Binance Square
CryptoZeno
5.6k Publications

CryptoZeno

Verified Creator on #BinanceSquare #CoinMarketCap and #CryptoQuant | On Chain Research and Market Insights with Smart Trading Signals
Détenteur pour MarsCoin
Détenteur pour MarsCoin
Trade régulièrement
5.3 an(s)
30 Suivis
8.4K+ Abonnés
33.3K+ J’aime
Publications
PINNED
·
--
Article
The Breakout Trading Strategy I Use to Catch Big MovesI’ve longed resistance and shorted support for 9 years… This is the exact opposite of what every trader tries to do. In this article, I will share my entire strategy so you can skip years of testing and losses. This is something you will want to bookmark, take notes on, and set time aside to think about. Lesson 1: The Only 2 Trading Strategies Before you can identify good momentum setups, you need to understand what momentum trading actually is. Momentum and mean reversion are opposite strategies based on opposite assumptions. The Two Trading Styles Momentum (where you take a trade betting on a continuation of the current trend)Mean Reversion (where you take a trade betting on a reversal of the current trend) One assumes strength continues; the other assumes strength exhausts. Let’s consider this through a visual example. Suppose price is approaching a resistance level (in other words, a level where there was previously selling pressure, preventing the price from moving higher). Momentum assumes the level will break. You’re betting on continuation.Price approaches resistance, you buy, expecting it to push through and keep running.The level becomes support once broken. Mean reversion assumes the level will hold. You’re betting on rejection.Price approaches resistance, you short, expecting it to bounce back down.The level acts as a ceiling. Same chart. Same resistance level. Opposite strategies. There is no right or wrong. The key is to understand when you are in a momentum trade environment, such that momentum strategies are highly aligned. The next section shows you exactly how to identify when the environment favours momentum (my best strategy). Lesson 1 Summary There are 2 trading styles: momentum and mean reversionMean reversion bets levels will hold; momentum bets levels will breakOne is not better than the other; it depends entirely on the trade environment Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment Just opening a long every time price hits resistance won't make us any money. Without the right conditions, momentum dies immediately after the breakout. You enter. It reverses. You're stopped out. That's not bad luck, that's a bad trading environment. The Rowing Analogy Imagine you’re rowing a boat. You either row against or with the current. One makes it easier to row while the other takes a lot more effort. Your boat, or rowing technique, didn’t change… Only your environment did. Trading is the same. Your strategy is your boat. Your optimal trade environment is the current. Now use this 3-filter checklist to ensure you only take trades where a breakout is likely (with the current). Filter 1: How Did Price Approach the Level? What you WANT: A slow, grinding staircase pattern approaching resistance.Each candle makes incremental progress.Higher lows are stacking up.Controlled, deliberate movement. What you DON’T want: A fast vertical spike into resistance.Price shoots up in one or two large candles.After a spike, buyers' strength is depleted and price typically consolidates or reverses.This is exhaustion, not momentum. The staircase pattern shows sustained buying pressure building gradually. When this breaks through resistance, buyers are still engaged and ready to push further. Common mistake: Traders see a strong candle break resistance and assume momentum is strong. But these fast moves often reverse quickly. → Do this instead: Take momentum trades when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase over multiple candles. Real Trade Example: Slow clear grind into resistance showing an optimal ‘price approach to level’ for momentum. Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅ Filter 2: What Did Volume Look Like? Volume confirms whether the price movement has conviction behind it. What you WANT: Gradual increase in volume as price approaches resistanceThis pattern shows controlled, sustainable momentum. What you DON’T want: Flat volume (no conviction) or sudden volume spikes (exhaustion).Flat volume means the move lacks participation.Volume spikes often mark climax points where momentum exhausts.Decreasing volume (why would price break out of resistance now, if volume was lower than before?) Volume should mirror the price pattern, steady and building, not erratic. This strategy works because momentum continuation is most likely when participation is sustained, supply is absorbed gradually, and structure remains intact. Real Trade Example: Around the time the grindy staircase begins to emerge, we see a slow, consistent increase in volume. Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅Filter 2: clearly increasing volume ✅ Lastly, Filter 3: Moving Average Crossovers This filter distinguishes trending markets (good for momentum) from choppy, indecisive markets (bad for momentum). What you WANT to see: Moving averages with minimal crossovers. This indicates a directional trend. What you DON’T want to see: Frequent crossovers. This signals chop and indecision. Fewer crossovers = cleaner trend or range = better momentum continuation. Use the 30SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average). ✍️Quick Actionable Step: To add the 30SMMA on your charts: Search for the Smoothed Moving Average Indicator in TradingViewAdd it to your chartGo into settings and change the "Length" to "30" Real Trade Example: Filter 1 (Price Action): slow grindy staircase ✅ Filter 2 (Volume): clearly increasing volume ✅ Filter 3 (Crossovers): minimal MA crossovers ✅ 🎓Lesson 2 Summary Slow grinding staircase approaches have better follow-through than fast spikesVolume should be gradual (increasing or decreasing), not flat or spikingFewer MA crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions for momentum Lesson 3: Identifying Setups Now you know what momentum is. You also know the optimal conditions for it. Next, you need to know where to execute these trades. Step 1: Draw Support and Resistance Levels Momentum