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AriaNaka
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AriaNaka

Founder of BlockWeb3 | Elite KOL at CoinMarketCap and Binance | On-Chain Research and Market Insights
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Join the group to trade the positions we are currently running with us. All signals are shared in the group first before being posted anywhere else. Some exclusive trades are only available in the group, including certain Alpha coins that won’t be posted elsewhere. Join the group, connect with me there, and feel free to message me directly. Let’s grow together. 🚀 [Claim your red packet here](https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/WmRDc5WW) 🧧
Join the group to trade the positions we are currently running with us.

All signals are shared in the group first before being posted anywhere else. Some exclusive trades are only available in the group, including certain Alpha coins that won’t be posted elsewhere.

Join the group, connect with me there, and feel free to message me directly.

Let’s grow together. 🚀

Claim your red packet here 🧧
$BTC Swing Long #3 {future}(BTCUSDT) I'm still holding my swing long from 82.5K... Price has been hovering around the entry for the past two weeks, but nothing about the overall trade idea has changed. The goal remains the same: catch the next major leg to the upside. This can take time, and there's no reason to rush the process. I still don't expect price to sweep 75K. That remains the consensus trade, with most waiting for lower prices before entering longs. However, some more LTF volatility to shake out longs and create doubt before the next move higher is definitely possible. The goal was never to catch the exact bottom. It's to position for the next big move, and I remain convinced that the upside offers the greater opportunity from here. In the rare event this trade gets invalidated, I'll look to re-enter another swing long around the invalidation level. Until then, nothing has changed. Patience. 🃏
$BTC Swing Long #3

I'm still holding my swing long from 82.5K...

Price has been hovering around the entry for the past two weeks, but nothing about the overall trade idea has changed. The goal remains the same: catch the next major leg to the upside. This can take time, and there's no reason to rush the process.

I still don't expect price to sweep 75K. That remains the consensus trade, with most waiting for lower prices before entering longs. However, some more LTF volatility to shake out longs and create doubt before the next move higher is definitely possible.

The goal was never to catch the exact bottom. It's to position for the next big move, and I remain convinced that the upside offers the greater opportunity from here.

In the rare event this trade gets invalidated, I'll look to re-enter another swing long around the invalidation level. Until then, nothing has changed. Patience.
🃏
$BTC Looking at the orderbook, we have pretty strong bid support below, all the way down to 75k. {future}(BTCUSDT) Above, things look very different. The orderbook is pretty thin up to 84k, making it the path of least resistance. The first major sell wall sits at 85k, making it a crucial level to break through. This dynamic illustrates pretty well that we’re currently in an accumulation phase, with bigger market participants slowly building their positions before the HTF trend can continue.
$BTC Looking at the orderbook, we have pretty strong bid support below, all the way down to 75k.

Above, things look very different. The orderbook is pretty thin up to 84k, making it the path of least resistance.

The first major sell wall sits at 85k, making it a crucial level to break through.

This dynamic illustrates pretty well that we’re currently in an accumulation phase, with bigger market participants slowly building their positions before the HTF trend can continue.
$BTC is back below the red trending dots. {future}(BTCUSDT) One of four targets have been hit so far. Did price just create a lower high?
$BTC is back below the red trending dots.

One of four targets have been hit so far.

Did price just create a lower high?
AriaNaka
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$BTC daily chart still looks the same, not much has happened this weekend.


Maybe we'll see more action once futures market opens.
$SOL is still bearish on the daily chart. {future}(SOLUSDT) Price is back below blue line and wants to retest target two. Odds continue to increase of Solana hitting $93.
$SOL is still bearish on the daily chart.

Price is back below blue line and wants to retest target two.

Odds continue to increase of Solana hitting $93.
AriaNaka
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$SOL continues to close below the blue line.


Odds are increasing of retesting the yellow line.

Will price hit all four targets?
$DOGE Old coins like XMR and ZEC are at new highs. It's a privacy cycle, though. {future}(DOGEUSDT) But it's also a meme cycle. Is it too weird to think DOGE might get interesting? → Beautiful old range → Great macro cycle structure in stages 3–4 → Mini-cycle forming in stage 3 around a key level (macro range low) Would need a reclaim of the macro range low around $0.10 first before I would be interested.
$DOGE Old coins like XMR and ZEC are at new highs. It's a privacy cycle, though.

