The Market Updates
Crypto Trader Since 2007.
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INSANE VOLATILITY IN THE MARKETS.
The US stock market and crypto market have erased all their gains made after US unemployment data.
S&P 500 is down -0.3%
Nasdaq is down -0.35%
Russell 2000 is down -1.25%
BTC also dropped below $66,000 while ETH touched $1,900.
The crypto market erased nearly $90 billion and most assets are now trading at their daily lows.
The US stock market and crypto market have erased all their gains made after US unemployment data.
S&P 500 is down -0.3%
Nasdaq is down -0.35%
Russell 2000 is down -1.25%
BTC also dropped below $66,000 while ETH touched $1,900.
The crypto market erased nearly $90 billion and most assets are now trading at their daily lows.
LABOR MARKET SURPRISE SENDS FUTURES HIGHER
US stock futures jumped after job data came in much stronger than expected.
The US economy added 130,000 jobs in January, vs. 66,000 estimated.
Unemployment rate fell to 4.3% vs. 4.4% expected, showing that the labor market is improving.
After the release:
• US futures moved higher
• Gold slipped
• BTC pumped $2,400 from today's bottom and trading near $68,000
It seems like the market now thinks that recession risk is getting lower now.
US stock futures jumped after job data came in much stronger than expected.
The US economy added 130,000 jobs in January, vs. 66,000 estimated.
Unemployment rate fell to 4.3% vs. 4.4% expected, showing that the labor market is improving.
After the release:
• US futures moved higher
• Gold slipped
• BTC pumped $2,400 from today's bottom and trading near $68,000
It seems like the market now thinks that recession risk is getting lower now.
$ETH trying to bounce here, but we may sweep the lows first before moving back up the range. Watching the GP for a potential long.
🚨US JOB DATA JUST SHOCKED EVERYONE
Everyone was waiting for a weak job print after Kevin Hassett's comment yesterday.
But the exact opposite happened.
The unemployment rate came in at 4.3% vs. 4.4% expected.
The US economy added 130,000 jobs in January, the highest since April 2025.
The US private sector added 172,000 jobs in January, the highest level in a year.
This was a strong job report, which means March rate cuts are probably off the table now.
Everyone was waiting for a weak job print after Kevin Hassett's comment yesterday.
But the exact opposite happened.
The unemployment rate came in at 4.3% vs. 4.4% expected.
The US economy added 130,000 jobs in January, the highest since April 2025.
The US private sector added 172,000 jobs in January, the highest level in a year.
This was a strong job report, which means March rate cuts are probably off the table now.
🚨 BREAKING 🚨
🇺🇸 US private sector added 172,000 jobs in January, the highest since Trump took office.
🇺🇸 US private sector added 172,000 jobs in January, the highest since Trump took office.
BREAKING:
🇺🇲 US Unemployment Rate: 4.3%
Expectations: 4.4%
It came lower than expected which means the labor market is slightly improving.
This will lessen the odds of rate cuts in 2026.
🇺🇲 US Unemployment Rate: 4.3%
Expectations: 4.4%
It came lower than expected which means the labor market is slightly improving.
This will lessen the odds of rate cuts in 2026.
🚨BREAKING🚨
🇺🇸 US unemployment came in at 4.3%
Expectations: 4.4%
🇺🇸 US unemployment came in at 4.3%
Expectations: 4.4%
BREAKING: Silver reclaims $85, now up +6.55% in the last 12 hours, adding $297 billion to its market cap.
GOLD HAS ENTERED THE SAME ZONE WHERE EVERY...
GOLD HAS ENTERED THE SAME ZONE WHERE EVERY MAJOR BULL RUN HAS HISTORICALLY ENDED.
Last month, Gold just hit a new cycle high near $5,600, and is still up +427% in this 2016 → 2026 run.
Now zoom out on what this chart is really showing:
1) Gold moves in decade long super runs
1970 → 1980: +2,403%
2001 → 2011: +655%
2016 → 2026: +427% (so far)
Different decades. Same pattern: gold doesn’t trend up forever. It tends to run hard for 9-10 years, then cool off for years and sometime decades.
BUT WHAT USUALLY ENDS A GOLD SUPER RUN?
