Hayes details FLOP’s AI compute derivatives vision after selling his altcoins
BitMEX co-founder and Flop Labs CEO Arthur Hayes shared new details about the Flop Network and how he expects its native token could turn AI computing power into a tradable commodity, two days after selling his altcoin holdings. Hayes proposed measuring the computing power delivered for each AI inference task and using transaction data to derive a spot price for compute denominated in Flop (FLOP) tokens. He cited a lack of a universal benchmark price for AI computing power. “If Flop becomes the payments network for AI agents, then it follows that the $FLOP/compute exchange rate will be the global benchmark for spot compute,” wrote Hayes in a Monday Substack essay, adding that a liquid spot compute market would enable derivatives based on that price. Analysts at BCG in a July 2026 report considered how soon AI computing power could become a commodity. The consultancy projected that the market for AI compute will reach roughly $2.3 trillion by 2030 climbing from $360 billion in 2025. Flop Labs is developing a network that allows AI agents to pay for computing and decentralized memory services. In August, Hayes said Flop was planning a “massive airdrop” in the fourth quarter of 2026 and announced that he would be the company’s CEO. Hayes’ Flop explainer came in the wake of his statement on Saturday that he “dumped it all” and took profits from the Ether (ETH), Ethena (ENA) and Uniswap (UNI) token holdings in Maelstrom’s directional trading book, citing “dicey” macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions. Lookonchain later flagged about $22 million worth of tokens sold by Hayes-linked wallets, including $15 million in ETH, $2.7 million in ENA, $2.2 million in UNI, $1.2 million in Ether.fi (ETHFI), $398,000 in Aerodrome Finance (AERO), $244,000 in Pendle (PENDLE) and $214,000 in Zama (ZAMA) tokens.
Luxor raises $16M from CMT Digital amid AI-Bitcoin miner convergence
Full-stack compute company Luxor Technology raised $16 million in a strategic round led by CMT Digital. The investment round also saw participation from Canaan, MicroBT, Halo, Steelhead, and additional angel investors, according to a Tuesday announcement shared with Cointelegraph. The company aims to use the proceeds to scale its agentic cloud platform, grow its AI hardware business, expand its compute derivatives trading capabilities and hire more staff. Luxor serves Bitcoin miners such as Canaan and TeraWulf and has expanded its hardware business to source GPUs and AI servers for the AI computing market, as global chip supply chains become “increasingly hard to navigate.” The raise will help scale its existing AI infrastructure business and capitalize on the convergence of Bitcoin miners and AI firms through computing markets. “Compute markets are converging: the same miners, power sites and capital that served digital mining are now powering AI,” said Luxor’s co-founder and CEO Nick Hansen. In September, the company launched Luxor AI, a business segment that extends its hardware, software, and compute trading stack built for Bitcoin miners into the AI and high-performance computing market. In June 2021, Luxor raised $5 million in a Series A funding round led by institutional Bitcoin technology and financial services firm NYDIG, to fund the expansion of its North American BTC mining services. Earlier seed round investors included Celsius, Valour and Bitnomial, according to startup data tracker Tracxn.
Bitcoin price analysis sees ‘strong rally’ as old coins become dormant
Bitcoin (BTC) onchain transaction data is hinting at the start of a new uptrend as long-term holders retreat from selling. Key points: The percentage of Bitcoin’s realized cap involving coins dormant for 18 months or longer has remained broadly stable since mid-September, dropping from 26.98% to 26.59%. CryptoQuant analysis showed that longer reductions in the cohort’s onchain activity accompanied the start of previous Bitcoin bull markets. Coins that last moved at least five years ago account for around 34,000 BTC in monthly onchain volume — half that of 2024. Old coin dormancy points to “early stages” of Bitcoin bull market Data from onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant shows that investors holding coins for 18 months or longer are starting to become less active. On Sept. 16, the 18-month-plus cohort’s share of realized cap — the value of all coins at the price they last moved onchain — hit 26.98%, its highest since mid-November 2024. Analyzing the data, CryptoQuant sees a historical trend that preceded Bitcoin bull markets now repeating. “The pattern has always been the same: when the proportion of Bitcoin held for more than 18 months across the entire network rises and then starts to decline, a strong rally follows,” it wrote in a blog post. It included a chart of UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) age bands, sized according to their contribution to the realized cap. Bitcoin realized cap by UTXO age. Source: CryptoQuant Reduced onchain spending by long-term investors reflects a move to maintain BTC exposure to increase profitability in the long term. The contribution by these investors remained in a broad uptrend beginning in November 2025, with profit-taking activity rising as BTC/USD fell further from its current all-time high of $126,200. CryptoQuant noted that the UTXO trend reversal remains modest, implying that the market is witnessing only the very start of more bullish conditions. “The market has now shifted into a bullish cycle, but we still appear to be in the early stages of the cycle, where such a signal has