trades happen at these key levels. You need to identify them consistently. I've already written an in-depth masterclass on how to set these levels. I'll link it at the end of this article. Common mistake: Traders draw levels randomly or inconsistently, leading to missed setups or false signals. Do this instead: Use my step-by-step approach at the end of this article. Step 2: Await Your Entry Trigger on the 1-Minute Chart Once you’ve identified a resistance level on your primary timeframe, switch to the 1-minute chart for precise entry timing. Why 1-minute chart? You learn faster. More trades, more chart exposure and more oppurtunities to practice psychology. I’ve added a bonus guide on why you should be trading the 1-minute chart at the end of this article. Real Trade Example: Step 3: Three Filters Before entering, check the three filters from Section 2: Is price approaching resistance in a slow staircase pattern?Is volume gradually increasing or decreasing (not flat or spiking)?Are there minimal MA crossovers (not choppy)? If any filter fails, reduce your risk on the trade. Only take full risk on A-grade setups, not forcing trades in poor conditions. 🎓Lesson 3 Summary Draw levels using the ZCT masterclass approach at the end of this articleUse your entry trigger on the 1-minute timeframe: 2 candle closes above for confirmationCheck all three filters before entering, allocate risk and size accordingly Lesson 4: Strategy Logic: Stop Loss, and Take Profit You've drawn your levels. You've confirmed the setup aligns with optimal momentum conditions. Now you need precise execution. Entry timing, stop placement, and profit targets determine whether you capture the momentum move or get stopped out on a good setup. This is where most traders lose, not in analysis, but in execution. Step 4: Entry Trigger We have established to wait for two consecutive 1-minute candles to close fully above the resistance level. This confirms the level broke and momentum is continuing. Critical execution detail: After the second candle closes above resistance, place a limit order AT the resistance level (now acting as support), not above it. Price often pulls back slightly after breaking out. Your limit order gets filled on the pullback without chasing. Common mistake: Traders wait for confirmation, then market-buy above resistance as price runs away. They enter late with a wider stop and worse risk/reward. → Do this instead: Preset your limit order AT resistance after the second candle closes. Let price come back to you. Real Trade Example: Step 5: Stop Loss A swing low is: the lowest wick in a pullback. Your stop loss goes at the most recent swing low before the breakout. Common mistake: Traders place stops at the nearest swing low, even if it’s only 0.3% away, leading to frequent stop-outs from normal volatility Do this instead: Always measure the distance of your stop loss using the ruler tool on TradingView. If it’s less than 1%, use the next swing low down. Step 6: Take Profit 1R (Equal Distance to Stop) Your take profit target is 1R, the same distance as your stop loss, but in the profit direction If your stop loss is 1.982% away from entry, your target is also 1.982% away, but on the upside. This gives you a 1:1 risk/reward ratio. Why 1R? It’s conservative and achievable. Momentum trades often hit 1R quickly because the breakout has follow-through. You’re not trying to catch the entire move, you’re taking a high-probability piece of it. Over time, as you get data in your journal, you can start extending your profit targets when you see how far your average winning trades go beyond 1R. This way, you’re not guessing where to take profits, but following a systematic approach. Real Trade Example: 🎓Lesson 4 summary Enter after two 1-minute candle closes above resistance, using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) to avoid chasing price.Place stop losses at the most recent valid swing low, ensuring enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Set initial profit targets at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable, systematic way. Immediate Next Steps✍️: Read the Support and Resistance Masterclass to learn how to draw levels (shared at end of article)Look at 3 charts using the 3 filter checklist to identify a momentum trade environmentUse the strategy steps to enter your tradeGather 30 trades using this method, journalled and reviewed against the criteria 🎓 Final Summary Lesson 1: Momentum vs Mean Reversion Momentum trades bet that price will continue through a level, while mean reversion trades bet that a level will hold and reject price.Both strategies are valid, but performance depends entirely on matching the strategy to the correct trade environment. Understanding this distinction prevents applying breakout logic in conditions where it has no edge. Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment High-quality breakouts form when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase rather than fast vertical spikes.Volume should build gradually to confirm sustained participation, not remain flat or spike from exhaustion.Minimal moving average crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions where momentum continuation is more likely. Lesson 3: Identifying Setups Momentum trades should be executed at consistently drawn support and resistance levels.Entries are triggered on the 1-minute chart using two consecutive candle closes above resistance for confirmation.All three environment filters must align before taking full risk; weaker conditions require reduced sizing or passing the trade. Lesson 4: Stop Loss and Take Profit Enter using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) after two confirmed 1-minute candle closes to avoid chasing price.Stop losses should be placed at the most recent valid swing low with enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Initial profit targets are set at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable way. 🎓What Changes From Here The next time price approaches resistance, you won’t have to guess if it will break out. You’ll know when a breakout has real momentum, when volume confirms it, and when conditions support follow-through. You’ll also execute with defined entries, stops, and targets. #CryptoZeno #tradingStrategy