It’s usually a mix of:
- Inflation finally cooling
- Real rates moving up
- The Fed getting tighter for longer
- The dollar stabilizing
- Tisk appetite coming back
That’s why gold peaks often show up around major policy shifts.
When gold topped in 1980, it wasn’t the end of markets. It was the start of a long rotation: gold cooled off, stocks entered a long uptrend that lasted for 20 years.
When gold topped again in 2011, we saw a similar shift: gold went sideways/down for years, stocks went into a long bull trend through the 2010s and beyond.
So the historical pattern looks like this:
Gold super run ends → capital rotates back into growth assets → equities get a long runway.
Currently gold recently pushing to a new high area ($5.6k) after a strong multi year climb. That doesn’t confirm a top by itself.
But it does tell you something important: We are no longer early in this move.
THE BIG DIFFERENCE THIS TIME: In 1980, there was no crypto. In 2011, Bitcoin was still tiny and ignored. In 2026, crypto is a real market with: institutional participation, ETFs and big platforms, public companies holding BTC, a much bigger investor base than any prior cycle.
So if the classic post gold rotation happens again…
This time it may not be: Gold → Stocks only
It could be: Gold → Stocks + Bitcoin + high beta crypto
Because crypto is now part of the risk-on world.
Gold has a history of 10 year super trends, When those trends mature, stocks often get a long runway.
This cycle is now in the same late stage decade window. And crypto is the new player that could absorb part of the next rotation.
Last month, Gold just hit a new cycle high near $5,600, and is still up +427% in this 2016 → 2026 run.
Now zoom out on what this chart is really showing:
1) Gold moves in decade long super runs
1970 → 1980: +2,403%
2001 → 2011: +655%
2016 → 2026: +427% (so far)
Different decades. Same pattern: gold doesn’t trend up forever. It tends to run hard for 9-10 years, then cool off for years and sometime decades.
BUT WHAT USUALLY ENDS A GOLD SUPER RUN?
It’s usually a mix of:
- Inflation finally cooling
- Real rates moving up
- The Fed getting tighter for longer
- The dollar stabilizing
- Tisk appetite coming back
That’s why gold peaks often show up around major policy shifts.
When gold topped in 1980, it wasn’t the end of markets. It was the start of a long rotation: gold cooled off, stocks entered a long uptrend that lasted for 20 years.
When gold topped again in 2011, we saw a similar shift: gold went sideways/down for years, stocks went into a long bull trend through the 2010s and beyond.
So the historical pattern looks like this:
Gold super run ends → capital rotates back into growth assets → equities get a long runway.
Currently gold recently pushing to a new high area ($5.6k) after a strong multi year climb. That doesn’t confirm a top by itself.
But it does tell you something important: We are no longer early in this move.
THE BIG DIFFERENCE THIS TIME: In 1980, there was no crypto. In 2011, Bitcoin was still tiny and ignored. In 2026, crypto is a real market with: institutional participation, ETFs and big platforms, public companies holding BTC, a much bigger investor base than any prior cycle.
So if the classic post gold rotation happens again…
This time it may not be: Gold → Stocks only
It could be: Gold → Stocks + Bitcoin + high beta crypto
Because crypto is now part of the risk-on world.
Gold has a history of 10 year super trends, When those trends mature, stocks often get a long runway.
This cycle is now in the same late stage decade window. And crypto is the new player that could absorb part of the next rotation.
REMINDER 🚨
🇺🇸 US unemployment rate will be released at 8:30am ET today.
Expectations: 4.4%
🇺🇸 US unemployment rate will be released at 8:30am ET today.
Expectations: 4.4%
BREAKING:
🇯🇵 Japan’s stock market keeps hitting new all-time highs despite expectations of more rate hikes this year.
🇯🇵 Japan’s stock market keeps hitting new all-time highs despite expectations of more rate hikes this year.
🚨 BREAKING 🚨
🇺🇸 US Treasury just bought back $2,000,000,000 of its own debt.
🇺🇸 US Treasury just bought back $2,000,000,000 of its own debt.
BREAKING:
🇺🇸🇮🇷 President Trump said he might send a second aircraft carrier to strike Iran if negotiations fail.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 President Trump said he might send a second aircraft carrier to strike Iran if negotiations fail.
We waited for the "SuperCycle."
While cartels ran the same old playbook again.
While cartels ran the same old playbook again.
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