not even begun yet,” it commented. “This looks like a point where we can remain positive about both the potential upside and the duration of the rally.” Bitcoin drawdown from all-time highs still shallowest on record Among long-term holders, only the 18-month-to-two-year cohort is currently in net loss, with a cost basis of $93,193. Its cost basis currently sits at $93,193. Since its 2025 all-time highs, Bitcoin has fallen below this cohort’s cost basis, while older cohorts have remained in aggregate profit. The year 2026 thus marks the first bear market in which price has stayed above the 2-3-year cohort’s cost basis, CryptoQuant shows. Bitcoin realized price by UTXO age. Source: CryptoQuant In a report released last week, crypto investment company Galaxy Digital described the “shallowest” bear market on record, with a maximum drawdown versus all-time highs of -53%. BTC in custody for five years or more, meanwhile — coins that Galaxy says were responsible for the supply glut that halted price upside at $126,200 — are now also supporting the case for a fresh long-term uptrend. “Coins unmoved for five years or more moved at 67k BTC a month in 2024 and 47k in 2025… totaling 1.11 million BTC since October 2024, the largest old-coin distribution of any cycle, most of it absorbed by the spot ETFs and BTC digital asset treasury (DAT) companies,” it wrote. In 2026, the volume supplied by the five-year-plus cohort has averaged 34,000 BTC per month, half as much as in 2024. Five-year dormant BTC supply UTXO data (screenshot). Source: Galaxy Digital
Zcash co-founder calls to stop funding ‘over $125M’ grants program
Zcash co-founder Sean Bowe proposed ending the automatic funding stream to Zcash Community Grants (ZCG), saying its treasury was large enough to continue funding projects without further automatic payments. “ZCG has over $125M in funding, and will receive millions more before the spigot is turned off,” Bowe said Tuesday on X. “The program was never designed to handle this amount of funding.” Bowe shared a draft GitHub proposal that would redirect ZCG’s 8% share of the Zcash (ZEC) block subsidy to the network’s sustainability reserve, while leaving its existing funds untouched. The allocation would flow to the Network Sustainability Mechanism until the current funding period ends in 2028. The mechanism is designed to hold ZEC out of circulation and gradually reissue it through future block rewards. In September, Haseeb Qureshi, managing partner at crypto venture capital firm Dragonfly, proposed ending the Zcash developer fund when its current funding period expires, saying that it risks being “politicized” as it approaches $100 million in value. ZCG’s dashboard listed 91,453 ZEC and $8.8 million in cash as of Wednesday, with $2.4 million in outstanding grant commitments. The ZEC holdings alone were worth about $111 million at press time. The network’s separate development lockbox held 72,351 ZEC, worth roughly $89 million, according to ZecStats.
Bloom bot hackers loot $953K faster than you can microwave popcorn
Hackers stole nearly $1 million from wallets linked to Telegram trading bot Bloom in under two minutes, according to blockchain analytics company Bitquery. The attack drained $953,000 in 94 seconds from 48 cryptocurrency wallets belonging to nine traders who had used the bot, Bitquery reported Monday. Bitquery said each drain was a Solana (SOL) transfer signed with the affected wallet’s private key. Bloom pledged to reimburse all affected traders in full. In a later Monday statement, it attributed the attack to a remote code execution vulnerability in a third-party module and said no private keys had been accessed or compromised. Trading bots such as Bloom hold users’ private keys to trade on their behalf, which can leave lingering security risks even after traders stop using them. Five wallets drained in the Bloom attack had been inactive on the bot since the first half of 2025, Bitquery said. This is not the first time Telegram trading bot users have lost funds in an attack. In September 2024, Banana Gun reported that 11 users lost about $3 million. In October 2023, users of Telegram trading bots Maestro and Unibot lost a combined $1.1 million to exploits of their router contracts.
Binance files for Brazil crypto license ahead of Friday deadline
Binance has applied for a cryptocurrency service provider license in Brazil, seeking to maintain its operations in one of Latin America’s largest crypto markets ahead of a regulatory deadline on Friday, Oct. 30. The exchange submitted its application to the Central Bank of Brazil on Friday, Oct. 23, through its local entity, BBrasil, according to a statement shared with Cointelegraph. The company said the filing would allow Brazilian users to continue accessing crypto assets, stablecoin trading, payments and investment services. Binance has also announced changes for Brazilian users effective Tuesday, including restrictions on crypto lending, margin trading and other services. The exchange is also delisting 22 crypto assets in the country. “We support a regulated market that considers the characteristics of virtual assets, so that access to technology and innovation continues to advance, but we hope that the ongoing dialogue with the Central Bank will allow us to offer, in the near future, other products that were discontinued to comply with current regulations,” said Thiago Sarandy, Binance’s general manager in the country. Brazil requires existing crypto service providers to submit authorization applications by Oct. 30 to continue operating under transitional arrangements. Filing an application does not constitute regulatory approval.