The Breakout Trading Strategy I Use to Catch Big Moves

I’ve longed resistance and shorted support for 9 years… This is the exact opposite of what every trader tries to do.
In this article, I will share my entire strategy so you can skip years of testing and losses.
This is something you will want to bookmark, take notes on, and set time aside to think about.
Lesson 1: The Only 2 Trading Strategies
Before you can identify good momentum setups, you need to understand what momentum trading actually is.
Momentum and mean reversion are opposite strategies based on opposite assumptions.
The Two Trading Styles
Momentum (where you take a trade betting on a continuation of the current trend)Mean Reversion (where you take a trade betting on a reversal of the current trend)
One assumes strength continues; the other assumes strength exhausts.
Let’s consider this through a visual example.
Suppose price is approaching a resistance level (in other words, a level where there was previously selling pressure, preventing the price from moving higher).
Momentum assumes the level will break.
You’re betting on continuation.Price approaches resistance, you buy, expecting it to push through and keep running.The level becomes support once broken.
Mean reversion assumes the level will hold.
You’re betting on rejection.Price approaches resistance, you short, expecting it to bounce back down.The level acts as a ceiling.
Same chart. Same resistance level. Opposite strategies.
There is no right or wrong. The key is to understand when you are in a momentum trade environment, such that momentum strategies are highly aligned.
The next section shows you exactly how to identify when the environment favours momentum (my best strategy).
Lesson 1 Summary
There are 2 trading styles: momentum and mean reversionMean reversion bets levels will hold; momentum bets levels will breakOne is not better than the other; it depends entirely on the trade environment
Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment
Just opening a long every time price hits resistance won't make us any money.
Without the right conditions, momentum dies immediately after the breakout.
You enter. It reverses. You're stopped out.
That's not bad luck, that's a bad trading environment.
The Rowing Analogy
Imagine you’re rowing a boat.
You either row against or with the current.
One makes it easier to row while the other takes a lot more effort.
Your boat, or rowing technique, didn’t change… Only your environment did.
Trading is the same.
Your strategy is your boat.
Your optimal trade environment is the current.
Now use this 3-filter checklist to ensure you only take trades where a breakout is likely (with the current).
Filter 1: How Did Price Approach the Level?
What you WANT:
A slow, grinding staircase pattern approaching resistance.Each candle makes incremental progress.Higher lows are stacking up.Controlled, deliberate movement.
What you DON’T want:
A fast vertical spike into resistance.Price shoots up in one or two large candles.After a spike, buyers' strength is depleted and price typically consolidates or reverses.This is exhaustion, not momentum.
The staircase pattern shows sustained buying pressure building gradually. When this breaks through resistance, buyers are still engaged and ready to push further.
Common mistake: Traders see a strong candle break resistance and assume momentum is strong. But these fast moves often reverse quickly.
→ Do this instead: Take momentum trades when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase over multiple candles.
Real Trade Example:
Slow clear grind into resistance showing an optimal ‘price approach to level’ for momentum.
Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅
Filter 2: What Did Volume Look Like?
Volume confirms whether the price movement has conviction behind it.
What you WANT:
Gradual increase in volume as price approaches resistanceThis pattern shows controlled, sustainable momentum.
What you DON’T want:
Flat volume (no conviction) or sudden volume spikes (exhaustion).Flat volume means the move lacks participation.Volume spikes often mark climax points where momentum exhausts.Decreasing volume (why would price break out of resistance now, if volume was lower than before?)
Volume should mirror the price pattern, steady and building, not erratic.
This strategy works because momentum continuation is most likely when participation is sustained, supply is absorbed gradually, and structure remains intact.
Real Trade Example:
Around the time the grindy staircase begins to emerge, we see a slow, consistent increase in volume.
Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅Filter 2: clearly increasing volume ✅
Lastly,
Filter 3: Moving Average Crossovers
This filter distinguishes trending markets (good for momentum) from choppy, indecisive markets (bad for momentum).
What you WANT to see: Moving averages with minimal crossovers. This indicates a directional trend.
What you DON’T want to see: Frequent crossovers. This signals chop and indecision.
Fewer crossovers = cleaner trend or range = better momentum continuation.
Use the 30SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average).
✍️Quick Actionable Step:
To add the 30SMMA on your charts:
Search for the Smoothed Moving Average Indicator in TradingViewAdd it to your chartGo into settings and change the "Length" to "30"
Real Trade Example:
Filter 1 (Price Action): slow grindy staircase ✅
Filter 2 (Volume): clearly increasing volume ✅
Filter 3 (Crossovers): minimal MA crossovers ✅
🎓Lesson 2 Summary
Slow grinding staircase approaches have better follow-through than fast spikesVolume should be gradual (increasing or decreasing), not flat or spikingFewer MA crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions for momentum
Lesson 3: Identifying Setups
Now you know what momentum is.
You also know the optimal conditions for it.
Next, you need to know where to execute these trades.
Step 1: Draw Support and Resistance Levels
Momentum trades happen at these key levels. You need to identify them consistently.
I've already written an in-depth masterclass on how to set these levels. I'll link it at the end of this article.
Common mistake: Traders draw levels randomly or inconsistently, leading to missed setups or false signals.
Do this instead: Use my step-by-step approach at the end of this article.
Step 2: Await Your Entry Trigger on the 1-Minute Chart
Once you’ve identified a resistance level on your primary timeframe, switch to the 1-minute chart for precise entry timing.
Why 1-minute chart?
You learn faster.
More trades, more chart exposure and more oppurtunities to practice psychology.
I’ve added a bonus guide on why you should be trading the 1-minute chart at the end of this article.
Real Trade Example:
Step 3: Three Filters
Before entering, check the three filters from Section 2:
Is price approaching resistance in a slow staircase pattern?Is volume gradually increasing or decreasing (not flat or spiking)?Are there minimal MA crossovers (not choppy)?
