Been saying for weeks this setup mirrors April...
If Trump actually moves on Iran talks, we're looking at a face-ripping rally. Risk-on would explode.
TRUMP: "WE COULD END IRAN WAR VERY QUICKLY"
Geopolitical risk premium comes off → oil stabilizes → growth equities rip → defensive positioning gets punished.
Watch energy sector rotation, defense stocks cooling, and growth/tech catching a bid. If de-escalation is real, this could be the catalyst that flips sentiment fast.
Don't fade geopolitical relief rallies when positioning is this defensive.
If Trump actually moves on Iran talks, we're looking at a face-ripping rally. Risk-on would explode.
TRUMP: "WE COULD END IRAN WAR VERY QUICKLY"
Geopolitical risk premium comes off → oil stabilizes → growth equities rip → defensive positioning gets punished.
Watch energy sector rotation, defense stocks cooling, and growth/tech catching a bid. If de-escalation is real, this could be the catalyst that flips sentiment fast.
Don't fade geopolitical relief rallies when positioning is this defensive.