US-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) returned to net inflows on Monday despite weakening market sentiment and continued volatility in BTC price. The funds attracted $110 million in net inflows on Monday, bouncing back from $774 million in withdrawals over the previous two trading sessions, according to SoSoValue. Despite the rebound, October remained negative, with approximately $202 million in net outflows through Monday. Flows in US spot Bitcoin ETFs since Oct. 19. Source: SoSoValue Bitcoin traded at $79,595 at the time of publication and was down 2.6% over the past seven days, according to CoinGecko. Market sentiment also weakened, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index falling to 48 from 50 the previous day, while remaining in “Neutral” territory. CryptoQuant data also showed retail investors sending more Bitcoin to Binance while large holders reduced their deposits. Analyst Darkfost wrote on CryptoQuant that retail Bitcoin deposits to Binance nearly doubled to $10.8 billion over 30 days, while deposits from large holders fell to $3.8 billion. Darkfost suggested that smaller investors might be using the recent price rebound as an opportunity to sell.
RedotPay weighs confidential US IPO filing by year-end: Bloomberg
Hong Kong-based stablecoin payments company RedotPay is reportedly considering a confidential filing for a US initial public offering by the end of 2026, two months after reports that it had delayed its listing plans amid regulatory and legal hurdles. RedotPay is also in talks with investors about a potential pre-IPO funding round that could value the company at between $4 billion and $5 billion, Bloomberg reported Monday, citing people familiar with the matter. RedotPay says it has more than 8 million users, while data from Paymentscan shows $410.5 million in 30-day stablecoin card transaction volume. The company was first reported in February exploring a New York listing that could raise more than $1 billion at a valuation exceeding $4 billion, with JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Jefferies reportedly working on the offering. However, Bloomberg reported in August that RedotPay had delayed its US listing plans amid regulatory hurdles and legal disputes involving Binance. The company subsequently disputed that characterization, reportedly saying “there has been no deferral of our IPO,” and that the company is “continuing to work with our partners on the IPO process.” In August, Binance-affiliated companies sued the founders of RedotPay, seeking nearly $473 million in damages over allegations that they used confidential information to build a competing payments business and divert customers. RedotPay has denied the allegations and previously told Cointelegraph that it would “vigorously defend all claims.”
Keystone breach deepens: Hackers stole key used to verify wallets as genuine
Hardware wallet maker Keystone said an attacker who breached its website last week also stole a key used to verify the authenticity of its devices, widening the scope of an incident initially disclosed as a customer data leak. In a statement Monday, Keystone said the stolen authentication key could allow attackers to produce counterfeit wallets that pass its authenticity checks. “These devices could then be sold or shipped to customers, who might unknowingly use them as genuine products, potentially resulting in asset theft,” Keystone said. The incident adds to a series of attacks targeting hardware wallet manufacturers this year. Earlier this month, Ledger asked resellers across Southeast Asia and Hong Kong to suspend sales following reports that devices sold in the region contained unauthorized implants capable of capturing recovery phrases. In late July, Coldcard manufacturer Coinkite issued a warning to users after attackers exploited a bug that caused its devices to generate wallet seeds with less entropy than intended, resulting in the theft of millions of dollars in crypto. Keystone to destroy more than 18,000 devices with old key In its latest update, Keystone said the attacker exploited a vulnerability in a third-party monitoring tool used by its website to escalate privileges. “This enabled the attacker to obtain some customer information and a key used to verify the authenticity of our devices.” Keystone said it plans to destroy 18,835 devices in its inventory that contain the compromised key and has suspended production shipments of all devices using it. The company said shipments would resume once it begins producing devices with a new authentication key. Keystone said devices manufactured and delivered before the Oct. 20 incident should be considered safe and that their authenticity checks remain trustworthy. However, it could not guarantee the authenticity of devices delivered after that date and urged affected customers to contact its support team for additional verification. Keystone confirms 25,964 buyer records leaked Keystone also disclosed the extent of the customer data breach, saying its website’s Shopify store had generated 51,083 buyer records. Of those, 25,119 had been deleted per its 180-day data retention policy. However, the remaining 25,964 records dating from 2024 to 2026 were stolen by the attacker. Keystone said the older entries were not deleted due to a failure in its automated tool used to handle bulk erasure of data. “The tool did not operate reliably. Some erasure tasks failed, and we did not detect and address these failures in time, resulting in certain personal information being retained beyond the permitted period,” Keystone said. In addition, the attacker managed to steal another 12,873 customer checkout records retained by Shopify — information from purchases that had not been completed. Keystone said it had contacted Shopify to request the deletion of personal information in checkout records retained for more than 30 days. The incident echoes a June 2020 data breach at Ledger that exposed more than 1 million email addresses, along with customer names, phone numbers and physical addresses. The leaked information fueled years of phishing attempts targeting affected users. Other hardware wallet manufacturers have also suffered breaches involving customer information and third-party services this year. In August, Trezor disclosed a breach at its shipping partner that exposed customer information, with the number of affected users expanding to more than 80,000 in September. SafePal also reported an order-tracking vulnerability in August that exposed data belonging to nearly 40,000 customers, while BitBox was targeted in a September phishing campaign involving a compromised third-party email provider. Magazine: 5 alternatives to Ledger to store your Bitcoin
Ripple wins final US approval for national trust bank
Ripple announced Monday that its national trust bank has secured final approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). The approval completes the chartering process for Ripple National Trust Bank (RNTB), which received conditional approval from the OCC in December 2025. The federally supervised trust bank is authorized to manage reserves backing Ripple USD (RLUSD), act as collateral trustee for the benefit of RLUSD holders and provide digital asset custody services, according to Ripple. RLUSD will continue to be issued by Standard Custody & Trust Company, Ripple’s limited purpose trust company regulated by the New York Department of Financial Services. “We’ve always said crypto and banks work better together — this is what that looks like. Real innovation, real accountability, federal oversight,” Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said on X on Monday. Ripple follows Circle, which secured final OCC approval in July. Other crypto firms remain at the conditional approval stage, including Coinbase, which received its preliminary green light in April, and Crypto.com and Stripe-owned Bridge, which received conditional approvals in February. A national trust bank is a federally chartered institution focused on holding and managing assets on behalf of clients. Unlike a typical commercial bank, most national trust banks do not accept deposits or make loans and do not carry Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation insurance, according to the OCC.
