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Bitcoin held firm at $65,000 this week, giving the altcoin market a chance to catch its breath. This stability helped reset the Alts Impulse signal from negative to neutral, hinting at a possible short-term altcoin recovery if momentum continues upward. Swissblock notes that a decisive shift to a “positive” impulse could act as a clear signal for a rally in altcoins.
The Alts Impulse signal had turned negative in February, following Bitcoin’s dip below $60,000, which dragged the broader market down. But recent stabilization suggests relief may be near, offering a window for altcoins to regain some ground.
Stablecoin inflows further support this possibility. Exchange inflows, which measure buying power in the market, climbed steadily through January, reaching $4 billion in February. While there has been a slight pullback from $4.3 billion to $3.7 billion since 10 February, the decrease is modest compared to the earlier rebound. This continued presence of capital could help fuel a potential altcoin bounce, although a prolonged dip would risk keeping the market fragile.
Ethereum’s performance versus Bitcoin also signals opportunity. The ETH/BTC ratio rose by 3.5% in the past few days, showing Ethereum outpacing Bitcoin — a trend historically associated with altcoin surges. If the ratio pushes higher from its February range, it could signal a stronger altcoin season on the horizon.
Individual coins are already showing signs of life. Zcash [ZEC] surged 24% over the past 24 hours, leading the recent rally. Hedera Hashgraph [HBAR] and Bitcoin Cash [BCH] both jumped 10%, while Solana [SOL] gained 8%, and Ethereum reclaimed $2,000 with a 6% rise.
Yet, risks remain. Glassnode reports increased hedging against a Bitcoin decline, with bearish positions up nearly 12% over the past month. Any drop in BTC could quickly pull altcoins lower, undermining the fledgling recovery.
For now, the altcoin market sits in a neutral zone, offering cautious optimism. A short-term rally is possible, but it hinges on sustained capital inflows and Bitcoin holding above critical levels. Traders and investors will be watching both signals closely, ready to respond to the next move in the market.
$BTC

Aave has stepped back into the spotlight, and this time the momentum feels different. Over the past few days, capital has been flowing back into the protocol, and confidence across the broader market appears to be rebuilding. At the time of writing, AAVE is up 12% in just 24 hours, reflecting a clear wave of renewed interest in one of DeFi’s longest-standing lending platforms.

What’s fueling the move isn’t just price speculation. The rally closely follows the introduction of the “Aave Will Win” framework a bold ecosystem proposal aimed at strengthening the protocol’s DAO and sharpening long-term value capture. The core idea is simple but powerful: redirect 100% of revenue generated from Aave-branded products and the protocol layer straight into the DAO treasury. That includes income from its mobile app, the Aave Card, and the upcoming V4 upgrade.

With annualized revenue projections ranging between $118 million and $426 million, the numbers highlight how much real cash flow the protocol is already capable of generating. Founder and CEO Stani Kulechov framed the proposal as a strategic shift toward full token alignment a move designed to tighten the connection between Aave Labs and token holders while pushing the ecosystem closer to mainstream adoption. Community response so far has been largely supportive, with governance discussions reflecting growing confidence in both direction and execution.

On-chain data backs up that optimism. The Accumulation/Distribution indicator has resumed climbing in positive territory, signaling steady buying pressure. Around 3.58 million AAVE tokens were traded at the time of reporting, and liquidity metrics are showing strength. The Money Flow Index sits at 83 a level that typically signals strong capital inflows. When MFI pushes above 80, it reflects aggressive buying activity, suggesting investors are not just watching from the sidelines but actively positioning.

TVL tells a similar story. Following the governance proposal, deposits into the protocol surged, pushing Total Value Locked up by $589 million in just 24 hours. That jump brings Aave’s TVL to $27.797 billion a significant increase that shows deeper capital commitment. Rising TVL often signals more than speculation; it reflects users locking funds to earn yield and actively participating in the ecosystem. In simple terms, capital isn’t just trading AAVE it’s staying within the protocol.

Still, not every signal is perfectly aligned. Despite the price surge and liquidity inflows, daily trading volume has dropped 23% to around $368 million. Historically, price increases paired with declining volume can hint at fading momentum. It suggests that while committed buyers are accumulating, broader market participation hasn’t fully expanded yet. If demand doesn’t widen, the rally could struggle to sustain its pace.

