đ„ CPIWatch: Will Sept CPI Shake Oil & Treasuries? My Take đ„
September CPI drops tonight - this will move EVERYTHING!
My analysis:
đąïž CRUDE OIL $BZUSDT - BULLISH
Middle East tensions escalating, oil surging past $103. Energy costs pushing US CPI higher. Market expects headline CPI to rise.
I think CPI will come HOTTER than expected.
Target: $105-$108 if CPI beats.
My strategy: Small long on $BZUSDT, SL at $100. No over-leverage before data.
đ TREASURIES $TMFUSDT $TBT $RWUSD - PRESSURE BUILDING
If CPI hot, Fed rate hike bets return. Current Oct hike probability is 23.8%, could jump to 40%+.
Higher hike expectations = Treasury yields UP, price DOWN.
My strategy: Short $TMFUSDT into CPI print, will flip long quickly if CPI cools.
âż BTC at $82.5K - KEY LEVEL
If BTC holds $82,500-$82,800, we see $83,600 then $84,300.
If 1H close below $81,600, watch $81,000.
I'm on sidelines with spot, waiting for CPI direction.
Data > Emotions. Tonight decides next 2 weeks.
How are you positioned? Long Oil or Short Treasuries?
#CPIWatch #OctoberFedHikeOddsFallToAround17% BZUSDT #TMFUSDT #TBT #BTCâïž #ETHđ„đ„đ„đ„đ„đ„ #CPI #Fed $NVDAB
$MSFTB
$BTC
September CPI drops tonight - this will move EVERYTHING!
My analysis:
đąïž CRUDE OIL $BZUSDT - BULLISH
Middle East tensions escalating, oil surging past $103. Energy costs pushing US CPI higher. Market expects headline CPI to rise.
I think CPI will come HOTTER than expected.
Target: $105-$108 if CPI beats.
My strategy: Small long on $BZUSDT, SL at $100. No over-leverage before data.
đ TREASURIES $TMFUSDT $TBT $RWUSD - PRESSURE BUILDING
If CPI hot, Fed rate hike bets return. Current Oct hike probability is 23.8%, could jump to 40%+.
Higher hike expectations = Treasury yields UP, price DOWN.
My strategy: Short $TMFUSDT into CPI print, will flip long quickly if CPI cools.
âż BTC at $82.5K - KEY LEVEL
If BTC holds $82,500-$82,800, we see $83,600 then $84,300.
If 1H close below $81,600, watch $81,000.
I'm on sidelines with spot, waiting for CPI direction.
Data > Emotions. Tonight decides next 2 weeks.
How are you positioned? Long Oil or Short Treasuries?
#CPIWatch #OctoberFedHikeOddsFallToAround17% BZUSDT #TMFUSDT #TBT #BTCâïž #ETHđ„đ„đ„đ„đ„đ„ #CPI #Fed $NVDAB
$MSFTB
$BTC