US OCC calls on community banks to become payment stablecoin issuers
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has petitioned community banks to enter the payment stablecoin market as part of the regulator’s rules on the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act. In a Monday X post, the OCC said that it was “encouraging the development of payment stablecoin capabilities within the community banking sector,” citing its finalized rules for the GENIUS Act. The payment stablecoin law is set to be enforced starting in January, and the OCC finalized its rules for the bill last week. “Interested community banks are encouraged to consider applying to become, or for a subsidiary to become, a permitted payment stablecoin issuer, as applicable,” said the US banking regulator. The plea to community banks came as many banking advocacy groups pushed back against the OCC’s proposed rules on stablecoin yield, with some arguing that they went against the congressional intent behind GENIUS. If enough community banks were to enter the stablecoin market, they could challenge the market share of crypto companies and financial institutions. Community banks are already engaged in legal action against the OCC over the regulator’s approval for charter applications from crypto companies. Earlier this month, the Independent Community Bankers of America filed a lawsuit alleging that crypto companies had an advantage over community bankers by not being subject to the same regulatory requirements.
Layer-1 blockchain Injective has launched a perpetual futures market tracking the rental prices of five Nvidia GPUs, allowing traders to bet on changes in AI computing costs with up to 10x leverage. The Super Intelligence Compute Index (SICI) tracks rental prices for Nvidia’s H100, B200, H200, A100 and RTX 4090 chips, using data from compute marketplaces compiled by London-based market data firm LO:TECH. According to Monday’s announcement, the index assigns the largest weight to the H100 at 40%, followed by the B200 at 25%. It is updated hourly using a trailing seven-day average of rental prices. Traders can take positions on whether the index will rise or fall, using USDC as margin. The launch builds on Injective’s August 2025 introduction of a market tied to Nvidia H100 rental prices, expanding the offering from a single GPU model to a five-chip index. Companies developing AI models often rent computing power from cloud providers such as CoreWeave and Nebius rather than purchasing Nvidia GPUs outright. As rental prices rise and fall with demand, Injective said the futures market could help developers hedge against higher computing costs while allowing GPU providers to protect against declining rental revenue. AI infrastructure boom raises financial concerns The launch comes as companies renting out AI computing power face questions about whether they can recover the cost of building and operating GPU infrastructure. Research firm Gartner warned in October that more than 80% of specialist AI cloud providers, known as neoclouds, could cease operating independently by 2030 as they struggle to generate sufficient returns on their investments. Elon Musk echoed those concerns Sunday, saying more than 200 neocloud providers could face failure or consolidation as lenders become reluctant to finance companies dependent on AI data center revenue. Musk has financial interests in the sector through SpaceX, whose “Super Intelligence” business recently reported $7.6 billion in third-quarter revenue, up 830% year over year, partly driven by new cloud services agreements. Source: Elon Musk Meanwhile, major technology companies are restructuring their operations to contain costs as they pour billions of dollars into AI infrastructure. On Monday, Bloomberg reported that Microsoft, which has forecast roughly $175 billion in capital expenditures for 2026, is offering voluntary buyouts to about 60,000 eligible employees as it seeks to reduce costs amid rising AI infrastructure spending. Meta, which has already invested more than $100 billion in AI, cut 8,000 jobs in May as part of a restructuring aimed at reducing costs. Magazine: AI agents help rescue ETH’s Glamsterdam fork, ‘Steal My Bitcoin’ site: Hodler’s Digest
AI agents help rescue ETH’s Glamsterdam fork, ‘Steal My Bitcoin’ site: Hodler’s Digest
AI agents message board set up to rescue Glamsterdam fork The second and final testnet for Ethereum’s Glamsterdam hard fork was cancelled this week, after ChainSecurity found vulnerabilities in two gas scaling Ethereum Improvement Proposals that could have spelled big trouble for at least 13 DeFi contracts. The bugs were connected to EIP-8037/8038 and resulted in contracts, that rely on the way gas currently behaves, breaking when a call runs out of gas. It’s all fairly technical and complicated, but the upshot is that an attacker may have been able to exploit the resulting vulnerabilities. The hard fork testnet dress rehearsal on Hoodi is not expected to be rescheduled until all the second order effects of the fork have been gamed out properly. In an article on X today, Derek Chiang from Ethlabs noted the issues were found very late in the process, which is less than ideal, “causing everyone to scramble to deal with the fallout.” “In the future, protocol designers