If any filter fails, reduce your risk on the trade. Only take full risk on A-grade setups, not forcing trades in poor conditions.
🎓Lesson 3 Summary
Draw levels using the ZCT masterclass approach at the end of this articleUse your entry trigger on the 1-minute timeframe: 2 candle closes above for confirmationCheck all three filters before entering, allocate risk and size accordingly
Lesson 4: Strategy Logic: Stop Loss, and Take Profit
You've drawn your levels. You've confirmed the setup aligns with optimal momentum conditions.
Now you need precise execution.
Entry timing, stop placement, and profit targets determine whether you capture the momentum move or get stopped out on a good setup.
This is where most traders lose, not in analysis, but in execution.
Step 4: Entry Trigger
We have established to wait for two consecutive 1-minute candles to close fully above the resistance level. This confirms the level broke and momentum is continuing.
Critical execution detail: After the second candle closes above resistance, place a limit order AT the resistance level (now acting as support), not above it. Price often pulls back slightly after breaking out. Your limit order gets filled on the pullback without chasing.
Common mistake: Traders wait for confirmation, then market-buy above resistance as price runs away. They enter late with a wider stop and worse risk/reward.
→ Do this instead: Preset your limit order AT resistance after the second candle closes. Let price come back to you.
Real Trade Example:
Step 5: Stop Loss
A swing low is:
the lowest wick in a pullback.
Your stop loss goes at the most recent swing low before the breakout.
Common mistake: Traders place stops at the nearest swing low, even if it’s only 0.3% away, leading to frequent stop-outs from normal volatility
Do this instead: Always measure the distance of your stop loss using the ruler tool on TradingView. If it’s less than 1%, use the next swing low down.
Step 6: Take Profit 1R (Equal Distance to Stop)
Your take profit target is 1R, the same distance as your stop loss, but in the profit direction
If your stop loss is 1.982% away from entry, your target is also 1.982% away, but on the upside. This gives you a 1:1 risk/reward ratio.
Why 1R? It’s conservative and achievable. Momentum trades often hit 1R quickly because the breakout has follow-through. You’re not trying to catch the entire move, you’re taking a high-probability piece of it.
Over time, as you get data in your journal, you can start extending your profit targets when you see how far your average winning trades go beyond 1R. This way, you’re not guessing where to take profits, but following a systematic approach.
Real Trade Example:
🎓Lesson 4 summary
Enter after two 1-minute candle closes above resistance, using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) to avoid chasing price.Place stop losses at the most recent valid swing low, ensuring enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Set initial profit targets at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable, systematic way.
Immediate Next Steps✍️:
Read the Support and Resistance Masterclass to learn how to draw levels (shared at end of article)Look at 3 charts using the 3 filter checklist to identify a momentum trade environmentUse the strategy steps to enter your tradeGather 30 trades using this method, journalled and reviewed against the criteria
🎓 Final Summary
Lesson 1: Momentum vs Mean Reversion
Momentum trades bet that price will continue through a level, while mean reversion trades bet that a level will hold and reject price.Both strategies are valid, but performance depends entirely on matching the strategy to the correct trade environment.
Understanding this distinction prevents applying breakout logic in conditions where it has no edge.
Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment
High-quality breakouts form when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase rather than fast vertical spikes.Volume should build gradually to confirm sustained participation, not remain flat or spike from exhaustion.Minimal moving average crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions where momentum continuation is more likely.
Lesson 3: Identifying Setups
Momentum trades should be executed at consistently drawn support and resistance levels.Entries are triggered on the 1-minute chart using two consecutive candle closes above resistance for confirmation.All three environment filters must align before taking full risk; weaker conditions require reduced sizing or passing the trade.
Lesson 4: Stop Loss and Take Profit
Enter using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) after two confirmed 1-minute candle closes to avoid chasing price.Stop losses should be placed at the most recent valid swing low with enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Initial profit targets are set at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable way.
🎓What Changes From Here
The next time price approaches resistance, you won’t have to guess if it will break out.
You’ll know when a breakout has real momentum, when volume confirms it, and when conditions support follow-through.
You’ll also execute with defined entries, stops, and targets.
#CryptoZeno #tradingStrategy
I went back through the Dusk numbers because I wanted to separate what is already happening from what is still a thesis. The figure that caught my attention was the €300M+ in assets Dusk says are being brought onchain, alongside 20,000+ investors connected through the NPEX ecosystem. Those numbers sound meaningful, but I think the more important question is what actually happens after issuance. That is where NPEX becomes interesting to me. It is not simply a crypto project announcing an RWA partnership. NPEX operates as an AFM-regulated MTF, Broker and ECSP, so there is already a regulated market structure around the assets. Dusk is trying to place blockchain infrastructure underneath that structure rather than asking the market to abandon its existing framework. I also noticed that $DUSK Trade is positioned as the application layer for these assets. That changes how I look at the tokenization story. Creating a token is relatively easy. Making ownership, investor access, compliance, transfer restrictions and settlement work together is the difficult part. If those pieces remain fragmented, putting the asset onchain does not solve much So I am less interested in how many RWAs @Dusk_Foundation can announce next. I want to see how much of that €300M+ actually turns into recurring issuance, trading and settlement activity. That would tell me far more about whether the architecture is working in practice. @Dusk_Foundation #dusk
I went back through the Dusk numbers because I wanted to separate what is already happening from what is still a thesis. The figure that caught my attention was the €300M+ in assets Dusk says are being brought onchain, alongside 20,000+ investors connected through the NPEX ecosystem. Those numbers sound meaningful, but I think the more important question is what actually happens after issuance.