Right now, Aave stands at an interesting crossroads. Fundamentals are strengthening, revenue alignment is improving, liquidity is rising, and investor conviction appears to be building. But for the move to extend, the market will need to show that this isn’t just short-term enthusiasm it’s sustained demand.

The coming sessions will likely determine whether this breakout evolves into a longer structural uptrend or cools as volume divergence catches up. Either way, Aave is no longer moving quietly it’s making a clear statement about where it wants to go next.
$AAVE

The crypto market bounced back by roughly 3.45% over the past 24 hours, and while the recovery was broad, a few altcoins stood out from the crowd. Virtual Protocol’s VIRTUAL was one of them, climbing 10% at press time. It didn’t lead the entire market, but it certainly made enough noise to grab attention.

The move came after price stabilized above the $0.53 level, which had been acting as support during the recent bear phase. As the wider altcoin sector found its footing, momentum started to build. The Altcoin Season Index ticking up from 25 to 30 in just five days added to the improving tone. Capital rotation into alts gave projects like VIRTUAL the breathing room they needed to push higher.

On the charts, the structure is still technically bearish, but sentiment has clearly shifted in the short term. Bulls are attempting to regain control. The Parabolic SAR flashed a buy signal near $0.5367 before the surge, hinting that momentum was beginning to turn. Still, one rally does not confirm a full trend reversal.

For VIRTUAL to signal a meaningful shift, price needs to break and hold above $0.68. That level now acts as the key pivot. A clean move beyond it could open the door toward $0.75 and potentially higher. If it fails, however, the token may remain stuck in a sideways range between $0.53 and $0.68. In a weaker scenario, liquidity hunts could even drag it back toward the wick low around $0.46.

Broader risk signals offer mixed clues. The Bear Market Probability Model sits at 33%, suggesting hedging activity has cooled and aggressive short leverage has eased. Macroeconomic conditions remain relatively stable, but overall sentiment across crypto is still cautious. Traders are participating, but conviction remains limited.

What makes this rally more interesting is the on-chain activity. According to Lookonchain, the Virtuals Protocol team deposited 13.05 million VIRTUAL, worth around $7.51 million, into Binance. That immediately raised eyebrows. Exchange inflows from project-linked wallets often spark concerns about potential distribution.

There are two possible interpretations. The deposit could be for liquidity management, especially if part of the tokens came from a liquidity pool. That would support smoother trading conditions and benefit both buyers and sellers. On the other hand, if the move signals distribution, the 10% rally could resemble an exit pump rather than the start of a sustained uptrend.

Intent matters here. If the team is strengthening liquidity infrastructure, the rally could have room to extend. If it’s preparing to offload supply, confidence may weaken quickly. The only way to separate narrative from reality is to monitor the address activity closely in the coming days.

For now, VIRTUAL sits at a crossroads. The short-term momentum is clearly bullish, fueled by broader altcoin strength. But the real test lies at $0.68. A break above that level could confirm a structural shift. Failure to do so may keep price trapped in consolidation or worse, expose it to another leg down.

The next move will likely define whether this rally was the beginning of something bigger or just a brief spark in a still-fragile market.
$VIRTUAL

Not every project needs to be loud to matter.
While the market jumps from one trend to another, Vanar seems focused on something simpler building something that actually makes sense long term. No constant noise. No over-the-top promises. Just steady progress.
What stands out about Vanar right now is the intent behind it. The direction feels clear. It’s not trying to copy what everyone else is doing. It’s carving its own lane, especially around the idea of smarter digital systems and practical use cases that go beyond basic transactions.
The space is evolving. It’s no longer just about launching tokens or chasing quick pumps. The real shift is happening in how blockchains can support more advanced applications things that need reliability, flexibility, and room to grow. That’s where Vanar seems comfortable.
There’s a difference between building for attention and building for longevity. Attention fades. Foundations don’t.
Vanar feels like it’s choosing the second path.
And in crypto, that usually matters more over time.
$VANRY #Vanar @Vanarchain