would do well to conduct much more thorough analysis of potential breakages that their update might introduce, and to do so much earlier in the process.” Chiang says two researchers from Ethlabs and the Ethereum Foundation had independently spun up a bunch of AI Agents to scan contracts for vulnerabilities. When they realized they were both employing the same strategy they “set up a message board for their agents in the form of a github repo” to coordinate the work. He noted the similarities to the OpenAI <> Hugging Face hack where rogue agents had set up a message board to coordinate the attacks. “Well, turns out the same pattern is useful for the good agents too,” he said. The exercise has been so successful at finding potential problems that a second board has been set up to examine the effects of EIP-8198, aka “Quick Slots”, which has been proposed for the subsequent Hegota hard fork. Steal My Bitcoin site is successfully hacked Updated October 26 12.10am UTC with the result of the challenge. A website that challenged users to “Steal My Bitcoin” by exploiting unpatched PHP2Shell vulnerabilities, was successfully hacked within the space of a day. The site owner hid the key to a Bitcoin wallet worth around $2000 which was accessible to the PHP user account through a binary called print-flag. Source: StealMyBitcoin The site generated a huge amount of interest and went offline periodically offline due to heavy traffic and probing attempts. It was solved by KillerBoi who successfully extracted the private key — however in a plot twist, the key could not access the wallet address shown on the site. Challenge organizer James Pavur acknowledged this was a mistake and said the funds would be transferred. WordFence founder Mark Maunder said the despite the key being extracted within a day: “This is the absolute best explanation you’ll see on how hard #php2shell is to exploit. The author had to trigger a precise memory corruption condition, leak internal memory addresses, bypass aslr, reverse engineer php’s internal memory structures, forge structures to hijack execution, and account for php build differences, worker behavior and timing.” PHP is a programming language widely used to power websites and web applications, including content management systems. Government agencies and other organizations in the Netherlands, Australia, Japan, Finland and elsewhere took critical websites offline Wednesday as a precaution while emergency patches were developed for two related critical vulnerabilities. The flaws could allow unauthenticated attackers to execute code on affected servers without logging in. Solana’s Alpenglow launches on mainnet Solana’s first major consensus upgrade, Alpenglow, went live on mainnet around 1:54 pm UTC on Wednesday, according to the Solana Foundation’s Alpenglow dashboard. Agave developer Anza said the time it takes a transaction to become final has now fallen from about 12.8 seconds to roughly 150 milliseconds. In the wake of the upgrade DeFi activity has been flat or fallen slightly — but it’s early days yet. The upgrade’s first phase, Votor, replaces the existing voting and finalization mechanism with direct validator voting and a certificate-based system, which is expected to result in the headline transaction count falling by around 60%. A later phase will introduce Rotor, a new block data-distribution protocol intended to replace Turbine. Starknet votes to start work on becoming a post-quantum L1 Starknet’s community has voted to support research into becoming an independent, post-quantum layer-1 blockchain. A governance vote that ran for seven days drew about 3,200 votes, with 93.52% of voting power in favor of the transition. The actual shift itself would require a separate, binding governance vote. For now, Starknet will continue operating as an Ethereum layer-2 network. “We’re beginning work on a whitepaper even before we start the weekend, and hope to release a draft for public scrutiny in November,” StarkWare CEO Eli Ben-Sasson told Cointelegraph. Starknet saw the biggest fall of the top 100 coins this week, erasing one quarter of its value. Source: Cointelegraph US senator probes Tether after reported deal with ex-Trump crypto adviser Senator Richard Blumenthal — the top Democrat on the Senate’s investigations subcommittee — has requested information from Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino after the Wall Street Journal reported the stablecoin firm had inked a $6.3 million deal with a marketing company co-founded by former White House crypto adviser Bo Hines. In a Thursday letter to Ardoino, the Connecticut lawmaker said that the Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations demanded “records and information related to contracts, payments, communications, and lobbying” about the deal. The politician believes it may contravene rules around ethics, corruption and lobbying. Tether says an external investigation “found no evidence of wrongdoing.” Winners and Losers At the end of the week, Bitcoin (BTC) is down 1.2% to trade at $80,549, Ethereum (ETH) is down 1.9% to trade at $2,343 and XRP (XRP) is up 0.9% to $1.20. The total market cap is at $2.68 trillion according to CoinMarketCap. Among the biggest 100 cryptocurrencies, the top three altcoin winners of the week are MemeCore (M) with a 24.4% gain, Venice Token (VVV) on 14.8%, and Ethena (ENA) on 14.1%. The top three altcoin losers of the week are Starknet (STRK) which was down 24.9%, Aerodrome Finance (AERO) down 12.5% and Sei (SEI) down 12.5%. Bitcoin weekly chart. Source: CoinMarketCap Prediction of the Week JPMorgan projects Bitcoin to outperform US stocks and gold over next decade JPMorgan Asset Management projects Bitcoin (BTC) will outperform stocks and gold over the next decade, but cautions that its volatility makes it unsuitable for diversifying portfolios for now. On Monday, JPMorgan published its 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions report, projecting a 10% annualized return for Bitcoin, compared with 7.5% for large-cap US stocks and 5.5% for gold. “At the moment, we do not make a case for Bitcoin as a diversifier in portfolios due to its unstable market correlations,” the report said. “We see Bitcoin as a speculative asset and a hedge against monetary easing.” Top FUD of the Week New York AG seeks $1.37B from NovaTech founders over Ponzi scheme New York Attorney General Letitia James has asked a court to order defunct crypto and forex trading platform NovaTech’s founders, Cynthia and Eddy Petion, and related companies to pay $1.37 billion over its Ponzi scheme. More than 11,000 New Yorkers lost tens of millions of dollars through NovaTech and an earlier crypto mining scheme, AWS Mining, the AG’s office said. The complaint alleged that promoters targeted Haitian and other immigrant communities through prayer groups, social media and WhatsApp, promising high returns and recruitment bonuses. Bitcoin Core changes security policy as AI makes bugs easier to find Bitcoin Core is changing how it handles security vulnerabilities, due to how fast large language models can uncover software flaws. Bitcoin Core developer Antoine Poinsot said that in the past, vulnerabilities were generally kept under lengthy disclosure embargoes to give users time to upgrade before details became public. However, Poinsot said LLMs have made some flaws so easy to rediscover that delaying fixes offers little protection. “The embargo period achieves little but it delays the availability of a fixed release,” said Poinsot. “We are therefore updating our policy disclosure to accommodate those.” Pentagon bans US forces from using military info to bet in prediction markets US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has barred all Pentagon staff from using undisclosed information to place wagers on upcoming military action, including on prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. In a memo sent to senior Pentagon and defense agencies on Tuesday, Hegseth said all Department of War personnel are prohibited from engaging in financial transactions using nonpublic information. This involves both classified and unclassified information. Top Magazine Features of the Week 5 alternatives to Ledger to store your Bitcoin Hardware wallets aren’t the only way to protect your crypto, but from ETFs and passkeys to multisig accounts, each alternative has its own risks and trade-offs. Agents can trade 24/7 — but Yat Siu warns you could lose access at any time The Animoca Brands chairman explains that AI agents can make trades while you sleep, but users need to plan for the day they lose access to the bots.
Canada opens consultation on stablecoins, citing US GENIUS Act
Lawmakers in the Canadian government opened a 60-day public consultation on regulations proposed to address non-financial institution stablecoin issuers, including a potential prohibition on yield payments. On Saturday, the government of Canada gave notice that it would be open to public comment on the stablecoin regulations until Dec. 23. The proposed framework cited efforts to be consistent with stablecoin regulations in the United States and other jurisdictions, to “reduce the overall regulatory burden on multi-jurisdictional issuers.” Notably, the proposed regulations said that non-financial institution stablecoin issuers would be restricted from offering interest or yield to discourage HODLing the tokens. They would also be required to redeem stablecoins within three business days of requests from tokenholders, and not charge a fee greater than 1% of the coins’ total value. The regulations fell under Canada’s Stablecoin Act, which was passed in March and intended to address non-financial institution issuers. According to the government, the proposed rules were required to enact the policy and include provisions for issuers to register with Canada’s central bank. “The intention is for the proposed Regulations to come into force in fall 2027,” said the government. “Once the proposed Regulations are in effect, issuers of stablecoins in Canada who are not financial institutions would be required to apply for registration with the Bank of Canada prior to issuing a stablecoin.” The GENIUS Act, which establishes a regulatory framework for stablecoins in the US, is scheduled to take effect in January 2027. Meanwhile, the European Union’s regulations, Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA), could give exchanges until January to halt services for stablecoins not in compliance with the framework, likely including Tether’s USDt (USDT), the largest stablecoin by market capitalization.