That is where NPEX becomes interesting to me. It is not simply a crypto project announcing an RWA partnership. NPEX operates as an AFM-regulated MTF, Broker and ECSP, so there is already a regulated market structure around the assets. Dusk is trying to place blockchain infrastructure underneath that structure rather than asking the market to abandon its existing framework.

I also noticed that $DUSK Trade is positioned as the application layer for these assets. That changes how I look at the tokenization story. Creating a token is relatively easy. Making ownership, investor access, compliance, transfer restrictions and settlement work together is the difficult part. If those pieces remain fragmented, putting the asset onchain does not solve much
So I am less interested in how many RWAs @Dusk can announce next. I want to see how much of that €300M+ actually turns into recurring issuance, trading and settlement activity. That would tell me far more about whether the architecture is working in practice.

@Dusk #dusk
I was checking TermMax vaults today and noticed something I think is easy to overlook: the APY is probably not the first number I should be looking at. TermMax is built around fixed rate lending and options, but when I’m looking at a vault, I care more about what is happening underneath that yield. The USDC Vault V2 currently shows $5.82M TVL with 4.36% APY and 75.7% asset utilization. So around 24.3% of the capital is currently idle. Then I looked at the allocation and found another useful detail. 68.98% is concentrated in one market, while the LLTV is 92%. That instantly tells me more about the current structure and exposure than the APY number alone. So if I were checking a TermMax vault before depositing, I’d go in this order: utilization, allocation concentration, LLTV, vault cap and timelock. This vault shows a $50M cap and 24h timelock, which are both worth knowing before making a decision. I’m curious how other people evaluate these vaults. Do you look at APY first, or do you check the underlying allocation before anything else? @termmax #TermMax $TMX
I was checking TermMax vaults today and noticed something I think is easy to overlook: the APY is probably not the first number I should be looking at.
TermMax is built around fixed rate lending and options, but when I’m looking at a vault, I care more about what is happening underneath that yield. The USDC Vault V2 currently shows $5.82M TVL with 4.36% APY and 75.7% asset utilization. So around 24.3% of the capital is currently idle.
Then I looked at the allocation and found another useful detail. 68.98% is concentrated in one market, while the LLTV is 92%. That instantly tells me more about the current structure and exposure than the APY number alone.
So if I were checking a TermMax vault before depositing, I’d go in this order: utilization, allocation concentration, LLTV, vault cap and timelock. This vault shows a $50M cap and 24h timelock, which are both worth knowing before making a decision.
I’m curious how other people evaluate these vaults. Do you look at APY first, or do you check the underlying allocation before anything else?
@TermMax #TermMax $TMX
$ACE has been paying negative funding for a month. The squeeze came, the funding never left. {future}(ACEUSDT) Funding has sat on the negative side almost without a break since July 19. And the expected thing happened. A move that started at 0.065 ran to 0.37 on August 14. Roughly six times. The squeeze worked, and price crashed back to 0.17 the same day. Normally the story ends there. The trapped side gets liquidated, funding returns to zero, the picture normalises. It did not. Today it is still at -0.83. Which raises the real question Who is still paying, a month later? L/S sits at 1.32, so longs are the crowded side. Negative funding and crowded longs do not usually appear together. When they do, there is one explanation: part of the short side is not a directional bet, it is a hedge. Someone holding ACE they cannot or will not sell is shorting the perp to lock the price. A locked token holder, market maker inventory, an early investor. Those shorts do not close when price rises, and they do not get liquidated either, because they hold spot against the position. They have been paying for a month and are still there, which means they treat the cost as an operating expense. Who made money On July 19 price was around 0.065. It ground between 0.055 and 0.07 for the rest of the month. Today it is 0.188. Three times. Six times for anyone who caught the top. On top of that they collected funding for a month. Anyone holding a long here got paid twice, from price and from funding. That is why L/S is at 1.32. Longs are crowded because sitting there pays from both direction Any attempt toward 0.25. If a move starts in that direction, those clusters come into play and it can accelerate. Funding returning to zero. It has not in a month. When it does, the reason to hold a long disappears and that is the real test. The direction of open interest. If 15.18M starts coming down, leverage is clearing out.
$ACE has been paying negative funding for a month. The squeeze came, the funding never left.

Funding has sat on the negative side almost without a break since July 19.

And the expected thing happened. A move that started at 0.065 ran to 0.37 on August 14. Roughly six times. The squeeze worked, and price crashed back to 0.17 the same day.

Normally the story ends there. The trapped side gets liquidated, funding returns to zero, the picture normalises.

It did not. Today it is still at -0.83.

Which raises the real question

Who is still paying, a month later?

L/S sits at 1.32, so longs are the crowded side. Negative funding and crowded longs do not usually appear together.

When they do, there is one explanation: part of the short side is not a directional bet, it is a hedge. Someone holding ACE they cannot or will not sell is shorting the perp to lock the price. A locked token holder, market maker inventory, an early investor.

Those shorts do not close when price rises, and they do not get liquidated either, because they hold spot against the position. They have been paying for a month and are still there, which means they treat the cost as an operating expense.

Who made money

On July 19 price was around 0.065. It ground between 0.055 and 0.07 for the rest of the month. Today it is 0.188.

Three times. Six times for anyone who caught the top.

On top of that they collected funding for a month. Anyone holding a long here got paid twice, from price and from funding.

That is why L/S is at 1.32. Longs are crowded because sitting there pays from both direction

Any attempt toward 0.25. If a move starts in that direction, those clusters come into play and it can accelerate.

Funding returning to zero. It has not in a month. When it does, the reason to hold a long disappears and that is the real test.

The direction of open interest. If 15.18M starts coming down, leverage is clearing out.
9.1M $LAB tokens that were withdrawn from Bitget's hot wallet 3 months ago have moved to a new wallet. {future}(LABUSDT) Token amount is the same but look at the value change over 3 months. $43.22M to $720K
9.1M $LAB tokens that were withdrawn from Bitget's hot wallet 3 months ago have moved to a new wallet.

Token amount is the same but look at the value change over 3 months.

$43.22M to $720K
$BTC Early 2027 price will be in the 80–90K region. {future}(BTCUSDT) Seems like everyone wants to get filled in the mid-50Ks. Would be a shame if...
$BTC Early 2027 price will be in the 80–90K region.

Seems like everyone wants to get filled in the mid-50Ks.

Would be a shame if...
THIS IS EXACTLY WHEN BITCOIN BULL RUN STARTS BTC/Nasdaq ratio dropped 64% from its 2025 peak, the same dump that happened in 2018 and 2022. Right now, BTC/Nasdaq is up 15% from its bottom, but this can’t be considered a trend change. As long as this stays below the 3.0 level, Bitcoin will continue to underperform. But once BTC/Nasdaq breaks above 3.0, BTC will start to lead the market.
THIS IS EXACTLY WHEN BITCOIN BULL RUN STARTS

BTC/Nasdaq ratio dropped 64% from its 2025 peak, the same dump that happened in 2018 and 2022.

