Asian stocks reverse course as oil and bond yields climb
📉 Asian equities weakened on August 18, with South Korea’s KOSPI erasing nearly all of an early gain of more than 3%, while the Nikkei 225 fell around 1.6%. The MSCI Asia-Pacific ex-Japan index also slipped about 0.3%.
🛢️ Pressure increased as Brent crude held near $91.2 a barrel after the US-Iran ceasefire expired, renewing concerns over supply risks and inflation.
📈 US 30-year Treasury yields rose to their highest level in nearly 20 years, while Japan’s 10-year government bond yield reached its highest level in roughly three decades, adding further pressure on equity valuations.
⚠️ The moves suggest that near-term sentiment across Asian markets remains highly sensitive to oil prices, bond yields and geopolitical risks, even as South Korean semiconductor shares continue to show relative strength.
$SPCX – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 143.7
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly $105–110 million in short liquidations above the current price, slightly exceeding approximately $100–105 million in long liquidations below. The overall structure is therefore relatively balanced but modestly tilted to the upside.
📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity begins building around 145.5–148.5 and becomes much denser across 149.7–152.1. The strongest clusters sit around 150.3–150.9, with additional liquidity extending toward 153.3–154.5. A break above 145.5 would increase the probability of a move toward 149.7–150.9.
📉 Below the market, the nearest long-liquidation liquidity is concentrated around 142.5–141.3 before becoming denser across 137.7–136.5. Additional major clusters sit around 134.1–132.9. Losing 142.5 would increase the probability of a sweep toward 141.3–140.1, followed by 137.7–136.5.
🧭 The near-term setup is relatively balanced, although total short-liquidation exposure above is slightly larger. Holding above 143.7 and breaking 145.5 would shift focus toward 149.7–152.1, while losing 142.5 would strengthen the downside long-sweep scenario toward 141.3–140.1.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 1.46% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 hours 2 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 8.61%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
SC02 M15 - pending Short order. Entry contains POC + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is around 10.39% wide. The downtrend has lasted 2 days 12 hours 30 minutes, with the largest recorded price decline at 67.34%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend will likely reverse upward.
🛢️ The 60-day ceasefire between the US and Iran has expired without an extension, while Tehran said it was shifting to a “fully offensive” posture. The development has brought geopolitical risk premiums back into energy markets.
🚢 Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen sharply, from around 31 vessels a week earlier to just five on August 16 and none recorded on August 17. Brent consequently moved above $91 a barrel, while WTI traded around $85.
📈 Higher oil prices also added pressure to bond markets, with the US 30-year Treasury yield rising to around 5.31%. The dollar remains near a two-month low, while gold and Bitcoin posted modest gains, suggesting cautious sentiment rather than a broad risk-off move.
👀 Hormuz shipping activity and the August 19 FOMC minutes will be key factors to watch in the near term.
$BNB – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 603.4
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows relatively balanced long-liquidation exposure below and short-liquidation exposure above, both near $60 million. However, the major downside clusters sit closer to the current price, while upside liquidity becomes significantly denser from around 617.9 onward.
📉 Below the market, long-liquidation liquidity is concentrated around 599.7–591.3, with 599.7 standing out as the strongest nearby cluster. Additional downside liquidity remains meaningful across 587.1–578.7. Losing 599.7 would increase the probability of a sweep toward 595.5–591.3.
📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity begins building around 613.7–617.9 and becomes much denser across 622.1–626.3. The strongest cluster sits around 622–624, with additional liquidity extending through 630.5–638.9. A break above 613.7 would bring 617.9–622.1 into focus.
🧭 The near-term setup is relatively balanced but modestly favors an initial downside liquidity test because the 599.7 cluster sits closer. Losing 599.7 would strengthen the probability of a sweep toward 595.5–591.3, while breaking above 613.7 would shift attention toward short liquidations across 617.9–626.3.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.72% wide. The uptrend has lasted 9 hours 40 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 16.03%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
SC02 M15 - pending Short order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is around 2.01% wide. The downtrend has lasted 1 day 6 hours, with the largest recorded price decline at 12.50%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend will likely reverse upward.
L3Harris abruptly replaces CEO after internal investigation, LHX shares fall about 4%
🛡️ L3Harris confirmed that Christopher Kubasik stepped down as Chairman and CEO effective immediately following an independent investigation into a violation of the company’s Code of Conduct. The company stressed that the matter was unrelated to financial reporting, internal controls, customers, or business operations.
👤 Sam Mehta was appointed President and CEO. Choosing an internal executive who previously oversaw businesses accounting for most of the company’s revenue helps reduce concerns over operational disruption.
📉 LHX shares fell roughly 3–4% following the announcement, reflecting governance concerns without indicating that investors are pricing in a broader systemic issue.
📊 L3Harris also reaffirmed its full-year 2026 guidance. The stock’s next move will likely depend on whether operations remain stable and whether any additional negative details emerge from the investigation.
$DOGE – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 0.0704
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly $85 million in short liquidations above the current price, exceeding approximately $75 million in long liquidations below. The liquidity structure therefore leans modestly to the upside, although major downside clusters also sit relatively close to price.
📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity begins building around 0.0708–0.0714 and remains elevated across 0.0720–0.0732. Notable clusters sit near 0.0714 and 0.0726–0.0732. A break above 0.0708 would increase the probability of an extension toward 0.0714–0.0720.
