continued to accumulate, creating a divergence between short-term supply pressure and medium-term structural support.

💵 Stablecoin market capitalization remained broadly flat, suggesting that fresh liquidity has yet to expand enough to drive a stronger move. Altcoins remained highly selective, while token unlocks in projects including $AVAX , $ARB , $APT and SEI could add localized supply pressure.

🔎 In the near term, $62,500–$63,000 remains an important support area for Bitcoin, while $65,000–$65,500 is the key zone that needs to be reclaimed to improve the price structure. With ETF flows, liquidity and IV still lacking a strong directional signal, range-bound trading may remain dominant until a new catalyst emerges.

#CryptoMarket
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Haussier
Global chemicals market overview for the week of August 10–15, 2026 showed rising cost pressure from energy, while weak downstream demand continued to limit broad-based price gains 🛢 Crude oil’s weekly advance continued to spill over into petrochemicals and feedstocks across Asia. China methanol rose around 4.9–5%, butadiene gained nearly 5%, while benzene, propylene, styrene and PTA were generally steadier or posted mild recoveries after earlier declines. 🏭 Polymers reacted more slowly, with PP and LLDPE in China rising only around 1.5–1.7%, while PVC was broadly flat. Higher naphtha and cracker feedstock costs supported prices, but cautious demand from packaging, automotive and construction limited producers’ ability to fully pass costs on to buyers. 🌾 Fertilizers remained mixed as China urea fell around 1.7%, while ammonia and phosphate prices stayed elevated. The divergence suggests improving urea supply, while other chains continue to reflect the lingering impact of earlier Middle East supply disruptions. 🌍 Elsewhere, excess capacity in Asia continued to pressure caustic soda, acetic acid and parts of the phenolics chain. No new systemic plant disruptions emerged during the week, meaning geopolitical risks were reflected mainly through energy, naphtha and logistics costs rather than widespread product shortages. 📊 Overall, the market remains more “cost-push” than “demand-pull.” Over the next 1–2 weeks, petrochemicals may stay supported if crude remains elevated, PE/PP could trade sideways to slightly higher, while urea may remain under pressure if supply continues to improve. Hormuz developments and crude oil prices remain the key variables to watch. #ChemicalsMarket $CL $NATGAS $BNB
Global chemicals market overview for the week of August 10–15, 2026 showed rising cost pressure from energy, while weak downstream demand continued to limit broad-based price gains

🛢 Crude oil’s weekly advance continued to spill over into petrochemicals and feedstocks across Asia. China methanol rose around 4.9–5%, butadiene gained nearly 5%, while benzene, propylene, styrene and PTA were generally steadier or posted mild recoveries after earlier declines.

🏭 Polymers reacted more slowly, with PP and LLDPE in China rising only around 1.5–1.7%, while PVC was broadly flat. Higher naphtha and cracker feedstock costs supported prices, but cautious demand from packaging, automotive and construction limited producers’ ability to fully pass costs on to buyers.

🌾 Fertilizers remained mixed as China urea fell around 1.7%, while ammonia and phosphate prices stayed elevated. The divergence suggests improving urea supply, while other chains continue to reflect the lingering impact of earlier Middle East supply disruptions.

🌍 Elsewhere, excess capacity in Asia continued to pressure caustic soda, acetic acid and parts of the phenolics chain. No new systemic plant disruptions emerged during the week, meaning geopolitical risks were reflected mainly through energy, naphtha and logistics costs rather than widespread product shortages.

📊 Overall, the market remains more “cost-push” than “demand-pull.” Over the next 1–2 weeks, petrochemicals may stay supported if crude remains elevated, PE/PP could trade sideways to slightly higher, while urea may remain under pressure if supply continues to improve. Hormuz developments and crude oil prices remain the key variables to watch.

#ChemicalsMarket $CL $NATGAS $BNB
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Haussier
Global Energy Market Overview for August 10–15, 2026 — Hormuz risks lift oil prices while demand signals remain cautious 🛢️ Crude oil ended the week up around 5–6%, with Brent near $88.5 per barrel and WTI around $82.4. The main drivers were stalled U.S.–Iran negotiations, attacks on oil tankers, and concerns that energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz could remain constrained. 📦 However, underlying supply-demand conditions do not fully support a sustained rally. U.S. crude inventories rose by 17.4 million barrels, the largest increase in more than 3.5 years, while both OPEC and the IEA lowered their 2026 oil demand outlooks. At the same time, the IEA estimates the market is still facing a supply deficit of around 1.8 million barrels per day this quarter due to Hormuz-related disruptions. 🚢 Physical market tightness remains visible in shipping and refining. VLCC freight rates stayed above $100,000 per day on several major routes, while diesel and jet fuel crack spreads remained elevated amid constrained refining capacity and relatively tight middle-distillate supplies. 🔥 Natural gas markets continued to diverge by region. European TTF and Asian JKM prices remained supported by LNG supply risks and import competition, while U.S. Henry Hub held around $2.7–3 per MMBtu thanks to strong domestic production and relatively comfortable inventories. 🌏 Asian demand has yet to show a strong recovery, with Chinese crude imports remaining below normal levels in recent months. This has helped limit some of oil’s upside despite persistent geopolitical premiums and elevated logistics costs. 📊 In the near term, oil prices are likely to remain highly sensitive to developments around Hormuz. Continued restrictions on flows through the strait could keep prices elevated, while diplomatic progress, further U.S. inventory builds, or weaker-than-expected demand data could trigger a correction. #EnergyMarket $CL $NATGAS $BNB
Global Energy Market Overview for August 10–15, 2026 — Hormuz risks lift oil prices while demand signals remain cautious