Right now, BTC/Nasdaq is up 15% from its bottom, but this can’t be considered a trend change.

As long as this stays below the 3.0 level, Bitcoin will continue to underperform.

But once BTC/Nasdaq breaks above 3.0, BTC will start to lead the market.
This guy spent just $148 to buy 37.96M $牛来, now worth $1.3M. But he sold everything too early for a profit of $1.43K He missed out on a $1.3M profit.
This guy spent just $148 to buy 37.96M $牛来, now worth $1.3M.

But he sold everything too early for a profit of $1.43K

He missed out on a $1.3M profit.
I was buying USDT on Binance P2P when I noticed something strange in the advertiser's terms: the payment had to be made within a very specific window, and the seller said they would only process the order during that period. I didn't think much of it at first because the price was good. Then I looked at the actual order limits and realized the amount I wanted to buy was close to the maximum allowed. If I had entered the order without reading properly, I could have ended up trying to complete a transaction under conditions I hadn't fully understood, simply because I was focused on getting the advertised rate. So before confirming, I checked the advertiser's terms again, the minimum and maximum order limits, payment method, completion rate and trading history. I also made sure the payment account I would use matched my own verified details. My quick check now is: 🔸 Rate: Is the difference actually worth it? 🔸 Limits: Does the order size fit what I need? 🔸 Payment method: Can I pay exactly as required? 🔸 History: Does the advertiser have a meaningful record of completed trades? 🔸 Terms: Is there anything I need to understand before clicking Buy? A cheap offer that doesn't fit your transaction isn't really cheap. I would rather spend another minute reading the advertisement than discover the problem after my order has already started. @Binance_Vietnam #BinanceP2PAnToan
I was buying USDT on Binance P2P when I noticed something strange in the advertiser's terms: the payment had to be made within a very specific window, and the seller said they would only process the order during that period.

I didn't think much of it at first because the price was good. Then I looked at the actual order limits and realized the amount I wanted to buy was close to the maximum allowed.

If I had entered the order without reading properly, I could have ended up trying to complete a transaction under conditions I hadn't fully understood, simply because I was focused on getting the advertised rate.

So before confirming, I checked the advertiser's terms again, the minimum and maximum order limits, payment method, completion rate and trading history. I also made sure the payment account I would use matched my own verified details.

My quick check now is:
🔸 Rate: Is the difference actually worth it?
🔸 Limits: Does the order size fit what I need?
🔸 Payment method: Can I pay exactly as required?
🔸 History: Does the advertiser have a meaningful record of completed trades?
🔸 Terms: Is there anything I need to understand before clicking Buy?

A cheap offer that doesn't fit your transaction isn't really cheap. I would rather spend another minute reading the advertisement than discover the problem after my order has already started.

@Binance Vietnam #BinanceP2PAnToan
🚨$BTC MAY BE ENTERING THE MOST IMPORTANT PHASE OF THIS CYCLE A rare signal is flashing on the 2-Week Aroon Oscillator — and the historical parallels are hard to ignore. Look at what happened before: 🔸 2014: June signal → September warning → January 2015 cycle bottom 🔸 2018: June signal → October warning → December 2018 bottom 🔸 2022: June signal → August warning → November 2022 bottom 🔸 2026: June signal → August warning → ??? The structure is remarkably similar. In every previous cycle, the Aroon Oscillator moved sharply into negative territory months before the final macro bottom, eventually reaching the extreme -90 Cycle Bottom zone. Now, the same sequence appears to be developing again. If history rhymes, the current signal could be pointing toward a potential November 2026 – January 2027 bottoming window. But there’s an important distinction: This is NOT a signal that BTC must crash immediately. The historical pattern suggests the first bearish Aroon signal can appear well before the actual cycle low. The key confirmation would be another capitulation phase followed by a sustained recovery in the oscillator Signal → Deep negative momentum → Final capitulation → Cycle bottom → Recovery We are potentially entering the middle stages of that sequence. History doesn't guarantee the future. But when Bitcoin prints a cycle-level signal that previously appeared around the 2015, 2018, and 2022 bottoms, it deserves serious attention. Is #Bitcoin setting up for another late-2026/early-2027 macro bottom? 👀 {future}(BTCUSDT)
🚨$BTC MAY BE ENTERING THE MOST IMPORTANT PHASE OF THIS CYCLE

A rare signal is flashing on the 2-Week Aroon Oscillator — and the historical parallels are hard to ignore.

Look at what happened before:

🔸 2014: June signal → September warning → January 2015 cycle bottom
🔸 2018: June signal → October warning → December 2018 bottom
🔸 2022: June signal → August warning → November 2022 bottom
🔸 2026: June signal → August warning → ???

The structure is remarkably similar.

In every previous cycle, the Aroon Oscillator moved sharply into negative territory months before the final macro bottom, eventually reaching the extreme -90 Cycle Bottom zone.

Now, the same sequence appears to be developing again.

If history rhymes, the current signal could be pointing toward a potential November 2026 – January 2027 bottoming window.

But there’s an important distinction:

This is NOT a signal that BTC must crash immediately.

The historical pattern suggests the first bearish Aroon signal can appear well before the actual cycle low. The key confirmation would be another capitulation phase followed by a sustained recovery in the oscillator

Signal → Deep negative momentum → Final capitulation → Cycle bottom → Recovery

We are potentially entering the middle stages of that sequence.

History doesn't guarantee the future.

But when Bitcoin prints a cycle-level signal that previously appeared around the 2015, 2018, and 2022 bottoms, it deserves serious attention.