But it's also a meme cycle. Is it too weird to think DOGE might get interesting?

→ Beautiful old range
→ Great macro cycle structure in stages 3–4
→ Mini-cycle forming in stage 3 around a key level (macro range low)

Would need a reclaim of the macro range low around $0.10 first before I would be interested.
$ETH was rejected at the red trending dots. {future}(ETHUSDT) Still bearish on the daily chart and price is heading towards the yellow line. Long liquidation cluster at $2,300.
$ETH was rejected at the red trending dots.

Still bearish on the daily chart and price is heading towards the yellow line.

Long liquidation cluster at $2,300.
AriaNaka
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$ETH is trending towards it's lowest candle close since August 20.


Yellow line and long liquidation cluster at $2,200-$2,275.

Seems like price wants to retest that area.
$BTC Price dumped after sweeping the 84.4k liquidity,Price dumped after sweeping the 84.4k liquidity, {future}(BTCUSDT) Looking below we have formed multiple un-swept wicks, which as usual are going to be hunted out sooner or later, But before that I am expecting a retest into the key fib levels (marked in the image below) and then start dumping towards 77-78k
$BTC Price dumped after sweeping the 84.4k liquidity,Price dumped after sweeping the 84.4k liquidity,

Looking below we have formed multiple un-swept wicks, which as usual are going to be hunted out sooner or later,

But before that I am expecting a retest into the key fib levels (marked in the image below) and then start dumping towards 77-78k
Unfortunately $BTC was unable to flip the PWO. {future}(BTCUSDT) Not the strongest candle. We’re still range-bound. They’re definitely making things uncomfortable for anyone trying to catch the next move. My advice is the same, just keep bidding the sweeps.
Unfortunately $BTC was unable to flip the PWO.

Not the strongest candle. We’re still range-bound.

They’re definitely making things uncomfortable for anyone trying to catch the next move. My advice is the same, just keep bidding the sweeps.
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Hurry up and join his giveaway! 🎁 Hope you're one of the lucky winners! 🍀 @CryptoZeno

And don't forget to give him your valuable vote as encouragement for all his hard work! ❤️

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CryptoZeno
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❤️ All these gifts and little red packets are simply my way of thanking everyone who has been part of my journey. This is not about buying or selling votes, so there's no need to message me with offers to trade votes or ask me to pay for your vote.

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$XMR Monero is breaking out of a 10-year-old range. {future}(XMRUSDT) Not many times have I seen an altcoin spend 3,000+ days in a range and then break out of it. Bullish.
$XMR Monero is breaking out of a 10-year-old range.

Not many times have I seen an altcoin spend 3,000+ days in a range and then break out of it.

Bullish.
For bears, the major area held. For bulls, will the major area reject? Let’s see. So far, USDT.D has broken down and is now coming into its first BOS retest on the daily TF. Technically speaking, if it remains below this orange area, $BTC could make a leg up to new highs above 87K. {future}(BTCUSDT) Losing this area would mean we remain rangebound and likely take liquidity at the highs on USDT.D, while BTC revisits the lows yet again. Overall, this is the key area for bulls to watch if we’re going to maintain the uptrend.
For bears, the major area held.

For bulls, will the major area reject? Let’s see.

So far, USDT.D has broken down and is now coming into its first BOS retest on the daily TF. Technically speaking, if it remains below this orange area, $BTC could make a leg up to new highs above 87K.

Losing this area would mean we remain rangebound and likely take liquidity at the highs on USDT.D, while BTC revisits the lows yet again.

Overall, this is the key area for bulls to watch if we’re going to maintain the uptrend.
$BTC Significant volatility should be approaching soon. {future}(BTCUSDT) The long and short bands have widened considerably, creating a much larger gap between them.
$BTC Significant volatility should be approaching soon.

The long and short bands have widened considerably, creating a much larger gap between them.
$ENA Beautiful monthly chart. {future}(ENAUSDT) → Clear macro cycle and bullish deviation → Massive range low reclaim Bids got filled pretty deep. 20%+ bounce now. Still got some unfilled bids. Ready for when things turn for the better part of this macro cycle.
$ENA Beautiful monthly chart.