🛢️ Crude oil ended the week up around 5–6%, with Brent near $88.5 per barrel and WTI around $82.4. The main drivers were stalled U.S.–Iran negotiations, attacks on oil tankers, and concerns that energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz could remain constrained.

📦 However, underlying supply-demand conditions do not fully support a sustained rally. U.S. crude inventories rose by 17.4 million barrels, the largest increase in more than 3.5 years, while both OPEC and the IEA lowered their 2026 oil demand outlooks. At the same time, the IEA estimates the market is still facing a supply deficit of around 1.8 million barrels per day this quarter due to Hormuz-related disruptions.

🚢 Physical market tightness remains visible in shipping and refining. VLCC freight rates stayed above $100,000 per day on several major routes, while diesel and jet fuel crack spreads remained elevated amid constrained refining capacity and relatively tight middle-distillate supplies.

🔥 Natural gas markets continued to diverge by region. European TTF and Asian JKM prices remained supported by LNG supply risks and import competition, while U.S. Henry Hub held around $2.7–3 per MMBtu thanks to strong domestic production and relatively comfortable inventories.

🌏 Asian demand has yet to show a strong recovery, with Chinese crude imports remaining below normal levels in recent months. This has helped limit some of oil’s upside despite persistent geopolitical premiums and elevated logistics costs.

📊 In the near term, oil prices are likely to remain highly sensitive to developments around Hormuz. Continued restrictions on flows through the strait could keep prices elevated, while diplomatic progress, further U.S. inventory builds, or weaker-than-expected demand data could trigger a correction.

#EnergyMarket $CL $NATGAS $BNB
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Baissier
$POL – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 0.0751 🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly 2.7 million in short liquidations above the current price, significantly exceeding approximately 1.6 million in long liquidations below. The liquidity structure therefore leans clearly to the upside, while the first meaningful short-liquidation clusters also sit relatively close to price. 📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity begins building immediately around 0.0756–0.0762 and increases sharply across 0.0768–0.0774. The strongest nearby cluster sits around 0.0768, with additional liquidity remaining elevated across 0.0780–0.0798. A break above 0.0756 would increase the probability of an extension toward 0.0768–0.0774. 📉 Below the market, the nearest long-liquidation liquidity is concentrated around 0.0743–0.0737 before becoming denser across 0.0729–0.0717. The strongest downside cluster sits near 0.0723. Losing 0.0743 would increase the probability of a sweep toward 0.0737–0.0729. 🧭 The higher-probability scenario is an initial move toward 0.0756–0.0774 because upside liquidity is both larger overall and closer. A breakout could shift focus toward 0.0780–0.0798, while a loss of 0.0743 would strengthen the downside long-sweep scenario toward 0.0737–0.0723. #LiquidationMap
$POL – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 0.0751
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly 2.7 million in short liquidations above the current price, significantly exceeding approximately 1.6 million in long liquidations below. The liquidity structure therefore leans clearly to the upside, while the first meaningful short-liquidation clusters also sit relatively close to price.
📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity begins building immediately around 0.0756–0.0762 and increases sharply across 0.0768–0.0774. The strongest nearby cluster sits around 0.0768, with additional liquidity remaining elevated across 0.0780–0.0798. A break above 0.0756 would increase the probability of an extension toward 0.0768–0.0774.

📉 Below the market, the nearest long-liquidation liquidity is concentrated around 0.0743–0.0737 before becoming denser across 0.0729–0.0717. The strongest downside cluster sits near 0.0723. Losing 0.0743 would increase the probability of a sweep toward 0.0737–0.0729.

🧭 The higher-probability scenario is an initial move toward 0.0756–0.0774 because upside liquidity is both larger overall and closer. A breakout could shift focus toward 0.0780–0.0798, while a loss of 0.0743 would strengthen the downside long-sweep scenario toward 0.0737–0.0723.

#LiquidationMap
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