Is #Bitcoin setting up for another late-2026/early-2027 macro bottom? 👀
ETH VS RUSSELL History shows the same two signals before every major crypto rally -Russell 2000 breaks out -ISM Manufacturing rises above 55 2016: Russell broke out, and ETH went from $10 to $1,400. 2020: Russell broke out again, and ETH went from $88 to $4,800. In 2026, Russell breaks its multi-year range, while ISM hits 55.6, a 4-year high. Both signals just triggered again, and ETH is already climbing from its $1,505 bottom. History is telling us to pay attention. {future}(ETHUSDT)
ETH VS RUSSELL

History shows the same two signals before every major crypto rally

-Russell 2000 breaks out
-ISM Manufacturing rises above 55

2016: Russell broke out, and ETH went from $10 to $1,400.

2020: Russell broke out again, and ETH went from $88 to $4,800.

In 2026, Russell breaks its multi-year range, while ISM hits 55.6, a 4-year high.

Both signals just triggered again, and ETH is already climbing from its $1,505 bottom.

History is telling us to pay attention.
$BTC Are they really going to let everyone long the sweep? {future}(BTCUSDT) Cause it sure as hell looks like that's what people want...
$BTC Are they really going to let everyone long the sweep?

Cause it sure as hell looks like that's what people want...
$BTC The main liquidity clusters to watch right now are the $61K-$62K area right below, as well as the $67K+ region. Both have held as range the past few weeks so it is likely a lot of stops are placed outside of those levels. Moving into those could cause a good squeeze, especially considering how compressed price has been
$BTC The main liquidity clusters to watch right now are the $61K-$62K area right below, as well as the $67K+ region.

Both have held as range the past few weeks so it is likely a lot of stops are placed outside of those levels.

Moving into those could cause a good squeeze, especially considering how compressed price has been
Vérifié
I’ve been at TermMax from the token side, and I think TMX is more interesting when viewed against what the protocol has already built. TermMax currently shows $50M+ in TVL, 20+ active vaults and support across 8+ chains. So this is not a case where the token has to create the entire story from zero. My attention is the 1B fixed supply and the planned 20% TGE circulation. The remaining supply is distributed over a 48-month schedule, which gives the market a much clearer framework to watch instead of having the majority of supply immediately hit liquidity. I’m also watching the utility closely. $TMX is designed around governance and staking, with protocol decisions such as rates, collateral and upgrades becoming part of the governance layer. That matters because TermMax is already operating a fixed-rate lending system rather than building utility around an empty shell. The interesting metric after launch won’t simply be the TMX price. I’ll be watching whether protocol usage, vault activity and governance participation actually grow alongside token ownership. If those three start moving together, the token becomes much more meaningful than another DeFi ticker. #TermMax @termmax
I’ve been at TermMax from the token side, and I think TMX is more interesting when viewed against what the protocol has already built. TermMax currently shows $50M+ in TVL, 20+ active vaults and support across 8+ chains. So this is not a case where the token has to create the entire story from zero.

My attention is the 1B fixed supply and the planned 20% TGE circulation. The remaining supply is distributed over a 48-month schedule, which gives the market a much clearer framework to watch instead of having the majority of supply immediately hit liquidity.

I’m also watching the utility closely. $TMX is designed around governance and staking, with protocol decisions such as rates, collateral and upgrades becoming part of the governance layer. That matters because TermMax is already operating a fixed-rate lending system rather than building utility around an empty shell.

The interesting metric after launch won’t simply be the TMX price. I’ll be watching whether protocol usage, vault activity and governance participation actually grow alongside token ownership. If those three start moving together, the token becomes much more meaningful than another DeFi ticker.
#TermMax @TermMax
At first I thought the interesting part of Dusk was mainly about keeping financial activity private but then I started looking at what actually has to happen around one transaction and it made me think differently because privacy alone is not enough if the system still depends on too many separate steps for identity, compliance, verification and settlement and this is where I think the design of @Dusk_Foundation gets more interesting. You can have a private transaction but the network still needs to know whether the person is allowed to make it, whether the transaction follows the rules and whether the result can still be verified when necessary. Dusk seems to be trying to connect those pieces instead of treating privacy as something that sits on top of the financial workflow. What I like about that idea is that selective disclosure changes the question from “can this transaction be private?” to “what actually needs to be visible and to whom?” A regulator may need proof that something is valid without needing every piece of customer information, and that difference sounds small but could become very important once more regulated activity moves onchain. I also keep thinking about the developer side because all of this only matters if applications can actually use it without rebuilding the whole system themselves. When real applications start using $DUSK will the privacy layer be the thing users notice most, or will the bigger difference come from how compliance and verification work quietly in the background? #dusk @Dusk_Foundation
At first I thought the interesting part of Dusk was mainly about keeping financial activity private but then I started looking at what actually has to happen around one transaction and it made me think differently because privacy alone is not enough if the system still depends on too many separate steps for identity, compliance, verification and settlement and this is where I think the design of @Dusk gets more interesting.

You can have a private transaction but the network still needs to know whether the person is allowed to make it, whether the transaction follows the rules and whether the result can still be verified when necessary. Dusk seems to be trying to connect those pieces instead of treating privacy as something that sits on top of the financial workflow.

What I like about that idea is that selective disclosure changes the question from “can this transaction be private?” to “what actually needs to be visible and to whom?” A regulator may need proof that something is valid without needing every piece of customer information, and that difference sounds small but could become very important once more regulated activity moves onchain.

I also keep thinking about the developer side because all of this only matters if applications can actually use it without rebuilding the whole system themselves. When real applications start using $DUSK will the privacy layer be the thing users notice most, or will the bigger difference come from how compliance and verification work quietly in the background?