AI company Anthropic announces IPO, expected as early as November
Anthropic announced that it had filed S-1 with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for an initial public offering on Nasdaq, marking a significant step for artificial intelligence companies. A Monday S-1 filing with the SEC suggested that Anthropic could be aiming for a mid-November IPO, listing its Class A common stock on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker symbol ANT. The company disclosed more than $16 billion in revenue for the first half of 2026 and an $80 billion net loss over the same period. Anthropic was founded in 2021 by many former executives of AI company OpenAI. Reports have suggested that the company could raise up to $100 billion for an IPO, giving it a $2 trillion valuation. OpenAI has already delayed its own IPO plans, with CEO Sam Altman reportedly saying in September that 2026 was an “ill-advised moment” to pursue a public offering. The company behind the AI assistant Claude reported holding more than $112 billion in cash and cash equivalents, along with $19 billion in short-term investments, as of June 30.
NBA names Kalshi, Polymarket preferred exchanges, signs CFTC deal
The National Basketball Association has named Kalshi and Polymarket its preferred prediction market exchanges and signed an information-sharing agreement with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) aimed at protecting the integrity of basketball-related markets. According to Monday’s announcement, the agreements will give Kalshi and Polymarket access to official NBA data supplied by Sportradar, the league’s designated data distribution partner, for settling authorized markets. Both platforms will have rights to use NBA intellectual property and conduct promotional activities in the United States. The partnerships include integrity safeguards, prohibiting NBA and team personnel from trading NBA event contracts and requiring cooperation on suspicious trading investigations. Beyond the two exchanges, the NBA expanded its existing agreement with DraftKings to cover prediction markets and said it expects to announce similar arrangements with other industry operators in the coming weeks. In a separate announcement, CFTC Chairman Michael S. Selig said the agreement with the NBA would strengthen information sharing to address insider trading and fraud in prediction markets. The NBA joins Major League Baseball and the National Hockey League in establishing similar arrangements with the regulator. States challenge federal oversight of prediction markets The NBA’s agreements come amid an ongoing legal battle over whether federal commodities rules supersede state gambling laws governing sports prediction markets. The dispute has produced conflicting court decisions. In September, the 6th US Circuit Court of Appeals ruled against Kalshi in a case involving Ohio and Tennessee, following a similar decision by the 9th Circuit. An earlier ruling by the 3rd Circuit, however, allowed Kalshi to continue operating in New Jersey while its appeal proceeds. State enforcement actions have continued. On Oct. 20, Utah Attorney General Derek Brown sued Kalshi, alleging that the platform had facilitated illegal betting in the state since 2024. Utah officials are seeking to recover an estimated $30 million to $60 million in profits allegedly earned by Kalshi and other defendants. Kalshi event contract. Source: Kalshi The US Supreme Court has been asked to review the New Jersey dispute, with 39 states and Washington, DC, supporting the petition. The National Football League, which has not entered into commercial partnerships with prediction market exchanges, also backed the petition, arguing that certain sports event contracts threaten game integrity because they are susceptible to manipulation. The justices have not yet agreed to hear the case. Magazine: AI agents help rescue ETH’s Glamsterdam fork, ‘Steal My Bitcoin’ site: Hodler’s Digest
South Korea lawmakers mull pushing crypto tax implementation to 2029
Government officials in South Korea are reportedly weighing a delay of the country’s cryptocurrency tax policy, currently expected to be implemented in January 2027. According to a Monday report from South Korean news outlet Newsis, the crypto income tax could be pushed to 2029 in part because it’s the earliest that officials will be able to share information on taxes related to digital asset exchanges with the US. The policy, which would impose a 22% tax on crypto gains — 20% from income and 2% as part of a local tax — for investors earning more than 2.5 million Korean won ($1,883) annually has already seen several delays since it was first proposed in 2020. “We are discussing postponing the implementation of virtual asset taxation,” said an official from the Blue House presidential residence. The US is scheduled to begin participating in the OECD’s Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework in 2029, while South Korea will implement the rules starting in 2027. A South Korean official reportedly said that the country was considering another delay for the crypto tax as the US “accounts for nearly half of the virtual asset market.” As of Monday, South Korea’s National Tax Service listed Jan. 1, 2027 as the start date for the crypto tax.