📉 Below the market, long-liquidation liquidity is heavily concentrated around 0.0690–0.0684, with the strongest cluster near 0.0684–0.0687. Additional downside liquidity remains dense across 0.0678–0.0672. Losing 0.0690 would increase the probability of a sweep toward 0.0687–0.0684.
🧭 The near-term setup is relatively balanced but modestly favors the upside because total short-liquidation exposure is larger. A break above 0.0708 would bring 0.0714–0.0720 into focus, while losing 0.0690 would strengthen the downside long-sweep scenario toward 0.0687–0.0684.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.61% wide. The uptrend has lasted 6 hours 58 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 15.06%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + meets positive simplification with a previously highly profitable Long order, the current support zone is around 1.48% wide. The uptrend has lasted 1 hour 58 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 8.57%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
USD weakens as markets sharply reduce expectations for a September Fed rate hike
💵 The US dollar remained under pressure as the probability of a Fed rate hike in September fell to around 30–31%, down from roughly 50–55% last week, pushing the DXY toward its lowest level since early June.
📈 EUR/USD climbed to around 1.1595–1.1614, its highest level in about two months, while AUD and NZD reached roughly 0.7105 and 0.5910 respectively, both near 10-week highs.
📊 The move was driven mainly by softer-than-expected US economic data, highlighted by a 0.6% decline in July retail sales, alongside earlier signs of easing labor market and inflation pressures.
⚖️ The shift toward expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged is supporting non-USD currencies and risk assets. However, elevated oil prices and geopolitical risks could revive inflation concerns and limit further dollar weakness.
$XAU – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 4,416.1
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly $480–490 million in short liquidations above the current price, modestly exceeding approximately $420–430 million in long liquidations below. The liquidity structure therefore leans slightly to the upside, while several major short-liquidation clusters also sit relatively close to price.
📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity increases sharply from $4,438.5 and becomes heavily concentrated across $4,438.5–$4,496.1. The strongest nearby cluster sits around $4,467.3, with additional liquidity remaining elevated toward $4,496.1–$4,524.9. A break above $4,438.5 would increase the probability of a sweep toward $4,467.3–$4,496.1.
📉 Below the market, long-liquidation liquidity is concentrated around $4,376.1–$4,318.5, with notable clusters near $4,347.3 and $4,318.5. Further downside liquidity remains elevated around $4,289.7–$4,260.9. Losing $4,376.1 would increase the probability of a sweep toward $4,347.3–$4,318.5.
🧭 The near-term setup modestly favors the upside because total short-liquidation exposure is larger and the $4,438.5–$4,496.1 cluster is relatively close. A breakout above $4,496.1 could shift focus toward $4,524.9, while losing $4,376.1 would strengthen the downside long-sweep scenario toward $4,347.3–$4,318.5.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + meets positive simplification with a previously profitable Long order, the current support zone is around 1.90% wide. The uptrend has lasted 1 hour 52 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 10.67%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 1.88% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 hours 47 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 11.43%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
Nasdaq gains support from AI and memory stocks as investors continue to favor technology shares
📈 U.S. stock futures were mixed on August 17, with Nasdaq 100 E-minis up around 0.52% and S&P 500 futures gaining 0.13%, while Dow futures slipped 0.17%. The divergence suggests risk appetite remains concentrated in growth stocks rather than broad-based across the market.
💾 Technology and semiconductor shares led the advance, with Micron rising around 3% and Broadcom gaining 1.1%, while Amazon and Alphabet also traded higher. Memory stocks continued to benefit from expectations that AI-related demand and computing infrastructure spending will remain strong.
🤖 Anthropic’s long-term revenue forecast acted as a sentiment catalyst, reinforcing expectations that the AI investment cycle still has room to expand. However, gains remain concentrated in tech, pointing to a selective rather than broad risk-on environment.
⚖️ In the near term, Nasdaq’s relative strength remains constructive, but its divergence from the Dow suggests the market has yet to establish a broad-based rally.
$SNDK – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 1,797.6
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly $270 million in long liquidations below the current price, far exceeding approximately $50 million in short liquidations above. The liquidity structure therefore leans strongly to the downside, although several notable upside clusters could become targets if price recovers.
📉 Below the market, nearby long-liquidation liquidity is concentrated around 1,784–1,757 before increasing sharply near 1,730 and 1,695. The 1,730 area stands out as one of the largest clusters on the map, while deeper liquidity remains dense around 1,600–1,582. Losing 1,784 would increase the probability of a sweep toward 1,757–1,730.
📈 Above the market, nearby short-liquidation liquidity remains relatively light around 1,800–1,830 before increasing sharply near 1,849. This is the strongest upside cluster, with additional liquidity appearing around 1,868–1,887. A break above 1,830 would bring 1,849 into focus as the key short-sweep target.
🧭 The near-term setup favors the downside because total long-liquidation exposure below is several times larger. Losing 1,784 would strengthen the probability of a move toward 1,757–1,730, while holding current levels and breaking 1,830 would shift attention toward a short-liquidation sweep across 1,849–1,868.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.52% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 hours 29 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 4.21%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 2.49% wide. The uptrend has lasted 7 hours 2 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 38.47%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.