#dusk @Dusk
The Transfer Was Ready Then I Checked The Merchant Name Again I was selling USDT and the buyer said the payment had been sent. I opened my banking app and saw the money had arrived, so at first I thought the order was finished. Then I checked the sender name. It wasn't the same name shown on the Binance P2P order. That changed the situation immediately. The payment itself was real, but the person who sent it didn't match the counterparty I was trading with. I wasn't comfortable releasing the USDT just because the money was already sitting in my account. I kept the order and chat untouched, then used Appeal to ask Binance Support to review the transaction instead of trying to sort it out privately with the buyer. That experience left me with a much stricter rule for selling: • Money received is only one check. I also compare the sender details with the order information. • A payment from a different name is something I stop and clarify, not something I ignore because the balance has increased. • I keep the Order ID, payment record and order chat available in case Support needs to examine what happened. • If the transaction becomes unclear, I stay inside Binance P2P and use Appeal rather than moving the conversation elsewhere. @Binance_Vietnam #BinanceP2PAnToan
The Transfer Was Ready Then I Checked The Merchant Name Again

I was selling USDT and the buyer said the payment had been sent. I opened my banking app and saw the money had arrived, so at first I thought the order was finished.

Then I checked the sender name. It wasn't the same name shown on the Binance P2P order. That changed the situation immediately. The payment itself was real, but the person who sent it didn't match the counterparty I was trading with. I wasn't comfortable releasing the USDT just because the money was already sitting in my account.

I kept the order and chat untouched, then used Appeal to ask Binance Support to review the transaction instead of trying to sort it out privately with the buyer.

That experience left me with a much stricter rule for selling:

• Money received is only one check. I also compare the sender details with the order information.

• A payment from a different name is something I stop and clarify, not something I ignore because the balance has increased.

• I keep the Order ID, payment record and order chat available in case Support needs to examine what happened.

• If the transaction becomes unclear, I stay inside Binance P2P and use Appeal rather than moving the conversation elsewhere.

@Binance Vietnam #BinanceP2PAnToan
THIS IS HORRIBLE Someone invested $200K into the $LAB presale and made $158 Million {future}(LABUSDT) But he didn't get any token because it was locked This week he got his tokens and they are now worth just $600K Generational wealth gone
THIS IS HORRIBLE

Someone invested $200K into the $LAB presale and made $158 Million

But he didn't get any token because it was locked

This week he got his tokens and they are now worth just $600K

Generational wealth gone
$BTC Looking at past cycles, Bitcoin, like most other assets, generally moves from range to range. {future}(BTCUSDT) During the last bear market, the third major range after the top ultimately marked the bottom. What’s interesting is that the distance between the second and third ranges was significantly smaller than the distance between the first and second. The bottom range also tends to be narrower than the ranges that came before it. All of these characteristics can be observed today too. If history repeats itself, you know where we go next.
$BTC Looking at past cycles, Bitcoin, like most other assets, generally moves from range to range.

During the last bear market, the third major range after the top ultimately marked the bottom.

What’s interesting is that the distance between the second and third ranges was significantly smaller than the distance between the first and second.

The bottom range also tends to be narrower than the ranges that came before it.

All of these characteristics can be observed today too.

If history repeats itself, you know where we go next.
Vérifié
Where Does The Market Actually Begin? Last night I was looking at how a bond trade moves through the traditional system and something felt strange. The security can be digital, the ownership record can be digital, even the settlement can eventually be digital, yet the process around those pieces can still depend on several separate layers. That is where Dusk Trade gets more interesting than the usual “tokenized assets” pitch. $DUSK is positioning it as a regulated trading application for products such as bonds, ETFs and MMFs, rather than stopping at the point where an asset receives a token. The bigger idea is bringing the trading environment and the asset infrastructure closer together. There is a subtle problem here, though. Moving an asset onto a blockchain does not automatically remove the old market structure. If investors still depend on one system for eligibility, another for trading, another for settlement and another for keeping records aligned, the blockchain may simply become another component that everyone has to coordinate with. That is the distinction I would watch around Dusk. The real achievement would not be having regulated assets onchain. It would be making fewer separate systems necessary in the first place. That is a much harder problem, and probably a much more meaningful test for DUSK. #dusk @Dusk_Foundation $DUSK
Where Does The Market Actually Begin?

Last night I was looking at how a bond trade moves through the traditional system and something felt strange. The security can be digital, the ownership record can be digital, even the settlement can eventually be digital, yet the process around those pieces can still depend on several separate layers.

That is where Dusk Trade gets more interesting than the usual “tokenized assets” pitch. $DUSK is positioning it as a regulated trading application for products such as bonds, ETFs and MMFs, rather than stopping at the point where an asset receives a token. The bigger idea is bringing the trading environment and the asset infrastructure closer together.

There is a subtle problem here, though. Moving an asset onto a blockchain does not automatically remove the old market structure. If investors still depend on one system for eligibility, another for trading, another for settlement and another for keeping records aligned, the blockchain may simply become another component that everyone has to coordinate with.

That is the distinction I would watch around Dusk. The real achievement would not be having regulated assets onchain. It would be making fewer separate systems necessary in the first place. That is a much harder problem, and probably a much more meaningful test for DUSK. #dusk @Dusk $DUSK
Connectez-vous pour découvrir plus de contenu
Rejoignez la communauté mondiale des adeptes de cryptomonnaies sur Binance Square
⚡️ Suviez les dernières informations importantes sur les cryptomonnaies.
💬 Jugé digne de confiance par la plus grande plateforme d’échange de cryptomonnaies au monde.
👍 Découvrez les connaissances que partagent les créateurs vérifiés.
Adresse e-mail/Nº de téléphone
Plan du site
Préférences de cookies
CGU de la plateforme