Kalshi strikes deal with S&P Dow Jones Indices to expand financial event contracts
S&P Dow Jones Indices has partnered with prediction market platform Kalshi in a deal that will allow the exchange to offer event contracts tied to the financial index provider’s benchmarks. According to Monday’s announcement, Kalshi will become a preferred platform for contracts linked to S&P DJI indices, with settlement based on official index values published by the company. S&P DJI will also explore developing indexes using Kalshi’s prediction market data, potentially tracking expectations around economic developments, political outcomes and sporting events. The gauges would use prices from Kalshi’s event contracts to measure market expectations about future outcomes, rather than tracking the performance of traditional financial assets. The companies did not disclose a timeline for either initiative. S&P DJI did not immediately respond to Cointelegraph’s request for additional details. The agreement follows moves by traditional financial market operators into prediction markets. Intercontinental Exchange, parent of the New York Stock Exchange, committed up to $2 billion to Polymarket in October 2025. In March, Nasdaq filed to offer prediction market-style contracts tied to the Nasdaq 100 Index, before partnering with Kalshi in August to provide market surveillance technology. S&P Global completes OpenZeppelin acquisition S&P Dow Jones Indices parent, S&P Global, separately announced Monday that it completed its acquisition of blockchain security firm OpenZeppelin, expanding its risk assessment capabilities for digital assets. The deal was first announced in September and financial terms were not disclosed. OpenZeppelin provides smart contract security audits and development tools. Its open-source contract libraries underpin more than $38 trillion in value transferred, while its security team has conducted over 900 engagements, according to S&P Global. OpenZeppelin will continue operating as its own business unit under founder Demian Brener, who will report to Yann Le Pallec, president of S&P Global Ratings. S&P Global has also expanded its digital asset risk assessment work beyond smart contract security. Earlier this month, S&P Global Ratings launched a framework for evaluating crypto lending vaults across six risk categories, including blockchain security, liquidity and governance. Magazine: AI agents help rescue ETH’s Glamsterdam fork, ‘Steal My Bitcoin’ site: Hodler’s Digest
PHP flaw shows AI ‘vulnerability apocalypse’ is on schedule: Immunefi CEO
Internet users are still vulnerable to cyber exploits stemming from the PHP vulnerability, particularly through smaller websites that could take weeks to adopt the upgrade shipped last Wednesday, according to bug bounty platform Immunefi CEO Mitchell Amador. “This is the vulnerability apocalypse” running on schedule, where finding vulnerabilities became cheap, but fixing them remains expensive, Amador told Cointelegraph. “For the next few weeks, treat any site you log into as if it could already be compromised,” said Amador, warning users to avoid reusing passwords and to exercise caution when connecting their cryptocurrency wallets to websites. He also urged users to revoke unrecognized token approvals. The comments come nearly a week after the PHP Foundation acknowledged that it delayed fixing a critical security flaw first identified in 2024, due to a shortage of resources. PHP developers released emergency patches for two critical vulnerabilities on the same day, but websites still need to independently upgrade. In an interview published by Cointelegraph in June, Amador warned that the proliferation of frontier AI models changed the cybersecurity playing field in favor of attackers, causing a “vulnerability apocalypse” that led to the resurgence in decentralized finance (DeFi) hacks. Percentage of programs with a confirmed critical vulnerability by time live. Source: Immunefi Immunefi is the world’s largest bug bounty platform that paid out $140 million in bounties across 650 protocols to date, according to its homepage. PHP flaw drew millions of exploit attempts within hours According to Cloudflare’s CEO Matthew Prince, the network saw millions of exploit attempts in the 24 hours after the PHP vulnerabilities were publicly revealed and thousands of attempts even before their disclosure, he wrote a Thursday X post. About one in five websites worldwide routes traffic through Cloudflare, according to the internet infrastructure company, which helps websites load faster and protect users from cyber threats. Research service W3Techs estimates that PHP powers about 69% of websites with a known server-side programming language. The vulnerabilities may allow attackers to spread malware or inject malicious scripts into websites around the world. The FBI’s Cyber Division also warned that the vulnerabilities may allow malicious actors to “remotely execute code in PHP core, potentially compromising sensitive data and networks,” according to a Wednesday X post. Magazine: How a ‘Wrong Number’ message turned into a $3.4M crypto scam
Strategy skips Bitcoin purchases, spends $205M on STRC buybacks
Michael Saylor’s Strategy refrained from buying or selling Bitcoin last week, choosing instead to spend $204.9 million on STRC preferred stock buybacks. Strategy repurchased 2.07 million shares between Monday and Friday, reporting no Bitcoin (BTC) transactions or stock sales through its at-the-market offering program, according to its Monday filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. The company said its Bitcoin holdings remained at 848,517 BTC, acquired for $64.02 billion at an average price of $75,446 per coin. At Monday’s US equities open, the biggest cryptocurrency was trading hands at roughly $79,992 apiece. Strategy’s US dollar reserve remained unchanged from the previous week, at $4.83 billion, Its USD Cash balance fell around 46% to $242.4 million from $447.3 million after management used $204.9 million to repurchase STRC shares. Since October began, Strategy has spent about $664 million repurchasing STRC preferred shares, compared with $72.3 million buying 851 BTC. The pause came as Bitcoin fell toward $80,000 last week after reaching $84,777 on Wednesday, according to CoinGecko. Strategy’s common stock (MSTR) fell 2.2% to $142.80 in Monday’s premarket activity, while its STRC preferred shares edged down 0.01% to $99.35, according to Yahoo Finance.