→ Clear macro cycle and bullish deviation
→ Massive range low reclaim

Bids got filled pretty deep. 20%+ bounce now. Still got some unfilled bids.

Ready for when things turn for the better part of this macro cycle.
$BTC Looking at the 85.5k-86.3k region for a potential rejection on the LTF. {future}(BTCUSDT) If we reject there, we're likely going to stay inside this range for a while, especially if we lose 84.2k on the revisit. Ideally, Bulls need to reclaim this region to maintain momentum and push straight into the 90's. A rejection would suggest we're not ready to break the highs just yet, in which case we're likely to continue ranging until monthly close.
$BTC Looking at the 85.5k-86.3k region for a potential rejection on the LTF.

If we reject there, we're likely going to stay inside this range for a while, especially if we lose 84.2k on the revisit.

Ideally, Bulls need to reclaim this region to maintain momentum and push straight into the 90's.

A rejection would suggest we're not ready to break the highs just yet, in which case we're likely to continue ranging until monthly close.
$BTC is boxed in between $80K and $87K. {future}(BTCUSDT) Below, buyers refilled the bids at the ETF and treasury cost basis. Above, the top buyers' break-even, the main asks and the largest liquidation clusters share one zone. More on ETF flows, MSCI and altcoins in this week's Week On-chain.
$BTC is boxed in between $80K and $87K.

Below, buyers refilled the bids at the ETF and treasury cost basis. Above, the top buyers' break-even, the main asks and the largest liquidation clusters share one zone.

More on ETF flows, MSCI and altcoins in this week's Week On-chain.
“That means there’s a good chance we start taking the other side next week.” Indeed, we’re taking out $BTC shorts now. {future}(BTCUSDT) Our first significant barrier is around 83.7-84.2K. If we fail to flip this area, expect more range bound price action. Reclaim it, and the chances of revisiting the highs increase.
“That means there’s a good chance we start taking the other side next week.”

Indeed, we’re taking out $BTC shorts now.

Our first significant barrier is around 83.7-84.2K.

If we fail to flip this area, expect more range bound price action. Reclaim it, and the chances of revisiting the highs increase.
$BTC has now entered the major sell-side zone. A lot of sell orders have been placed between $83,500 and $85,000. If BTC clears this level, $90K could happen very soon.
$BTC has now entered the major sell-side zone.

A lot of sell orders have been placed between $83,500 and $85,000.

If BTC clears this level, $90K could happen very soon.
Well, well, well... Looks like a bearish retest to me. The structure is confirming a breakdown from 1D/1W resistance, with USDT.D still in a macro downtrend while $BTC remains in a macro uptrend. {future}(BTCUSDT) We retested the BOS, formed yet another lower high, and now the structure is pointing towards a corrective move lower in USDT.D, which would mean further upside for BTC. Let’s see if we can keep this trajectory. Trend is your friend.
Well, well, well...

Looks like a bearish retest to me. The structure is confirming a breakdown from 1D/1W resistance, with USDT.D still in a macro downtrend while $BTC remains in a macro uptrend.

We retested the BOS, formed yet another lower high, and now the structure is pointing towards a corrective move lower in USDT.D, which would mean further upside for BTC.

Let’s see if we can keep this trajectory. Trend is your friend.
The funny part is when $BTC blasts through 126K. {future}(BTCUSDT) You will never see it trade under 100K again. The math checks out, especially if this cycle bottomed after -54%. BTC only needs to test 150K+ this cycle for the bear-market retrace to potentially be just 40–45%. So whoever’s been mindlessly TWAP selling this range, I can assure you, you’ll be buying my bags when BTC is 0.15M per coin.
The funny part is when $BTC blasts through 126K.

You will never see it trade under 100K again.

The math checks out, especially if this cycle bottomed after -54%. BTC only needs to test 150K+ this cycle for the bear-market retrace to potentially be just 40–45%.

So whoever’s been mindlessly TWAP selling this range, I can assure you, you’ll be buying my bags when BTC is 0.15M per coin.
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