A Polymarket contract on Israel's next prime minister has recorded more than $55 million in trading volume. The contract gives Gadi Eisenkot a 55% probability of becoming prime minister after the parliamentary election on October 27, 2026. Benjamin Netanyahu's probability stands at 29%. Traditional polls put Eisenkot's bloc 6 seats ahead of Netanyahu's bloc, but no individual party currently has a majority. The Israel Democracy Institute has urged the Central Elections Committee to classify prediction market odds as polling and limit publication of related results before elections.
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Polymarket contract on Israel's next prime minister tops $55 million in trading volume
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